TRENDS IN CORPORATE BANKING Petr Ullmann 17. prosince 2015 UCB 3D CMYKn.jpg CONTENT n nTRENDS IN BANKING ENVIRONMENT – KEY DRIVERS n nLOW INTEREST RATES & MARKET LIQUIDITY nDIGITALIZATION – IMPROVES CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE AND SAVES COST nBIG DATA nINCREASING REGULATION nPEER TO PEER LENDING? n n nWHAT WILL REMAIN OF CORPORATE BANKING AS WE KNOW IT? n 2 UCB 3D CMYKn.jpg LOW (NEGATIVE) INTEREST RATES AND MARKET LIQUIDITY nLOW INTEREST RATES ENVIRONMENT (ON CZK / EUR) EXPECTED AT LEAST UNTIL 2018 n nCOMPRESSION OF MARGINS AND NET INTEREST INCOME n nDEPOSITS n nLOANS – EXCESSIVE LIQUIDITY & LACK OF INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES FURTHER WORSEN NII n nNEGATIVE INTEREST RATES – WHERE IS THE BOTTOM? ALTERNATIVES TO SAVING n 3 UCB 3D CMYKn.jpg DIGITALIZATION TO CONTINUE AND ACCELERATE nCHANGING CUSTOMER BEHAVIOURS AND PRESSURE ON PROCESSING EFFICIENCY n nDIGITALIZATION n nIMPROVES CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE n nREDUCES PROCESSING COST AND ERROR n nREQUIRES SIGNIFICANT INVESTMENT 4 UCB 3D CMYKn.jpg BIG DATA nLOT OF VALUABLE INFO CURRENTLY AVAILABLE IN BANKS BUT NOT SYSTEMATICALLY COLLECTED AND ANALYSED n n BIG DATA MANAGEMENT n nDATA INGESTION (PAYMENT FLOWS, TRANSACTIONS, PRODUCT USAGE, EXTERNAL DATA …) n n DATA / CLIENT ANALYSIS AND NEEDS IDENTIFICATION n 5 UCB 3D CMYKn.jpg INCREASING REGULATION nREGULATION FOCUS IS PUT ON n nSYSTEMIC RISK MITIGATION / INCREASING CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS n nCLIENT PROTECTION n n AML n n REGULATION INCREASES COST OF DOING BUSINESS BUT AT THE SAME TIME PROTECTS INDUSTRY FROM COMPETITION n n ( GOOGLE, FACEBOOK …..) 6 UCB 3D CMYKn.jpg PEER TO PEER LENDING ? nINCREASING BUT FAR FROM PLAYING SIGNIFICANT ROLE SO FAR n nEFFICIENT PLATFORM FOR SMALL LENDING 7 UCB 3D CMYKn.jpg WHAT WILL REMAIN OF CORPORATE BANKING AS WE KNOW IT? n n n n n n n n n n nPEOPLE DO BUSINESS WITH PEOPLE 8