MVZ-207 Chinese Foreign Policy since 1949 Mgr. Jan Polišenský Spring 2011 Week 12: People's Liberation Army Army around the world State Active Reserve Paramilitary PRC 2285000 800000 1500000 USA 1580255 864547 11035 India 1325000 2142821 1300586 DPRKorea 1106000 8200000 189000 Russia 1027000 20000000 449000 State Total PRC 4585000 USA 2455837 India 4768407 DPRKorea 9495000 Russia 21476000 Troops per Capita Total per Activeper 1000 Capita 1000Capita PRC 3,4 1,7 USA 7,9 5,1 India 4,1 1,1 DPRKorea 418,9 48,8 Russia 153,4 7,3 Troops in Population Total Population Troops % PRC 4585 000 1337724852 0,34 USA 2455 837 311373000 0,79 India 4768 407 1210933422 0,39 DPRKorea 9495 000 24346000 39,00 Russia 21476 000 142905200 15,03 Defence Budget USA 687,105,000,000 4.70 India 34,816,000,000 2.80 DPR Korea N/A N/A Russia 52,586,000,000 4.30 State Troops Total $ per troop PRC 4,585,000 24,929.117 USA 2,455,837 279,784.448 India 4,768,407 7,301.390 DPR Korea 9,495,000 N/A Russia 21,476,000 2,448.594 The size of the PLA (611=6.11 million) Percentage of Defense budget in overall government budget Comparison ???? • Problems of relevant sources • Problems of the items in the budgets • Secret funding • Space program • Veterans aid/care • Extra funding • Procurement • Research Military strategies 1. People’s War (1935–79) 2. People’s War Under Modern Conditions (1979–85) 3. Limited War (1985–91) 4. Limited War Under High Technology Conditions (1991 to the present) People’s War • Protracted people's war invented by Mao Zedong • Maintain the support of the population • Draw enemy deep into the interior where the population will fight in guerrilla warfare • in order to overcome the enemy’s technological superiority by playing to the strengths of geography and the civilian population • (ambushes, sabotage, raids surprise attacks, has mobility which uses against less-mobile army) 1. revolutionary war starts in difficult terrain 2. gains support from countryside 3. movement has enough strength to capture small cities, then larger cities People’s War Under Modern Conditions • Active Defence • Forward defence to prevent attack on Chinese cities and industrial cities • Emphasized operations using combined-arms tactics • Reforms in educating and training • One of Deng’s more important doctrinal revisions was the increased emphasis on weaponry and technology instead of the human factor in war Limited War • Deng argued that with the U.S. defense buildup during the Reagan administration, superpowers was essentially in equilibrium, and that neither was likely to start a world war. • December 1985, Deng Xiaoping told them what to expect: future conflicts were likely to be localized yet intensive. • Deng also argued that China’s military base could only be modernized gradually, with the overall development of the economy and a strong defense scientific and technological establishment. • Chinese defence analysts characterized local or limited wars as conflicts that were geographically localized, did not spread to regional or global proportions, and usually involved only two combatants. • Use of air power was minimal. Limited War Under High Technology Conditions • Yugoslav War • Air superiority • High technology • Information dominance • Air strikes • In-flight refuelling • Smaller Army but better equiped Modernization of army • There are multiple drivers of China’s military modernization. The PLA, along with the People’s Armed Police and the People’s Militia, helps maintain domestic stability and ensure regime security. • Modernization is expected to enhance China’s international prestige. • The PLA is acquiring military capabilities designed to defend Chinese sovereignty and territorial interests and to pose a credible threat to Taiwan PLA Modernization in political context – Domestic Goals • Ensuring a smooth political succession; • Nonperforming loans and a potential banking crisis • Curbing rising unemployment • The primary domestic goals of China’s leaders are maintaining the rule and survival of the Chinese Communist Party, promoting economic development, ensuring national unity, and preventing domestic unrest. PLA Modernization in political context – External goals • Gain respect and influence within the established institutions of the international system • China’s full integration into the global economy; and the promotion of a peaceful regional and international environment supportive of domestic economic growth. • Gain regional power • Regional security • Secure natural resources, PLA Modernization • The elements of PLA modernization fit loosely into three categories: 1.The development, procurement, acquisition, and fielding of new weapon technologies 2.The development of new operational concepts and joint war-fighting doctrines for weapons deployment and “employment” (i.e., the use of these new weapons); 3.An array of institutional reforms necessary to underwrite the first two categories Personnel • PLA has substantially reduced its size, and its personnel system has undergone major reforms. • Downsizing the army, deactivating some units with outdated equipment and shifting some to the People’s Armed Police, restructuring the naval and air units, and dismantling and merging internal organs of units PLA Ground Forces • Reforms have created smaller, more flexible ground forces, all better motivated, trained, and equipped. These forces will be cantered in rapid-reaction units possessing limited, yet increasing, airborne-drop and amphibious power-projection capabilities. • Downsizing and restructuring are designed to create a standardized combined-arms force that has • more modern weapons and equipment, greater mobility and firepower, and, most important, a higher state of readiness. PLA Ground Forces • PLA ground forces are primarily armed with equipment from the 1950s, 1960s, and 1970s. Chinese defense industries still suffer from serious shortcomings in research and development • (R&D) as well as manufacturing technology, and overseas arms • purchases primarily supply the air force, navy, and the Second Artillery. PLA NAVY • In the mid-1980s, the PLAN abandoned its “coastal defense” strategy and adopted an “offshore defense” one. • In Chinese articulations of this strategy, “offshore” is variously defined as 150–600 nautical miles. • NAVY - Nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines, Nuclear-powered attack submarines, Conventionally powered attack submarines, Surface ships • The PLAN accounts for approximately one-third of total PLA expenses but makes up only 11 percent of total manpower. The PLAN accounts for approximately onethird of total PLA expenses but makes up only 11 percent of total manpower. PLA NAVY • China’s most advanced destroyer is the Russian Sovremenny class destroyer. The Sovremenny, specifically designed to counter U.S. Aegis-class destroyers. • The PLAN is limited by a lack of integration in its command, control, and communication systems; targeting; air defense; and antisubmarine warfare capabilities. PLAN ships are vulnerable to attack by aircraft, torpedoes, and antiship missiles • Aircraft carrier PLA Air Force • PLAAF – 100+ fourth generation fighters (SU-27, and SU-30) • SU-27 comparison to F-15C • SU-27 and gives the PLAAF for the first time the • capability to fly missions far from the coastline. • The PLAAF has had difficulty integrating the new fourth-generation aircraft • The PLAAF has difficulty with joint operations • Stealth airplane, refuelling, long distance bombers, reconnaissance aircraft, UAV PLA Air Force • In the past, the mission of the People’s Liberation Army Air Force was primarily limited to defending China’s borders against invasion, largely by air-to-air interception • PLAAF leaders are now seeking to build a more versatile and modern air force, with longer-range interceptor/strike aircraft, improved electronic warfare and air defense, extended and close air support, and longer-range transport, lift, and midair refueling; a joint-service Second Artillery: Nuclear and Conventional Missile Forces • The best estimates based on a range of official and open sources place China’s current nuclear weapons arsenal at about 410–440 weapons. • These weapons fall roughly into three categories. 1.About 140 are warheads deployed with China’s medium- and long-range land and sea-based missile forces. 2.About the same number (approximately 150) are designated for use with China’s nuclear-capable aircraft. 3.Another third of China’s nuclear weapons (about 120– 150) may be for low-yield tactical bombardment, artillery shells, atomic demolition munitions, and possibly short-range missiles such as the DF-15 and DF-11. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9A9e1hlv1ro The End :)