Motivations for contributing 1 2 Motivations for state participation  realist motives – to support own interests  idealist motives – to promote norms and values (international peace and security, cooperation, multilateralism)  liberal motives – to contribute to the continuation of status quo and foster values such as democratization and good governance  prestige (smaller or developing states)  national image and reputation  fulfillment of responsibilities, expression of commitment to the UN  training and experience  profit (payment from the UN for each soldier)  campaign to become nonpermanent members of the SC (e.g. Morocco, Spain, Czech Republic) 3 Small states and CMOs  limited role in international politics  influence by acting through IOs  often included in peace operations (political reasons)  “international image”, legitimacy  ambition to play a role too („we-too“ phenomenon)  a lot of small states have gained a reputation as peacekeepers  history of small states’ participation in peace operations:  earlier peace operations – small states contributed police  interwar years – small states started to participate militarily  during the CW – small states perceived as better peacekeepers X policies still set by powers 4  advantages of small states’ participation in CMO:  absence of a power status  less polarized reactions  involvement or interest in a conflict less obvious (colonial past either forgotten, minimal or non-existing)  positive / crucial role in negotiations (easier to act as “honest brokers”, risk less “loss of face”)  attempt to do the best in order to show their ability  limited defence budgets  more flexible and used to improvise  Do you see any disadvantages? 5  disadvantages of small states’ participation in CMO:  carry less weight in the international system  difficult to influence policy  kept out of decision-making processes  influence on their troops  appear less convincingly in an operation (not backed up by an intense military force)  able to contribute only limited contingents  possible shortages in modern equipment  harder to bear casualties 6 Motives  to answer outside pressures (from allies or organizations)  to lend a multinational character to missions; to increase the legitimacy  to contribute to the maintenance of global peace and security  to make positive impression on the world stage, to build image and prestige  down payment for potential assistance of the international community  Baltic States – fearing inference of Russia  to demonstrate the ability to contribute to an operation  Central and Eastern European states – NATO membership 7  to repay a debt for an “own” peacekeeping operation in the past  to keep armed forces occupied outside the country rather than meddling into domestic affairs  esp. Third world states where the military is not entirely under civilian control  to profit financially  to benefit by receiving equipment  to get experience  to get contact with other military forces 8 9 Financing UN peacekeeping operations Financing UN peacekeeping operations 10  two basic budget levels within the UN:  regular budget (5bn USD)  peacekeeping budget (8,4bn USD)  UN PKOs generally financed through their own separate budget  standard practice established with the authorization of UNEF I (special account created)  exceptions funded through the regular UN budget  military observer missions with small budget (e.g. UNTSO in the Middle East, UNMOGIP in India and Pakistan)  possible funding by the parties to the conflict (e.g. UNYOM in Yemen) Financing UN peacekeeping operations 11  basic guidelines for sharing the financial burden of PK set in 1960s:  collective responsibility of all member states  member states encouraged to make voluntary contributions  economically less developed countries – limited capacity to make contributions  permanent members of the SC – special responsibility for peace and security  the SC requested to open a special account into which the member states would contribute according to a graded scale:  63,15 % paid by the five permanent members of the SC (Group A)  34,78 % by economically developed states that are not permanent members of the SC (Group B)  2,02 % by economically less developed states (Group C)  0,05 % by economically least developed states (Group D) Peacekeeping operations expenditures 12 Sources 14  Bellamy, A. J. – Williams, P. – Griffin, S. (2004): Understanding Peacekeeping, Cambridge, Polity Press.  Bureš, O. (2008): United Nations Peacekeeping: Bridging the Capabilities-Expectations Gap, Saarbrücken, VDM Verlag.  Daniel, D. C. F. – Caraher, L. C. (2006): Characteristics of Troop Contributors to Peace Operations and Implications for Global Capacity, International Peacekeeping, Vol XIII, No 3, pp. 297-315.  Diehl, P. (2008): Peace Operations, Cambridge, Polity Press.  Global Policy (2005): Peacekeeping Operations Expenditures: 1947-2005, on-line text (http://www.globalpolicy.org/images/pdfs/Z/pk_tables/expend.pdf)  Ramsbotham, O. – Woodhouse, T. (1999): Encyclopedia of International Peacekeeping Operations, Santa Barbara, ABC-Clio.  S/RES/143 (1960), on-line text (http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/RESOLUTION/GEN/NR0/157/32/IMG/NR015732.pdf?OpenElement)  S/RES/1291 (2000), on-line text (http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N00/313/35/PDF/N0031335.pdf?OpenElement)  UN (2005): In larger freedom: towards development, security and human rights for all. Report of the SecretaryGeneral, on-line text (http://daccess-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N05/270/78/PDF/N0527078.pdf).  UN (2012): Background Note UN Peacekeeping, on-line text (http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/documents/backgroundnote.pdf)  UN (2013): Department of Peacekeeping Operations (http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/). SUCCESS AND FAILURE OF UN PEACEKEEPING 17 October 2016 Content  What does “success” mean?  Overall record of UN peacekeeping  Stories of success  Stories of failure  Causes of failure  “Lessons learned”  How about giving it all up? 16 What does “success” mean? 17 What does “success” mean?  discussion on what actually is a PKO success  multiple criteria X no unity  depending on the point of view one adopts, the same operation can be identified either as a success or failure  implications for policy making (which model to adopt / avoid?) 18 Criteria of judging success  conflict management – reducing armed conflict, limiting casualties  conflict resolution – addressing the underlying causes of conflict  not all peacekeeping missions have the task of solving the causes of a conflict!  mission mandate X mission outcome  mandates often vague, complex, changing  prevention of the spill over  evaluation should be done in light of the constrains under which missions operate! (e.g. funding, equipment, personnel, the degree of cooperation of the conflict parties)  long- or a short-term perspective 19 Overall record of UN peacekeeping 20 UN peacekeeping – overall record  many cases of success as well as failure, mostly - mixed results  failures always get more publicity than successes! 1988 Nobel Peace Prize  Diehl (1987): most operations accomplished a minimization of armed conflict, but ineffective in helping to resolve the underlying sources of the dispute  Bratt (1996): 39 UN PKOs, 1948-1996:  mandate performance  19 missions completely and 3 moderately successful  conflict containment  11 missions completely and 3 moderately successful  conflict resolution  21 missions completely and 4 moderately successful  limitation of casualties  19 missions completely and 4 moderately successful 21 UN Peacekeeping – overall record Pushkina (2006): 17 UN PKO, 1945-1998:  completion of the mandate  limiting violence  number of violent deaths  situation of refugees and internally displaced people  spread of conflict and return to war  success: UNTAG (Namibia), ONUMOZ (Mozambique), UNTAES (Eastern Slavonia), UNSMIH (Haiti), UNMIH (Haiti), UNPROFORMacedonia and UNPREDEP (Macedonia)  partial success: UNFICYP (Cyprus), UNTAC (Cambodia) and ONUC (Congo)  failure: UNIFIL (Lebanon), UNOSOM II (Somalia), UNPROFORCroatia, UNPROFOR-Bosnia, UNCRO (Croatia) and UNAMIR (Rwanda) 22 Stories of success  ONUMOZ in Mozambique (1992-94)  major violence ceased  demobilization implemented  overall security improved  stable environment for the return and resettlement of refugees  UNTAG in Namibia (1989-90)  managed to run free and fair elections  ensured the withdrawal of South Africa’s troops  cooperation of parties, support of the SC, timely provision of resources  model operation for many subsequent cases  UNTAET in East Timor (1999-2002) + UNMISET follow-up  managed to establish an effective administration  enabled refugees to return  ensured humanitarian assistance  supported capacity building for self-governance 23 ONUMOZ 1992-1994  Set up for failure  Delayed compliance, soaring budget, obstructions and ineffective command and control, parallel structures by humanitarian UNOHAC, incorrect assets – lacking air support or transport in a country with little infrastructure 24 ONUMOZ 1992-1994  Strong suits  high donations, strong leadership (Ajello), aggressive diplomacy  Success  will to demobilize stronger, than UN capacity – employment of large number of NGOs  dilligent peace commissions oversight  emphasis on observers rather than troop presence 1000/6500  media engagement 25 Story of success to failure and back?  MONUC/MONUSCO DRC 1999+  successful elections  2 year peace  22,000 troops  repeated violations of the Lusaka agreement  rape capitol of the world  east controlled by armed groups  foreign involvement and support  loss of government control (M23, LRA) 26 Success achieved by UN?  UNAMSIL – Sierra Leone 1999-2005  failure of ECOWAS  success through peace enforcement? Role of GB – Operation Pallisier  enforcement of Lomé Peace Agreements  DDR, SSR, Truth and Reconciliation commission  economic recovery  UNMIL – Liberia 2003+  ECOWAS success, Nigerian mediation  Post-violence, post-regional intervention  Stabilization and economic recovery  SSR 27 Stories of failure  UNOSOM in Somalia (1992-95)  difficult environment of a failed state  warlords fighting against the UN presence  after the killing of 18 American soldiers, US closed support to the mission  US presidential directive  conditions for US involvement in UN peacekeeping: possibility to advance US interests, acceptable risk, clear exit strategy etc.  UNAMIR in Rwanda (1993-96)  weak political will in the SC after Somali experience  information about genocide overlooked  lack of necessary resources  withdrawal after 10/2500 troop deaths  UNPROFOR in Bosnia (1992-95)  no peace to keep  UN soldiers trapped between the belligerents, frequent target  the fall of Srebrenica (“safe haven”)  massacre of 8 000 Bosniak men 28 Causes of failure 29 Causes of failure  lack of political will  intrastate conflict as a domestic issue (principle of non-intervention, to avoid precedents)  unwillingness to engage in distant places outside the sphere of interests  lack of resources  mismatch between poor resources and broad tasks  inadequate mandates  too broad, too vague or out-of-date  need for clear, appropriate mandates, reflecting the realities on the ground  cooperation of the actors of the conflict  spoilers that are against mission’s presence  diplomatic or enforcement measures to ensure compliance with mission’s mandate  suitability of traditional principles?  same principles X different conditions 30 “Lessons learned”  “Lessons learned” reports in cooperation with troop contributing countries, NGOs and academic institutions  Lessons Learned Unit within the DPKO established in 1995  “An Agenda for Peace” (1992) – B. Boutros-Ghali; first comprehensive UN report; early 1990s euphoria about the ability of the UN to accomplish new tasks + warning about the emerging gap between means and ends  “Supplement to an Agenda for Peace” (1995) – step back from radical innovations of the AfP; involvement in peacekeeping only  Lessons learned report on Somalia (1995) – related to the UN in/ability to use force effectively and appropriately; necessity of clear mandates, adequate means, improved coordination, better public information campaigns and humanitarian assistance strategy 31 “Lessons learned”  Lessons learned report on Rwanda (1996) – avoidance of peace enforcement (reflection of the contraction period); dismissed the argument that UNAMIR should have been able to use force to protect civilians  Lessons learned report on Srebrenica (1999) – unusually frank and detailed appraisal; inadequacy of symbolic deterrence, ambivalence about using force, blind insistence on the ideology of impartiality  “Brahimi Report” (2000) – high-level panel lead by L. Brahimi; the most comprehensive “lessons learned” appraisal; need for clear and achievable mandates, better preventive action and peace building strategy, use of integrated mission planning etc.  smaller “lessons learned” focused on particular missions or issues connected with PK (use of force, gender issues, human rights issues)  implementation record of these reports = mixed results 32 How about giving it all up… and to „give war a chance“? What do you think about Edward Luttwak’s conclusions about peacekeeping? Try to find arguments (1) supporting and (2) opposing Luttwak’s conclusions. 33 Sources  Bratt, D. (1996): Defining Peacekeeping Success: The Experience of UNTAC, Peacekeeping & International Relations, Vol XXV, No 4, pp. 3-5.  Bureš, O. (2008): United Nations Peacekeeping: Bridging the Capabilities-Expectations Gap, Saarbrücken, VDM Verlag.  Heldt, B. (2001): Conditions for Successful Intrastate Peacekeeping Missions, National Defence College of Sweden, Stockholm.  Luttwak, E. N. (1999): “Give War a Chance.” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 78, No. 4, pp. 36-44.  Pushkina, D. (2006): A Recipe for Success? Ingredients of a Successful Peacekeping Mission, International Peacekeeping, Vol XIII, No 2, pp. 133-149.  UN: Charter of the United Nations, on-line text (http://www.un.org/en/documents/charter/).  UN (2000): Report of the Panel on United Nations Peace Operations. Summary of Recommendations, on-line text (http://www.un.org/peace/reports/peace_operations/).  UN DPKO (1996): Comprehensive Report on Lessons Learned from United Nations Assistance Mission for Rwanda, on-line text (http://www.un.org/Depts/dpko/dpko/lessons/rwanda.htm).  Yilmaz, M. E. (2005): UN Peacekeeping in the Post-Cold War Era, International Journal of World Peace, Vol XXII, No 2, pp. 13-28. 34