Portfolio Theory Dr. Andrea Rigamonti andrea.rigamonti@econ.muni.cz Seminar 7 Content: • Initial settings and inputs estimation • Portfolio optimization Initial settings and inputs estimation For the inputs estimation we use a rolling window of 120 periods. The portfolio performance will therefore be computed starting from the 121th period. In addition to the sample mean and covariance matrix, we also estimate the shrunk covariance matrix introduced by Ledoit and Wolf (2004) using the function “linshrink_cov”. We also compute a naïve 1/N portfolio to be used as benchmark. Portfolio optimization We compute the following optimal portfolios: • Mean-variance with sample estimates • Mean-variance with sample mean and shrunk covariance • Minimum variance with sample covariance • Minimum variance with shrunk covariance • Long-only minimum variance with sample covariance • Long-only minimum variance with shrunk covariance Portfolio optimization • Shrinkage portfolio that combines the mean-variance with the naïve 1/N portfolio, whose weights are given by: 𝒘∗ = 𝛿𝒘 𝑵𝑨𝑰𝑽𝑬 + 1 − 𝛿 𝒘 _ We simply set 𝛿=0.2 • Grouping strategy that optimizes between groups of assets and uses equal weights within groups. We naively group assets in groups of 3 by alphabetical order. _ We do this by computing the average return of each group, then we estimate the inputs and use them for optimization. We then repeat each weight 3 times, and use them for the single assets.