MACROECONOMICS I The Monetary System Lecture 6 March 18, 2022 © 2018 CENGAGE LEARNING®. MAY NOT BE SCANNED, COPIED OR DUPLICATED, OR POSTED TO A PUBLICLY ACCESSIBLE WEBSITE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, EXCEPT FOR USE AS PERMITTED IN A LICENSE DISTRIBUTED WITH A CERTAIN PRODUCT OR SERVICE OR OTHERWISE ON A PASSWORD-PROTECTED WEBSITE OR SCHOOL-APPROVED 1 LOOK FOR THE ANSWERS TO THESE QUESTIONS: • What assets are considered “money”? What are the functions of money? The types of money? • What is the Federal Reserve? • What role do banks play in the monetary system? How do banks “create money”? • How does the Federal Reserve control the money supply? 2 WHAT MONEY IS AND WHY IT’S IMPORTANT Without money  Trade would require barter: the exchange of one good or service for another. ➢ Requires a double coincidence of wants: unlikely occurrence that two people each have a good the other wants. ➢ Waste of resources: people spend time searching for others to trade with Using money  Solves those problems 3 THE 3 FUNCTIONS OF MONEY 1. Medium of exchange  Item that buyers give to sellers when they want to purchase goods and services 2. Unit of account  People use to post prices and record debts 3. Store of value  Item that people can use to transfer purchasing power from the present to the future 4 THE 2 KINDS OF MONEY Commodity money:  Takes the form of a commodity with intrinsic value Examples: gold coins, cigarettes/ramen noodles Fiat money:  Money without intrinsic value, used as money because of government decree Example: the Czech Koruna, Euro, etc. 5 THE MONEY SUPPLY The money supply (or money stock):  Quantity of money available in the economy Currency:  Paper bills and coins in the hands of the (nonbank) public Demand deposits:  Balances in bank accounts that depositors can access on demand by writing a check 6 THE MONEY SUPPLY M1 = $18.4 trillion (Feb 2021)  Currency, demand deposits, traveler’s checks, and other checkable deposits. M2 =$19.7 trillion (Feb 2021)  Everything in M1 plus savings deposits, small time deposits, money market mutual funds, and a few minor categories. The distinction between M1 and M2 will often not matter when we talk about “the money supply” in this course. 7 CENTRAL BANKS & MONETARY POLICY Central bank:  Institution that oversees the banking system and regulates the money supply Monetary policy:  Setting of the money supply by policymakers in the central bank Federal Reserve (Fed):  The central bank of the U.S. 8 THE STRUCTURE OF THE FED The Federal Reserve System consists of:  Board of Governors - (7 members), located in Washington, DC  12 regional Fed banks - Located around the U.S.  Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), - includes the Board of Governors and presidents of some of the regional Fed banks. - The FOMC decides monetary policy. 9 BANK RESERVES In a fractional reserve banking system  Banks keep a fraction of deposits as reserves and use the rest to make loans. The Fed establishes reserve requirements  Regulations on the minimum amount of reserves that banks must hold against deposits. - Banks may hold more than this minimum The reserve ratio, R = fraction of deposits that banks hold as reserves = total reserves as a percentage of total deposits 10 BANK T-ACCOUNT T-account: a simplified accounting statement that shows a bank’s assets & liabilities. Banks’ liabilities include deposits, Assets include loans & reserves. Notice that R = $10/$100 = 10%. 11 FIRST NATIONAL BANK Assets Liabilities Reserves $ 10 Loans $ 90 Deposits $100 BANKS AND THE MONEY SUPPLY: AN EXAMPLE Suppose $100 of currency is in circulation. To determine banks’ impact on money supply, we calculate the money supply in 3 different cases: 1. No banking system 2. 100% reserve banking system (banks hold 100% of deposits as reserves, make no loans) 3. Fractional reserve banking system 12 BANKS AND THE MONEY SUPPLY: AN EXAMPLE Case 1: No banking system Public holds the $100 as currency. Money supply = $100. 13 BANKS AND THE MONEY SUPPLY: AN EXAMPLE Case 2: 100% reserve banking system Public deposits the $100 at First National Bank (FNB). FNB holds 100% of deposit as reserves: Money supply = currency + deposits = $0 + $100 = $100 In a 100% reserve banking system, banks do not affect size of money supply. 14 FIRST NATIONAL BANK Assets Liabilities Reserves $100 Loans $ 0 Deposits $100 FIRST NATIONAL BANK Assets Liabilities Reserves $100 Loans $ 0 Deposits $100 15 Case 3: Fractional reserve banking system Suppose R = 10%. FNB loans all but 10% of the deposit: Depositors have $100 in deposits, borrowers have $90 in currency. Money supply = C + D = $90 + $100 = $190 (!!!) FIRST NATIONAL BANK Assets Liabilities Reserves $10 Loans $90 Deposits $100 16 Case 3: Fractional reserve banking system How did the money supply suddenly grow? When banks make loans, they create money. The borrower gets  $90 in currency—an asset counted in the money supply  $90 in new debt—a liability that does not have an offsetting effect on the money supply A fractional reserve banking system creates money, but not wealth. 17 Case 3: Fractional reserve banking system Borrower deposits the $90 at Second National Bank. Initially, SNB’s T-account looks like this: If R = 10% for SNB, it will loan all but 10% of the deposit. SECOND NATIONAL BANK Assets Liabilities Reserves $90 Loans $ 0 Deposits $90 SECOND NATIONAL BANK Assets Liabilities Reserves $ 9 Loans $81 Deposits $90 18 Case 3: Fractional reserve banking system SNB’s borrower deposits the $81 at Third National Bank. Initially, TNB’s T-account looks like this: If R = 10% for TNB, it will loan all but 10% of the deposit. THIRD NATIONAL BANK Assets Liabilities Reserves $81 Loans $ 0 Deposits $81 THIRD NATIONAL BANK Assets Liabilities Reserves $ 8.10 Loans $72.90 Deposits $81 19 Case 3: Fractional reserve banking system The process continues, and money is created with each new loan. Original deposit = $100.00 FNB lending = $ 90.00 SNB lending = $ 81.00 TNB lending = $ 72.90 … … Total money supply = $1,000.00 In this example, $100 of reserves generates $1,000 of money. THE MONEY MULTIPLIER Money multiplier = 1/R  Amount of money the banking system generates with each dollar of reserves In our example, R = 10%  Money multiplier = 1/R = 10  $100 of reserves creates $1,000 of money 20 21 ACTIVE LEARNING 1 BANKS AND THE MONEY SUPPLY While cleaning your apartment, you look under the sofa cushion and find a czk 5000 bill. You deposit the bill in your checking account. The CNB’s reserve requirement is 20% of deposits. A. What is the maximum amount that the money supply could increase? B. What is the minimum amount that the money supply could increase? 22 ACTIVE LEARNING 1 ANSWERS You deposit czk 5000 in your checking account. A. What is the maximum amount that the money supply could increase? If banks hold no excess reserves, then money multiplier = 1/R = 1/0.2 = 5 The maximum possible increase in deposits is 5 x 5000 = czk25000 But money supply also includes currency, which falls by czk 5000. Hence, max increase in money supply = czk 20000. 23 ACTIVE LEARNING 1 ANSWERS You deposit czk 5000 in your checking account. A. What is the maximum amount that the money supply could increase? Answer = czk 20000. B. What is the minimum amount that the money supply could increase? Answer: czk 0  If your bank makes no loans from your deposit, currency falls by czk 5000, deposits increase by czk 5000, money supply does not change. A MORE REALISTIC BALANCE SHEET Assets:  Besides reserves and loans, banks also hold securities. Liabilities:  Besides deposits, banks also obtain funds from issuing debt and equity. Bank capital:  The resources a bank obtains by issuing equity to its owners  Also: bank assets minus bank liabilities 24 A MORE REALISTIC BALANCE SHEET Capital requirement:  A government regulation that specifies a minimum amount of capital,  Intended to ensure banks will be able to pay off depositors and debts Leverage:  The use of borrowed funds to supplement existing funds for investment purposes 25 A MORE REALISTIC BALANCE SHEET Leverage ratio: ratio of assets to bank capital In this example, the leverage ratio = $1000/$50 = 20 Interpretation: for every $20 in assets, $ 1 is from the bank’s owners, $19 is financed with borrowed money. 26 MORE REALISTIC NATIONAL BANK Assets Liabilities Reserves $ 200 Loans $ 700 Securities $ 100 Deposits $ 800 Debt $ 150 Capital $ 50 LEVERAGE AMPLIFIES PROFITS AND LOSSES In our example, suppose bank assets appreciate by 5%, from $1000 to $1050.  This increases bank capital from $50 to $100, doubling owners’ equity. Instead, if bank assets decrease by 5%,  Bank capital falls from $50 to $0. If bank assets decrease more than 5%,  Bank capital is negative and bank is insolvent. 27 LEVERAGE AND THE FINANCIAL CRISIS Financial crisis of 2008–2009  Banks suffered losses on mortgage loans and mortgage-backed securities due to widespread defaults.  Many banks became insolvent: - In the U.S., 27 banks failed during 2000–2007, -166 during 2008–2009.  Many other banks found themselves with too little capital, responded by reducing lending, causing a credit crunch. 28 THE GOVERNMENT’S RESPONSE To ease the credit crunch  The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury injected hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth of capital into the banking system.  This unusual policy temporarily made U.S. taxpayers part-owners of many banks.  The policy succeeded in recapitalizing the banking system and helped restore lending to normal levels in 2009. 29 THE FED’S TOOLS OF MONETARY CONTROL Earlier, we learned money supply = money multiplier × bank reserves The Fed can change the money supply by  Changing bank reserves or  Changing the money multiplier 30 HOW THE FED INFLUENCES RESERVES Open-Market Operations (OMOs):  The purchase and sale of U.S. government bonds by the Fed. To increase bank reserves and the money supply:  The Fed buys a government bond from a bank - Pays by depositing new reserves in that bank’s reserve account. - With more reserves, the bank can make more loans, increasing the money supply 31 HOW THE FED INFLUENCES RESERVES The Fed makes loans to banks, increasing their reserves  Traditional method: adjusting the discount rate (interest rate on loans the Fed makes to banks) to influence the amount of reserves banks borrow  New method: Term Auction Facility (the Fed chooses the quantity of reserves it will loan, then banks bid against each other for these loans.) The more banks borrow,  The more reserves they have for funding new loans and increasing the money supply. 32 HOW THE FED INFLUENCES THE RESERVE RATIO The Fed sets reserve requirements:  Regulations on the minimum amount of reserves banks must hold against deposits.  Reducing reserve requirements would lower the reserve ratio and increase the money multiplier. 33 PROBLEMS CONTROLLING THE MONEY SUPPLY The Fed does not control:  The amount of money that households choose to hold as deposits in banks  The amount that bankers choose to lend Yet, the Fed can compensate for household and bank behavior to retain fairly precise control over the money supply 34 THE FEDERAL FUNDS RATE The federal funds rate  Interest rate at which banks make overnight loans to one another - Lender – has excess reserves - Borrower – needs reserves  A change in federal funds rate Cause changes in other rates and have a big impact on the economy. 35 THE FED FUNDS RATE AND OTHER RATES, 1970–2016 36 Fed. Funds Mortgage Prime 3 Month T-bill 37 MONETARY POLICY AND THE FED FUNDS RATE To raise fed funds rate, Fed sells government bonds (OMO). This removes reserves from the banking system, reduces supply of federal funds, causes rf to rise. rf F D1 S2 1.75% F2 S1 F1 1.50% The Federal Funds market Federal funds rate Quantity of federal funds SUMMARY • Money serves three functions: medium of exchange, unit of account, and store of value. • There are two types of money: commodity money has intrinsic value; fiat money does not. • The U.S. uses fiat money, which includes currency and various types of bank deposits. 38 SUMMARY • In a fractional reserve banking system, banks create money when they make loans. - Bank reserves have a multiplier effect on the money supply. • Because banks are highly leveraged, a small change in the value of a bank’s assets causes a large change in bank capital. - To protect depositors from bank insolvency, regulators impose minimum capital requirements. 39 SUMMARY • The Federal Reserve is the central bank of the U.S. The Fed is responsible for regulating the monetary system. • The Fed controls the money supply mainly through open-market operations. - Purchasing government bonds increases the money supply, selling government bonds decreases it. • In recent years, the Fed has set monetary policy by choosing a target for the federal funds rate. 40