39 ccording to commonly accepted points of view, national security policy should reflect a coherent and consistent system of political, military, economic and psychological means that a state has at its disposal. This article presents an analysis of President Putin’s security policy. It starts with a comparison between the most important entries on security policy of the 2000 editions of the National Security Concept (NSC), the Military Doctrine and the Foreign Policy Concept. In October 2003 the Putin’s Security Policy in the Past, Present and Future An analysis of the security documents of 2000 compared with the Defence White Paper of 2003 By Maj Marcel de Haas* Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) published The priority tasks of the development of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, a document which can best be described and will be referred to as a ‘Defence White Paper’ (DWP). Following the assessment of the security documents of 2000 this article will compare these results with the contents of the DWP 2003. Finally, based upon the security documents of 2000 and 2003, an outlook will be presented on Putin’s security policy in his second term-in-office, after his re-election in March 2004. The NSC was produced by the Security Council of the Russian Federation (SCRF) and provides an overall view of security policy of the Russian Federation (RF), applying all means available to the state. The Military Doctrine was drafted by the MoD and deals with the military means of the state. Finally, the Foreign Policy Concept was drawn up by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Ministerstvo Inostrannykh Del, MID), and relates to the political and diplomatic means of the RF. Since the NSC is the principle security * Major Marcel de Haas is from the Royal Netherlands Air Force. The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the Netherlands Ministry of Defence. 40 document, for reasons of unity and clarity, the main entries of these three documents as well as of the DWP 2003 will be offered in the format of the NSC.1 Thus the structure of the comparison of the security documents is divided into four parts: Russia in the world community, Russia’s national interests, threats to Russia’s security, and ensuring Russia’s security. 1. Main Entries of the Security Documents of 20002 1.1. Russia in the world community: destabilising factors A number of destabilising factors are consistently mentioned in all documents: • Dominance in the international community of Western states led by the United States; • Unilateral power actions, bypassing the UN Security Council (UNSC), by using concepts such as ‘humanitarian intervention’ and ‘limited sovereignty’; • (International) terrorism; • Organised crime. The enumeration of destabilising factors demonstrates an emphasis on external aspects. Another striking feature is the prominence of negative tendencies with reference to Western security policy. Over the years, in the three security documents, more and more entries have been included related to this subject. Especially NATO’s use of force in the former Yugoslavia (Bosnia and Kosovo) was seen as a clear example of its policy of ignoring Russia, which claimed a decisive role in Europe, as well as of disregarding the UN and the standards of international law. Other concerns were NATO’s new Strategic Concept of April 1999 and its enlargement with new member states in the East, adjacent to Russia’s borders. Internal destabilising factors seem to be of less importance. Terrorism and organised crime are included in all the documents. Two of the three documents mention illegal trade of arms and narcotics as well as nationalistic and religious strife as factors. This leads to two conclusions. First, the contents of internal destabilising factors are not consistent in the security documents. Apparently the security agencies had different opinions on the domestic situation. Secondly, external destabilising factors outweigh internal ones in the RF security policy. The security agencies obviously were more focussed on international developments. 1.2. Russia’s national interests The following national interests are prevailing in the documents: •Primary interests are protection against (international) terrorism, disasters of natural or industrial origin, and the dangers arising from wartime military operations; • Improving economic development and enhancing the standards of living; • Preserving and strengthening of the RF’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and strengthening the basis of the constitutional system; • Eliminating the causes and conditions contributing to political and religious 41 extremism and ethno-separatism; • Strengthening Russia’s international position as a great power; • Developing mutually advantageous relations, especially with the member states of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS); • Cooperation in the military-political area and in the sphere of security through the CIS (Collective Security Treaty), particularly in combating international terrorism and extremism. The national interests as listed are a mixture of provisions on domestic and international matters. Nowadays the perception that security is more than protection with military means against an external aggressor is widely accepted as realistic. Chechnya has made clear to the RF authorities that not only external but also internal threats exist against national security and that these threats are not confined to the military dimension but also have their roots in political, social and economic dimensions. However, if the RF authorities had taken this interdependence between internal and external national interests seriously, this should have brought them to the conclusion that conflicts of the type of the Chechen war cannot be solved by military means. Consequently, for ensuring a consistent national policy security not only military and diplomatic means come to the fore, but also social (human rights), economic (development projects, building and maintenance of houses, schools and medical facilities) and political (reform of the bureaucratic apparatus) activities are essential. A stable economic development is a prerequisite for realising these activities. These basic conditions are, in general terms, reflected in the 2000 editions of the NSC as well as of the Foreign Policy Concept. However, in Russian civic society they had not yet become visible. Probably, this was due to the slow economic development but surely also to the continued presence of a deep-rooted bureaucracy, which produced corruption. Therefore, the implementation of the aforementioned policy intentions in a broad spectrum of security aspects is likely to be a long-lasting process. 1.2. Threats to Russia’s security The RF sees the fulfilment of its political-strategic objectives as well as its internal and external security threatened by a number of causes. In discussing general roots of threats the NSC above all points out internal, socio-economic aspects: the poor status of the economy, a failing governmental apparatus, polarisation between entities, (organised) crime, corruption and terrorism. These internal aspects are further elaborated in the enumeration of internal threats in the three security documents. Apart from internal threats these documents naturally also recognise external threats. When comparing the three documents the following threats are pre- vailing: Internal threats • Extremist national-ethnic and religious separatism and terrorism; • Trans-national organised crime; • Erosion of the territorial integrity of the state by separatist aspirations of a number of constituent entities of the RF, 42 by poor organisation of state control; and because of linking of some parts of the executive and the legislature to criminal organisations (corruption). External threats • Attempts to belittle the role of existing mechanisms for international security of the UN and the OSCE, by economic and power domination of the United States and other Western states; • Attempts to ignore (or infringe on) RF interests and influence in resolving international security problems; • The strengthening of military-political blocs and alliances, above all the expansion of NATO eastwards; • NATO’s practice of using military force outside the bloc’s zone of responsibility without the UNSC sanction. 1.3. Ensuring Russia’s security In this part of the documents the various policy dimensions come together. It consecutively portrays the principles of socio-economic and domestic policies (fundamentals and objectives), as well as of foreign and security policies (military security, the use of force and the deployment of forces and troops abroad), for the purpose of achieving the objectives of Russia’s grand strategy and of ensuring its national security. As a final point this part of the security documents presents a hierarchy of the institutions responsible for national security. Socio-economic and domestic policies • Decreasing Russia’s economic dependency on other states by strengthening state regulation of the economy and by organising a common economic area in the CIS; • Improving the system of state power of the RF, its federal relations and its local self-government (constituent entities) to reinforce the social and political stability of society; • Guaranteeing strict observance of the laws by all citizens, public servants, state institutions, political parties and social and religious organisations to diminish crime, corruption and terrorism; • Adhering to the fundamental principles and rules of international law. President Putin regarded strengthening of central authority as the main solution for the socio-economic problems. In his ‘vertical’ approach he made an effort to enhance his grip on developments in these and other fields, by withdrawing power and influence from enterprises (especially the oligarchs, who control vital areas of the economy) and from the constituent entities (governors of the regions) for the benefit of the Kremlin.3 In this way Putin wanted to increase government revenues (taxes), to finance policy objectives such as the fight against crime and terrorism, as well as to enlarge influence of the central apparatus on constituent entities, by deploying presidential plenipotentiaries at the regional level. Another objective of the installation of plenipotentiaries was to prevent or neutralise separatist movements. It was doubtful that simply increasing central authority over the regions would result in improvement of the relations between central and regional powers. Still, reinforcing central authority could also be beneficial for Russia. The RF is a state without a heritage of civic, 43 democratic governance. Yeltsin’s period of rule demonstrated that a vast and complicated country such as Russia without steadfast, centralised authority offers certain groups, such as oligarchs and regional governors, the opportunity of abusing power. On the other hand, centralisation of power demands guarantees for a democratic development, in order to prevent totalitarianism. In this respect it is important to realise that since the introduction of the Constitution of 1993 the powers of the Legislative, to properly check the Executive (President and Government), have been restricted. Theoretically this could lead to unlimited and uncontrolled centralisation of powers. This tendency was enhanced in autumn 2004. After the hostage taking in Beslan, in September 2004, Putin took the opportunity to further strengthen the centralised powers of the Kremlin, at the expense of the governors of the regions (federation subjects).4 Foreign policy • Reinforcing vital mechanisms for multilateral management of international processes, above all under jurisdiction of the Security Council of the United Nations (UNSC); • Partnership with all CIS member states, and development of integration processes within the CIS, as well as implementation of other objectives of Russia’s interests about the CIS; • Defending and guaranteeing the legal rights and interests of Russian citizens (compatriots) resident abroad or of the Russian-speaking population, in the CIS as well as in the Baltic states. Reinforcing mechanisms of international security. The RF clearly rejects a leading role in international politics of other institutions than the UNSC. This provision, of course, is related to the objective of strengthening of Russia’s international position. In the UNSC, the RF possesses the right of veto and is thus able to block undesirable resolutions. Therefore, the objective of reinforcing Russia’s international status can be promoted within the constellation of the UN. However, if NATO dominated international politics, the situation would be different. In such an arrangement of the international system, the RF, without a veto right, would be more or less ‘dependent’ on NATO’s policies. This explains the prominence of the UN and the UNSC especially in the relevant entries in the documents. Advancing regional stability. In the practise of politics, Russia’s standpoints on good neighbourhood (partnership) and on regional conflict resolution in the CIS get mixed up. On some occasions, the RF allegedly has actively encouraged regional conflicts, for instance in Abkhazia, followed by an offer of conflict solution, thus making a CIS state, in this case Georgia, dependent on Russia for ensuring its security. Subsequently, this dependency in the field of security was aimed at enhancing RF influence on this state, thus ‘ensuring’ good neighbourhood. Protecting Russians abroad. This is a recurring theme of the RF foreign policy. In the Foreign Policy Concept, this pro- 44 vision is mentioned no less than four times: under the heading ‘General principles’, under ‘Human rights and international relations’, and twice under ‘Regional priorities’, in discussing relations within the CIS and with the Baltic states. The NSC as well as the Foreign Policy Concept, in describing the location of Russians abroad, use the term za rubezhom. This term points at states adjacent to the RF. The expression za rubezhom has an emotional connotation: it refers to something familiar, which binds together.5 In the consecutive military doctrines, a provision on the protection of Russians abroad is also included under the heading ‘External threats’. In previous doctrines in describing ‘abroad’ the same expression was used as in the other two security documents: za rubezhom. However, in the 2000 issue of the Military Doctrine this term has been changed into inostrannykh. Inostrannykh means out of the country in general, it has a neutral, dispassionate implication. Based upon the changed connotation of the term for ‘abroad’ in the Military Doctrine of 2000 the assumption could be made that the General Staff/MoD became less willing to use force if necessary for the protection of Russian minorities in a foreign country. Security policy With regard to security policy, analysis of the three documents presents three fundamental themes: ensuring military security, methods of using forces and troops and the deployment of forces and troops abroad. These themes generate the following entries, which are only mentioned in the NSC and in the Military Doctrine: • All forces and facilities available, including nuclear weapons, will be used if necessary to repel armed aggression, if all other means have been exhausted; • The RF must uphold nuclear deter- rence; • Forces and troops are employed in local, regional, international and large-scale conflicts, as well as for peacekeeping op- erations; • The interests of Russia’s national security may require a Russian military presence in certain strategically vital regions of the world. Ensuring military security. The NSC and the Military Doctrine permit the use of nuclear weapons to counter aggression. However, the Military Doctrine is more outspoken in this respect: it allows for the use of nuclear arms to repel a conventional attack as well, under certain not specified critical circumstances for national security. Conversely, the Foreign Policy Concept emphasises the desire of declining the role of military power, mentioning reductions of conventional arms as well as of weapons of mass-destruction, ways against proliferation of these weapons and other aspects of arms control, such as confidence and security building measures. Consequently, in contrast to the other two documents, the Foreign Policy Concept regards nuclear weapons not primarily as a means of deterrence, but as an object of arms control. In this case the MoD, acting in its ‘own’ field, comes forward as the most aggressive institution, with regard to military interests. This attitude is not unexpected, since a decline in the position of the military instrument of national security policy is likely to 45 cause diminishing power and influence of the MoD as well. 2. Defence White Paper 2003: The priority tasks of the development of the RF Armed Forces 6 In analysing this document, I will not make a full comparison with the major security documents of 2000, but concentrate on some significant new developments. 2.1. Characteristics of current wars and armed conflicts Analysis of conflicts from the 1970s until 2003, leads the Russian military-political establishment to the following conclusions in the DWP 2003:7 • A significant part of all the conflicts has an asymmetrical nature. They demonstrate fierce fighting and in a number of cases result in a total destruction of a state system; • The outcome of conflicts is more and more determined in its initial phase. The party which takes the initiative has the advantage; • Not only military forces but also political and military command and control systems, (economic) infrastructure as well as the population have become primary targets; • Information and electronic warfare nowadays have a great impact in conflicts; • The use of airborne, air mobile and special forces has increased. • Unified command and control, joint warfare and a thorough cooperation between ground and air forces in particular has become essential; • A prominent role in modern warfare, as demonstrated in conflicts such as those in the former Yugoslavia (1999), Afghanistan (2002) and Iraq (2003), is taken by long-range precision guided munitions (PGMs) in combination with airpower, after air superiority has been established; • Massive use of tanks and infantry has to a large extent been replaced by longrange guided weapon systems and massive air raids, although the role of these conventional forces is still important after the initial stages of a conflict; • The dominating role of airpower in modern warfare requires a well-equipped and electronic warfare resistible anti-aircraft defence system.8 2.2. Ambivalence towards the West In dealing with the West in general and NATO especially, the DWP 2003 poses a vision of two minds. On the one hand, entries show concern on the enlargement of the alliance and the possible deployment of NATO forces on the territory of new NATO members. But it also mentions that the NATO-Russia partnership will be further deepened, in spite of these major differences. Furthermore, it states that nuclear and large-scale wars with NATO or other US-led coalitions are no longer probable armed conflicts and that Russia expects cooperation with the USA and other industrialised countries to grow in ensuring stability. On the other hand, elsewhere in the DWP 2003 this appeasing tone is set aside and replaced by an 46 antagonistic approach, underlining that Russia expects that the anti-Russian entries will be removed from NATO’s military planning and political declarations. Even stronger, the document states that if NATO is preserved as a military alliance with an offensive doctrine, cardinal changes will be undertaken in Russia’s military planning and development of the RF Armed Forces, including its nuclear strategy. At the time of publication of the DWP 2003, these entries caused considerable concern in circles within NATO. The ambivalent character of the document clearly gives evidence that it was written by multiple authors. This has, to a certain extent, affected Russia’s cooperation with NATO, at least temporarily. Furthermore, these contrasting entries have made it more difficult to acquire a clear picture of Russia’s intentions in the field of security. Hopefully, the next RF security document will be better coordinated to prevent unnecessary negative conse- quences. 2.3. Conclusions Realistic view Reviewing the military-strategic and operational aspects of the DWP 2003, the first and foremost conclusion can be described in one word: realism. Standpoints stressing the importance of information and electronic warfare, unified command and control and joint warfare, which were already included in the Military Doctrine of 2000, are repeated in this document. Furthermore, the entries of the doctrine of 2000, emphasising asymmetric warfare and discussing military actions at lower levels than military strategy, are continued and even further expanded. Rightly, this document focuses on asymmetric conflicts as being on the forefront nowadays, instead of large-scale conventional wars. Clearly, analysis of recent Westernled conflicts and of their own experiences in Chechnya, has convinced the RF military-political leadership to concentrate on irregular warfare. Since this perception in the DWP 2003 is expressed stronger than in the doctrine of 2000, the assumption could be made that the conservative part of Russia’s security establishment has lost influence in decision making, from which modern thinking military leaders have benefited. Implementation Carrying out this realistic approach towards modern warfare might be a concern. The observation that modern, specifically irregular, warfare can only be fought with sophisticated weapon systems, such as PGMs and avionics providing allweather capability, and by improving the training level of personnel, requires financial means. The current Russian armed forces, massive in form and still aimed at conventional large-scale warfare, demand a lot of money for upkeep. So far military reform plans have not offered a solution to this dilemma. In October 2004, a further downsizing of the personnel strength of the Armed Forces by 100,000 men before January 2005 was announced.9 Optimistically, this reduction of ten percent of the overall strength would provide financial means for upgrading the 47 military for modern warfare. However, the benefits of this reduction might also be used for different (non-military) purposes. Unless the military-political leadership decides to radically change the structure of the armed forces towards one which is capable of conducting asymmetric warfare, the envisaged adaptation of the RF Armed Forces is expected to be hampered. Moderate style The overall tone of the DWP 2003 is more moderate than the major security documents of 2000. The documents of 2000 mentioned without any restraint the dominance of Western states led by the USA in international politics, Western institutions weakening the role of the UNSC, as well as NATO’s practice of using military force without the UNSC sanction. As mentioned before – discussing the entries on NATO – anti-Western tendencies are still present in the DWP 2003. This document repeats Russia’s concern about the continuous dissolution of the system of international relations and the state of grave crisis of a number of international security institutions, but – in contrast to its predecessors of 2000 – does not directly blame the West for these developments. This tendency in Russian security thinking offers some hope that the contents of future major security documents will show a sincere endeavour of improving the relationship with the West and – as the DWP states 2003 – of “dismantling the Cold War vestiges.” 3. Outlook on Russia’s Security Policy After the terrorist attacks of 9/11, President Putin took a pro-Western course. In the long run, Putin desired to strengthen Russia’s international position, not excluding military means to achieve this. However, Putin realised quite well, in contrast to many Soviet leaders, that nowadays influence on a global level is more than ever based on economic leverage. Taking this into account, his rapprochement towards the West, and especially towards Europe, did not seem strange. Closer cooperation with the EU could serve more than one objective of Russian policy. Firstly, economic cooperation with Europe would most likely bring about growth of the Russian economy, which in turn enhanced Russia’s international position. Secondly, closer ties with the EU might also weaken the relationship between Europe and the USA, even more so if Russia would be supporting, or participating in, the further development of an independent European security policy with its own military power, which possibly could be in contrast with American interests. Russia naturally could benefit in the international arena from a weakening or even split in the Trans-Atlantic camp, by promoting its foreign policy principle of multipolarity in international politics and Russia’s status as a great power. At the time of the start of the second Gulf War, in March 2003, Putin was well aware of this policy option of splitting the Trans-Atlantic, Western camp. In their plea in the UNSC for military intervention against Iraq, the USA and the UK were diametrically opposed to Germany and France. Putin supported the 48 latter in their rejection of the use of force by, just like France, threatening to use the right of veto, and, after ‘Operation Iraqi Freedom’ was launched, by strongly condemning the use of force.10 Once again, the RF reaction demonstrated the dualistic nature of its policy. On the one hand, Putin used the division in Western camp to strengthen Russia’s status in the international community. At the same time, he apparently had instructed Foreign Affairs Minister of the time, Igor Ivanov, to use more measured words towards the USA, thus serving the opposite part of Russia’s dualistic policy: cooperation with the West in order to improve the RF economy.11 Putin’s policy regarding the war against Iraq was definitely also intended for domestic consumption. His firm stand against the USA raised goodwill among the conservative representatives of the RF security elite, who had rebuked Putin for his proAmerican attitude since 9/11. Hence, in the case of the second Gulf War, by adhering to the customary dualistic approach, Putin managed to accomplish national as well as international objectives of the RF foreign and security policy. 4. Concluding Remarks Russia’s present and future foreign and security policy is laid down in three documents: the NSC, the Foreign Policy Concept and the Military Doctrine. Its defence policy is further elaborated in the DWP 2003. Major points of view of these documents were an assertive attitude towards the West, a strengthening of Russia’s position within the CIS as well as on a global level and, lastly, an emphasis on military means as an instrument of security policy. The leading security documents have found their origin in the Russian security establishment, consisting of generals, politicians, diplomats and scientists. Judging from their criticism of Putin’s gestures towards the West, the state of mind of this elite did not change after 9/11. Putin’s positive policy towards the West since 9/11 had only manifested itself in public statements. Thus Putin’s rapprochement with the West did not imply a structural change of Russian foreign and security policy. President Putin has to balance the pressure of his security establishment with reinforcing Russia’s economic capacity. Putin’s policy is symbolic for its dualistic nature. On the one hand, international (economic) cooperation is continued and internal conflicts receive a higher priority in security thinking. On the other hand, Russia continues to claim a great power status in the international arena. And a large part of the RF security establishment remains focused on preparation for large-scale conflicts, on sabre-rattling with nuclear arms and in its feeling of encirclement by the hostile West. RF security policy is characterised by manoeuvring between traditional Russian imperial thinking, in terms of power and influence, and in recognising Russia’s new post-Cold War status, resulting in cooperation with the West. Continuation of this dualism is likely to be the future of the foreign and security policy of the Russian Federation. 49 Table 1: Main entries of the 2000 security documents and the Defence White Paper 200314 semehT ytiruceSlanoitaN 0002yraunaJtpecnoC enirtcoDyratiliM 0002lirpA tpecnoCyciloPngieroF 0002enuJ repaPetihWecnefeD 3002rebotcO YTINUMMOCDLROWEHTNIAISSUR.1 srotcafgnisilbatseD -yratilimehtrof noitautislacitilop • ehtniecnanimoD lanoitanretni foytinummoc nretsewdepoleved ehtybdelsetats .setatSdetinU sisihT tademiayllaicepse laretalinugniylppa ehtgnidulcni,snoitulos ot,ecrofyratilimfoesu dlrownismelborpyek ehtgnituolf,scitilop foselpicnirplatnemadnuf wallanoitanretni nekaewotstroffe• noitisops'aissuR ,yllacimonoce,yllacitilop sallewsa,yliratilimdna sdleifrehtoni ehterongiotstpmettA• niaissuRfostseretni nismelborprojamgnivlos snoitalerlanoitanretni taerhtasesopmsirorreT ytilibatsdlrowot -lanoitantsimertxE• suoigiler,cinhte tsirorretdnatsitarapes ,stnemevom dnasnoitasinagro serutcurts nekaewotstpmettA• gnitsixe)erongi( rofmsinahcem lanoitanretnignirusne ehtllaevoba,ytiruces dnasnoitaNdetinU ECSO yratilimgniylppA• ecrof fosnaemasa nairatinamuh" "noitnevretni tuohtiw ytiruceSNUeht ni,noitcnaslicnuoC fonoitnevmucric wallanoitanretni • ehtfonoisnapxE desinagrofoelacs dnamsirorret,emirc foedartlagelli scitocrandnasmra • snoitcalaretalinU nac lanoitanretniehtesilibatsed snoisnetekovorp,noitautis etavargga,ecarsmraehtdna ,snoitcidartnocetatsretni efirtssuoigilerdnalanoitan • niecroffoesuehT .N.Uehtfonoitaloiv ufwalnusiretrahC dnal ehtottaerhtasesop eritneehtfonoitasilibats lanoitanretnifometsys snoitaler otniecudortniotstpmettA• ecnalraplanoitanretnieht hcus sastpecnoc nairatinamuh" detimil"dna"noitnevretni "ytngierevos otredroni rewoplaretalinuyfitsuj snoitca .N.Uehtgnissapyb toneralicnuoCytiruceS elbatpecca foegatstnerrucehT• sitnempolevedlabolg -oicosetucarofdeton dnastcilfnoccimonoce snoitcidartnoclacitilop gnitfihssiytiruceS• rawfosnoitseuqmorf otecaepdna ,lacitilopdetacilpmoc ,cimonoce-laicnanif ,lanoitan-cinhte rehtodnacihpargomed smelborp • foecnacifingisehT ehtnirewopyratilim dlrowralopib-tsop ,dehsinimidtonsah forebmunaecnis ytiruceslanoitanretni nierasnoitutitsni sisircevarg 50 semehT tpecnoCytiruceSlanoitaN 0002yraunaJ enirtcoDyratiliM 0002lirpA tpecnoCyciloPngieroF 0002enuJ repaPetihWecnefeD 3002rebotcO STSERETNILANOITANS'AISSUR.2 -laicoS imonoce lanoitans'aissuRgnisilaeR• ehtnoylnoelbissopsistseretni cimonoceelbatsfosisab ehtyhwsitahT.tnempoleved niaissuRfostseretnilanoitan senolaicurcehteradleifsiht fostseretnilanoitanehT• nieildleiflaicosehtniaissuR anoitalupopehtgnieetnaraug gnivilfodradnatshgih denoitnemtoN lanretxeelbarovafetaercoT• ydaetsrofsnoitidnoc aissuRfotnempoleved ymonoces'aissuRgnivorpmI• fosdradnatsehtgnicnahnE• noitalupopehtfognivil denoitnemtoN citsemoD ehtfoytilibatsehtgnidlohpU• metsyslanoitutitsnoc dnasesuacehtgnitanimilE• otgnitubirtnocsnoitidnoc suoigilerdnalacitilop ,msitarapes-onhte,msimertxe .e.i,secneuqesnocriehtdna suoigilerdnacinhte-retni,laicos msirorretdnastcilfnoc denoitnemtoN foytiruceselbailererusneoT• dnaevreserpot,yrtnuoceht dnaytngierevosstinehtgnerts ,ytirgetnilairotirret ehtfosisabehtgninehtgnertS• ·metsyslanoitutitsnoc tuogniyrracyllufsseccuS• smrofercitarcomed sthgirlaudividnignivresbO• smodeerfdna denoitnemtoN -retnI lanoitan • s'aissuRgninehtgnertS ,rewoptaergasanoitisop - fosertnecehtfoenosa dlrowralopitlumaniecneulfni yllautumgnipoleveD• ,snoitalersuoegatnavda rebmemehthtiwyllaicepse SICehtfosetats s'aissuRdna srentraplanoitidart ytiroirpsehcattaFRehT• ehtotecnatropmi fotnempoleved yratilim etatshtiwnoitarepooc SICehtotseitrap ytaerTytiruceSevitcelloC , otytissecenehtfoesuaceb sdrawotsecrofehtetadilosnoc eht deifinuafonoitaerc ecapsecnefed erusnedna ytirucesyratilimevitcelloc dnamrifeveihcaoT• ehtnisnoitisopsuoigitserp ylluftsom,ytinummocdlrow htiwtnetsisnoc fostseretnieht sa,rewoptaergasaFReht laitneulfnitsomehtfoeno dlrownredomehtfosertnec aeveihcaotkeesllahsaissuR• fometsysralop-itlum snoitalerlanoitanretni ehtfogninehtgnertS• demrAFR yamsecroF lanifehttneverp ehtfonoitulossid fometsys lanoitanretni snoitaler nopudesab, wallanoitanretni secroFdemrAFRehT• nac labolgerusne ytilibats 51 semehT ytiruceSlanoitaN tpecnoC 0002yraunaJ enirtcoDyratiliM 0002lirpA 0002enuJtpecnoCyciloPngieroF ecnefeD repaPetihW 3002rebotcO STSERETNILANOITANS'AISSUR.2 -retnI lanoitan aseusrupFRehT• ycilopecnefednommoc suraleBhtiw fodleifehtni dnanoitasinagroyratilim ehtfotnempolevedeht ehtfosecroFdemrA noinUehtfosetatsrebmem A• ytiroirp ngierofs'aissuRniaera laretalibdnalaretalitlumsiycilop rebmemehthtiwnoitarepooc SICehtfosetats • setatsnaeporuEhtiwsnoitaleR s'aissuRsi ngieroflanoitidart ytiroirpycilop fO• ecnatropmiyek snoitalerera ehthtiw noinUnaeporuE )UE( ehT• noitarepoocfoytisnetni stinodnepedlliwOTANhtiw ecnailpmoc ehtfosesualcyekhtiw 7991fotcAgnidnuoFFR-OTAN yratiliM stignidnefeD• sti,ecnednepedni etatsstidnaytngierevos ytirgetnilairotirretdna yratilimgnitneverP• aissuRtsniaganoissergga seillastidna denoitnemtoN ehtfoytiruceselbailererusneoT• yrtnuoc ahcattaeW• ecnatropmiytiroirp drawotstroffetniojot gnilttes nistcilfnoc setatsrebmemSIC evitcelloCSICehthguorht,dnA• tnempolevedehtot,ytaerTytiruceS fo -yratilimehtninoitarepooc aeralacitilop foerehpsehtnidna gnitabmocniylralucitrap,ytiruces dnamsirorretlanoitanretni msimertxe denoitnemtoN 52 semehT tpecnoCytiruceSlanoitaN 0002yraunaJ enirtcoDyratiliM 0002lirpA tpecnoCyciloPngieroF 0002enuJ repaPetihWecnefeD 3002rebotcO YTIRUCESS'AISSUROTSTAERHT.3 lanretnI staerht dnamsirtnec-onhte,msioge-onhtE• ecrofnierotgnipleheramsinivuahc dnalacitilop,msilanoitan suoigiler msitarapes-onhtedna,msimertxe lagelehT• siyrtnuocehtfoytinu tsitarapesybdedoregnieb forebmunafosnoitaripsa seititnetneutitsnoc ybdna,FRehtfo lortnocetatsfonoitasinagroroop 51 • ehtfostrapemosfognikniL oterutalsigelehtdnaevitucexe snoitasinagrolanimirc hciraotniyteicosfonoisividpeeD• gnimlehwrevonadnawef ytirojamdegelivirprednu fohtlaehlacisyhpehtottaerhtehT• niesirehtnineessanoitaneht dnaesugurddnanoitpmusnoclohocla ehtninoitcudercitamardehtni efilegarevanidnaetarhtribs'yrtnuoc ycnatcepxe • lanoitanfognidnuf-rednuehT wolyllacitircaotsdaelecnefed tabmocdnalanoitarepofolevel gniniart dnasecroFdemrAehtni spoortrehto seitivitcalufwalnuehT• -lanoitantsimertxefo dnasuoigiler,cinhte tsirorretdnatsitarapes ,stnemevom dnasnoitasinagro serutcurts otstpmettA• tpursid dnaytinueht foytirgetnilairotirret etatseht otdna lanretniehtesilibatsed noitautis worhtrevootstpmettA• metsyslanoitutitsnoceht fohtworgehT• -cinhte,msitarapes suoigilerdnalanoitan msimertxe fohtworgehT• ,msirorretlanoitanretni desinagrolanoitansnart sallewsa,emirc lagelli sgurdnignikciffart snopaewdna tsniagaecroffoesU• lanoitutitsnocs'aissuR emiger dnatpursidotsnoitcA• etatsfoseidobesinagrosid rewop msirorretlanoitanretnI• ytilibatsnicinhtE• evisrevbusfosnoitcA• rolanoitan,tsitarapes spuorgsuoigiler gnikciffartgurD• snartdnadesinagrO• emircredrob • demralagellI ebotsnoitamrof /aissuRotdehctapsid seillasti • noitamrofnI snoitca)lacigolohcysp-( seilla/aissuRotelitsoh 53 semehT tpecnoCytiruceSlanoitaN 0002yraunaJ enirtcoDyratiliM 0002lirpA tpecnoCyciloPngieroF 0002enuJ repaPetihWecnefeD 3002rebotcO YTIRUCESS'AISSUROTSTAERHT.3 lanretxE staerht setatsetarapesybstpmettA• latnemnrevogretnidna otsnoitasinagro ehtelttileb gnitsixefoelor ehtrofsmsinahcem -retnifoecnanetniam yliramirp,ytiruceslanoitan NUeht ECSOehtdna ,lacitilopehttahtregnadehT• yratilimdnacimonoce ehtniaissuRfoecneulfni decudereblliwdlrow fogninehtgnertsehT• dnascolblacitilop-yratilim ehtllaevoba,secnailla OTANfonoisnapxe sdrawtsae foecneserpelbissopehT• dnasesabyratilimngierof stnegnitnocyratilimegral foytinicivetaidemmiehtni sredrobnaissuReht ehtfogninekaewehT• ehtninoitargetnifosessecorp SIC dnatnempolevedehT• otesolcstcilfnocfonoitalacse naissuRehtforedrobetatseht lanretxeehtdnanoitaredeF setatsrebmemehtfosredrob SICehtfo FRhtiwecnerefretnI• sriaffalanretni erongiotstpmettA• FR)noegnirfniro( gnivlosernistseretni ytiruceslanoitanretni smelborp esoppootstpmettA• foesaercnieht noFRehtfoecneulfni levellabolga fonoisnapxeehT• dnascolbyratilim secnailla fonoitcudortniehT• spoortngierof NUehttuohtiw( licnuoCytiruceS ehtot)noitcnas suougitnocfoyrotirret htiwyldneirfsetats FReht • fonoisserppuS FRfosthgireht daorbasnezitic ( hkynnartsoni ) nasdrawotdnertgniworG• dlrowehtfoerutcurtsralopinu ehthtiw dnacimonoce ehtfonoitanimodrewop setatSdetinU • desiargnieberasekatS snoitutitsninretseWyb dna ,noitisopmocdetimilfosmurof aybdna ehtfogninekaew ytiruceS.N.Uehtfoelor licnuoC • ehtelttilebotstpmettA tatsngierevosafoelor sae fotnemelelatnemadnufeht -enegsnoitalerlanoitanretni -retniyrartibrafotaerhtaetar sriaffalanretnihtiwecneref • s'OTAN lacitilopyad-tneserp senilediugyratilimdna tonod ytiruceshtiwedicnioc FRehtfostseretni dna tcidartnocyltceridyllanoisacco meht • snrecnocyliramirpsihT s'OTANfosnoisivorpeht tpecnoCcigetartSwen , -esuehtedulcxetonodhcihw s'OTANfoedistuoecrof-fo enozytaerT ehttuohtiw ytiruceSNUehtfonoitcnas licnuoC • ngieroffotnemyolpeD wenfoyrotirretehtnispoort srebmemOTAN seirtnuocdna colbehtniojoteripsataht rewopyratilimfoesularetalinU• etadnamCSNUehttuohtiw dnamedretaergsegaruocne ssamfosnopaewrof noitcurtsed • ybdesuecrofdemrA snoitilaocdemrofyliraropmet • sepytoeretsrawdloC gnitavargga,tsixeoteunitnoc noitautislanoitanretnieht ssamfosnopaewfonoitarefilorP• noitcurtsed • ylgnisaercnisiecrofdemrA cimonocegnitcetorprofdesu stseretni ngierofsegralnehcihw, gnisurofstnemeriuqerycilop ecneloiv CSNUehtfoelorehtgnicudeR• ycnednetsuoregnadasaneessi • ytirucesfonoitasilanoitaneR lartneCnisetatsfoycilop rotsaEraFeht,aisA SICehtnierehwesle lepmoclliw asanoigerehtredisnocotaissuR ,stcilfnoccinhtefoecruoslaitnetop -yratilimdnasetupsidredrob ytilibatsnilacitilop 54 semehT tpecnoCytiruceSlanoitaN 0002yraunaJ enirtcoDyratiliM 0002lirpA tpecnoCyciloPngieroF 0002enuJ repaPetihWecnefeD 3002rebotcO YTIRUCESS'AISSUROTSTAERHT.3 lanretxE staerht sahmsirorretlanoitanretnI• otngiapmacneponadehsaelnu aissuRninoitautisehtesilibatsed • gnisufoecitcarps'OTAN ecrofyratilim s'colbehtedistuo ytilibisnopserfoenoz tuohtiw licnuoCytiruceSNUeht ehtotdetavelewon,noitcnas enirtcodcigetartsafoknar , eritneehtesilibatsedotsnetaerht noitautiscigetartslabolg stisniateraissuR• evitagen noisnapxeehtsdrawotedutitta OTANfo • nitcilfnocdetcartorpehT laerasetaercnatsinahgfA ehtfoytirucesottaerht dnasredrobSICnrehtuos naissuRstceffayltcerid stseretni lanretnihtiwecnerefretnI• sriaffaFR yratilimfonoitartsnomeD• fosredrobehtotesolcrewop aissuR scolbyratilimfonoisnapxE• • cimalsIfogninehtgnertS FRehtotesolcmsimertxe sredrob sthgirehtnotnemegnirfnI• naissuRfostseretnidna (setatsngierofnisnezitic az mohzebur ) YTIRUCESS'AISSURGNIRUSNE.4 -adnuF slatnem dna sevitcejbo dnanoitceted,noitciderpylemiT• dnalanretxefonoitasilartuen staerhtlanretni ytngierevosehtgnieetnarauG• ytirgetnilairotirretdna • gnimocrevO naissuReht lacinhcet,cifitneicss'noitaredeF dna ecnednepedlacigolonhcet secruoslanretxeno • fometsysehtgnivorpmI ewopetats laredefsti,FRehtfor -nrevog-fleslacolsti,snoitaler dnawalpugninethgit,tnem laicosehtgnicrofnierdnaredro yteicosfoytilibatslacitilopdna otserehdaFRehT latnemadnufeht dnaselpicnirp foselur wallanoitanretni ehT• snoitaNdetinU tsum ehtniamer rofertnecniam lanoitanretnignitaluger snoitaler yletuloserllahsFRehT• esoppo foelorehtelttilebotstpmetta NUeht nilicnuoCytiruceSstidna sriaffadlrow • fosutatsehtfonoitavreserP ehtfosrebmemtnenamrepeht licnuoCytiruceS.N.U • licnuoCytiruceS.N.UehtylnO otytirohtuaehtsah esunoitcnas ecroffo foesoprupehtrof ecaepgniveihca elacs-egraldnaraelcuN• rehtoroOTANhtiwsraw onerasnoitilaocdel-SU elbaborpregnol noitarepoocstcepxeaissuR• rehtodnaASUehthtiw otseirtnuocdesilairtsudni erusneotredroniworg ehtgniltnamsiddnaytilibats segitsevraWdloC ehthtiwsnoitalercimonocE• rehtruflliwseirtnuocUE poleved 55 semehT tpecnoCytiruceSlanoitaN 0002yraunaJ yratiliM enirtcoD 0002lirpA tpecnoCyciloPngieroF 0002enuJ repaPetihWecnefeD 3002rebotcO YTIRUCESS'AISSURGNIRUSNE.4 -adnuF slatnem dna sevitcejbo • tcirtsgnieetnarauG swalehtfoecnavresbo llayb etats,stnavrescilbup,snezitic dnaseitraplacitilop,snoitutitsni snoitasinagrosuoigilerdnalaicos • yratilimehtgnisiaR etatsehtfolaitnetop dna hgihyltneiciffusatatigniniatniam level agnisinagrO• nommoc ehthtiwaeracimonoce SICehtfosetatsrebmem asesopdnalufwalnusiecroffoesurehtO• eritneehtfonoitasilibatsehtottaerht snoitalerlanoitanretnifometsys • fostseretnidnasthgirehttcetorpoT stoirtapmocdnasneziticnaissuR daorba mohzeburaz( ) fosisabehtno stnemeergalaretalibdnawallanoitanretni etauqedaniatbootkeeslliwFRehT• fosmodeerfdnasthgirehtrofseetnaraug yehterehwsetatsnistoirtapmoc dnaniatniamotdnaediseryltnenamrep mehthtiwseitevisneherpmocpoleved snoitasinagroriehtdna ngieroF ycilop sevitcejbo rofyrenihcamlativgnicrofnieR• dlrowfotnemeganamlaretalitlum ,sessecorpcimonocednalacitilop ehtfonoitcidsirujrednullaevoba licnuoCytiruceSNU • sthgirlagelehtgnidnefeD naissuRfostseretnidna daorbatnedisersnezitic az( mohzebur ) ehthtiwsnoitalergnipoleveD• dna,SICehtfosrebmem noitargetnignipoleved niSICehtnihtiwsessecorp stseretnis'aissuR toN denoitnem etomorpoT• noitanimile gnitsixeehtfo laitnetopfoecnegremeehttneverpdna dnanoisnetfosdebtoh snoigernistcilfnoc FRehtottnecajda stisasdrageraissuR• tnatropmitsom tabmocotksatycilopngierof msirorretlanoitanretni setatsrehtohtiwetaroballocllahsaissuR• -ciffartgurdlagellitabmocotyllufesoprup emircdesinagrofohtworgehtdnagnik • rebmemSICllahtiwpihsrentraP setats rennameudanitnuoccaotniekatot fosmretnignidulcni,FRehtfostseretnieht naissuRfosthgirfoseetnaraug (stoirtapmoc mohzeburaz ) • aissuR-OTAN sipihsrentraP etipseddeniatniam secnereffidrojam no fotnemegralnefoseussi ngierofstidnaecnaillaeht snoitarepoyratilim lanoitanretniniamehT• eraaissuRfosnoitagilbo eht,NUehtotdetaler ytaerTytiruceSevitcelloC ,SICehtfonoitasinagrO eht iahgnahS noitarepooC noitasinagrO dna suraleB 56 semehT tpecnoCytiruceSlanoitaN 0002yraunaJ enirtcoDyratiliM 0002lirpA tpecnoCyciloPngieroF 0002enuJ repaPetihWecnefeD 3002rebotcO YTIRUCESS'AISSURGNIRUSNE.4 ngieroF ycilop sevitcejbo smragnitsixefonoitatpadA• noitcudersmradnalortnoc nisnoitidnocwenotstnemeerga fi,dnasnoitalerlanoitanretni wengnidulcnoc,yrassecen gninrecnocyliramirp,stnemeerga gnidliubytirucesdnaecnedifnoc serusaem • ,ainauhtiLybtcepseR ainotsEdnaaivtaL fo nignidulcni,stseretninaissuR tcepserfonoitseuqyekeht ehtfosthgirehtrof gnikaeps-naissuR noitalupop mohzeburaz( ) • ehttahtstcepxeaissuR lliwseirtnenaissuR-itna yratilimmorfdevomereb lacitilopdnagninnalp OTANfosnoitaralced srebmem gnirusnE yratilim ytiruces dnarawfonoitneverpehtnI• sevigFReht,stcilfnocdemra ,citamolpid,lacitilopotecnereferp yratilim-nonrehtodnacimonoce noitca • seitilicafdnasecrofllA raelcungnidulcni,elbaliava desueblliw,snopaew fi demraleperotyrassecen snaemrehtollafi,noissergga detsuahxeneebevah ytilibapacecnerretedapupeeK• gnitneverpfotseretniehtni ,elacsrevetahwnonoissergga erasmraraelcunnehwgnidulcni seillastidnaaissuRtsniagadesu • raelcunevahtsumFRehT secrof ynatsniagaesurof fonoitilaocroetatsrossergga setats yratilimgnirusnE• ytiruces fonoisserppuS• sdrawotnoissergga FReht sti)ro(dna seilla sniaterFRehT• sutatsrewopraelcun gnirretedrof tsniaganoissergga FReht ro(dna sti) seilla ehtsniaterFRehT• raelcunesuotthgir esnopsernisnopaew ssamfosnopaewot nidnanoitcurtsed -ediwotesnopser noisserggaelacs lanoitnevnocgnisu snoitautisnisnopaew lacitirc FRehtrof aevigotderaperpsiaissuR• aottnesnoc rehtruf raelcunstifonoitcuder laitnetop fosisabehtno ehthtiwstnemeergalaretalib ASU keesllahsaissuR• odnanoitavreserp ecnavresb ehtnoytaerT2791ehtfo citsillaB-itnAfonoitatimiL )MBA(smetsySelissiM eht- cigetartsfoenotsrenroc ytilibats 61 ehtfonoitatnemelpmiehT• etaercotASUehtfosnalp ecnefedelissimlanoitana ylbativenilliwmetsys lepmoc etauqedatpodaotFReht serusaem stigniniatniamrof reporpataytiruceslanoitan level • sadevreserpsiOTANfI nahtiwecnaillayratilima ,enirtcodevisneffo eblliwsegnahclanidrac s'aissuRninekatrednu dnagninnalpyratilim FRehtfotnempoleved stignidulcni,secroFdemrA ygetartsraelcun lliwsecroFdemrAFR• -yratilimdnayratilimniatnoc staerhtlacitilop erusnelliwsecroFdemrAFR• lacitilopdnacimonoces'aissuR lairotirretstidnastseretni ytirgetni • foytirucesehtgnirusnE demranisneziticnaissuR fosnoitautisdnastcilfnoc ytilibatsni 57 semehT tpecnoCytiruceSlanoitaN 0002yraunaJ enirtcoDyratiliM 0002lirpA tpecnoCyciloPngieroF 0002enuJ repaPetihWecnefeD 3002rebotcO YTIRUCESS'AISSURGNIRUSNE.4 gnirusnE yratilim ytiruces tnatropmitsomehtfoenO• cigetarts yratilimfosevitcejbo dnanoitcaretniehtsiytiruces rebmemehthtiwnoitarepo-oc SICehtfosetats rehtrufotsdnetniaissuR• fogninehtgnertsehtetomorp gnitapicitrapybytilibatslanoiger dnagnicuderfosessecorpehtni demralanoitnevnocgnitimil secrof fonoitarefilorpehtgnitrevA• rehtodnasnopaewraelcun noitcurtsedssamfosnopaew lanoitanretnitsniagathgiF• msimertxelacitilop,msirorret msitarapesdna afonoitavreserP• ecnerretedcigetarts tademialaitnetop scitiloprewopgnitneverp aissuRtsniaganoisserggaro seilla/ -yolpeD fotnem demrA secroF dna rehtO spoorT daorba s'aissuRfostseretniehT aeriuqeryamytiruceslanoitan niecneserpyratilimnaissuR lativyllacigetartsniatrec .dlrowehtfosnoiger ehT yratilimdetimilfogninoitats yvaN,sesabyratilim(stnegnitnoc dluohssnoigeresehtni)stinu otydaersiaissuRtahterusne otpleh elbatsahsilbatse ecnalabcigetarts-yratilim fo evigdluohs,snoigerehtnisecrof otytinutropponaFReht dnopser sisircaot noitautis laitinistini dluohsdna,egats ehtelbane ycilopngierofstiteemotetats slaog stnegnitnocdetimiL ehtfo demrAFR ehtdnasecroF yamspoortrehto nideyolpedeb fosnoigereht cigetarts ,ecnatropmi FRehtedistuo yrotirret sa, rodenibmoc secrofksatlanoitan sesabdna denoitnemtoN demrAnaissuRgnortsehT• aevahsecroF ecnacifingislacitilopoeg ,nacsecroFdemrAFRehT• ehtfonoisicedayb ,tnediserP tcudnoc snoigerehtnisnoitarepo dnacimonocelativfo aissuRottseretnilacitilop 58 Acronyms CIS – Commonwealth of Independent States DWP – Defence White Paper MID – Ministerstvo Inostrannykh Del (Ministry of Foreign Affairs) MoD – Ministry of Defence NSC – National Security Concept SCRF – Security Council of the Russian Federation UNSC – United Nations Security Council Notes 1 Disclaimer: the views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the Netherlands Ministry of Defence. 2 See Table 1: ‘Main entries of the 2000 security documents and the Defence White Paper 2003’ for an overview of the main entries of the four discussed security documents. 3 The paragraph on the 2000 editions of the major RF security documents is to a large extent derived from M. de Haas, Russian Security and Air Power (1992-2002): The development of Russian security thinking under Yeltsin and Putin and its consequences for the air forces (London, New York: Frank Cass Publishers, ISBN 0-714- 65608-9, August 2004), pp. 74-97. See the following sources for the contents of the 2000 editions of the three principle security documents: National Security Concept (January 2000): Russian: ‘Kontseptsiya natsionalnoy bezopasnosti’, Nezavisimoye Voyennoye Obozreniye, 1 (14 January 2000), p. 1. www.scrf.gov.ru/Docu- ments/Decree/2000/24-1.html English: www.fas.org/nuke/guide/russia/ doctrine/gazeta012400.htm Military Doctrine (April 2000): Russian: ‘Voyennaya doktrina Rossiyskoy Federatsii’, Nezavisimoye Voyennoye Obozreniye, 15 (28 April 2000). www.scrf.gov.ru/Docu- ments/Decree/2000/706-1.html English: www.freerepublic.com/forum/ a394aa0466bfe.htm Foreign Policy Concept (June 2000): Russian: ‘Kontseptsiya vneshney politiki Rossiyskoy Federatsii’, Nezavisimoye Voyennoye Obozreniye, 25 (14 July 2000), p. 4. www.scrf.gov.ru/Documents/Decree/2000/ 07-10.html English: www.fas.org/nuke/guide/russia/ doctrine/econcept.htm 4 M.A. Smith, Putin’s regime: administered democracy, E108 (Camberley: Conflict Studies Research Centre, June 2000). 5 ‘Putin announces broad reorganization of political system in Russia’, Radio Free Europe/ Radio Liberty Newsline, (Vol. 8), (No. 174), Part I, 13 September 2004. 6 As explained to the author by Irina Kirilova, lecturer in Russian studies, University of Cambridge, at a Wilton Park Conference, March 2001. 7 ‘Konstitutsiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii’, Rossiyskaya Gazeta, 25 December 1993, www.gov.ru:8104/main/konst/konst0.html, articles 80, 84 and 85. 8 Defence White Paper of 2003: Aktual’nyye zadachi razvitiya Vooruzhënnykh Sil Rossiyskoy Federatsii (The priority tasks of the development of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation), RF MoD, 2 October 2003. www.rian.ru/ rian/intro.cfm?doc_id=261; http:// supol.narod.ru/archive/official_documents/ doctrine/war_doctrine.htm 9 DWP 2003, pp. 34-38. 10 For a broader assessment of the militarystrategic and operational aspects of the DWP 2003 see: M. de Haas, ‘The contours of new Russian airpower thinking’, NATO School Polaris Quarterly, Volume 1, Issue 1, spring 2004, pp. 21-29. 11 V. Solovyev, ‘Russia’s military faces 10% 59 downsizing’, Moscow News, 20-26 October 2004; A. Babakin and V. Myasnikov, ‘Aviatsiya i podvodnyy flot nuzhny men’she vsego’, Nezavisimoye Voyennoye Obozreniye, No. 39 (399), 15 October 2004, pp. 1, 3. 12 ‘Putin says Iraq crisis most serious conflict since end of cold war’, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty Security Watch, (Vol. 4), (No. 13) 1 April 2003. 13 ‘Foreign minister concerned by U.S. efforts to seize Iraqi assets’, Radio Free Europe/ Radio Liberty Security Watch, (Vol. 4), (No. 12) 26 March 2003; ‘Putin stresses need to avoid conflict with U.S.’, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty Security Watch, (Vol. 4), (No. 14) 9 April 2003. 14 The citations are mostly not literally derived from the different security documents, but are adapted by the author. Remarkable differences between the documents or vital entries are printed in bold type. The grouping of related entries as used here is for the purpose of clarity and does not necessarily correspond with the original documents. 15 Constituent entities or subjects are administrative authorities within the Russian Federation, below the federal, national level, with specific self-governing legislative, executive and judicial powers. 16 The Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty of 1972, agreed between the USA and the USSR, restricted the installation of defence systems against intercontinental ballistic nuclear missiles of both superpowers. See K. A. Nederlof, Lexicon politiek-militair-strategische termen (Alphen aan den Rijn (NL) / Brussels: Samson, 1984), pp. 20, 26 and 133.