Entering the Arena? Gender and the Decision to Run for Office Author(s): Richard L. Fox and Jennifer L. Lawless Source: American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 48, No. 2 (Apr., 2004), pp. 264-280 Published by: Midwest Political Science Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1519882 Accessed: 13-02-2018 17:30 UTC JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at http://about.jstor.org/terms Midwest Political Science Association is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to American Journal of Political Science This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms Entering the Arena? Gender and the Decision to Run for Office Richard L FOX Union College Jennifer L. LawleSS Brown University A critical void in the research on women s underrepresentation in elective office is an analysis ofthe initial decision to run for office. Based on data from our Citizen Political Ambition Study, the first large-scale national survey of potential candidates, we examine the process by which women and men emerge as candidates for public office. Wefind that women who share the same personal characteristics and professional credentials as men express significantly lower levels of political ambition to hold elective office. Two factors explain this gender gap: first, women are far less likely than men to be encouraged to run for office; second, women are significantly less likely than men to view themselves as aualified to run. Our findings call into question the leading theoretical explanations for women's numeric underrepresentation and indicate that, because of vestiges of traditional sex-role socialization, prospects for gender parity in U.S. political institutions are less promising than conventional explanations suggest. When the 108th Congress convened, 86% of its members were male (CAWP 2003). This places the United States 59th worldwide in terms of the number of women serving in the national legislature (Inter-Parliamentary Union 2003). The dearth of women in elective office is also evident at the state and local levels: 88% of state governors, 88% of big-city mayors, and 78% of state legislators are male (CAWP 2003). Particularly striking about these large gender disparities in elective office is that neither qualitative investigations nor empirical analyses reveal a political system rife with gender bias. Rather, individual accounts of women candi? dates who face overt gender discrimination once they enter the public arena are increasingly rare (Schroeder 1999; Witt, Paget, and Matthews 1994; Woods 2000). Moreover, in terms of fundraising and vote totals, often considered the two most important indicators of electoral success, researchers find that women fare just as well as, if not better than, their male counterparts (Burrell 1998; Darcy, Welch and Clark 1994; Dolan 1998; Fox 2000; Smith and Fox 2001; Thompson and Steckenrider 1997). In fact, based on a national study of voting patterns, Seltzer, Newman, and Leighton state emphatically: "A candidate's sex does not affect his or her chances of winning an election... Winning elections has nothing to do with the sex of the candidate" (1997,79). In light of the seeming contradiction between a po? litical system that elects few women and an electoral en? vironment that is unbiased against women candidates, political scientists focus on two theoretical explanations for women's numeric underrepresentation. First, they point to the incumbency advantage, where reelection rates for legislative positions are consistently above 90%. Under these circumstances, increasing the number of electoral opportunities for previously excluded groups can be glacial (Carroll and Jenkins 2001; Darcy, Welch, and Clark 1994; Jacobson 2000). Second, researchers point to the "eligibility pool" to explain the low num? ber of women candidates and elected officials (Conway, Steurnagle, and Ahern 1997; Darcy, Welch, and Clark 1994; Duerst-Lahti 1998; Thomas 1998). Simply too few women occupy high-level positions in the professions Richard L. Fox is Associate Professor of Political Science, Union College, Schenectady, NY 12308 (foxr@union.edu). Jennifer L. Lawless is Assistant Professor of Political Science and Public Policy, Prospect House, Box 1844, Brown University, Providence, RI 02912 (jenniferJawless@brown.edu). For comments on previous versions of this article, we thank David Brady, Barbara Burrell, Kathy Dolan, Mo Fiorina, Amy Gangl, Kent Jennings, Jane Mansbridge, Terry Moe, Kira Sanbonmatsu, Wait Stone, and Sean Theriault. We are grateful to the Carrie Chapman Catt Center, the Center for American Women and Politics, the Stanford Institute for the Quantitative Study of Society, California State University, Fullerton, Union College, and Stanford University for providing the funding to carry out the survey on which our results are based. American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 48, No. 2, April 2004, Pp. 264-280 ?2004 by the Midwest Political Science Association ISSN 0092-5853 264 This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms GENDER AND THE DECISION TO RUN FOR OFFICE 265 that serve as pipelines to careers in politics (Clark 1994). Common to both of these explanations is the ex? pectation that, as more women enter the pool of qualified candidates, women will increasingly be presented with good opportunities for political success and electoral victory. Further, each explanation expects that potential women candidates will respond to political opportuni? ties in the same ways that men traditionally have. The incumbency explanation relies on the premise that both sexes, when presented with similar electoral opportunities for open seats, will employ similar cost-benefit analyses when deciding whether to enter the race (e.g., Kazee 1994; Schlesinger 1966; Stone and Maisel 2003). The eligibility pool explanation posits that as women's presence in the fields of law and business becomes more comparable to men's, so too will their economic status and their like? lihood of seeking elected positions (Darcy, Welch, and Clark 1994). Accordingly, most studies of gender and po? litical candidacies conclude that the remedy for gender disparities in elective office is an increase in women's proportions in the pipeline professions. To assess prospects for gender parity in our electoral system based on these institutional explanations is to fail to consider a critical piece of the candidate emergence process: the manner in which gender interacts with the initial decision to run for office. With the exception of one poll conducted by the National Women's Political Caucus (1994) and one single-state study of potential candidates (Fox, Lawless, and Feeley 2001), little scholarly attention is devoted to the process by which gender affects men and women's emergence as candidates for public office. A wide body of literature on the impact of traditional gender socialization in the electoral process, how? ever, continues to find that sex plays a significant role in the manner in which actual candidates and officeholders retrospectively assess their initial decisions to run for office (e.g., Fowler and McClure 1989). Although this body of research does not speak directly to potential can? didates, it identifies several specific ways in which the decision calculus involved in deciding whether to enter an electoral contest may differ significantly for poten? tial women and men candidates. Studies comparing geographic regions, for instance, find that women are more likely to emerge as candidates when they live in areas with less traditional political cultures (e.g., Fox 2000; Hill 1981; Rule 1990). Other investigations find that women in politics are more concerned than men with balancing their career and familial responsibilities (Fox, Law? less, and Feeley 2001; Jamieson 1995; Witt, Paget, and Matthews 1995). Analyses also point to the fact that, since their entry into the public sphere has not traditionally been embraced, women candidates and office-holders are more concerned with their qualifications, substan? tive credentials, and policy expertise and motivations, all of which help them gain legitimacy in the political arena (Dodson 1998; Fowler and McClure 1989; Niven 1998; Sanbonmatsu 2002b; Swers 2002). In short, these empir? ical findings, coupled with the lack of scholarly attention devoted to the initial decision to run for office, suggest that it may be erroneous to conclude that we have a "genderneutral" electoral process simply because "end-stage" assessments indicate that women and men perform equally well in elections. This article presents the results of the Citizen Politi? cal Ambition Study, the first national survey of potential candidates in the "eligibility pool" for all levels of elective office. Our analysis fills a theoretical and methodological void in the literature that examines gender's role in the electoral process. Foremost, our unique research design allows us to assess whether men and women potential candidates who share the same personal characteristics and professional credentials hold similar levels of political ambition at the earliest stage ofthe candidate-emergence process. We find that at the aggregate level, women, even in the top tier of professional accomplishment, are less likely than their male counterparts to consider running for political office. This suggests that the costs to entering the political arena are different for women and men. We then use gender socialization as a lens through which to explain the individual-level differences we uncover. The results of our systematic analysis of the initial decision to run for office indicate that current theories accounting for women's underrepresentation are inadequate and that prospects for gender parity in U.S. political institu? tions are less promising than the conventional wisdom suggests. The Citizen Political Ambition Study The Citizen Political Ambition Study serves as a breakthrough, for it provides the first research design that allows for an examination of gender differences in the manner in which women and men emerge as candidates for the first public office they seek. Despite the importance of exploring this question, research in this area is limited because an empirical study ofhow people choose to run for office is very difficult to execute. Many undocumented considerations enter the decision to run, thereby causing a number of sample design issues to confront. Primarily, when a po? tential candidate decides not to enter a race, the decision is often unknown, thereby making it difficult to assemble a reasonable sample. In addition, many individuals This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms 266 RICHARD L. FOX AND JENNIFER L. LAWLESS who ultimately run for office may never have cons themselves potential candidates prior to being recru to run. It is difficult to construct a sample that acc for local and state party organizations' widely varyin cruitment efforts. Finally, political concerns can im research attempts to identify potential candidates ( and Stone 1998). These methodological difficultie generally meant that information pertaining to pol ambition and the decision to run for office comes en from samples of actual candidates and office-holder Rohde 1979). More recently, a small group of scholars have tempted to examine questions of political am among potential candidates (Kazee 1994; Ston Maisel 2003). These candidate emergence studies ploy a "reputational approach" for sampling; a p potential candidates is compiled by seeking out f cross-section of communities current office-holders "political informants," many of whom are party lea convention delegates, county chairs, elected official political and community activists. Researchers ask t formants to name prospective, viable candidates, typ for election to the House of Representatives. The pro are then contacted and surveyed, as are many cu office-holders who are positioned to run for higher While the reputational approach allows scholar shed substantial light on questions of ambition for level office, it succumbs to several notable limit when we turn to the initial decision to seek entry in political sphere. In most states, politics is a career l (see Black 1972; Jacobson 2000; Kazee 1994; Prinz Rohde 1979; Schlesinger 1966). Prospective candidate state- and national-level positions may have already the initial decision to run when they opted to enter for a local office. Studies that focus on the decision seek high-level office, therefore, are likely to ident potential candidates individuals for whom the initia cision to run has long since passed. Further, cont only elected officials and informants for the names tential candidates restricts the sample to individuals are currently deemed ready to run. Men and women may be well positioned to consider a candidacy later are overlooked. The reputational approach also invit possibility of informants' own gender, race, and cla ases to influence the prospects they name (Maise Stone 1998). This concern is particularly relevant we turn to questions of gender, since bias can easily sult in too few women being identified and, ther prohibit statistical comparisons among women pool. In an effort to overcome the limitations of the rep? utational approach, we developed the "eligibility pool approach." This research design involves compiling a ran? dom, national sample of citizens who occupy the professions that are most likely to precede a career in politics. The sample is stratified by sex, so as to avoid informant bias and ensure an equal number of men and women potential candidates. Our approach also allows us to con? sider a broad range of potential candidates, since we can tap into interest in running for offices other than those at the state or national level. To execute the Citizen Political Ambition Study, we administered by mail a four-page survey to a national sample of 6,800 men and women, each of whom could be considered part of the "eligibility pool" (for a detailed description of the sampling design and methods, see Appendix A). The survey asks respondents about their socio-demographic backgrounds, familial arrangements, political outlooks and experiences, and perceptions and willingness to run for office. The sample consists of an equal number of men and women in the three professions that tend to yield the highest proportion of political candidacies: law, business, and education (CAWP 2001; Dolan and Ford 1997; Gray, Hanson, and Jacob 1999; Moncrief, Squire, and Jewell 2001). A group of political activists supplements the national sample. This conception ofthe eligibility pool serves as a stringent test case through which to explore gender differences in political ambition. Female lawyers and business leaders have already entered and succeeded in male-dominated fields, which suggests that the women in the sample may have overcome the forces of traditional socialization to a greater extent than the overall population of potential women candidates. Women comprise only approximately 15% ofthe partners in the nation's law firms (National As? sociation for Law Placement Foundation 1999) and less than 5% of the chief executive officers, presidents, senior vice presidents, and chief financial officers in the largest companies throughout the United States (Reutter 2000). Although this sampling design allows us to compare levels of political ambition across these professions, it does not allow us to determine whether the gender dynamics within each profession require more extraordinary commitments of time and effort by women than men, which would preclude investments in the political arena. We balance this gendered conception of the eli? gibility pool by equally representing educators and po? litical activists, two professions from which women are more likely than men to emerge as candidates (CAWP 2001). Our results are based on responses from 3,765 re? spondents (1,969 men and 1,796 women). After taking into account undeliverable surveys, this represents a 60% response rate, which is higher than that of typical elite This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms GENDER AND THE DECISION TO RUNFOR OFFICE 267 sample mail surveys (see Carroll 1994; Fox, Lawless, and Feeley 2001; Stone and Maisel 2003). No remarkable socio-demographic, geographic, or professional differences distinguish the samples of men from women professional elites (see Appendix B for a description of the sample). In short, our approach and sample allow us to offer a more complete assessment of the extent to which the dearth of women in elective office can be attributed to institutional inertia, as opposed to vestiges of traditional sex-role socialization. Gender, Candidate Emergence, and Prospects for Women's Representation General studies of political ambition conclude that, as rational actors, potential candidates are more likely to seek office when they face favorable political and structural circumstances. The number of open seats, term-limit requirements, levels of legislative professionalization, partisan composition of the constituency, and the party of the potential candidate relative to that of the incumbent are among the factors men and women consider when seeking elective positions or deciding whether to run for a higher office (Black 1972; Kazee 1994; Moncrief, Squire, and Jewell 2001; Rohde 1979; Schlesinger 1966; Stone and Maisel 2003). In conceptualizing ambition this way, the decision to run for office is primarily a strategic response to an opportunity structure; with the exception of gen? eral gauges of political interest, flnancial security, and political experience, potential candidates' personal cir? cumstances are treated as relatively exogenous. This framework predicts that women and men from similar professional and socio-demographic backgrounds are equally likely to move from the pool of eligible candidates into positions of elective office. But this rational choice approach to ambition is almost certainly flawed when we consider potential candi? dates who do not currently hold office. In order to leave the pool of eligible candidates and run for office, poten? tial candidates undergo a two-stage process that serves as a precursor to the strategic side of the decision to run. First, they must consider running for elective office; po? tential candidates will never emerge as actual candidates if the notion of launching a campaign and what that entails does not enter into their frame of consciousness. Only after the notion of a candidacy crosses a potential candidate's mind can he/she determine that the benefits to entering the electoral arena outweigh the costs. The central question before us, therefore, is whether sex interacts with either stage of this process by which qualified individuals select to be actual candidates.1 Results from the Citizen Political Ambition Study reveal that gender does, in fact, play a substantial role in the initial decision to run for office. Figure 1 depicts the pro? cess by which potential candidates move into positions of political power. The leftmost box contains roughly equal samples of men and women who comprise the pool of potential office-holders: lawyers, business leaders and executives, educators, and political activists. The figure's final box illustrates the likelihood that a candidate wins the race. As we would expect from the body of literature on gender and elections, there is no statistically significant gender difference between men and women's likelihood of winning political contests: 63% of the women and 59% of the men in the eligibility pool who ran for office launched successful campaigns.2 Of course, this finding means only that there appear to be no gender differences at the end stage of the electoral process. The second and third boxes in the figure shed light on the gender dynamics of the candidate emergence pro? cess. The second box from the left is comprised of those members of the eligibility pool who "considered" running for any political office. More than half of the respondents (51%) stated that the idea of running for an elective position at least "crossed their mind." Turning to the gender breakdown of the respondents who consid? ered a candidacy, though, a significant gender difference emerges: 59% of the men, compared to 43% of the women, considered running for office (difference significant at p < .01).3 And, as indicated by the logistic regression coefficients in Table 1, sex remains a significant predictor of considering a candidacy even after controlling for 1 It is also important to acknowledge that women may process the strategic side of the decision to run differently than men. Our eligibility-pool approach means that we must forego analysis of the structural variables that might exert an impact on the deci? sion to enter the electoral arena. If we focused on a single race or election, the number of potential candidates would be extremely small. Accordingly, in order to study the initial decision to run, we assembled a broad sample at the expense of analyzing the strate? gic aspects of the decision calculus. Unquestionably, this approach carries consequences for our conception of ambition (see Barber 1965 and Lasswell 1948 for a similar conception). 2The absence of a gender gap in the probability of winning an election is not due to the fact that women tend to run for lower status offices than do men. Eighty-eight percent of the men and 90% of the women who won their races sought local-level positions; 11% of the men and 10% of the women who won their races ran at the state level; and 1% of the men and none of the women who ran for a federal level office won their elections. 3Although the proportion of respondents who considered running for office differs by profession, with lawyers and political activists most likely to have considered a candidacy, the gender differential is statistically significant at p < .01 within each subgroup. This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms 268 RICHARD L. FOXANDJENNIFER L. LAWLESS Figure 1 Candidate Emergence from the Pool of Prospective Candidates POOL OF PROSPECTIVE CANDIDATES (comprised of roughly equal numbers of women and men chosen from the professions and backgrounds that are likely to precede a political candidacy: law, business, education, and political activism) PROBABILITY THAT POTENTIAL CANDIDATE CONSIDERED RUNNING FOR OFFICE Men: .59 Women: .43 Difference significant atp<.01. PROBABILITY THAT POTENTIAL CANDIDATE SOUGHT OFFICE (sub-sample of those who considered running) Men: .20 Women: .15 Difference significant atp< .01. PROBABILITY THAT POTENTIAL CANDIDATE HELD OFFICE (sub-sample of those who ran) Men: .59 Women: .63 Difference not statistically significant. education, income, race, political party and attitudes, previous campaign experience, and whether the respon? dent ever received external encouragement to run for of? fice, most of which are traditional correlates of politi? cal interest, participation, and ambition (see Bledsoe and Herring 1990; Burns, Schlozman, and Verba 2001; Fox, Lawless, and Feeley 2001; Stone and Maisel 2003; Verba, Schlozman, and Brady 1995; see Appendix C for variable coding). Such high levels of interest in considering a candidacy may appear suspect, even among a sample of professional elites. The measure, however, is aimed to capture even the slightest inclination of pursuing a candidacy. Nonetheless, in order to ensure that respondents' attitudes toward considering a candidacy were not merely an artifact of being asked the question, we asked potential candidates whether they took any of the steps required to mount a political campaign. More specifically, they were asked whether they ever investigated how to place their name on the ballot or ever discussed running with potential donors, party or community leaders, family members, or friends. Comparisons between men and women's answers to all of these questions again highlight stark gen? der differences. Table 2 reveals that, across professions, men are always at least 50% more likely than women to have engaged in each of these fundamental campaign steps (gender differences significant at p < .01). Based on a variety of measures, what started out as a gender-balanced eligibility pool winnows to one that is dominated by men. When we move to the third box in the fig amine those members of the sample who act elective office, gender differences again emer they are of a smaller magnitude: 20% of the pared to 15% of the women, who considered office actually chose to seek an elected positio significant at p < .01). Once again, this gende withstands statistical controls for the aforem mographic, political, and structural variab column 2).4 It is also noteworthy that wom candidates' lower levels of political ambition sult of the fact that women are not as inter in politics and the seemingly male-domin arena (see Burns, Schlozman, and Verba 200 and Kelly 1992; Carroll 1994; Darcy, Welch 1994; Fox 1997). Women in the sample are than men to express a high degree of interest (49% of women, compared to 41% of men) 4Statewide structural variables (not shown) tend whether a potential candidate decides to enter a rac this to the fact that nearly 85% of the respondents wh sought local, county, or municipal level positions. T variables would have an effect only at statewide and levels. This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms GENDER AND THE DECISION TO RUN FOR OFFICE 269 Table 1 Candidate Emergence from the Eligibility Standard Errors) Significance levels: *p < .05; **p < .01. Table 2 Gender Differences in Considering a Run for Political Office (across professions) Note: For each item, the Chi Square test comparing women and men is significant at p < .01. (41% of women, compared to 31% of men) politics (dif? ferences significant at p < .01). Women, therefore, are at least as well positioned as men not only in terms of pro? fessional accomplishment and socioeconomic status, but also general interest in the political sphere. Together, the second and third boxes of Figure 1 illustrate the precarious assumption on which current prescriptions for increasing the number of women in po? sitions of political power are predicated. Despite starting out with relatively equal proportions of similarly situated and equally credentialed women and men as potential candidates, and regardless of the fact that women are just as likely as men to win elections, men are nearly twice as likely as women to hold elected office: 7% of the men, compared to less than 4% of the women, from the ini? tial pool of potential candidates hold an elective position (difference significant at p < .01). For more than a decade, scholars focusing on gender and elections have pointed to the importance of the can? didate emergence process and the initial decision to run as the critical areas on which we must focus if we are to achieve a complete understanding of prospects for gen? der parity in our political institutions (e.g., Sanbonmatsu 2002b; Niven 1998; Fowler and McClure 1989). Empir? ically, our results provide the first piece of evidence? nationwide?that women elites are significantly less likely than their male counterparts to emerge as candidates. Theoretically, our results indicate that the conventional institutional explanations that account for women's numeric underrepresentation are incomplete and somewhat misleading. The challenge to which we now turn is to account for the sources of the gender gap in the initial decision to run for office. This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms 270 RICHARD L. FOX AND JENNIFER L. LAWLESS Traditional Gender Socialization and the Gender Gap in Political Ambition Gender socialization theory offers the most compelling lens though which to understand the gender gap we uncovered in Figure 1. Traditional sex-role socialization, de? fined by Conover and Gray as a "division of activities into the public extra-familial jobs done by the male and the private intra-familial ones performed by the female" (1983, 2-3), has historically resulted in men's entry into the public world of politics and women's relegation to the private realm of the home. As we enter the twentyfirst century, the extent to which socialized norms and traditional family structures impede women's entrance into politics is certainly diminishing. But recent studies of gender in the electoral process, based largely on women who have already entered the electoral arena, identify four general areas in which vestiges of traditional gender role orientations may affect both the likelihood of consider? ing a candidacy and the propensity to launch an actual campaign. Political Culture Evidence suggests that the political environment can have a gendered effect on citizens' attitudes about entering the political system. Hill (1981) finds, for example, that, among citizens who choose to run for office, women are more likely to emerge as candidates in states that estab? lished an early pattern of electing women to the state legislature, support women's participation in public affairs, and do not have a tradition of sex discrimination in in? come, or gender disparities in educational achievement. Women are less likely to run for office in states with a tra? ditional culture (Hill 1981; Nechemias 1987; Rule 1990), such as those located in the south (Fox 2000). Despite the fact that the men and women in the Citizen Political Am? bition Study are similar in terms of geographic dispersion, we might expect that women in certain political environments will be less likely to think about running for office, whereas the political culture in which men exist will not have an impact on the decision to seek an elective position. Family Responsibilities Many of the barriers to women's advancement in formerly male fields is drastically changing; women now en? ter law schools and MPA programs at equal levels with men (McGlen and O'Connor 1998). Similarly, women's presence in the fields of business and law has increased dramatically over the last thirty years (Darcy, Welch, and Clark 1994; Reingold 2000). But women in positions of power have historically faced greater demands than men regarding how to balance their career and familial responsibilities (see Jamieson 1995; Witt, Paget, and Matthews 1994). Contemporary studies of family gender dynamics reveal that women, even in two-career households, are still more likely than their spouses to spend time raising children and completing household tasks, such as cleaning andlaundry (Burns, Schlozman, and Verba 2001; McGlen and O'Connor 1998). This division of labor often results in women candidates and elected officials feeling obligated to consider family responsibilities more carefully than do their male counterparts (Burrell 1994; Conway, Steuernagel, and Ahern 1997; Fowler and McClure 1989). When we consider the household division of labor in the Citizen Political Ambition Study sample, we see that women who live with a spouse or partner are approxi? mately seven times more likely than men to be respon? sible for more of the household tasks; the numbers are similar for childcare arrangements. These results might account for women's lesser likelihood of considering a run for office.5 Self-Perceived Qualifications A third consideration that might have a gendered im? pact on the initial decision to run for office pertains to respondents' self-perceived qualifications. The litera? ture on gender socialization tends not to include these types of perceptions among the various ways that patterns of traditional socialization manifest themselves. In depth examinations of campaigns, however, continue to show that gender stereotypes affect the manner in which media, party recruiters, and candidates assess men and women's electoral prospects (Flammang 1997; Fox 1997; Kahn 1996;Niven 1998). Voters also engagein such stereotyping. Even by the late 1990s, for example, approximately 15% of General Social Survey respondents openly agreed that "women should take care of running their homes and leave running the country up to men." More than 20% of Americans agreed with the statement: "Most men are bet? ter suited emotionally for politics than are most women." Regardless of their actual qualifications and credentials, women have likely been socialized to perceive themselves 5Eighty-four percent of men in the sample were married, com? pared to 66% of women; and men were 17 percentage points more likely than women to have children (differences significant at p < .01). Consistent with earlier analyses of professional women, these findings suggest that to achieve the professional accomplishment of this group, some women may have eschewed traditional family arrangements (see Carroll and Strimling 1983). This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms GENDER AND THE DECISION TO RUN FOR OFFICE 271 as less qualified to enter politics. In fact, when ask place themselves on a continuum from "not at all q fied" to avery qualified" to run for office, the male tial candidates in our sample are nearly twice as lik the female potential candidates (26%, compared to deem themselves "very qualified" for an elected tion (difference significant at p < .01). We might also expect traditional socialization to a role in the degree to which potential candidat on their self-perceived qualifications when conside candidacy, since we know from the ambition theory ture that politicians tend to behave in ways that m their likelihood of attaining higher office (Schl 1966). Even though the literature is silent concern initial decision to run (Williams 1993; see also 1993), we might expect women to be more likel their male counterparts to emphasize their subs credentials, perhaps in an effort to gain legitimac their candidacies (see Fowler and McClure 1989 1996; Sanbonmatsu 2002b). Ideological Motivations Finally, traditional gender socialization may influe decision to run for office in terms of ideological m vations. Surveys of actual candidates reveal that are more likely to become involved in politics when vated by policy issues surrounding the interests of and children (Swers 2002; Thomas 1994; see also 1998). Further, women candidates and elected offic often seen as more credible than men regarding "w issues," such as health care, the environment, and ing the poor (Huddy and Terkildsen 1993a, 1993b; 1991). Whereas men of all political proclivities mig equally likely to think about a candidacy, wom need an additional policy boost to spur them on to sider running for office, if for no reason other t legitimacy conferred by a focus on women's iss interests. Traditional Gender Socialization and Considering a Candidacy In order to explore the degree to which traditional gen? der socialization accounts for the gender gap in potential candidates' likelihood of considering running for office, measures of political culture, familial arrangements and responsibilities, self-perceived qualifications, and ideo? logical motivations supplement the explanatory variables used in the logistic regression equation in Table 1 (see Appendix C for coding).6 Somewhat surprisingly, sex re? mains a significant predictor of considering a candidacy even after controlling for the series of socio-demographic and political variables, as well as the "traditional socializa? tion" variables. When we calculate the substantive effects of the logistic regression coefficients in the first column o Table 3, we see that, on average, women are 14 percentag points less likely than men to consider running for office The "average" woman has a predicted probability of 0.56 of having considered a run for office; an identical man in the sample has a 0.70 likelihood of thinking about a candidacy (difference significant at p < .01)7 Unexpectedly, most of the traditional gender social? ization variables fail to meet conventional levels of sta? tistical significance. Neither political culture nor family structures and arrangements influence the likelihood of considering a candidacy, although both men and women are less likely to think about running for office as they age.8 Women's circumstances of being the primary caretakers of the home and the children do not depress their likelihood of running. And ideological motivations do not have an impact on the propensity to consider running for office. The traditional barriers to women's entry into the political sphere, therefore, no longer appear to imped their likelihood of thinking about a political candidacy. Of course, we cannot fully dismiss these variables effects without examining the degree to which they in? teract with the sex of the respondent. The second col umn of Table 3 presents the results of an interactive model that predicts whether a respondent considered run? ning for office. Only one interaction term?self-perceive qualifications?achieves statistical significance. The in? teraction between the sex of the respondent and th respondent's self-perceived qualifications is so strong though, that it mitigates sex's independent effect.9 Table 4 6Regression analysis with controls (dummy variables) for three o the four professions do not change the direction on any of th coefficients or any of the levels of statistical significance. 7 Our analysis is based on setting all continuous independent vari ables to their means and dummy variables to their modes. All anal ysis was performed separately on each profession subsample; sim? ilar results across professions indicated that pooling the data was appropriate. 8The results are similar when age is coded in terms of cohorts. 9 Regression analyses with interaction terms between the significan background variables and the sex of the respondent indicate that th traditional correlates of political ambition do not exert differenti impacts on men and women. Because of concerns about multi collinearity, the regression analysis was performed including only the statistically significant interaction term, as well as including th interaction terms one at a time. In each of these specifications, th only interaction term that achieves statistical significance is female * self-perceived qualifications. This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms 272 RICHARD L. FOXAND JENNIFER L. LAWLESS Table 3 Who Considers Running and Who Runs for Office (of those respondents who considered it)?: Logistic Regression Coefficients and Standard Errors Significance levels: * p < .05; ** p < .01. which displays the substantive impact of perceived quali? fications on the likelihood of considering a political can? didacy, indicates that the gender gap narrows considerably and becomes statistically insignificant as women perceive themselves as increasingly qualified to run for political office. Men's likelihood of considering a candidacy in? creases from 0.60 to 0.87 as they move along the continuum of perceiving themselves as "not at all qualified" This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms GENDER AND THE DECISION TO RUN FOR OFFICE 273 Table 4 Predicted Probabilities of Considering Running for Political Office, by Self-Perceived Qualifications Note: Predicted probabilities are based on setting the variables included in the regression (Table 3, column 2) to their respective means. Dummy variables are held constant at their modes. to "very qualified" for holding an elected position. The impact of self-perceived qualifications on women's pre? dicted likelihood of considering a run is nearly double that for men. Women gain a 53 percentage point boost when they assess themselves as "very qualified." Although men have a higher base likelihood of considering a candidacy, women's perceptions of their qualifications work to lessen the political ambition gender gap. In fact, for women, self-perceived qualifications are the strongest predictor of considering a run for office.10 One additional gendered finding emerges from the regression results. The consideration of a candidacy de? pends significantly on the degree to which an individual receives encouragement to run. When we calculate the predicted probabilities of considering running for office, we see that a woman who has never received encourage? ment to run for office, either from a political actor or a nonpolitical source, has only a 0.20 predicted probability of having considered it. Men's likelihood is significantly higher (0.32), but still falls far below the mean level of considering a run. When a respondent receives external support to run from both a formal political actor and a nonpolitical source, the likelihood of considering a can? didacy more than doubles. Women's likelihood of con? sidering running increases to 0.75; and men's predicted 10 Several of the background variables included in the regression analysis are significant predictors of whether a respondent considers a run for office, but their substantive effects are smaller than those associated with self-perceived qualifications. White men and women are 12 percentage points more likely than their African American and Latino counterparts to have thought about a can? didacy. As women and men's incomes increase and the opportunity cost of giving up their current careers for an elective position becomes greater, the likelihood of considering a run for office decreases by 7 percentage points. Political experience and familiarity with the electoral environment also spur the likelihood of thinking about a candidacy by 9 percentage points. In each case, though, women are 10-15 percentage points less likely than men to have considered running. probability of considering a run grows to 0.85.11 Despit the fact that external support for a candidacy boosts bot men and women's likelihood of considering a run fo office, 43% of the men, compared to 32% of women re? ceived encouragement to run from a party leader, elect official, or political activist (difference significant at p .01 ).12 Thus, even if traditional gender socialization doe not affect potential candidates' reliance on external sup port, these results corroborate the conclusions of scholar who suggest that vestiges of patterns of traditional gend socialization in candidate recruitment hinder the selec? tion of women candidates (Sanbonmatsu 2002a; Niven 1998). Traditional Gender Socialization and Running for Office As revealed in Figure 1, the gender gap in political am? bition concerns not only the likelihood of considering a candidacy, but also the probability of actually seeking po? litical office. Of the potential candidates who considered running for an elected position, men were one-third more likely than women to turn the consideration into an ac? tual candidacy. This gender gap is smaller than the gap in terms of considering whether to run for office, but this result is largely to be expected, since we know that gen? der does not predict electoral outcomes. In other words, nWe confirmed our distinction between "political actors" and "nonpolitical sources" using principal component analysis with varimax rotation. 12 Political parties, in particular, are often critical in candidate re? cruitment and nomination, especially at the state legislature and congressional levels (Aldrich 2000; Jewell and Morehouse 2001). Results from the Citizen Political Ambition Study indicate no party differences, either in terms of who was encouraged to run, or who has considered running for office. This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms 274 RICHARD L. FOX AND JENNIFER L. LAWLESS the striking gender differences we see in cons candidacy should begin to dissipate as we move c the "gender neutral" end stage of the electora Although the sample size is relatively small and 105 women sought elective positions), w sess the extent to which traditional gender socia influences this second stage of the candidate em process. The third column in Table 3 displays the logistic re? gression coefficients predicting who launches a candidacy, controlling not only for the baseline correlates of politi? cal ambition, but also the traditional gender socialization variables, and the level of office the respondent expressed interest in seeking.13 Before proceeding with the analy? sis of the coefficients, it is important to note two vari? ables that are not included in the multivariate analysis. As was the case with the regression equations presented in Table 1, structural variables did not achieve conventional levels of statistical significance, so we omitted them from our analysis. Less than 4% of the men and women who considered running for office actually sought a statewide or congressional position. The second type of variable omitted from the logis? tic regression equations are respondents' self-perceived chances of winning a race. A growing body of litera? ture on political ambition and strategic politicians in? dicates that potential candidates are more likely to enter electoral contests when they perceive themselves as likely to win (Black 1972; Jacobson 2000; Rohde 1979; Stone and Maisel 2003). A study geared to uncover the initial decision to run cannot easily tap into this variable. Of the men and women in the sample who actually sought elective positions, 52% of men and 51% of women contend that they would have been "likely" or "very likely" to win their race. Certainly, some respondents are accurately gauging how likely they thought they would be to win at the time they ran, but election results may shade some respondents' answers to this question. Prospects of winning, therefore, are omitted from the multivariate analysis. Despite these omitted variables, the logistic regres? sion coefficients in Table 3 shed light on the factors that lead men and women who have considered running for office to decide to enter actual electoral contests. Not only are most of the traditional gender socialization variables and interaction terms statistically insignificant, but sex is also not a statistically significant predictor of whether a potential candidate enters an actual race (see Table 3, col- 13We do not use a selection model to analyze the data because we are not adding any independent variables at the second stage ofthe process; a selection model would be unidentified. umn 4). Based on the logistic regression coefficients, the "average" male respondent has a 0.17 predicted probabil? ity of entering a race; female potential candidates' likeli? hood is slightly greater than 0.12. The regression results suggest that the gender gap in political ambition is significantly alleviated by the second step of the process, in large part because so many women weed themselves out by never having considered running. The variables that predict men's likelihood of entering an electoral contest also predict women's likelihood, and the magnitude of each variable's effect is not conditioned by sex. Even in terms of external support, gender differences seem to disappear. When we focus only on those poten? tial candidates who considered a candidacy, we see that receiving encouragement for the idea still exerts an equal and significant impact on women and men, but at this stage, women and men are also equally likely to receive it (60% of men, compared to 57% of women). In short, as we move throughout the candidate-emergence process, the effects of gender seem to dissipate. But far fewer women than men reach this stage of the process. These findings do not mean that sex is irrelevant at the second stage of candidate emergence. The gender gap in self-perceived qualifications is smaller at this stage, and women are no more likely than men to rely on these per? ceptions when determining whether to turn the consideration ofa candidacy into an actual campaign. But women are still disadvantaged in terms of their self-assessed qual? ifications. Twenty-six percent of the women who con? sidered running for office deem themselves "very quali? fied," compared to 36% of men (difference significant at p < .01). When a potential candidate considers himself/ herself highly qualified, the likelihood of launching a can? didacy increases by more than 63%. This translates into a 10 percentage point increase for men and a 9 percent? age point increase for women. Men and women might rely similarly on this factor when determining whether to enter an electoral contest, but men and women potential candidates are not similarly situated in terms of how they perceive their own qualifications. Conclusion and Implications The results from the Citizen Political Ambition Study offer evidence that the leading theoretical explanations for women's continued exclusion from high elective office? incumbency and the eligibility pool?are inadequate. These theories assume that, because the electoral arena is gender neutral, women will, over time, become more likely to run for office, win elective positions, and bring This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms GENDER AND THE DECISION TO RUN FOR OFFICE 275 gender parity to our electoral institutions. These explana? tions for women's under-representation do not, however, take into account the selection process by which poten? tial candidates become actual candidates. The evidence uncovered in our study reveals that it is at the candidate emergence phase ofthe electoral process that critical gen? der differences exist. Women are far less likely than men to emerge from the pool of eligible candidates and seek elected positions. Thus, even though women who run for office are just as likely as men to emerge victorious, the substantial winnowing process in candidate emergence yields a smaller ratio of women than men. The pool of candidates who run for office, therefore, looks quite dif? ferent than the eligibility pool of potential candidates with whom we began. This finding reveals the danger of honing in on electoral performance as a gauge for gender neutrality. Aggregate analyses of vote shares and campaign fundraising totals indicate only that the very end of the electoral process may be gender neutral. The gender gap in political ambition among the pool of eligible candidates can be attributed to two critical as? pects of the candidate-selection process. First, women are significantly less likely than men to receive a polit? ical source's encouragement to run for office. This dif? ference is very important, since potential candidates are twice as likely to think about running for office when a party leader, elected official, or political activist attempts to recruit them as candidates. Second, women are signif? icantly less likely than men to deem themselves qualified to run for office, yet more likely to rely on their selfperceived qualifications when considering whether to en? ter the electoral arena. In other words, women, even in the top tier of professional accomplishment, tend not to con? sider themselves qualified to run for political office. And recruitment patterns?or lack thereof?appear to solidify women's self-perceptions. It is hardly surprising that among those members of the sample who did run for office, there was no gender disparity in outcomes. The women who enter political races are no different from the men. Virtually all are supported by formal political actors and nearly all deem themselves qualified to run. Together, these findings also suggest that the end stage ofthe electoral process may not be as "gender neutral" as it is commonly described. After all, if women are more likely than men to doubt their own qualifica? tions, then it stands to reason that women who think they are "qualified" are actually more qualified than men who self-assess this way. And if party leaders and other recruiters are less likely to encourage women to run, then women whom party leaders suggest for candidacy may also be more "qualified" than men they encourage. Thus, the women who fare just as well as their male counterparts may actually be more qualified than their male counterparts. If women must meet higher standards in their selection to feeder positions for high-level office, the apparent absence of voter bias against women candidates might re? flect the higher average quality of women candidates, as compared to men. Although our findings suggest that some of the older gender socialization mechanisms, such as political culture and family responsibilities, do not seem to serve as critical factors in the early stages of candidate emergence (at least among a pool of potential candidates who have already overcome many socialization barriers by virtue of their professional success), results from the Citizen Political Ambition Study indicate the gendered nature of external support and qualifications. Reliable measures of recruitment activities by political parties and local political organizations do not currently exist. In a similar vein, we have little data to help pinpoint the source of women and men's different beliefs about their own qualifications. Researchers, therefore, may want to begin to turn to these more subtle and nuanced ways that outgrowths of tra? ditional gender socialization continue to exert an impact on women in politics. Further, more detailed investigations pertaining to the gendered nature of professional subcultures could shed light on the different opportunity costs women and men potential candidates must absorb when they consider running for political office. Understanding the origins of these differences is the key to gauging long-term prospects for gender parity in U.S. politics. Appendix A The Citizen Political Ambition Study Sample Design and Data Collection In developing the "candidate eligibility pool," we drew a national sample of women and men from the four professions that are most likely to yield political candidacies for state legislative and congressional offices: law, business, education, and politics. An analysis of the professional occupations of members in the second session of the 107th Congress reveals that law and business are the top two professions for men, followed by edu? cation and politics.14 For women, the numbers are reversed, with education and politics as the leading two professions, followed by business and law. Similar patterns exist among state legislators: men are most likely to be attorneys, followed by business leaders and educators, 14These figures are drawn from the Almanac of American Politics (Barone and Ujifusa 2002). This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms 276 RICHARD L. FOX AND JENNIFER L. LAWLESS whereas women are most likely to be teachers or school administrators, followed by business leaders and atto neys (CAWP 2001). Thus, a clear consensus indicates that these are the four most prominent professions for aspirin politicians.15 In assembling the sample, we created two equal-sized pools of candidates?one female and one male?that he the same professional credentials. Because we wanted make nuanced statistical comparisons within and betwee the subgroups of men and women in each profession, w attempted to compile a sample of 900 men and 900 wome from each. Turning specifically to the four subsamples, for lawyers and business leaders, we drew from national directories. We obtained a random sample of 1,800 lawyer from the 2001 edition of the Martindale Hubble Law Directory, which provides the addresses and names of practicing attorneys in all law firms across the coun? try. We stratified the total number of lawyers by gen? der and in proportion to the total number of law firms listed for that state. For business leaders, we randomly selected 900 businessmen and 900 businesswomen from Dun and Bradstreefs Million Dollar Directory, 2000- 2001, which lists the top executive officers of more than 160,000 public and private companies in the United States. We ensured that men and women held comparable positions. No national directories exist for our final two cate? gories. To compile a sample of educators, we focused on college professors and administrative officials, and public school teachers and administrators. Turning first to the higher education subsample, we compiled a random selection of 600 colleges and universities from the roughly 4,000 schools listed in U.S. News and World Reporfs "Best Colleges" guide (2000), from which we sampled 300 male and 300 female professors and administrative officials. Because we did not stratify by school size, the college and university portion of the sample yielded a higher num? ber of educators from smaller schools, although there is little reason to expect this to affect levels of political ambi? tion. We then compiled a national sample of 1,200 public school teachers and principals (through an Internet search of public school districts and individual school websites). We acknowledge that this might result in a bias toward schools that have websites, although a 2001 study by the 15While not focusing on professional backgrounds, some scholars have found different eligibility pools for Democrats and Republi? cans (e.g., Bond, Fleisher, and Talbert 1997). This literature tends to deal with the distinction between "experienced" and "inexperienced" candidates, with Democrats more receptive than Republi? cans to candidates lacking electoral experience. U.S. Department of Education found that 98% of pub? lic schools had internet access and 84% had a Web page (Cattagni and Westat 2001). Our final eligibility pool profession?"political activists"?represents citizens who work in politics and public policy. We endeavored to survey 900 men and 900 women leaders from political interest groups and national organizations with state and/or local affiliates. The list was then further narrowed so as to strike a partisan and ide? ological balance. We randomly selected state branch and local chapter executive directors and officers of organiza? tions that focus on the environment, abortion, consumer issues, race relations, civil liberties, taxes, guns, crime, social security, school choice, government reform, and "women's issues." This selection technique, which pro? vided a range of activists, yielded 744 men and 656 women as potential candidates.16 We employed standard mail survey protocol in conducting the study. Potential candidates received an initial letter explaining the study and a copy ofthe questionnaire. Three days later, they received a follow-up postcard. Two weeks later, we sent another copy of the questionnaire and a follow-up letter. We supplemented this third piece of correspondence with an e-mail message when possible (for roughly one half of the lawyers, educators, and po? litical activists). Four months later, we sent all men and women from whom we did not receive a survey another copy ofthe questionnaire. The final contact was made the following month, when we sent, via e-mail, a link to an on-line version of the survey. The survey was conducted from August 2001 to July 2002.17 From the original sample of 6,800, 554 surveys were either undeliverable or returned because the individual was no longer employed in the position. From the 6,246 remaining members ofthe sample, we received responses from 3,765 individuals (1,969 men and 1,796 women). Af? ter taking into account respondents who left the majority ofthe questionnaire incomplete, we were left with 3,614 completed surveys, a for a usable response rate of 58%, which is higher than that of typical elite sample mail sur? veys, and substantially greater than the expected response rate of 40% (Johnson, Joslyn, and Reynolds 2001).18 16For a more detailed description ofthe sampling methods, please contact the authors. 17We uncovered no differences in responses when we compared surveys of individuals who returned the questionnaire before versus after September 11th. 18Response rates within the four sub-samples were: lawyers?68%; business leaders?45%; educators?61%; political activists?68%. Nonresponse is probably inversely correlated with interest in run? ning for political office, but does not differ across sex. This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms GENDER AND THE DECISION TO RUN FOR OFFICE 277 Appendix B Demographic and Political Profile of the Pool of Potential Candidates Note: Sample sizes for each question vary slightly, as some respondents chose not to answer some demographics questions. Levels of significance in chi-square and difference of means tests comparing men and women: *p < .05; **p< .01. Appendix C Variable Description* Variable Standard Range Mean Deviation Coding Dependent Variables Considered Running for Office Sought Elective Office 0,1 0,1 .51 .50 .18 .38 Indicates whether respondent ever considered running for local, state, or national level office (1) or not (0). Indicates whether respondent ever sought local, state, or national level office (1) or not (0). Independent Variables?Traditional Correlates of Ambition Sex (Female) 0, 1 .47 .50 Indicates whether respondent is a woman (1) or a man (0). .39 .49 5.42 1.03 Indicates respondent's high Ranges from less than high sch Indicates respondent's annual h under $25,000 (1) to more than Indicates whether respondent is Education Income Race (White) 1-6 1-6 0,1 (continued on next page) This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms 278 RICHARD L. FOXAND JENNIFER L. LAWLESS Appendix C Variable Description* (continued) Variable Range Mean Standard Deviation Coding Indicates whether respondent self-identifies as a Democrat (1) or not (0). Indicates whether respondent self-identifies as a Republican (1) ornot(O). Indicates how many of respondent's members of Congress (House of Representatives and Senate) he/she can name. Indicates how closely respondent follows local and national news. Ranges from not very closely (2) to very closely (8). Indicates whether respondent agrees that government officials pay attention to people like him/her. Ranges from strongly disagree (1) to strongly agree (5). Indicates respondent's degree of experience working on political campaigns. Ranges from no campaign experience (0) to worked on a campaign and ran for office in school (2). Indicates whether a party official, nonelected activist, or elected official ever encouraged the respondent to run for office. Indicates whether a friend, family member, spouse, or business colleague ever encouraged the respondent to run for office. on Factor score derived from principal component analysis w varimax rotation. Indicates how "moralistic" respondent political culture is.1 Indicates respondent's age. Indicates whether respondent is married (1) or not (0). Indicates whether respondent is responsible for less than h half (1), or the majority (2) ofthe household tasks. Indicates whether respondent is responsible for the major the child care tasks (1) or not (0; which includes those respondents who have no children). Indicates respondent's level of self-perceived qualifications holding elective office. Ranges from "not qualified (1) to qualified" (4). Factor score derived from principal component analysis with varimax rotation. Indicates how likely the respondent is to be driven by "women's issues" when deciding whether to participate politically.2 * Regular type indicates the means and standard deviations of the variables when referring to the entire sample (analyzed to determine the likelihood of considering a run for political office). Italics indicate the means and standard deviations of the variables of the sub-sample of respondents who considered running for political office. 1 Percentage of women in the state legislature and percentage of the statewide vote Gore received in 2000 load on this factor. This measure correlates highly with Elazar's (1984) political culture scheme (r = .60; p < .01), but is superior to his measures because it is current. 2Abortion, gay rights, the environment, and health care, which are typically deemed "women's issues" (see, for example, Carroll 1994), all loaded on this factor. Crime, the economy, and foreign policy loaded on a separate factor. As might be expected, education did not load on either factor, a probable result of the fact that both political parties have attempted to own the issue and use it in campaigns. This content downloaded from 78.45.138.95 on Tue, 13 Feb 2018 17:30:57 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms GENDER AND THE DECISION TO RUN FOR OFFICE 279 References Aldrich, John H. 2002. "Southern Parties in the State and Na? tion." Journal of Politics 62(3):643-70. Barber, James D. 1965. The Lawmakers: Recruitment and Adoption to Legislative Life. New Haven: Yale University. Barone, Michael, and Grant Ujifusa. 2002. 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