Seminar 5 solutions 1. Read the following article and answer the following questions: Which yield curve is higher in the US (2-year or 10-year) and why? What signals about the future of the US economy do we get from yield curves? For more details read also this article. 2. Suppose the market price of a 20-year pure discount bond with a face value of $1,000 is $214.55. What is the spot interest rate for the 20-year maturity expressed in percentage per annum? Answer: We know that the relationship between the price of a pure discount bond and the spot interest rate at the 20/year maturity satisfies Substituting the price of $214.55 and solving for i(t,20), we find Therefore, the spot interest rate for the 20-year maturity expressed in percentage per annum is 8%. 3. Consider a 2-year euro-denominated bond that has a current market price of €970, a face value of €1,000, and an annual coupon of 5%. Suppose the 1-year euro-denominated spot interest rate is 5.5%. What is the 2-year euro-denominated spot interest rate? Answer: The present value of a coupon paying bond is found by discounting each annual coupon and the final principal payment at the appropriate spot interest rates for those maturities. Thus, to find the 2-year euro-denominated spot interest rate we must solve for the two-period spot interest rate in the following equation: The answer is i(t,2) = 6.68%. 4. What should be the 2-year forward rate to prevent arbitrage? The spot exchange rate is ¥132.192/£. U.K. Japan 1 year 1.105 0.370 2 year 1.770 0.430 What should be the 2-year forward rate to prevent arbitrage? Answer: FW = 132.192 x (1+ 0.00430)2 / (1+0.0177)2. = 127. 7435 ( ) 20 $1,000 P(t) = 1 + i(t,20) 1/20 $1,000 i(t,20) = - 1 = 0.08 $214.55 é ù ê ú ë û ( ) 2 €50 €1050 €970 = + 1.055 1+i(t,2) 5. Please, try to calculate EUR/USD 2 year forward rate based on the current market data. Find the current EUR/USD spot rate, Germany 2-Year Bond Yield and U.S. 2 Year Treasury Note. Compare your result to market forward rate. Answer: Spot rate EUR/USD 0.9753 2-year German bond yield 1.844 2-year US bond yield 4.47% FW price 1.0568 FW points 431.59 indicate EURUSD 1.0185