Short Selling Portfolio optimization Optimization technique in Portfolio creation Ludˇek Benada Department of Finance, office - 402 e-mail: benada@econ.muni.cz Short Selling Portfolio optimization Content 1 Short Selling 2 Portfolio optimization Short Selling Portfolio optimization Content 1 Short Selling 2 Portfolio optimization Short Selling Portfolio optimization . . . going Short Short selling will be applied by an investor who assumes that the future price of the asset will decrease, i.e. Pt+k < Pt Short Selling Portfolio optimization . . . going Short Short selling will be applied by an investor who assumes that the future price of the asset will decrease, i.e. Pt+k < Pt It is assumed, there exists an opportunity for short selling and it is not banned . . . Short Selling Portfolio optimization . . . going Short Short selling will be applied by an investor who assumes that the future price of the asset will decrease, i.e. Pt+k < Pt It is assumed, there exists an opportunity for short selling and it is not banned . . . The procedure by short selling: Short Selling Portfolio optimization . . . going Short Short selling will be applied by an investor who assumes that the future price of the asset will decrease, i.e. Pt+k < Pt It is assumed, there exists an opportunity for short selling and it is not banned . . . The procedure by short selling: The investor borrows a security from the owner, which he then sells when building the portfolio Short Selling Portfolio optimization . . . going Short Short selling will be applied by an investor who assumes that the future price of the asset will decrease, i.e. Pt+k < Pt It is assumed, there exists an opportunity for short selling and it is not banned . . . The procedure by short selling: The investor borrows a security from the owner, which he then sells when building the portfolio The Ownership remains with the original owner, to whom the security will be returned in the future Short Selling Portfolio optimization . . . going Short Short selling will be applied by an investor who assumes that the future price of the asset will decrease, i.e. Pt+k < Pt It is assumed, there exists an opportunity for short selling and it is not banned . . . The procedure by short selling: The investor borrows a security from the owner, which he then sells when building the portfolio The Ownership remains with the original owner, to whom the security will be returned in the future The original owner is entitled to all cash flows from the security that occur during the time of borrowing the security Short Selling Portfolio optimization . . . going Short Short selling will be applied by an investor who assumes that the future price of the asset will decrease, i.e. Pt+k < Pt It is assumed, there exists an opportunity for short selling and it is not banned . . . The procedure by short selling: The investor borrows a security from the owner, which he then sells when building the portfolio The Ownership remains with the original owner, to whom the security will be returned in the future The original owner is entitled to all cash flows from the security that occur during the time of borrowing the security An illustrative example with a long and a short position . . . Short Selling Portfolio optimization The effect of short selling on the available set of portfolios Short selling expands the allowable set of portfolios Short Selling Portfolio optimization The effect of short selling on the available set of portfolios Short selling expands the allowable set of portfolios Short selling also increase the set of available portfolios Short Selling Portfolio optimization The effect of short selling on the available set of portfolios Short selling expands the allowable set of portfolios Short selling also increase the set of available portfolios Short selling is possible/suitable to use even if: Short Selling Portfolio optimization The effect of short selling on the available set of portfolios Short selling expands the allowable set of portfolios Short selling also increase the set of available portfolios Short selling is possible/suitable to use even if: ¯ri > 0 ↓ Short Selling Portfolio optimization The effect of short selling on the available set of portfolios Short selling expands the allowable set of portfolios Short selling also increase the set of available portfolios Short selling is possible/suitable to use even if: ¯ri > 0 ↓ . . . , but loss of the diversification effect Short Selling Portfolio optimization The effect of short selling on the available set of portfolios Short selling expands the allowable set of portfolios Short selling also increase the set of available portfolios Short selling is possible/suitable to use even if: ¯ri > 0 ↓ . . . , but loss of the diversification effect Graphical representation of the portfolio’s effective frontier when applying short selling . . . Short Selling Portfolio optimization Content 1 Short Selling 2 Portfolio optimization Short Selling Portfolio optimization Portfolio optimization - calculation procedure The task of calculation is to find the extremum of a function Short Selling Portfolio optimization Portfolio optimization - calculation procedure The task of calculation is to find the extremum of a function Two approaches applied to the efficient frontier are possible: Short Selling Portfolio optimization Portfolio optimization - calculation procedure The task of calculation is to find the extremum of a function Two approaches applied to the efficient frontier are possible: Maximizing of E(Rp) = n i=1 wi ∗ ¯ri Short Selling Portfolio optimization Portfolio optimization - calculation procedure The task of calculation is to find the extremum of a function Two approaches applied to the efficient frontier are possible: Maximizing of E(Rp) = n i=1 wi ∗ ¯ri Risk minimization of the expected portfolio return: Short Selling Portfolio optimization Portfolio optimization - calculation procedure The task of calculation is to find the extremum of a function Two approaches applied to the efficient frontier are possible: Maximizing of E(Rp) = n i=1 wi ∗ ¯ri Risk minimization of the expected portfolio return: σ2 p = n i=1 n j=1 wi ∗ wj ∗ σi,j Short Selling Portfolio optimization Finding a portfolio with minimal risk Two approaches can be applied to minimize the risk of portfolio: 1 Finding the absolute/Global minimum risk Short Selling Portfolio optimization Finding a portfolio with minimal risk Two approaches can be applied to minimize the risk of portfolio: 1 Finding the absolute/Global minimum risk 2 Finding the minimum risk at the desired return Short Selling Portfolio optimization Minimum variance portfolio Solving the optimization problem in order to obtain weights Short Selling Portfolio optimization Minimum variance portfolio Solving the optimization problem in order to obtain weights The proportion of individual asset (weights) for the optimal portfolio are the solution to the minimization problem of a quadratic objective function with one linear constraint. Short Selling Portfolio optimization Minimum variance portfolio Solving the optimization problem in order to obtain weights The proportion of individual asset (weights) for the optimal portfolio are the solution to the minimization problem of a quadratic objective function with one linear constraint. The objective function: Short Selling Portfolio optimization Minimum variance portfolio Solving the optimization problem in order to obtain weights The proportion of individual asset (weights) for the optimal portfolio are the solution to the minimization problem of a quadratic objective function with one linear constraint. The objective function: σ2 p = n i=1 n j=1 wi ∗ wj ∗ σi,j Short Selling Portfolio optimization Minimum variance portfolio Solving the optimization problem in order to obtain weights The proportion of individual asset (weights) for the optimal portfolio are the solution to the minimization problem of a quadratic objective function with one linear constraint. The objective function: σ2 p = n i=1 n j=1 wi ∗ wj ∗ σi,j → min Short Selling Portfolio optimization Minimum variance portfolio Solving the optimization problem in order to obtain weights The proportion of individual asset (weights) for the optimal portfolio are the solution to the minimization problem of a quadratic objective function with one linear constraint. The objective function: σ2 p = n i=1 n j=1 wi ∗ wj ∗ σi,j → min The constraint: Short Selling Portfolio optimization Minimum variance portfolio Solving the optimization problem in order to obtain weights The proportion of individual asset (weights) for the optimal portfolio are the solution to the minimization problem of a quadratic objective function with one linear constraint. The objective function: σ2 p = n i=1 n j=1 wi ∗ wj ∗ σi,j → min The constraint: n i=1 wi = 1 Short Selling Portfolio optimization Finding the extreme values f (⃗w) → min Short Selling Portfolio optimization Finding the extreme values f (⃗w) → min Lagrangian function: L(⃗y) = L(⃗w,⃗λ) Short Selling Portfolio optimization Finding the extreme values f (⃗w) → min Lagrangian function: L(⃗y) = L(⃗w,⃗λ) We will use Lagrange multipliers to find the extrema of the function: Short Selling Portfolio optimization Finding the extreme values f (⃗w) → min Lagrangian function: L(⃗y) = L(⃗w,⃗λ) We will use Lagrange multipliers to find the extrema of the function: ∂L(⃗y) ∂yi for i = 1, 2, . . . , n Short Selling Portfolio optimization Lagrangian function - calculation procedure L(⃗y) = σ2 p(⃗w) + λ1( n i=1 wi − 1) Applying partial derivation with respect to individual variables: Short Selling Portfolio optimization Lagrangian function - calculation procedure L(⃗y) = σ2 p(⃗w) + λ1( n i=1 wi − 1) Applying partial derivation with respect to individual variables: → n + 1 eq. Short Selling Portfolio optimization Lagrangian function - calculation procedure L(⃗y) = σ2 p(⃗w) + λ1( n i=1 wi − 1) Applying partial derivation with respect to individual variables: → n + 1 eq. Set the first n equations to be equal 0 Short Selling Portfolio optimization Lagrangian function - calculation procedure L(⃗y) = σ2 p(⃗w) + λ1( n i=1 wi − 1) Applying partial derivation with respect to individual variables: → n + 1 eq. Set the first n equations to be equal 0 2C ⃗W + λ1⃗e = 0 Short Selling Portfolio optimization Lagrangian function - calculation procedure L(⃗y) = σ2 p(⃗w) + λ1( n i=1 wi − 1) Applying partial derivation with respect to individual variables: → n + 1 eq. Set the first n equations to be equal 0 2C ⃗W + λ1⃗e = 0 For the last equation transfer 1 to the right side Short Selling Portfolio optimization Lagrangian function - calculation procedure L(⃗y) = σ2 p(⃗w) + λ1( n i=1 wi − 1) Applying partial derivation with respect to individual variables: → n + 1 eq. Set the first n equations to be equal 0 2C ⃗W + λ1⃗e = 0 For the last equation transfer 1 to the right side ⃗wT ⃗e = 1 Short Selling Portfolio optimization Lagrangian function - calculation procedure L(⃗y) = σ2 p(⃗w) + λ1( n i=1 wi − 1) Applying partial derivation with respect to individual variables: → n + 1 eq. Set the first n equations to be equal 0 2C ⃗W + λ1⃗e = 0 For the last equation transfer 1 to the right side ⃗wT ⃗e = 1 Apply matrix calculation . . . Short Selling Portfolio optimization Minimization of the risk at desired portfolio return The constraints: Short Selling Portfolio optimization Minimization of the risk at desired portfolio return The constraints: n i=1 wi = 1 Short Selling Portfolio optimization Minimization of the risk at desired portfolio return The constraints: n i=1 wi = 1 E(Rp) = n i=1 wi ∗ ¯ri Short Selling Portfolio optimization Minimization of the risk at desired portfolio return The constraints: n i=1 wi = 1 E(Rp) = n i=1 wi ∗ ¯ri Lagrangian function: Short Selling Portfolio optimization Minimization of the risk at desired portfolio return The constraints: n i=1 wi = 1 E(Rp) = n i=1 wi ∗ ¯ri Lagrangian function: L(⃗y) = σ2 p(⃗w) + λ1( n i=1 wi − 1) + λ2( n i=1 wi ∗ ¯ri − E(Rp))