F Q Routledge Taylor &. Francis Groi Journal of Environmental Planning and Management ISSN: 0964-0568 (Print) 1360-0559 (Online) Journal homepage: https://www.tandfonline.com/loi/cjep20 Measuring the welfare cost of air pollution in Shanghai: evidence from the housing market Jie Chen, Qianjin Hao & Chamna Yoon To cite this article: Jie Chen, Qianjin Hao & Chamna Yoon (2018) Measuring the welfare cost of air pollution in Shanghai: evidence from the housing market, Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 61:10, 1744-1757, DPI: 10.1080/09640568.2017.1371581 To link to this article: https://doi.Org/10.1080/09640568.2017.1371581 Published online: 10 Nov 2017. Submit your article to this journal C? Article views: 666 View related articles G? (D View Crossmark data G? Citing articles: 11 View citing articles ß" Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at https://www.tandfonline.com/action/journal lnformation?journalCode=cjep20 Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 2018 | J Routledge Vol. 61, No. 10, 1744-1757, https://doi.org/10.1080/09640568.2017.1371581 s^ Tay,ora.Fra„cisCroup Measuring the welfare cost of air pollution in Shanghai: evidence from the housing market Jie Chena, Qianjin Haob and Chamna Yoonc* "School of Public Economics and Administration, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics (SHUFE), Shanghai, P.R. China; bDepartment of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai, P.R. China; cDepartment of Economics, Sungkyunkwan University, Jongno-gu, Seoul, Republic of Korea (Received 19 May 2016; final version received 31 July 2017) The purpose of this study is to quantify the marginal willingness to pay (MWTP) for clean air in China. We provide the first estimate of MWTP for clean air by implementing a hedonic method using housing price and air quality data from Shanghai. Our estimates imply that air pollution has a significant and negative impact on housing price. We also find that the willingness to pay for better air quality varies significantly across different income groups. This paper helps to deepen our understanding of the economic impacts of air pollution in emerging Asian metropolises where residents are suffering from the most severe respiratory health problems. Keywords: air pollution; housing market; hedonic method; welfare cost 1. Introduction The increased demand for energy, a growing vehicular fleet, and industrial expansion have led to serious deterioration of air quality in China. Furthermore, with the rapid improvement of living standards, Chinese residents are increasingly concerned with the environmental quality of life, especially clean air. However, to discuss efficient government policy intervention strategies, which incur substantial costs, we need to quantify the economic value of air quality. Kan and Chen (2004) estimate the total economic cost of health impacts owing to air pollution in urban areas of Shanghai in 2001 as roughly 1% of the city's GDP. Nonetheless, the health cost is just a part of total welfare costs incurred by air pollution. Further, the situation of air pollution, as well as people's willingness to pay for clean air, has changed dramatically over the last decade. The purpose of this study is to quantify the marginal willingness to pay (MWTP) for clean air in China using the latest available data. We implement hedonic methods using housing price and air quality data from Shanghai. The MWTP for clean air cannot be directly measured because it is not traded in the market. However, we can indirectly infer the MWTP using the relationship between air quality and housing price (Rosen 1974). Residents' location choices reflect their demand and MWTP for environmental quality. By measuring residents' MWTP for air quality, we can also compute the welfare cost of air pollution, or equivalently, the welfare benefits of clean air. In China, because residents' location choices have been largely freed and housing has become the primary asset for households since corresponding author. Email: chamnayoon@skku.edu ©2017 Newcastle University Journal of Environmental Planning and Management 1745 the market-oriented development of the housing sector in 1998, the property market is suitable to measure residents' willingness to pay for environmental amenities including air quality. We collected data on air quality from 23 ambient air quality monitoring stations in Shanghai for 2010. This data includes the monthly mean of daily concentrations of S02, N02, and PM10. We also obtained data on 20,109 units of reselling apartments from 602 residential real estate projects in the downtown area (within the outer ring, or city area) of Shanghai in September 2010. Housing variables include, among others, the listing price, structural characteristics (such as construction space, number of bedrooms, level of furnishing, and year of completion), and neighborhood characteristics (such as the greening rate and the floor area ratio of projects, as well as the distance to the central business district (CBD), sub-center, subway station, and supermarket). The neighborhood characteristics of the projects are constructed based on the geographic information system (GIS) data using the ArcGIS program. Our estimates imply that air pollution has a significant and negative impact on housing price. Ceteris paribus, a 1 microgram per cubic meter (|xg/m3) reduction in the mean concentrations of S02 and PM10 results in a 0.6% and 0.9% increase in property value, respectively.1 We also find that the MWTP for better air quality varies significantly across different income groups. This study primarily contributes to the literature that assesses residents' MWTP for clean air. Previous studies on economic values of clean air and welfare costs of air pollution almost exclusively focus on the USA and other developed countries (Chay and Greenstone 2005). Recently, however, researchers have begun to investigate this issue in developing countries.2 A few studies have attempted to quantify the impact of air pollution on health in China (Saikawa et al. 2009; Matus et al. 2012). We provide an estimate of MWTP for clean air in China using housing price and air quality data in Shanghai.3 Furthermore, we quantify the differences in MWTP for clean air across different income groups. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 introduces the hedonic method of measuring economic values of air quality. Section 3 provides a brief overview of the background of air pollution in China along with a description of the data. Section 4 discusses the econometric model. Section 5 discusses the main findings of the empirical research. Section 6 estimates the welfare cost of air pollution in Shanghai. Finally, Section 7 provides the primary conclusion of the research as well as policy proposals. 2. The hedonic method We use the hedonic price method to measure residents' MWTP for better air quality. The hedonic price framework is an appropriate modeling strategy to indirectly estimate the relationship between a marketable good, such as housing, and the associated non-marketable services it contains, such as landscape or clean air. According to the literature (see, for example, Rosen 1974), when an individual visits the real estate market to acquire a residence, he/she acquires a quantity of property with a certain quality, after considering the location and environmental characteristics of the asset. Thus, his/her perception of these characteristics in making a decision indicates that the individual is somehow valuing these particularities of a residence. In this context, changes in the parameters of environmental quality, such as poor air quality, owing to pollutant 1746 J. Chen et al. emissions by industrial units or to bad smells exhaled from landfills or sewage treatment plants, are captured by the real estate market through property prices. Outdoor air pollution in cities results primarily from emissions from road transport, industry, heating, and commercial sources. Because the distribution of factories, roads, population, and city traffic is extremely uneven, and weather conditions can significantly influence the adsorption, migration, and diffusion of air pollutants, the air quality of different regions' inner-city areas may have significant differences. The housing character of spatial fixity implies that when residents choose the location of a property, they simultaneously express their preferences for environmental quality. In conditions of deteriorating air quality and increasing environmental awareness, residents prefer to live in areas with better air quality to overcome/minimize the potential health risks posed by air pollution. However, property with better air quality also has a high housing price. Therefore, residents must make a trade-off between better air quality and higher housing prices, which is known as the theory of housing choice (Rosen 1974). Within the hedonic price model framework, it is assumed that consumers' utility depends on the consumption of a differentiated good that can be represented by a vector Z = (zi, z2, z3,..., zn) of structural characteristics and a vector A = (ai, a2, a3,..., an) of amenities (Epple 1987). When choosing a residential property, households choose a vector A of amenities (i.e., air quality) and a vector Z of characteristics. They also choose the amount of expenditure on a (non-housing) composite good X. Households face a budget restriction Y, which can be used either for housing expenditure or to buy the composite good X. Housing expenditure is a function of the property's hedonic price P(Z, A), which measures the equilibrium relationship between the price of a property, Z, and A. Households also have a vector a of socioeconomic characteristics; therefore, their preferences can be represented by a utility function, U = U(Z,A,X; a) (1) The households' maximization problem of the utility is as given below: max U = U(Z,A,X; a) (2) s.t. P(Z,A)+X = Y (3) From the solution to this problem, we have the consumers' bid function