The Econornics of Regulation Princip/es and /nstitutions Volume I Economic Principles Volume II Institutional Issues Alfred E. Kahn The MIT Press Cambridge, Massachusetts London, England CHAPTER 2 The Traditional Issues in the Pricing Public Uti lity SerVic The essenceof regulation is the explicit replacement of compet ition . governm ental orders as the principal institutionaLdevice for assuri~ \Vi ,performance. Th e regulatory agencydetermines specificallywho shall permitted to serve; and when it licensesmore than one supplier, it typi imposes rigid limitations on their freedom to compete. So the =-"'--.IlllW __ITQ uirementsof competition as the governing market institution-freedom entry and independenceof _j!ction-are deliberately replaced. Instead _government determines ~ ualit and conditions of service, andim an obligation to serve. The licensureof entry in most public utility industries tendsto be infrequent, once-and-for-all or almost-a ll determination. Franchises legall may have to berenewed, and new firms may seekto belicensed;inradio an television, and truckingthis is a frequentoccurrence.But eveninthose cases. and even mor e so in others, the tendencyis to rely on the same chosen instruments,year after year and decade after decade; the structure or tbc market and identity of the firms selected to serve remain essentially un changing. And what publicutility comm issions ma inly do (tho ugh not' broadcasting) is to fix the pricesthe chosen instruments may cha rge-n justa ceiling,as inthe caseof perm issible interestrates paid on time deposi or as prescribedinusury laws, or a floor, suchas a minimum wa ge-but set of specificprices. It is throug h the regulation o f price that the limitatio ofprofits ispurportedly achieved; it is incidentto the regulation o fpricetha the levels and permissible kindsof cost are controlled, by allow ing or . allow ing payments for various inputs,by supervising methods o f financi. and controlling financialstructures. Price regulation i~ the heart or ubli \ltilit~gulation. Th is assertion might strikea constitutio nal lawyer or anyone who h read Chap ter 1 as strangely o ld-fashioned. It so unds likesome thing the United States Supreme Court wou ld have said 40 to 50 years ago, W? it was systematically strikingdown legislative attempts to regulate ~fl or wages outside the traditiona l "industries affected w ith a public lnt est" on the gro und that the right to set pricesfree o f public contro l W d at the heart of the freedo m of contract protected by the Fourteenth Amen T he Tr aditio nal Issues inthe Pricing o f Public U tility Services 21 I I . 93 4 in Nebbia v. New York, the Suprem e Co urt finally rejected t 1ln I , .' . II bout nrim en.. ha t there was anythmg co nstitutrona y sacro sanct a out pnvate rhe notJOnt. tion and declared that if any industry could, fo r go od and . _determma , ., . pflce ns be subjected to publicregulation, there wa s no constituffiientreaso , .... su c it being subjected to pnce regulatlOn inparticular.š . 1bar to 1S . H ona ti n m ay seem irratio nal also to the econorm st. And to so me Our asser 10 li . . . Onepurpo se of regulation is to prote ct buyers from monopo IStlC xtentit IS. . cc.: :»: 1 b .. h e . ' -but buyers can be explo ited Just as ertective y y glvm g t em PIOltatlO n . ., ex fe serviceas by chargmg them excessive pnces. Another purpose o or or unsa , . . P t destructive competition-e-but rt would seem that sellers can .s to preven . . I . t as destructively by offenng better or mor e servicefor the same compete JUs . . II h . b offering the same serviceat lower pnces. Pncerea y ~ no pnce as Y li f . ., . . except in terms of an assumed qua Ity o serVlCe; pnceISa rat io, m eamn ~ . hvsi I . f'zi d. y in rhe numerator and some p ysica unit o glVen or assume with mone ..... . d quality inthe denom inator. EnceregulatlOn alone ISeconomlcquantlty an bl' T I 'nglessMor eover the nature of our dependence on pu icutl rty al y meam -" . d . <--- • • typically suchthat customers may correctly be more intereste m serVlcesIS . .. . ., d the denominator than inthe numerator -m the reliability, contmuity, an safety of the servicethan inthe pricethey have to pay.š . f . . Th is relatively greater concentration on price than on quality o servlce.ls one refiectionof the severe limitations of regulation as an institution of social control of industry. Inthis chapter we examine the major traditiona l co.mpo nentsof that effort. Inaddition to laying the ~ecessa:y~actual found~tlOn fo r our subsequent analysis, the purpose of thlS prehmmary survey 18 to suggest (1)the limited resemblancebetween what :egul~tion, as tra~itiona lly practiced,tries to do and the principles of nor~atIve mlCrOeC?nOmlCtheory, thus providing the justificationfor our alternatlve ~pproach, l.n~art II,.and (2)the severe limitations of this institutional devlce for achlevmg optImal economic results,which provides the backgroundfor Vo lume 2. TH E LlMITED ATT EN TION TO QUALlTY OF SERVICE The regulatory process devotes considerable attention to the denominator o f the money-quantum-of-service ratio. 4 The governing statutes genera!ly empower comm issionsto investigate and issuefindingson whether the serVlce offered under their jurisdictionis "unjust,unsafe,improper, inadequate or insufficient," and to promu lgate rules for its improvement. The rules adopted 1~ ~ot es 11-20, Chapt er 1. In Adkins v. O!ifdren s Hospital, the Court struekdown a law ftrcingminimum w ages for women inthe Distriet :vfColumbia inthese terms: shall see that it differs from them in every mat erial respeet. It is not a law dealing with any businesseharged wit h a publie interest. ... It has nothing to do w ith the eharaeter, methods, or periods of wag e payments. It does not p~eseribe hours of labor o r eonditions under wh leh labor is to be done .... It is simply and exclusivelya priee-fixing law .... " 261U.S. 525, 553-554(1923). 2291U.S, 502,531-532,536-537(1934). 3See Irston R. Barnes, The Economics oj Public Utility Regulation (New York: Appleton-CenturyCrofts, 1942),742-743. 4 For a useful survey, see Cha rles F. Phill ips, Jr.,op. cit., 400-438. "n .e .essenhal characteristies of the statute ::: underconsideration, whieh differentiate it thelathelaws fixinghours oflabor .... [are] that IIlent~er: .,deal with ineidentsof the emp loy ""lb aVlng no necessaryeffeet upon the heart ~ e Contract·th . "If "at IS,the amount ofw ages .... ~~ow , In the light furnishedby the foregoing -v-~onsto the general rule forbidding legis~ IUterfer . ~ encewlth freedom of contraet we e andanalyze the statute inquestion: we 22 / I The Institution of Regul ated~OIl cover matters such as safety standards, minimum physical sp . (accuracyofmet ers, volt age of electricity, heating value of gas),t~clfi.cati m ents of prompt m eeting of custom er demands, extensio n o f servie req . I b d f servi .. Cetocustomers, contro s o na an onment o service, provi sio n of spec'I ia fa 'liand arrangements, and certification ofnew entrants.š Cl But it is far more true of quality of servicethan of price that the . responsibility remains with the supplying company instead of ~rl regulatory agency, and that the agencies, inturn, have devo ted rnWlht h . Uc attention to the latter than to the fo rm er. The reasons for this are fairl !ll Servicestandards are often mu ch ~ore difficultto specify bythe prornui cl. of rules.Where they canbe specified, they are oft en essentially U ga versial. Where they cannot-and this is particularly the case when ~con to innovations,to the dynamic improvem ent of service-in a system inco. the private companies do the managing and the governm ent the super:~ there isno choice but to leave the initiative with the company itself.Th ISI role the regulatory commission can typically play is a negative :o formulating minimum standards and usingperiodic inspectionsto Seen they are met; investigating customer complaints and issuing orders w~ serviceha s beenobviously poor, when managem ent or subordinates ha beenblatantly inefficient or unfair, or when it wish es to insistthat companies take on or retain unremunerative business.6 This authority is by no m eans negligible. Th e aggressive commission availabl e to it the ability to penalize offending companies by ho ldi permi ssible rates at less remunerative levels than it w ould otherwise prepared to alIow -subject to the constraint,howev er, that it woul d self-defeatingto punish them so severely as to impair their financialcapaci to institute the desired improvem ents. And commissions frequentlydo this weapon. 7 StilI,their rol e is essentialIy a negative one and this raises fundamental questionsabout the efficacyofth e entire process. lf,as far as quality ofservi~ is concerned, the principal responsibility rests with the private monopolist, 5 "Public utility commissions are constantly passingupon questions of service.Th e determination of a rate w ithout a determ ination of the quality of the service rendered would be similar to an individual's agreeing to pay a stipulated sum of money for a commodit y without specifying the kindOl' grade of commodity he expects to receive in return 'for his outlay . A very large port ion of the commi ssions' tim e is,then, necessarily devoted to the determination of the quality of service rendered by the utilities under their jurisdiction.Most stat es whi ch have active commissions now ha ve stat e-w ide service standards .... Wh ere there are departures from these standards the utility is obviously derelict in the performance of its duties, and unless excused by the commission because of unusual circumstancesis subject to its disapproval." Charles Stillman Morgan , Regulation and tm Management oj Public Utilities (Boston: Houghton MifHin, 1923),270-271. 6 The question of whether and in what circumstancesa utility company may be required to extend service to new customers and areas,or forbidden to discontinue servicesmay of cou be regarded as an aspect o f the regulation service and is usually so treated. But the iss here is usually quite explicitly one of priceor the relation of revenues to costs, present prosp ective: to what extent m ay utilities required to take on new, or continue to. se old markets that they think are or Wi ll unremunerative' to what extent should profitabl business 'subsidize unprofitable extensions continuations? Th ese issues are thus ernbrac (som etim es explicitly, som etim es irnplicitly). our later discussionsof cost-price relationshlplo Of course, as w e have alr eady suggested, regulations of service quality are in eeo nom effect also regulations of price. 7 For exampl e, "Th . ,. h s servÍceC e testlmon y glven ln t e ga th~ I · that hearing at N eenah was concUSlve . adequality of service rendered is totall~ 10tha t quate .... Th e Commission findsthere ore 4. T he compa ny has virtually compl eted 64 per cent o f its current 3-year (1967-1969) impro vem ent prog ram and, thus, has been able to bring abo ut substantial imp ro vem ent inservice. On that basis,it is fair and reasonable to allo w the utility 64 per cent of the requested increases inlo cal exchange rates.... 5. T he em ergency increases autho rized by this ord er w ill no t result at this tim e ina fair and reasonable return for U nited Te lephone Co mp any, but will impro ve its financial position so that it should be able to finance the remainder of itsim pro vem ent prog ram .... " 23/ I T he T raditio nal Issuesinthe Pricing of Public U tility Services shou ld be given for gas , rellSe in r~tes e servicerendered ln the tion unul th fiorm in a reasonable era hall con b h departrnents dard laid dow n y t e tO rhe stan increasein rates for er Th at no f jssion.. . . 'Iway departments o d street ral . . etrie an ted until the serviceln e Idbe gran bl utllity sho u b ho wn to be reasona y ofthern shall :u:den of proof of so doing and rhe " M or gan tory, rhe eornpany. . . . , be put on ,272. re recent examp les: to turn to rno m ero us com plaints from , eeiving nu II e are re , erved by So uthern Be . f rhe terntory s h o . tallation intervals, or t e eas .. ms lbie ar '. t IIservice fall we l e o w a 'red to ms a , " requI d d Operator answe rmg tlm e ble stan arB·ll's requirem ents but do es dy rneets e b h' n dards reeently ado pted y t IS eet the stan " ID B r: the biggest eomp lamt ... IS . ion. y,ar .' f . equired to o btam servlce.... len th o hrner g blernsthat can and mu st be are pro d 'fi ved We have recently ado pte um orm d · f, telephone service, and ha ve ~ar s or ,., ď 'bedadrninistrative rulesreqUlr ~ngpeno IC h ·h tog ether w ith field lnSpectlOns,rts w le , , "w k the eornmission fully advIsed concernÍĎÍ.:p quality and sufficiency of telepho ne íervicebeingpro vided ....Anyrate a?Justments, kIcludingthe one in this doe ket, w I.ll be O? a temporary basisfor a rea~o nable peno d ~f tlm e pendingany ne~essary Im~ro vem ents m the qualityandsufficlencyof servlc~.... . "Southern Bell will be reqUlred to furmsh a aoodand sufficientsurety bond conditio ned on tbcprompt and full refund of the difference,if any,between the rates collected by it on a temporary basispursuant to this order, and the ratesultimately prescribed or appro ved .... as a rault of anyfurther o rder that m ay be entered m this docketreducing such temporary rates becauseof serviee deficiencies." &Southern Bell Telephoneand TelegraPh Company, Florida PublicService Comm ission, Order N o . 4462,Novemb er 26, 1968, 76 Public Utility &;orts 3rd,412-413. ""Wemakethe followin g findings: L Tbe presentearnings o f United Te lephone Company of Florid a are far below a reasonab~elevel and said utility is entitled to some rehefon a te d .• U . mpor aryan emergency basls. .. nltedT eleph ' .one s present earnmgs o f 3.15 rr c~ntwill not Support the additional nancmgthat is necessary to enable it to Complete .t ' .. Tb I S Improvement progra m. e telephone ' dered servlcepresently being rensubst...'byU m ted Telephone has imp ro ved bUl .antlally dUl 'ing the past several mo nths IS not s ffi ' , tojustif lh u clently adequate and efficient y e full m creases requested .... Re United Telephone Company oj Florida, Florida Public Service Co mmi ssion, Order No. 4451, N ov ember 12,1968,76 PU R 3rd,471. For other exampl es, see ibid., 441-451 and 461. "After years of deliberation, the Federal Communica tions Commi ssion has decided to tackle the controv ersial question of how fast W estern Union T elegraph Co . sho uld be required to deliver telegrams .... "Commu nications experts say the commi ssio n's involv em ent could lead to the first G o vernment-mandated standards regulating the speed of dom estic telegram deliveries .... "W estern U nion Tel egraph has com e under increasing fire in recent years from critics who compl ain that the cost of telegram s keeps going up whil e the quality of service declines .... "Th e FCC's decision to consider the speed-ofservice issue cropped up as a little-noticed part of the FCC's current investigation o f telegram rate increases propo sed by W estern Union T elegraph. Inannouncingthe inquiry, the FCC said it would consider not only the rate boosts, but also the 'speed, quality and adequacy' of the com pany's telegram service. "FCC offi cials say this phrase m eans the commis sion pro bably will deal with a number of service-related telegram issuesinits investigation, such as how many telegraph offi ces W estern U nion Tel egraph should maintain, and wh ether it should be investingmor e mon ey inits telegram service. But a key question, these sou rcesmaintain, is wh ether the FCC should force W estern U nio n to m eet certain speed requirem ents inits telegram deliveries. " Wall Street Journal, October 18,1968. Again, in 1969 the Ne w York Stat e Public Service Commi ssion ord ered the PennCentral Compan y to take mor e than a do zen specific steps to pro vide "safe, adequate, just and reasonable service" on its H arlem and Hudson com mu ter lines,including the purchase or lease of at least 80 new cars and 24 new engines, assuring that each of its 340 w eekday trains runs o ntim e at lest 80% of the tim e each mo nth, and pro viding enough telephone lines and emplo yees 24 / I The Institution of Re I clth '. gu ated l\fOIl an e government supervisor canmtervene on ly where ob' . ~ectlVe canbe set or, after the event,when the monopolist's perfor stand boi l b d 8 cl h rnanceho VZDUS y a, o we ave an aclequate assurance-corn as. .. . para bl assurance provided by compention m other sectors of the eCon e to performance will be positively good and continuously as gOo:~Y- that If poor serviceis economically the equivalent of high price h ~ Possib . dancerthať ,wY1S thJustas great a anger that monopoly power will involve the o ere If ' ~Q~ monopoly carnesthe clangerof sluggishnesswith respect both e Oth cl cl . cl" to effi . an to ynamic cost-re uction,lS there not the danger of slug .h CI .. . he ouali gls nessm lmprovmg t e quahty and extendmg the scope ofservice? as These problems are real. Although, as we shall see later th b h II I .. ' ey can e w o y so ved within the regulatory framework, they deserve n d acti . fl . . rnore crean actrve attention rom comrmssions than they now receive.9 Bu a another reason why public utility commissions have been will' t there . ifi cl I Ing,andsome extent justi e ,to eave the quality of service,far more th . h . h an pnce t e compames t emselves-the latter will typically have astro ' , idi ngInterest prOVl mg goocl, ample, and expanding service,as long as they . . h . can reco ltS costs m t e pncesthey charge. Inthis respect far more than i th f . . 'n e mat o pnce,the mterest of the monopolist on the one hand and thc c . '. onsumer the other are more nearly comcldent than m conftict.IO Why so? 1.Maintaining and improving the quality anclquantity of servicet . . I A ypl IScost y. ny regulated monopolist who is prevented by regulatio fl fully exploiting the ~nela~t~cityo: his demancl but assured (albeit :.,~~ regulatory lag) of hlS abIllty to mcorporate these aclditional costs' . f . m cost-o -ser~lceand henceof recouping them in his price,will presumab be lesshesltant than a nonregulatecl monopolist to incurthem,ll 2. Improvement and extension of servicewill often involve an expansion the company's invested capital-that is, its "rate base"-on wh ich itit entitled to a return. The regulated monopolist therefore will have som e so that passengersphoning to checkon train schedules"receivea prompt response."The New York Times, June6, 1969,I. Inresponse,the company ·petitioned for a rehearing. lbid., July4,1969,I. For a more general discussionof the way in which servicestandards and orders may be enforced and particularly of the authority of commissions to condition rate increaseson specified improvements or extensionsof service,see "The Duty of a Public Utility to Render Adequate Service:ItsScope and Enforcement," Columbia Law Rev. (Feb. 1962),LXII: 312, 327-331. 8 See the astonishing intention of Senator Pastore, chairman of the U.S. Senate Subcommittee on Communications, explicitly to confinethe powers of the Federal Communications Commission in preciselythis manner in decidingwhether or not to renew broadcasting station licenses.He would prohibit challengesto renewals unlessthe FCC first determines that the station has violated the "publicinterest." Daniel Zwerdling, "FCC Impropriety," The New Republic, June21, 1969,lO-11.See also note 134,Chapter 2, Vol ume 2. 9 For the caseof radio and television,andfor a novel caseinvolvingthe quality of passengerrail service,seeChapter 2 of Volume 2. 10Indeed,the greater danger might bethal the companies place excessive'insteadof inadequate emphasis on providing high-quality serviee,a the expenseof economy, for reasons that follow . See also the discussioninChapter 5,V olume 2, of whether the publicutilities reflecta general tendencyfor limitations on pricecompet ition.to be associated with an intensificationof quabty competition. II The unregulated monopolist also will have ~ incentiveto improve his product or diversifybil product offerings,to .the extent that his demand is sufficientlyresponsiveto offset the additio.na1 costsof his so doing. But if he isa profit rnax~rnizer presumably he will have set his pneequality combination at the pro fit-m a :.Il point, beyond which superior servicew.t.~ brutJh!Y,more to coststhan to revenues.A pu le, t . 'f fi' 't pnceam contrast,I prevented from xmg Is ať the profit-maximizing level, has a "rese~vene incompletely explo ited monopoly powerj lnt 25 / I The Traditional Issuesinthe Pricingof PublicVtility Services REGUlATING THE RATE lEVEl Public utility commissions spend the major part of their time, by far, directly or indirectly regulating price. This task has two major aspects and the commissions have tended typically to treat them quite distinctly. The first has to do with the level of rates, takenas a group. The second has to do with the structure of rates-the specificcharges on different categories of Ilrne cireumst '. diain . aneesIt will therefore have less centlVe t . additio nI o. Improve service,sinceany tio nfor a .costslllvolved canserveas thejustifica•• ralSlDg p . . "'OnIh' . ncecorrespondmgly. th ISpartJculad' ,e "A--JW r IstortlOn,seethe sectionon USte ft - Effect,"inChapter 2 Vol ume 2. lIJ ,Or exampl T ' tililies 464- e, roxel, Economics oj Public , 465,557-560. P tation to err in the direction of expanding and improving his tem .' hi b b d h . f .ices and thus mcreasmg lS rate ase eyon t e pomt o economicserv! , timality instead of the reverse.U ipublic utility company.is peculiarly. e~posed to public critic.is~.if its 3. service is inadequate. This exposure ISmcreased by the possibility of customers complaining to regulatory commissions. Po ssibly associated with this consideration may be a tendencyfor managers ofsuch companies to assume a quasi-professional responsibility for giving the best possible service,evenat the expenseof profit maxirnization.Iš Although customers may have very definite opinions about whether the prices they pay are too high, the determination of whether in fact they are doing so is a complicated matter, as we shall see.But they need no complex investigative and adjudicatory processes to tell them when they are suffering from a power failure, or a refusal of a railroad to make freight cars available to them, or when they keep getting busy signals or wrong numbers on the telephone.l+ Adequate levels ofservice canbeguaranteed more satisfactorily than price by customer complaints, on the one hand, and the "conscienceof the corporation," on the other,15 It is doubtful that these pressures are as reliable as those exerted by competition; and an unregulated monopolist will surely be subjectto similar influences.StilI, motivations such as these do to some extent take the place of competition in inducingthe franchised monopolist to have a favorable attitude toward providing good and ever-improving service to his captive customers. The customer may have a fair not ion of whether the service he gets is satisfactory. He is likely to find it much more difficult to judge whether its quality and variety are improving at a satisfactory rate, because in making suchajudgment it would not be pertinent to compare the quality ofwhat he is receivingwith what he has beenaccustomed to expect. But it is precisely these questions about dynamic performance, with respect not only to the quality of servicebut also to costs and price, that the regulatory commission also is least competent to answer decisively.Although it is inthis respect that there may be the greatest danger of inadequate monopoly performance-or excessiveperformance, for the reason suggested under (2),above-this danger is not one to which the commissions have typically been able to devote effectiveattention. 14See the fiurry of complaints inNew York City inJuly of 1969over the annoyingfrequencyof busy signals in the New York Telephone Company's Plaza 8 exchange. See,for instance, New York Times, July 14,1969,22. 15 But see Glaeser, op cit" 115, emphasizing the needfor regulation, to overcome consumer ignoranceand managerial inertia. 26 / I The Institution of R egulated 1\1 ollopo l serviceand the relation ship between them, Outside of the tranSPort ' }' field, the former taskha s claimed much the greater share of corrllr/t~oll att ention, ISSIOIl "The rate level,"like"the general price level," is a statistical abstra ' ct1ol1It could be expressed only as some sort of index number, summariz' ' the numerous individual rates fo r the vario us classificati o ns o f se 1,I1g , h h 43 '11' 'I d rV1ceprovided by eac com pany:t ere are some tn IOnrai roa rat es Onfil with the Interstate Co mm erce Commiss ion !16Its real economic m eanin ,e disclosed when these separate prices are translated into total cornp: IS revenuesor into total profits expressed as a percentof owners' investrnen~Y ActuaUy the regulatory processworks the other way around. Th e commissio s, decidewhat to tal revenues the companies are entitled to takein, then adju~: permitted "rate levels,"either selectivelyor across the board, to yield these totals. They typicaUy do this by undertakinga thorough examination and appraisal oftotal company costsina recent,"test" year,17In this wa y,item by item, they build up an estimate of totaI permissible "revenuerequire_ ments,"On the basisof this total, adjustedas much as possible for knownOr readily predictable changesbetween the test year and the period for whic h rates are to beascertained,the company is ordered or permitted to propose the required adjustmentsinits rate schedules. Therefore, discussionsof rate levelsare reaUy discussionsof totaI revenues. The processof determining permissible revenuesfaUs traditionaUy into the foUowing three parts or steps,each of them involving an enormous variety of problems and boasting a correspondingly rich history of legal and economic controversy. Supervision and Control of Operating Costs and Capital Outlays Justas competition issupposed to hold prices down to the costofprodu ction (ignore for a moment the question ofprecisely w hat that m eans)so regulation takescost as its standard of the "revenue requirements" of publicutility companies, hencethe "justand reasonable" rates that the typical controUing statute enjoinsthem to maintain. It became clear that if the commissions w ere to be something more than rubber stamps they had to exercisetheir own judgment about the propriety of the items presented to them as the major components of the cost of service. To do so ,first,they had to require the companies to keepuniform systems of accounts,according to procedures and rules stipulated by the commissions, and subject to their audit.l8 Th en they needed to make determinations about which costs they w ere prepared 16C, F. Phillips, op, cit" 314, 17They may do so regularly or only oncein a long while , ina major general rate investigation, or never. Ifonly occasionally, they may employ more limit ed checksin the intervening years, possibly permitting rate changeson the basisof estimates of cost changessincethe "test year," For an illuminating casestudy of "Th e Ceneral Passenger Fare Investigation," the first undertaken by the Civil Aeronautics Board , about 15 years after passage of its enabling act (a delay for which it was criticized), see the case study of that title by Emmette S, Redford, in Edwin A, Bock,ed" Govemment Regulation oj Business,' A Casebook (Englewood Cliffs:PrenticeHall , 1962),336-411.On the Federal Communications Commission 's "continuous surveillance" ov er the telephone industry,see Chapt er 2,Volum e 2,at note 37, '18 Comm issions cannot review costs unlessthe regulated companies keeptheir records insom e uniform and prescribed fashion. Accounting regulations becom e necessary also to prescribe' thos e elem ents of outlay that are to be charged " 1I inthe Pricingof PublicUt ility ServicesT he T'ra dit.iona ssues 1 h ted com panycost-o f-service; and,o f, i:' ' I io nint e comp u h to authonze ror mc USIO d di tl as opera ting expenses and t us these w hich could be charge ~recY t do llar fo r doll ar, and whi ch " I ue reqm reme n s included m annua reven f servi the fo rm o f annual all ow ances ' the cost o servicem capital ized, thus entenng denreci ted por tio n o f the investm ent. , d t on the un epreCla for depreciatlOnan re urn , I ft the fact could have the effect , f ertam o ut ays a er Sincem ere dlsallowa nce o c " f turn andhenceo f threaten, I h m pam es rates o re , of reducing excessivey t e co ,, 'I mm issionscame to insist also 'I' tt ctadditio nal capita ,co ,, d ingtheir abi rty to a ra diture inadvance,supervismg an o nthe authority to contro l comp any expen , heir budzets lves Jpassing on t eir u ge . " to involve them se ves m , b y for cornrrussrons W hy sho uld it e,necessar blicutilit companies? Presumab~ y even Passingon the opera tm g c~sts,~f pu I'Yt uld wi sh to hold his costs d fi m izm g mo no po IS wo issionsthan unregulate pro t-maXI, , ", C uld not the comrms srons t en , ' I nhis own initiative. o I ? to a mimmum, entrre yo , f h mpany mana gers thems e ves, h m a tters to the self-mterest o t e coleave suc I b f d t severall eve s. , Answers can e ram e a I t of profit s by exaggeratlOn , 'I d nger of concea m en d First, there ISthe slm p e a 1ft 't obviou sly pays a regulate o f co sts,Wh atever his actual le~e o co s S,fl 'ceAs long as regulation , his estlmat ed co st o servI , mo no po hst to exaggerate I h they o therwis e could be, he can , h Id' h' rofit s o wer t an " , is effective m o mg ISp b i:'oolin gthe commlSSlOn mto I 'h' nopo ly powe r y II m o re compl etely exp Olt ISm o , I t J'ustify,Suchexaggerations , 'h t than hls actua cos s , Permitting hlm hlg er ra es f h ent inexcessive rates of earnmgs. d h P ater t e ev , m igh t beexpecte to s o w u , t' g record s' if there are no d ly from accoun m , , But profits can be co m pute on b ted and record ed, expendlb h osts are to e compu understandings a out ow c 'I I f the sto ckho lders' investm ent to d' d d the caplta va ue o I tures to be au Ite ,an " those record s and supernorma h ' way of appralsmg , 'ft d bemeas ured, t ere ISno 'dded expensefigures and mat e f pro fit canbe concealed m parates o , capital accounts, "esents not an o bjective datum but h i:' depreClatlOnrepr , Second the c arge lo r d ' 'nany given accountmg , 'b' t the pro uctlOnI an imput at ion, an attn utlOn o , bsol escence of capital assets, 'bT f, the usm g up or o 'd perio d o f responsl IIty ~r I' If-tha t is,the requisite retum on mv este, Sim ilar to the cost of caplta It,seI d d' the cost o f produ ction-there IS I'k ' be m cu e m , h capital that mu st I eW Ise 'er level Itisobviousl y m t e , f' d ment abo ut ItSpro p, , I ro om fo r dlfferenceso JU g te its gros s co st o f caplta - 1 d m pany to exaggera d ' interest o f the regu ate co, d i:'or the commi ssion to holit to nInvestment-an II depreciatio n plus retum o re full resently, , the minim um, as we s~all se~m o o /t~e compan y-al w ays assumm g that T hird, it m ight be m the I~ter~st fi b I w the levels that the market , "h IdngItS pro ts e o "b regulation ISeffectlve m o I II reater costs than ISm the est wo uld ot herw ise perm it-to i~~U~ ~c~U~h ~ngpermitt ed to incorpo rate tho se interestof the consum er, prov l e It IS I Idbe heavy expenditures for d ' One exam p e wo u costs inthe regulate pnce: ' h om panies m ight receive numerou s advertising andpublicrelatlOns,sm cetec 27 / I d h e lhat are to bedirectly to income an t os _ fo r de' J' d T h approp nat e chalges caplta lze, e _ ined and review ed prcciation cannot be detel m 'I - 'ty accounts areunless the depreClab e pl op el _ h 'bl [shion Accountll1gkept insom e co mpr e enSI e a, h 'th respect to t erules are also necessary W I hich lays an extrem ely valuation of property , W , , p the final co st of important ro le m d~termm ~~ey are similarl y service, as we sha, see, any itself or the necessaryif the utlhty cO~Ptelligently in the com m ission is to use cos t m devising o f rate structures, 28 / I The Institutionof Regulat edMonOpoly be.n.efitstherefr.om while .pa~singthe costson to the consumingpublic. PUblic utility compa me s advertise m the hope ofinfluencingregulatory commissio ns to treat them generously, and electriccompanies have financedexpensi p~o~aganda campaigns inopposition to comp eting publicpower projects~~ Simila r purposes might be served by large charitable contributions' wíh h ith ad ,ll~ ese,a~ w it a vertisingoutlays, commissions have had to decidehow much ífany,IS properly charge~ t~ the consumer and how much should be born~ by the stockholders. A similar need for regulatory supervision could b d ' e create by the possible temptation of utility companies-to which we ha . . Ve already all~ded , and ~hlCh w e ~IlIanalyze more fully below-to usecapital wastefully m order to mflate their rate basesand hencetheir total permissible profits. Fourth, the regulated companies-even more, their promoters and managers-have extracted some of these potential monopoly profits b . '. . y paymg excessrvepncesto affihated, unregulated companies for equipment supplies, financialadvice and underwriting, engineering,and manageria l services-charges included in the cost of service and recovered from customers.š? Fifth: ~incethe publicutilities are typically not subjectto intensiveprice competrtion, they are probably not under the same pressuresas firms inmore competitive industriesto hold their costs down. It is understandable,therefon~,.that regulatory commissions, charged with taking the place of compet~tlOn,.should .makesome efforts in the same direction. The necessityfor their domg so IS accentuated,finally, by the unusually high degree o f 19See Ernest Gruening,The Public Paqs : A Study oj Power Propaganda, rev.ed.-(New York: Vanguard, 1964),passim. Gruening includes (xxix-xliii)the Memorandum Opinion ofthe Federal Power Commission, In the Matter oj Northwestern Electric Company et al., Docket No . IT-5647, OpinionNo. 59,1941,reporting on itsinvestigation of the accountingdispositionof expenditures for political purposesbyfiveelectriccompanies. Merle Fainsod and LincolnGordon report an estimate that the costs of the "educational" campaign by utility companies after World War I "to 'sell'their industryto the publicand to convincethe Americanpeople ofthe adequacy of existingregulatory techniquesand of the dangersof further penetration of go vernment into the utility business"ran $25-30millions a year, "all charged off as prop er advertising expenses... and computed inthe rates which the publicwas requiredto pay."Government and 'Tke American Economy (New York: Norton, 1941), 308.Andthose were Coolidge and Hoover not Nixon, dollars. The problem, although an~ient, has not disappeared: "Five Manhattan State Senators protested yesterday what they called the Consolidated Edison Company's 'gigantic' advertisingand promotion campaignsinconnectionwith its requestfor high er electricity charges."Accordingto the Company's own estimate, its expendituresfor institutional advertisingwould hav e come to some $2.1 millions in 1965.New York Times, August23, 1966,27. Utilit y companiesengage in comm ercial as well as political and "institutional" advertising, and the former expendituresmay well be economically legitimate (see,for example, note 16, Chapter 4). American Telephone and Tel egraph (AT&T )andits affiliated companies rankedfourt eenthamong the nation'sadvertisers in 1965w ith total expendituresof $70 million . But this was a relatively modest 0.6% of the system'stotal revenues,of $11.3billion. Advertising Age, August29,1966,44,61. For a summary of the regulatory treatment of suchexpenditures,seeA.J. G. Priest,Principles rif Public Utility Regulation, 59-65; also "Trends and Topics , Promotional Programs," Public Utilities Fortnightly (June23,1966),LXXVII: 65. 20 See,for example, Louis D . Brandeis,Other People' s Money and How the Bankers Use lt (Washington:The McClure Publications,1913);James C. Bonbrightand Gardner C.Means, Tke Holding Company .' lts Public Signijicance and its Regulation (New York: McG raw-Hill ,1932),esp.Chapter 6.The holding company insome ways has contributed to greater efficiency;but it was also used as a devicefor milkingthe (controlled) operating companies,and through them the rate-payers.The relation of the various Bell System companiesto their parent, AT&T , and to its wholl y-ownedsubsidiaryand equipment 29 / I The Traditional Issuesinthe Prieingof Publie Uti lity Serviees separatio n o f owners hip and manageria l control in these com panies.ě! T his fact,taken inconjunction wit h the lesser pressureso f price compet ition and the possibility of recouping higher costs in higher pricesalo ng an inelastic dema nd curve, creates a particular danger that, inthe absenceof regulator y scrutiny, manageme nts m ay vote themselves unusually large salaries, expense accounts and ot her perquisites, as we ll as engage inother met ho ds of explo iting their posi tio n for their ow n perso nal pro fit or no npecuniary advantage, as infact they have from time to tim e inthe past.22 Ma nifestly, the o perating expenses and capital o utlays of public utility com panies are by far the most im por tant comp o nent o f their rate levels, o n the o ne hand, and the efficiency w ith whi ch they ma ke use of so ciety's resour ceson the oth er. Th erefo re, interm s of their quantitativ e importance, it wo uld be reaso nable to expect regulatory co mmi ssions to give these co sts the majo r part o ftheir attention. But infactthey hav e not do ne so; they hav e giventheir princi pal attention instead to the limi tat ion of profit s. Th e reasons for this perverse distributio n o f effo rt illustrate onceagain the inherent limit ations of regulation as an institution of effective so cial control o f industry. Effective regulation of op erating expenses and capital outlays Percent ofStock Outstanding Industrial O-I 66 1-5 29 5-10 7 10-20 6 20-30 2 30-40 40-50 I 50plus 4 To tal 115 PubUc Utility Railroad 33 21 3 I 2 I 38 23 supplier,WesternEl ectricCom pany, has thus beena subjectof continuingregulator y concern. lnoneo f the landma rkU nited States Suprem e Cour t decisio nsinthe 1920sthe Cour t refused to perm it the PublicServiceCo mmission o f Missouri to disallow certain paym ents by the local Bellcomp anyto AT& T fo r rentals and services.Southuiestern BeU Telephone Company v. Public Sennce Commission oj Missouri, 262 U .S.276, 288 -289(1923).Th e Co urt reversed itself o n this m atter inSmith v. Illinois BeU Telephone Co., 282 U .S.133,152-153(1930),andthe general rule is that these charg es m ust be justified in terms o f the costs to AT & T of perfo rm ing the services.Similarl y,numerous state commissions checkon the paym entsby their various Bell comp aniesfor W esternElectricequipm ent and supplies,and the Smith v. lllinois BeU decision required tha t this scrutiny take into account Western'sprofits from thesesales.Th e Mi chigan Commi ssionhas in the past scal ed down the paym entswh enit foundthat the rate ofr eturnon W esternEl ectric'scapital exceeded the rate of returnthat it permitt ed the Mi chiganBellCo mpany to earn.C. Em ery Trox el, "T elephone R egulatio n in Michigan," in Willi am G . Shepherd and Thomas G . G ies, ed., Utility Regulation: New Directions in Tkeory and Policy (N ew York: Random House, 1966),168-169. Butthe ov erwh elmingmajority of commissions have fo undW estern's charges reasonable and have permitt ed them to enter the ope rating com panies'cost of servicewithout adjustment. For a fullerdiscussion,seeChapter 6,Vol um e2. 21 Di stribution of 176large corporations, accordingto the proportion of voting stockowned ?y m anagem ents, September 30, 1939,by IUdustrialclasses: Source.Rob ert Aaro nGo rdo n,Business Leadership in the Large Corporation (W ashington: Th e Broo kings Institutio n,1945),27. A later study of the 200larg est nonfinancial corporations found that in 196318% of the industrial corpor ations w ere controll ed by own ersof mor e than 10% of their sto ck;the corr espondingfigures for public utility and railroad corporations w ere 2.% and 4% respectively.At the other extrem e,manag ementcontrolledcompaniesw ere 78% of the industrial and98% of the publicutility group. Inthe case of railroads the percentage w as 83,but if one adds inthe corporations found to be controlled bya legal devicesuch as pyramiding or the use of voting trusts,that figure risesto 97% ,whil e the ratio for industrials rises only to 82% . Rob ert J.Larner, "Ownership and Control in the 200 Largest Nonfinancial Corporations, 1929and 1963,"Amer. Econ. Rev. (September 1966),LVI : 781. 22 See Barnes,Economics oj Public Utility Regulation, 618-619andthe casescited there.Following up a findingbyGar y S.Beckerthat monopolistic 30 I I The Institutio n of Regulated Mo n oPO l}' would require a detailed, day-by-day, transaction-by-transactio n, al1 decision-by-decision review of every aspect of the company 's op eratiol1d Commissions could do so only if they w ere prepared compl etely to duplicat' the rol e of manag em ent itself. Thi s so ciety ha s never be~nwill ing to hav~ commissions fill the role of manag ement and doubtless with good reason .. . .II is difficult to see how any company could functio n under two separate coequal managements, each with an equally pervasive role inits operatio n ' s. Therefore, when the controlling decisions are mad e, they are mad e inthe first instancebyprivate manag em ent itself.R egulation cando little more than review the major decisionsafter the fact,permitting here and disallowing there. Inthese circumstancesthey have beenunableas a general practiceto substitute their judgments for those of management; and often wh en they have tried, the courts have denied them the authority to do so, except in casesof obvious and gross mismanagement.23 Profits, incontrast,are merely a markup, something added to the sum total of expenses.This do es not mean that profit control isnoncontroversial-quite the contrary.But their regulation do esnot involve the same type of detailed and pervasive supervision as woul d a comparable control of the decisions that determine a company's efficiency. enterprises discriminate against blacksmore frequently than competitive ones, Armen A. Alchian and Reuben A. K essel developed the more general hypothesis that the manag em ents of companies whose pecuniaryprofits are limit ed by regulation (or similar pressures)will beunder strong temptation to take out any possibilities of monopoly profit that remain unexploited in the form of "nonpecuniarygains,"one category of which is "the indulgenceof one's tastes in the kindofpeople with whom one prefers to asso ciat e. Specifically,this may take the form of pretty secretaries, pleasant, well-dressed congenial people who never say anything annoying, of lavish offices, of large expense accounts, of shorter working hours, ('f costly administrative procedures that reduce the wear and tear on executives... having secretaries available on a momenťs notice ... and of many oth ers." "Competition, Monopoly, and the Pursuit of Pecuniary Gain," in Universities-National Bureau Committee for Economic Research, Aspects oj Labor Economics (Princeton University Press: Princeton,1962),163. Th e likelihood of this managerial behavior may not be significantly greater for regulated public utility companies than in the caseof unregulated companies with market power. See Oliver E. Williamson, "Managerial Discretion and Business Behavior," Amer. Econ. Rev. (December 1963), LIlI: 1032-1057,and William G. Shepherd, "Market Power and Racial Discrimination in Whit eCollar Employment," Antitrust Bulletin (Spring 1969),XIV: 141-161 and, with particular referenceto regulated companies, 155-157. 23See,for example, William K .Jones,Cases and Materials on Regulated lndustries (Brooklyn: The Foundation Press,1967),175-186. "Good faith is to be presumed on the part of the manag ers of a business.... Inthe absenceof a showing of inefficiencyor improviden ce, a Court will not substitute its judgment for theirs as to the m easure of a prudent outl ay." West Ohio Gas Co. v. Public Utilities Commission 294U.S. 63, 72 (1935). See the exhaustive summar y o f the case law in Priest, PrinciPles oj Public Utility Regulation, I, Chapt er 3. On the oth er hand : "Th e Alaska commiss ion upheld disallow ance of $50,000of expenses to comp ensate fo r inefficiencies in an electric company's operation . Comparison of the company's expense with that of automat ed companies ... showed the cost to be one and one-half to seven tim es that of the othe r companies designated as comparab1e .... "[Accordingto the hearing officer:] It was not out of place for the commission to disallow expensesdaim ed to be excessive becauseavailable advances in technology had been ignored and the capacity and efficiencyof the plant had beenerod ed through years of inadequate ma in­ tenance.... "It was not so much a matter of how the company stacked up inrelation to the efficiency of oth er companies, but a m easurem ent of how it operated at present compar ed to how it would ha ve op erated if suggested recommendations had beenput into effect.... "The company had adequate notice and opportunity to institute procedures recom mended by engineers ir had hired as consultants, which it had neglected to do ." "Expense Reduction to Compensat e for Inefficiencies U pheld," Public Utilities Fortnightly, March 27, 1969,60-61. 31I 1 T he Tra ditionallssues inthe Pricing of Public U tility Services h as fo cused prim arily on profit s, also , because these are Th e process II • d d .. the most visible-excessive profits the m os t obvio us .~nger an po htlcally 1it ť inthe absenceo f effective com peution, regu. of consumer exp Ol a IOn, 1 1 . slgn b . d comf o rting evidencethat regu ation can lated profits the m o st o vio us an " ffective."24 .' . be e . tho ugh compar ati vely um m po rtant m stancesm A d m those num erous, . f n .' d infact decide wh ether or no t to disallo w som e Item o w hich comm lsswns o .' b h t lic w ould ď the gover ning consideration turnso ut to e w a po y expen ltU ,~~'." to stockho lders on the one hand and consumers on the beh ~os: co~~:antlyrecurring them e inthe regulator y pr?cess.25 Iti: certain~y o t e ested here that considerations such as these are lr:ele:ant m what is, ~o t sug:bl a o litical determination-that is,a determmatwn of who gets m escap y, p h ( d th " ho" ma y includenot just stockholders, h t and ho w mu c an e w . . w a ers and customers but,for exampl e, the colleges,churches,o ~minority m a~a~ th~t mi ght benefit from contributions or ot her such expen~ltures.th~! gro p . be unable to justify on a purely econo mlC basis). the corpo ratwn ma y . . h or ma not B .' ímportant to recognize that cntena such as t esema y y c;~~~~: lwith the type of results compe tition w ould produce, or with what . II . 127 would be economlca y optima. 1 o us situation prevails with respect 24 The ana O;cquisition by the D epartm ent o f to w eapons D efense: "a work able definitio n of efficiency requires 'd' all of the costsgenerated m a wea po ns conSIenng .' . IC' 'fit bemg Just one speCla .o rmprogram , pro .. , f t H ercin lies the second reason fo r the o cos. fi' ď a tor o f hasis on m inim um pro ts as an m IC :~pons acquisition efficiency. Itis usuall~ much easierfo r gove rnment negotiato rs or audlto rs to say that pro fits are to o high than. to dalm that the cost of develo ping som e techmcally compl ex item of equipm ent is excessive. ~o ver.nment personnel recognize tha t if any Item m the we apons bili can be att acked and perhaps reduced, it is the pro fit item . How ever, thls Ma chiavellian realism ignores the 90% or .mo re of the bili inw hich a mu ch greater pote ntlal for efficiencyimpr ove m ents typically exists.,.M erton J.Peckand Frederic M . Scherer, The ~eapons Acquisition Process,' An Economic Analysu, DlvlSlOn of R esearch G raduate School of Business Adm inistrati~n (Bos ton: Har vard U niversity, 1962),509. 25 lt frequently recurs ou tside the regulato: y area as w ell. A strikingexample is to be :ound m the field of antitrust policy, wh ere preClsely the sam e issuesarise about the compatibility of "fair comp etition" and economi c efficiency. See, for examp le, Joe! B. Dirlam and Alfred E. Kahn, Fair Competition, The Law and Economlcs oj Antitrust Policy (ltha ca: Co rnell UniverSity Press, 1954),wh ich is addressed to this issue. , 26 T his means that the pro cess,being essentlally politi cal, is capa ble of generating viol ent emo tions o r at least rhetori c, on the part both of the industry, in its efforts to reduce the ~oad of regulation, to justify its manag em ents comPensatio n and its own performance agamst t~e . . d of ltSthreat o f go vernment competltlOn , an critics,who see regulation as ineffecti~e and the consum er subjected to m erClless gougmg. For a fine exampl e of the latt er, see Lee Metcalf ar:d Vic R einem er, Overcharge (New York : .Da v,d M cKa y Comp any, 1967),passim, and, sp~Clfi~ally on cost items such as charitable .c?ntnbutlOr:s, manag erial comp ensation, and pohtlcal adver~,s. Ch ters 6 8 and 9.lt is no condescenslOn Ing, ap " . I' to point out that the book:s e~onomlc ana Y Sl~ and appraisals are neither obJe.ctlvenor thorough, but its argum ent cannot be Ignored. .' 27 See fo r exampl e, the survey of the pohCl es of regul~tor y commi ssions w ith respect to the allow ance or disallowan ce of pron:otlOn~l, public relation s, or charitable expend'tures m C. F. Phillips, op. cit., 186-188. Or see ~he very interesting confiicting m ajority, concurnng, .and dissenting opinions on the subJectof contnbu. 'Pacihc Telehhone and Telegraph Co. v. tlOns ln ~'r C l;.(. , Public Utilities Commission oj the State oj a tJorma et al., 401P. 2d 353, 374-375, 379-3~2 (1965). It is very difficult to detect any conslstent co~sideration, let alo ne application, of. economlC criteria, of the kindto be develop ed m Part. II. lnstead there is a mush y mixtur e of questlOn~ suchas: Do these outlays benefit the company. Or the communit y at large? Or the stockhol~e.rs, m ainly? Are they prop erly part of the utlhty b · ? What would be fair? Th ese observa-usm ess. h tions are by no m eans intended to s~,ggest,t ~t I,' f "strictly economl c cntenaapp IcatlOn o would provid e any simpl e answers to these problem s either. 32 I I The Institution of Regulated Monopoly Therefore, although efficientoperation and continuous improvement therein are, quantitatively, the most important aspectsof industrial perform _ ance,the principal reliancefor securingthese results cannot,in the nature ofthe case,beplaced on the regulatory processitself.The major contribution that regulation canmake, and it is a modest one, canonly be the providing of incentives-or takingcare not to remove incentives-for private manage_ ments to exert themselves continuously in this direction. Whether such incentivescan ever be sufficient,once the spur of competition has been drastically attenuated, is the fundamental question with which we deal in Volume 2. The allowance for deprecíation expensesis of quite a different character. Operating expensesinvolve actual money outlays, which canbeautomatic _ ally recorded incompany accountsand transferred into the computed cost of service. Depreciation, too, goes into cost of serviceand price; but it is not a money outlay in the year it is charged. It is an imputed cost,introduced to take accountof the fact that the economic life of capital assetsis limited; to distribute the declineintheir value-which is a genuinecost ofproduction_ over their economic life, in order to assure its recoupment from customers. So the portion oftotal revenuesit permits the company to earn does not, as is the case with normal operating expenses,go out in payments to outside parties-suppliers of raw materials, workers and so on. It belongs to the owners; it is part of the gross return they are permitted to earn on their investment. The return to capital, in other words, has two parts: the return of the money capital invested over the estimated economic life of the investment and the return (interest and net profit) on the portion of investment that remains outstanding. The two are arithmetically linked,sinceaccording to the usual (but not universal)regulatory practicethe sizeof the netinvestment, on which a return is permitted, dependsat any given time on the aggregate amount of depreciation expenseallowed in the previous yeal's-that is,the amount of investment that remains depends on how much of it has been recouped by annual depreciation charges previously. And the two are linked economically, sincethe rate at which owners are permitted to get their capital out helps determine the true rate of return that they earn on their original investment.To the extent-as happens insome jurisdictions-that accrueddepreciation is not fully deducted from the rate base,the regulated companies ineffectare beingpermitted a higher rate ofprofit; and the same result could be achieved by allowing a higher nominal rate on original investment cost lessfull depreciation. Any economic discussionof depreciation should realIy consider it along with the return on investment. Inmany contexts it must take into account also the changingprovisions of the corporation income tax law concerning allowable rates of depreciation for tax purposes. Consider, for instance,the three-fold effecton tne cost of service,henceon allowable rates of return,of provisions for accelerated depreciation in the income tax laws, suchas were enactedin 1964,via (I)what it may do to the appropriate level of annual depreciation expenseallowed by the regulatory commission, (2) the effectof different rates of annual depreciation on the net remaining investment,on which the net return is permitted, and (3)the amount of income taxes that ought to beincIudedinthe cost of service.That requires some explanation. The effectof accelerated tax depreciation is not to reduce total taxes paid 33 I I The Traditional Issuesinthe Pricingof PublicUtility Services over the life of any particular pieceof capital equipment, but only to change its timing. Only the original cost of the equipment canbe charged o ff, in to tal, over its life. When a company charges a disproportionateIy large part of the total in the earlier years for tax purposes-which has the effect of reducingtaxable income, hencetaxes-this means it will beable to charge off correspondingly less,hencewill be forced to pay equivalently higher taxes, inlater years. Assuming no changeintax rates inthe interim, the taxes saved in the early years have to be paid backin full in the later years. But the postponement is beneficialto the taxpayer ; ineffect,accelerated depreciation means the Treasury Department is giving him an interest-free loan, during the period of the postponement. It increasesthe real rate (after tax) of return on investment,if one is permitted to keepmore of his profits for a while, before having to hand them over to the government. So regulatory commissions have had to decide whether the taxes to be incorporated inpriceshould beonly those actually paid-in which eventthe benefitsof accelerated depreciation are passed on entirely to customers inthe years of tax saving-or "normalized" over the life ofthe investment (higher than actual taxes in the early years, lower in the later)-in which event the interest-freeloan is retained by the company. If the latter is chosen, .commissions have had to decide also what treatment should begiven to the revenuesrecouped from consumers inexcessof the taxes actually paid inthe earlier years. These "phantom taxes" are typically segregated in a special reserve for deferred taxes, in recognition of the fact that taxes will in later years exceed these "normalized" recoupments from customers. But the controversial question is whether the amount of that reserve should be deducted from the company's net investment or rate base,on the ground that, as with depreciation, these monies have beenretrieved from customers and that it would bedouble recoupment to permit the company also to earn a return on that portion ofits undepreciated investment; or whether it should be left in the rate base, because Congress intended the tax savings to benefitinvestors and by so doing to encourage additional investment.The more frequent practice is to permit the company no return on the assets represented by the tax reserve; but many commissions permit a small return (for example, 1.5%, in contrast with 6.5% on the normal rate base),and some allow the full return-that is,they do not reduce the rate base by the accumulations of deferred taxes at alI.28 Advocates of includingin the cost of serviceonly the taxes actually paid, which involves "flowing through" the benefitsof accelerated depreciation to the custorners,argue that the benefitsare likely to be permanent-that is, that the amount of taxes saved is not really postponed but is, in effect, forgiven. And they are more right than wrong, provided the company's total investmentsgrow over time at a sufficientlyrapid rate. Inthat event,the tax postponements on its newer (and ever larger) investmentswill always exceed the higher taxes continually coming due on the older (and smaller) investments. Indeed,as long as to tal company assetsgrow at all, taxes will always be lower under accelerated amortization than they would be otherwise. Opponents of flow-through, assuming instead that the tax is merely postponed, maintain that this method confersa windfall of rate reductions on 28 See Eugene F. Brigham, "Public UtiIity Depreciation Practicesand Po licies,"National Tax J. (June1966),XIX: 149. 34/ I The Institution of Regulated Mono Pol)' currentcustomers at the expense of future custo m ers. And,indeed, und . ~almost any assumption about future gro w th of the compan y, rates unde Row-through will hav e to beincreased at some tim e inthe future-alth o ughr as long as growth is positiv e, not to the levels that would hav e to bechargect all the way along by a company that failed to take advantage o f this tal{ privilege. Rate-payers benefit from normalization also , as lo ng as the accumulated tax reserve is deducted inwhol e or inpart from the rate base,sincethey no longer have to pay a return on that part of the company's to tal aSSets represented by tho se accumulated tax-savings. Flow-through gives them the greatest immediate benefit.Whether inthe long runrates endup low er under Row-through than normalization depends,for the reasons already indicated on how rapidly the company'g total assetsgrow. 29 ' Not surprisingly, there has beencontinuous controversy and litiga tio n over which of these methods, if either, utility commissions ought to adopt; and, if they adopt Row-through , whether regulated companies can be required to avail themselves of the tax privileges, although they retain none of the benefitsand run the riskof having to askfor rate increasesin the future.š? These are really questions ofth e appropriate return to bepermitted on capital investment. When company spokesmen argue against Rowing_ through or deducting the deferred-tax reserves from their allowable rate base,they are in effect arguing for a larger return on investm ent. When consumer representatives argue on the oth er side, their contention, at least impli citly, is that regulation must in any casepro vide a sufficient rate or return-in which event these additional incentivesare unnecessary and ought to bepassed on inlower rates. Another issueassociated with the determination of depreciation expense is wh ether the number of dollars that investors are permitted in this fashion to recoup from customers sl?ould be the amounts originally invested,or whether that total should be adjusted ov er tim e to reRect the changing purchasingpower of those dollar s. H ere, again, the question is really one of what type of return investors ought to bepermitted; ineconomic essence,it is the same issue in anoth er form as whether the rate base, on which the 29 For a generalsurveyof the issues,seeGarfield and Lovejoy ,Public Utility Economics, 109-114. For a very lucidaccountand analysisof the pattern of rates over time under the various possiblesystemsandunderdifferentgrowth rate assumptions, see Eugene F. Brigham, "Th e Effectsof AlternativeTax D epreciationPolicies on PublicUtility Rate Structures," National Tax J. Oune1967),XX: 204-218. 30A surveyat the outset of 1970showed that commissions in 20 states required normalization,in17Howing-through, andin12had taken no action at aH .Both the Federal Power Commission and the Interstate Commerc e Commission have ordered How-through; the Civil Aeronautics Board, normalization; and the Federal Communications Commission has taken no stand,exceptto declarethat the failure of a regulated company to take advantage of accelerateddepreciationfor tax purposes would be takeninto accountinfixingthe rate of return. "States Split on Accelerated Depreciation," Electrical World, January20,1969,73,and ibid., January 12,1970,12.FPC decisionsrequiring Row-through and computing company costsof service as though the companies had avail ed thems elv~sof the tax privileges even though they had ceased to do so, have beensustained in the courts. See Alabama- Tennessee Natural Gas Co. v. Federal Power Commission, 359F. 2d 318(1966), cert. denied,385 U.S. 847 (1967); Natural Gas PiPeline Co. of America v. Federal Power Commission, 385F. 2d 629 (1967); and Midwestern Gas Transmission et al. v. Federal Power Commission, 388F. 2d 444(1968),cert. denied392U .S. 928 (1968).But the ability of commissions to require Rowing-through was severely curtailed by the 1969income tax law revision.PublicLaw 91-172, 91stCongress, December 30,1969,83Stat .487,625-628. The Trad itional lssues inthe Pricingof Public Uti lity Services 35/ I . allowab le return is to be comp uted, sho uld be sim ilarly adjusted-to w hich we turn short l y. I I . of depreciation expense under public uti ity regu atio nT he treatment h " h d ts 'des an early illustration of the respectsin w hic pncmg ere. ~par prov\he norms ofmicroeconom ic theory. It is an elementary propos ltlOn?f from del and one aspect of its central rule, as we shall see m~re fully in ~~: :~ 3 that priceideally shou ld beset at marg inal cost-that IS~at sh_or~ p .' 1 st But that marg inal cost is a measure of changesinuariab e run margma co . . . t f the net I .it does not include (most ofl depreciation, or any par o costs a o ne ~ tme nt as such. Nor do mo no po lists, who are suppo sed to return on mv es , .. . t nt mar inal cost to ma rginal revenue, take depreciation .I~ o acco u :~~:~ein th;ir pricing decisio ns-again according to the trad~tl~nal. theo {y f the firm w hich assumes continuo us, short -run profit maxlm l~at lO~. n o 'h' ghly that the businessmanmust cover his vanableboth casest ISmeans, rou , t o n t if he is to continue to o perate at all; and so far as gross re urn h ~~~e~tment is concerned, he takes as m uch as he canget, over handabokvet\~ . h ť l'ttle-whatever t e ma r e wriable costs=-sometim es mu c ,some imes I . bear It is only inthe long run, ove r the life of investme nts, that pnces, thus . cted to be high enough o n the average to cover fixed cos.ts. set, are expe . I d fi d ts such as depreciaT herefo re wh enregulatory com m issions mc u e xe cos. d h . d eturn o ninvestm ent intheir cost ofse rvice comp utatlO~s, an ence tio nan r . . t gmal cost but in the permi ssible rates, they are in effectrequmng no ~a~ - I t d average-cost or full-cost pricing-a practice widely fo llo:ve inu~r:gu ~ ~n industries as we ll. Ho w serio us this departure fro m opt im um pncmg IS I practice is a m ajo r to pic of Part II. Determination of the "Rate Base" . S'ncethe pro ductio n of public utility servicestypically isunusually capI~al~ inte~sive 31the element of cost represented by the return on i.nvested cat~tad necessarily bulks larger in their final selling price than m unregu a e A clearer impression of the u.nusuallyheavy utilizationof capitalinthepublicut1htyllldustneslS 'd d b the fo llow ingskeletal finanClaldata prOV 1e y bl' tT t a takenfrom the Annual R epo rtsof a pu 1CU ll y, steel,anda groceryretailingcompa ny.No tethew 1de rangeinthe ratios of their cap1talto sales,w hether the fo rme ris measu redbyto tal assets,fixedass~ts -land plant andequipment-or, Onthe hab1hty " ,I h t' longterm debts'de byto tal investedcap1ta-t a lS, - , 1, , 't Or to describethesame relatlOn-and OW nerseqUly. , , h ship by its reciprocal,note ,~hediffere?,cesIII t e numberof times theircap1tal turnsove r eachyear inthefor m o fsales. Source.Op. cit., 23~. ~::~:::- __ 31G arfield and Love joy o ffer as typical the follo w ingcapital turnover ratios (gro ssrevenues dividedby capital investm ent). Electricutilities N aturalgasutilities N aturalgaspipelines Bel!Telep honeSystem W aterutilities T o talmanufacturing 0.30 0.60 0.40 0.40 0.20 2.00 PacificGas The Great United States Atlantic & Pacificand Electric Tea Co .(A&P)Co. Steel Corp. 236 2,091 558CUl Tentassets Land,plant,and equipment, 3,551 3,446 326net 28 854Otherassets 6,391 884T ota l assets 3,815 36 / I The Institution of Regulated Monopoly industriesgenerally.š"And sinceit is this element inthe cost of servicethat determines the size of the company's profit, it is not surprising that its determination has beenbyfar the most hotly contestedaspectof'regulation.ea consuming by far the greatest amount of time of both commissions and courts. The number of dollars of investment return are, of course,a product of the aggregate investment,on which some return is to be allowed, and the percentage rate permitted . Arithmetically, the two factors are of equal importance; the result canbechangedby increasingor decreasingone justas well as the other. But, largely for constitutional reasons, the traditional emphasis and focus of most of the litigation in the American regulatory . h b h r th " t b "expenenceas eenon t e rormer , e ra e ase. It was not always so. Inits historie Munn v. lllinois decision,the Supreme Court addressed itself to the contention of the appellants that it was up to the courts to determine whether the rates prescribed-in this caseby the legislature itself-were reasonable or unreasonable. It specificallydeclined to do so: "It is insisted,however, that the owner of property is entitled to a reasonLongterm debt Ownersequity Paeifie Gas The Great and Eleetrie United States Atlantie & Pacific CQ. Steel Corp. Tea Co. (A&P) 1,830 1,625 3,344 627 3,456 3,344 627 1,005 4,609 5,459 Total investedcapital Sales Ratios to sales: Total assets 3.8 1.4 0.16 Fixedassets 3.5 0.7 0.06 Investedcapital 3.4 0.7 0.11 Souree. The P.G.&E.andU.S.Steelfiguresare for 1968,the A&P for the fiscalyear 1967- 68; balancesheetitemsare for the endofthose years.From their Annual Reports. 32Capital costsas a percentageof sales,1965. Net Ineome After Taxes PlusInterest Paid %a Depreeiation Plus Ineome Taxes %b Transportation 5.9 9.7 Communications 13.4 18.6 Electric,gas,andsanitaryservices 15.4 19.3 Total manufacturing 5.1 6.3 Souree. Computed from U.S.Treasury Department, InternalRevenueService,Statistics oj Income, 1965,Corporation Income Tax Returns, Washington,1969,17,20. b These are shown additionalIy inconsideration of the fact,already noted, that they are also part of the gross costsof capital.The percentages inthe two columnsshould therefore beadded to obtain a fulIerindicationof the relative import anceof alIcapital costsinthesevarious industries. a This columnpresentsnetreturnon investment (equity plus borrowed capital)as a percentage of total businessreceipts.lnterest alone representedthe folIowing portions of the to tal returninthe four industrygroups: 41,21,38 and 14%, respectively. 33This generalization,along with the generalization that commissions have devoted their major attention to the generallevel of rates,does not apply to transportation, where, for more than four decades,profits (at least of railroads) have typicalIy beenbelow levels that regulatorY commissions would have regarded as reasonable, and primary attention has gone insteadto r~te structuresand the conditionsof inter-carner competition. Seep. 170,below. 37 / I The Traditional Issuesinthe Pricingof PublicUtility Services able compensation for its use,eventhough it beclothed with a publicinterest and that what is reasonable is a judicialand not a legislative question. ' "... the practicehas beenotherwise. Incountrieswhere the common law prevails, it has beencustomary from tim e immemorial for the legislature to declare what shall be a reasonable compensation under suchcircumstances, or, perhaps more properly speaking,to fix a maximum beyond which any charge made would beunreasonable.... "We know that this is a power which may be abused: but that is no argument against its existence.For protection against abusesby legislatures the people must resort to the polls, not to the courts."34 Thirteen years later, however, the Court took the opposite position: "The question of the reasonablenessof a rate of charge for transportation by a railroad com pany, involving as it does the element of reasonableness both as regards the company and as regards the public,is eminently a question for judicial investigation, requiring due process of law for its determination."35 Finally, inSmytk V. Ames, in 1898,the Court not only strongly reaffirmed its responsibility under the Fourteenth Amendmenťs due process clause to review the reasonablenessof rates set by state commissions, but it proceeded to specifyits criteria of reasonableness: "We hold ... that the basisof all calculations as to the reasonablenessof rates to becharged bya corporation maintaining a highway under legislative sanction[the casein question involved a railroad] must be the fair value of the proper ty beingused by it for the convenienceofthe public.Andinorder to ascertainthat value, the original cost of construction,the amount expended inpermanent improvements, the amount and market value of its bonds and stock,the present as compared witk the original cost of construction, the probable earningcapacity ofthe proper ty underparticular rates prescribedbystatute, and the sum required to meet operating expenses,are aU matters for consideration, and are to begivensuchweight as may bejustand right ineach case.We do not say that there may not be other matters to be regarded in estimating the value ofthe property. What the company is entitled to askis a fair return upon the value of that which it employs for the public con­ venience."36 The "specification"was hardly precise;several of the listed "matters for consideration" were distressinglyvague, and the Court was also vague about how it wanted all of them, along with the "other matters," combined into a composite "fair value" figure. Nor were regulatory commissions thereafter much clearer about how they were foUowing those instructions,as BenW ~ Lewis has causticaUyobserved: "A word should be said at this point with referenceto the hybrid 'fair value' ('trance')method .... The 'fair value' method consistsof an examination bythe commission of evidencerelating to reproduction cost and prudcnt investment, together with evidence of intangible values and observed condition of the property, the application of judgment whose processesdefy ::c94hU .S.113,133-134(1877). lea ssuv M' go, I waukee & St. Paul Railway Company c~ znnesota, 134U.S. 418,458 (1890). For a mpendlum of the leadingcasesconcerningthe judicialreview of utility regulation, seeBarnes, Cases on Public Utility Regulation, Chapter 3. 36Stresssupplied.169U.S.466,546-547(1898). 38 / I The Institution of Regulated Monopoly analysis or description, and the selectionof a final value figure which bears no derivative relation to any figures inevidenceand no ascertainable relatio n to any functional purpose of rate making. The determination is typically accompanied by explicit denials that a formula was employed or that ~he result isa compromise, together with a statement that the commission isquite incapable of retracing and setting forth the processes by which the value figure was reached."37 ltwas not only its lackof precision that made Smyth v. Ames the bane of publicutility regulation for the next 50 years, embroiling commissions and courts inendlesscontroversies about the definition and measurement of fair value. lt was also its specificinsistencethat stockholders were entitled to a return not on the dollars they had actually invested-a quantity easily recorded in the com pany accounts, hence readily ascertainable-or "prudently invested,"but on the currentvalue of their investment.The first thing wrong with sucha standard is its possible circularity.As the Supreme Court pointed out 46 years later, inoverturning Smyth v. Ames, "fair value" cannot serve as the basis for rate regulation if it is takento mean market value, sincethe market value of any enterprise or of its common stock dependson its earningsor anticipated earnings,which inturn depend on the rates that are allowed it: "'fair value' is the end product of the process of rate-making not the starting point ...." 38This objectionis sound, however, only if "fair value" is to be measured in terms of the market value of the enterprise. It is incorrect if applied to the customary interpretation that measured fair value (at least inpart) with referenceto the cost ofreproducing the company's assets,as Smyth v. Ames likewise instructedcommissions to do. Whatever the problems of applying the reproduction cost standard, and they were great, circularity was not one of them. The currentcost of duplicating the existing facilities or others capable of giving the same servicedoes not move up or down so as to validate whatever levels of rates and earningsare perrnitted.š? 37 ln Leverett S. Lyon and Victor Abrarrison, Government and Economic Lije: Deoelopment and Current Issues oj American Public Policy (Washington: The Brookings Institution, 1940),2:692. 38 "The heart of the matter is that rates cannot be made to depend upon 'fair value' when the value ofthe going enterprise dependson earnings under whatever rates may be anticipated." Federal Power Commission v. Hope Natural Gas Co., 320U.S. 591,601(1944). The "market value of its bonds and stock" was one of the considerations that the Supreme Court said had to go into the determination of "fair value" inSmyth v. Ames. 39There is some causa1 connection between rates and reproduction costs. Higher or lower rates will mean a greater or lesser volume of sales,hencea need for greater or lesser production capacity. To the extent that capacity is supplied under conditions of increasing or decreasingcost, its reproduction cost will vary dependingon whether a greater or lesservol ume is demanded, hence on the level of rates. In principle,this relationship does not precÍude a singledeterminate solution, with a level of rates set in order to permit the desired return on the currentcost of producing the capacity required to satisfy the demand elicited by that rate level (and structure). In contrast, there are any number of possible rate levels compatible with earning that return on the market value of investment, since-if demand issufficientlyinelastic -higher rates will mean a correspondingly higher market value, low rates a lower market value. Indeed,in perfectly functioningcapital markets the market value of the company will move up and down, whatever the level of rates set,sufficientlyto keepthe rate of return earned on that market value at a constant leve!.(If investors are satisfied with a 10% return on investment, the market value of any com pany or of its securitieswill be ten times its permitted earnings,no matter what the rates it is permitted to charge; so its earningswill always be equal to 10% on its "fair value," thus defined,no matter what their absolute leve!.) 39/ I The Traditional Issuesinthe Pricingof PublicUtility Services As we shall see,a strong economic casecanbemade for basingrate levels on "the present as compared with the original cost of construction,"as Smyth v. Ames suggested.But as it developed inpractice it had a fatal flaw: it invited endlesscontroversy over the proper valuation ofsunkcapital, indirect contradiction of the economic principle that sunkinvestment costs are prominent among the "bygones"that ought to beignored in pricemaking.s? "ltis not too much to say that interms of cost,delay, uncertainty,and the arousing of animosity and contention,the performance of the reproduction cost method falls little short of a publicscandal; byfar the greater part of the grotesque and costly ponderosity which characterizes modern rate regulation is to be attributed directly and solely to the reproduction cost approach. There is no occasion here to recite details of the maneuvering ina typical rate proceeding. The months and years spent by contending parties, commissions, and courts over suchhypothetical factors as pricing,conditions of construction,labor performance, overheads, intangibles; the huge sums paid to engineersand accountantsand other professional experts, directed in their claims and counter-claimsby high-priced attorneys skilledinthe art of rate casestrategy; the highly charged, politico-legal-mystic character of the whole performance-this is all acceptedpracticeunder the reproduction cost method, yet it seems far removed from the essential businessof setting the price of a singleservicein a singlecommunity under conditions of simple monopoly."41 It is ironie that when the Supreme Court insisted on the relevance of currentor reproduction cost, in Smyth v. Ames, it did so in the interest of effective regulation, and specificallyin order to preserve "the right of the public to be exempt from unreasonable exactions."42For obvious reasons, the respectiveenthusiasms for original and reproduction cost on the part of regulatory commissions and regulated companies has varied dep~ndingon the trend ofprices and constructioncosts.Smyth v. Ames came at a Hrne when the general price level had fallen to its secular low point as a result of the deflations following the Civil War and the extended Depressions ofthe l870s and the 1890s.ltwas the state ofNebraska that argued for the use ofpresent value, as measured by (the lower) reproduction cost,and the railroads that argued for book or historical cost. Insupporting the position of the former, the Court had in mind not only the long-term declineof constructioncosts, henceof fair value relative to original investment, but also the common complaint that railroad capital structures,on the liability side,and prope~ty valuations, on the asset side, were vastly inflated because of excessive payments to contractors and promoters and inadequate accounting for depreciation.v' 40 This does not mean that the returns permitted on past investments are irrelevant to the optimal pricing of public utility services.It means that endlesscontroversies over the proper valuation and continual revaluation of capital 'nvestments made in the past are a deplorably inefficient and indirectway of approaching the task of devising economically efficient rates. (See the discussionon pp. 109-117,Chapter 4). 41Lyon and Abramson, op. cit., 2: 691.For a more recentappraisal, seeLewis' "Emphasis and Mis emphasis inRegulatory Policy," inShepherd and Gies, op. cit., 229-236.A place of high honor in these evaluations must be accorded also to JusticeLouis D. Brandeis,who made many oft~e same observations as long ago as 1923;see his famous dissentingopinion inthe Southioestern BeU Telephone case,262 U.S. 276, 289-312(1923). 42 169 U .S. 466,544(1898). 43See ibid., 544-545,and Justice Brandeis, in Southwestern BeU Telephone, op. cit., 298. 40 I I The Institution of Regulated MonOpoly During and after World Wars I and II,the positions of the contendi agencies were reversed: inflation and the introduction of more effecttg ~on~rols o ver book (historical) prop erty valuation s and company capit~~ izations converted regulated companies into enthusiasts for reproductio cost,and most commi ssions and advocates of effective regulation the otl, n . f er way -mto proponents o a rate or earningsbase measured by" ·:,rude investment"-the number of dollars originally, prudently investedin t~ prop er ty used and usable inpublicservice,lessaccumulated depreciatio n 44 It was not until 1944,in the Hope Natural Gas case,45that the Supre~e Court at last decided, in the immortal words of Lord Mountararat, to "withhold its legislative hand,"when it explicitly declinedto tie the Federal Power Commission to any particular prescribedformula for the fixingof reasonable publicutility rates. Rejectingfair value on grounds of circularity, the Court asserted that it would no longer insiston commissions taking reproduction cost into accountinfixingpermissible rates, either. "Under the statutory standard of 'just and reasonable' it is the resuh reached not the method employed which is controlling."46 What "endresults"w ere relevant? The testswould henceforth beeconomic and pragmatic: "Rates which enable the company to operate successfully,to maintain its financialintegrity,to attract capital, and to comp ensate its investors for the risksassumed certainlycannotbe condemned as invalid, eventhough they might produ ce only a m eager returnon the so-called 'fair value' rate base."47 As long as regulation treats investors sufficientlywell, by the acid test o f the competitive capital-market place, to enablethe regulated companies to raise whatev er fundsthey needto provide acceptableservice,the Court seemed to say,it would pose no additional testsor obstacles.sf The Court has beentrue to its promis e. Outside ofth e novel area ofnatural gas production, it has entertained no public-utilityrate-level case of the traditional kindsince Hope.49 State regulatory commissions have responded, 44 See,among oth ers,John Bauer and Nathaniel Gold , Public Utility Valuation for Purposes of Rate Control (New York: The Macmillan Co., 1934), Chapter 3; Barnes, The Economics of Public Utility Regulation, Chapters 11-17,an especially thorough analysis; Troxel, Economics of Public Utilities, Chapter 13;Eli Winston Clemens, Economicsand Public Utilities (New York: Appleton Century-Crofts, 1950),157-158;Wilcox, Public Policies Toward Business, 311-314; James C. Bonbright, Principles qf Public Utility Rates (N ew York: Columbia University Press, 1961),Chapters 11-12;C. F. Phillips, op. cit., 231-240. 45 Federal Power Commission v. Hope Natural Gas Co., 320U.S. 591(1944). 46 lbid., 602. 47 lbid., 605. 48 Even in applying that prirnary test, it indicated it would give heavy weight to the "expert judgment" of the regulatory commission: "Moreover, the Commission's order .... is the product of expert judgment which carries a presumption ofvalidity." lbid., 602. 49 Information by courtesy ofEdward M . Barrett. ln the natural gas cases, the Federal Power Commission was attempting to evolve some system for fixing the field prices of a commodity produced at widely varying costs by a large number of producers. The Supreme Court had to decidea number of issues,the most important of which was wheth er the Commission had to make the traditional type of cost of service determinations, company by company, or might instead shift, as it wished to do, to setting areawide rates applicable to all companies regardless of their individual costs. Ingeneral, following the philosophy of Hope, the Court sustained the Commission 's exercise of its own "expertise." See Wisconsin v. Federal Power Commission, 373 U .S. 294 (1962) and Permian Basin Area Rate Cases, 390U.S. 747(1968).For a similar decision in a case involving the ICC's use of multicompany costsindetermining the proper division 41I I T he T raditio nal Issues inthe Pricing of Public U tility Services invarying degree, by shifting their attentio n fro m a preo ccupat io n w ith the rate baseto the m ore manageable questio n of the appro priate rate of return.š? Ina sense,the changeis com pletely insubstantial: the substantive question of how mu ch return o ninvestme nt should beincorpora ted inthe total cost of serviceis the sam e w hether it focuseson one or the oth er o f the tw o factors by w hich it is determined. And,as fo r admi nistrative practicability, sinceit is the aggregat e of dollar profits that concerns the parties to regulato ry proceedings,it wou ld seem there w ould be just as m uch o pport unity for controv ersy ov er the percentage rate as there w as in the past ov er the principal sum to whi ch that rate wa s to be appli ed. Th e battle has not abated but m erely shifted ground. As regulatory att ention ha s turned from the rate base to the rate of return,and the latt er ha s become lessand lessan essentially conventional 6 % or so, the litigants hav e become increasingly skilled and assiduou s in developing prolong ed, compl ex, and inconclusive testimon y about its proper m easurem ent.š! N evertheless the transforma tion of the rat e base bymo st state commi ssions from a hypoth etical or imaginary to an actual book figure,52 representing actual mon ey outlay s, introduced a strong elem ent of stability and predictability into the regulatory process. Whil e the question of what constitutes a "fair" rate ofr eturn, as anethical or poli tical matt er, would seem to bejust as pot entially productive of controversy as the question of what constitutes "fair value," the economi c question, thou gh ina sense unchangedand no easier to solv e than befor e,is at least subject to the pragmatic test suggested by the Suprem e Cou rt itself-are the regulated compani es succeeding in attracting the capital they require ?53 of revenues for mul ti-line freight service,see Chicago & North Western Railway Co. et al. v. Atchison, Topeka & Santa Fe Railway Co. et al., 387U .S.326 (1966). 50 This do es not m ean that they ha ve been perm itted to ignore the rat e base. On the contrary, as long as the courts continue to review commi ssion rate ord ers at all, it is diffi.cult to see how they can avoid insisting on som e evaluation of the prop erty on whi ch a reasonable return mu st be permitt ed. Thi s ha s been the continuing practice of such courts as hav e spoken since Hope. See Francis X .W elch, "Th e Rat e Base is H ere to Stay!" Public Utilities Fortnightly (October 22, 1953),LIl: 635-641. 51 See,for example , the possibly jaundiced view of BenLewis: "aswe begin insheer disgust to mo ve aw ay from the debacIe o f valuation , w e w ill pro bably substitute a new 'form of Rom an holid ay-Iongdrawn -out , co stly, confusing, expert-contrived presentat ions, in which the simpl e directions of the Hope and Bluefield cases are turned into veritable wit ches' brew s of statistical elaboration and manipulation .... W e do not need to do this sort o f thing to regulat ion; we do no t need to do it to our selves.T he behavio r of investor s w ill tell us, day by day, all w e need to kno w abo ut 'compar ability.'" InShepherd and G ies,op. cit., 242-243. Co pyright, 1966,by Random Ho use, Inc. 52 On the ima ginary chara cter of the reprod uctio n cost calculation, see Wilcox , op. cit., 317. 53Contro versy o ver the rate base has by no m eans disappeared. W ith price levels increasing secularly since the Hope decision,it has paid regulated comp anies to argue for som e incorpora tio nof reprodu ction co st intheir rate bases.T he stat e co m mi ssions have to som e extent acceded: as of 1967, 31of them (incIudingthe D istrict of Columbi a) used original cost (or "prudent investm ent") in regulating electric and gas utilities, 12 used fair value-a compro m ise betw een original and reproduction cost-one call ed its m ethod "average net investment," and one used reprodu ction co st specifically. Of the remaining six states, four had no state commissions to regulate gas and electric utilities (see note 36,chapt er I)and two commissions had no established pro cedures. U.S. Senate, Committ ee o n G ov ernment Operations, Subcommitt ee on Inter-go vernmental R elations, State Utility Commissions, op. cit., 37-40.See also Federal Pow er Co mmi ssion, Federal and State Commission Jurisdiction and Regulation : Electric, Gas, and Telephone Utilities, op. cit., 11-12, whi ch gives a slightl y different tabulat ion; and Joseph R. R ose on "Confusion in Valu ation for Public U tility R ate M aking," Minnesota Law Review (1962), 42 I I The Institution of Regulat ed Monopoly Selection of the Permitted Rate of Return ln essence, every part of the regulator y price making exerciseinvolves determining the prop er level of earnings to be permitt ed the regulated compani es. This is obviously true of the explicit determination o f return, whether concentrating, as it traditionall y ha s, on the valuation of the prop er ty on which a m or e or lessconventional rate o freturn is to be allow ed, or, as has become the practice inthe majority of jurisdictions, on the rate of return to be perm itted o nthe do llars actually invested inthe enterprise. Itis also the consequence o f a commi ssion's deóding wh ether or not to include items suchas publicrelations expenditures in the co st of service, or how to measur e depreciation, or how to treat income tax costs wh en accelerated depreciation is available. The process has inevitably reftected a compl ex mixture ofpolitical and economic considerations. Gov ernmental price-fixing is an act of political economy. And,it bears repeating, this means that it necessarilyand quite properly involves the strikingof a balance betw een conftictingeconomic interests, inftuencedby political considerations inboth the crassestand the broad est possible senses,and informed by community standards of fairness. Therefore , from tim e to time, the courts and commissions have characterized the entire task of setting "justand reasonable rates," and particularly that portion representing return to shareho lders, in terms of reaching an acceptable compromise between the interests of investors on the one hand and consumers on the other. 54Th e conceptionis that there is no single, scientifically correct rate of return, but a "zone of reasonableness," within whi ch judgment must be exercised. What are the limits of th is zone? Th e bottom limit is an economic one, set by the necessity of continuing to attract capital; but, as we shall see,even that limit is an elastic one, dependingon how much capital is required and how well one wish es to treat the company's existingstockholders.55Th e upper XL VII: I,whose analysis demonstrat es that the for egoing simple designations conceal considerable differencesin application. In a few instances, for exampl e, "original cost" states ha ve applied the permissible rate of return to an undepreciated rate base. For a thorough survey of actual valuation practices and rates of return allowed , see Return Allowed in Public Utility Rate Cases, 1915-54and 1955-61,2 vols., Arthur Andersen & Co. (place and date of publication not indicated); also A.J. G. Priest, "Th e Public Utility Rate Base," lowa Law Review (W inter 1966),LI: 283-303,yielding a count of 31 original cost, and 19fair value jurisdictions. This continued emphasis on the rate base might seem irrational : inflation can be taken into account just as effectively by varying the permissible rate of return as by continuingto fight the old valuation controversies. To som e extent this is what has happened. State com m issions continuingto emplo y or iginal cost hav e tended to compensate by allowing higher rates of return than the states that hav e either continued to use or hav e turned to fair value. But the comp ensation has beenonly partia!. Ther e continuesto be a strong element of convention and tradition in the allowable rates of return; confinedto som ething likea 5.5 to 8% interval, their variation has not beena complet e substitute for alt erations inthe rate base as wel!. See C.F. Phillips, Jr., op. cit., 268-271, Garfield and Lov ejoy, op. cit., 133-134,and the sources cited by both . 54 See,for example , the words ofJustice Douglas, speakingfor the Supreme Court major ity in the Hope case, 320U .S. 591,603(1944). 55 A firm can continue to attract outsid e capital, within limits, even though its overall rate of return is held w ell below the rate that new investors will require if they are to make funds available to it. If it does so , it will be at the expense of its present stockholders. See note 64, p. 46. Its manag ers will therefor e be reluctant to do so in thos e circumstances, to the extent that they are interested in the welfar e of thei.r stockholders. Th e bot tom limit canbe low er if it is defined as how mu ch the firm must be permitt ed to earn on its total investm ent in ord er for it to be able to pay new investors enough to hav e them wiIlingly supply the firm with additional fundsthan if it is defined as the rate that will make a company willing, without Th e T raditional Issues inthe Pricing of Public Utility Services limit ha s been either w hat it w as estimate d capital w as obtaining in investm ents of simila r riskelsew here or , even higher, at what ever it wa s deem ed the trafficw ould bear. AsJustice H o lm es o ncecomm ented, rate regulation "... ha s to steer betw een Scylla and Cha rybdis. On the one side, if the franchise is taken to m ean that the m os t profitabl e return that could be go t, free from comp etition, is prote cted by the Fourt eenth Am endment, then the pow er to regulate is nul!.On the o ther hand, if the power to regulate withdra w s the pro tectio n of the Am endment alto gether, then the prop erty IS nought. .Thzs IS not a matter oj economic theory, but ojfair interpretation oj a bargazn. Ne lther extrem e can ha ve been m eant. A midway betwe en them mu st be hit."56 43 I I Such a view of regulation, as a sort of collective bargaining process, with the commi ssion m ediating betwe en investor s and consum ers, may be justified on two quite distinctbases.Th e first is that there really is sucha thing as the correct rate of return, but that it is impo ssible to measure it precisely. Th e econom ist,. taking as his mod el the equating o f price and rnarginal cost, wou ld ordmari ly begin57 by identifyingas the "correct" return the one that cov ers the costs of (increm ental) capita!.58 But as w e shall see there is no obje:tive, unequivo cal m ethod of ascertaining the cost of capital, even for a partl .cular regulated com pany at a particular tim e and place; the process requires the exercise of a good deal ofjudgm ent, andjudgments will inevitably differ as to the result. coercio n by the regulator y authoritie s, to seek outsid e capita!. And it canbe lo we r, stilI, if the comp any do es not need outside capita!. Th e point in either case is that, by virtue of their pow er to contro l the distribution of dividends and both to prohib it the discontinuance and to require extensions of servi ce,commi ssions can comp el public utility compani es to reinvest internally generated funds or to seek ou tside fundsdespite the fact that allow ed returns are lessthan sufficient to induce such investm ent on a voluntary basis. If the supply of capital thus obtained sufficed to pro vide the desired quantity and.quality of service, it would not be necessary to glve shareholders a return as high as would be demanded by suppliers of new capita!. Thi s is mer ely a recognition of the fact that capital Irretnevably sunkin an enterprise has a low er oppo rtunity cost than increm ental capita!. See pp. 70-73, 118. T~is was one consideration underlying the decIslon of the Federal Po we r Commis sion in 1965to introduce a two-pri ce system for natural gas,with a low er price for gas discovered in the past and already committ ed under existing contr~cts,and a higher price for new, additiona l sU pplJes of gas committed in new interstate Contracts.Th e differentiation in this case took th fOrm not of allow ing different nominal rates ~Ireturn but of using different cost computa :Ionsfor old and new gas, with the price for the att er beingset at the estimated full currentcost of new, additional supplies. The justification, proff ered by this writer and accepted by the Commi ssion, wa s that it w as both undesirable and unnecessary to extend tha t high er price to the o ld gas-undesirable because to do so would confer windfalls o n the own ers of reserves discovered and develop ed at lower co sts in the past (a noneconomic argum ent), and unnecessary because the investm ents in the old gas had already been mad e (an economi c consideration). Area Rate Proceeding, Claude E. Aikman, et al., 34 FPC 159, 185-192 and passim (1965), sustained in Permian Basin Area Rate Cases, 390 U .S. 747 (1968). 56 Stress supplied. Cedar Rapids Gas Light CO. V. Cedar RaPids, 223U .S. 655,669 (1912). 57 On the reasons wh y he w ill not necessarily stop there, see pp. 44and 69-70. 58 Thi s w as one of the criteria listed by the Suprem e Court in its leading decision in the Bluifield case, backin 1923: "Th e return sho uld be reasonably sufficient to assure confidence inthe financialsoundness of the utility and should beadequate, under efficient and economical manag em ent, to maintain and support its credit and enable it to raise the mon ey necessary for the proper discharge of its public duties." Bluefield Water Works & lmprov. CO. V. Public Service Commission rif West Virginia, 262 U .S. 679,693(1923). It was also one of the standards set forth by the Suprem e Co urt majority in the Hope decision. See p. 40. 44 / I The Institution of Regulated Monopoly The other view would be that the proper return that the regulatory processseeksand should seekto ascertainis not itself an objectivephenolll_ enon:what is a "just"or "fair and reasonable" return is a poli tical, not a scientificquestion.This view is certainlynot incorrect,either as a description of the rate making process or as prescription.A model of the pricesystem in the modern, impurely competitive economy constructedin terms of the interplay of various organized groups, each with some degree of market power, with the results determined by the equilibrium of power relations, on the one hand, and inftuencedby considerations of "justprice,"on the other, is in some ways more relevant than one in which the transacting parties are conceivedof as individuals, each a pecuniaryprofit-maximizer whose actions are entirely dictated by the objectiveconstraints of the impersonal market. Inany event,the economist cannot claim that sucha vision of regulation as an essentialIypolitical proeess is "wrong;" alI he can do is point out the costs to society of departing from purely economic standards. Economists could make suchan argument with better grace and greater forcefulnessif they could themselves declare unequivocalIy what rate of return those purely economic standards dictate. The problem is that evenif we confineourselves to economic criteria we find that the very idea of the "correct"rate is elusive.The cost of capital is only the beginningpoint, for two reasons, both of which we will be explaining and exploring at a later point. (l) If perfect competition does not prevail in the real world, nonregulated industriesgeneralIymay earn more (or less)than that minimum return.Ifso, it would produce misalIocation to hold the pricesofregulate d servicesdown (or up) to that level: this is the problem of the so-calIed "secondbest."59(2) The microeconomic model that calIsfor equating all pricesto (marginal) cost and profits to the (marginal) cost of capital, which we describein Chapter 3,is a static one. It tells us how to make the most satisfactory useof our limited resourceswith giventastes and a giventechnology. But it does not necessarilytell ushow bestto promote economic progress. The provision of incentivesand the wherewithal for dynamic improvements in efficiencyand innovations in servicemay require allowing returns to exceedthat level: this was the essenceof Joseph A. Schumpeter's classic defenseof monopoly.v? Thus, the rate of return must fulfill what we may term an institutional function:it somehow must provide the incentivesto private management that competition and profit -maximization are supposed to provide inthe nonregulated private economy generally.We have already identifiedthis as a centralproblem of regulation. 61There isas yet no sdentific way evenof definingthe rate of return arrangements that would achieve this more complex definition of economic optimality, not to mention measuring them. Inkeepingwith the purpose of this entire chapter, the ťollowing survey of 59 Seepp.69-70,Chapter 3and p. 195,Chapter 7. 60 See his Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy (New York: Harper & Brothers,1942),Chapters 7-9. 61This lsnot to suggestthat it isonly through the rate of returnthat the necessaryincentivesare best provided . Given the divorce between ownership and management,the reward smight better be offered to, and penalties assessed against,the managers themselves,for example, inthe form of variable bonusesprop o rtio nedto . some measure of performance.See the section on "IncentivePlans,"Chapter 2,Volu m e2. 45 / I The Traditional Issuesinthe Pricingof PublicUtility Services the major problems and issuesindetermining the proper rate of return (we assume, for simplicity, that the investment to which it is to be applied is valued at original cost lessdepreciation)is intendedprincipalIyto illust~ate the foregoing observations. While summarizing the major traditional issues in price regulation, as backgroundfor our own, alternative approach in Part II,it should demonstrate also (I) the problems in measuring the minimum cost to which priceswould beheld byeffectivecompetition, which regulation issupposed to emulate; (2)the important inftuenceofnoneconomic considerations,and especially of. conceptionsof what is "fair;" and (3)the elusivenessof the proper economic standards, for the reasonsjustidentifiedthe problem of "secondbest"and the institutional functionof the rate of return. Problems in Measuringthe Cost of CapitaI.The public utility company competes with alI other companies inthe economy for the various inputs of its production process-for labor, materials, and capital. To the extentthat these are supplied inopen markets (insteadof, for example, under negotiated bids),in principlethere ought to be readily available objective measures of the pricesof these inputsthat have to beincorporated inthe cost of service.This is clearly true of the capital input: sincethe regulated company must go to the open capital market and selIits securitiesincompetition with every other would-be issuer,there clearly is a market price (a rate ofinterest on borrowed funds,an expectedreturn on equity)that it must be permitted and enabled to pay for the capital it requires.Of course,the costs that go into its price(or rate levels)are a functionnot only of the unit pricesof its inputs (for examp le, the priceof a ton of coal, delivered to the generatingplant, or the interestrate on its bonds)but also of the efficiency with which they are employed (for example, the number of tons of coal or the number of dolIars of capital investmentrequired to generate a kilowatt hour of electricity);and we have already alIuded to the problem of assuring maximum efficiencyunder regulation and to the important role that the alIowable rate of return may play inproviding an incentivefor managers to run their companies as efficientlyas possible.But the proper starting point is clearly the competitive price-inthis case,the so-called"cost of capital." 1.But whose cost of capital ? Should it bethe cost to the individual company under consideration? Or of a representative group of companies? If the latter, what constitutesa representative group? The conceptof regulation as seekingto keeppricesat the 100'I'estpossible level consistentwith the company's supplyingthe amount and quality ofservice demanded at that price-which is surely the competitive ideal, also-would argue for measuring the actual cost of capital to that company alone. But suppose one company isso well run(or promis esto become so much more so) that investors,having particularly great confidenceinit (or inthe stability or growth of its future earnings)are willing to .make capital available to it at a price (for example, at currentor promised rates of return)lessthan the average for other regulated companies? If the unusually efficient company's resultant lower cost cfcapital is automatically translated into lower permitted profits per dollar of investedcapital-something that would not automatically happen underpure competition-will it not have beendeprived of the incentiveto beefficient,or to become more so: Its owners, and therefore conceivablyits managers, would have beendepnved 46 / I The Institution of Regulated MonOpOly ofthe supernormal rewards (quasi-rents) that constitute innonregulated markets a prime spur to efficiency.vš 2. Should it be the cost of capital at a particular mom ent in tim e, or an average over some period inthe past? Ifthe fo rmer, what moment? Ir the latt er, how long a period? Is what is sought the historical cost of capital, as of the time when it wa s raised? Or the current cost? The reader will recognizethe relatednessof these questionsto the question of wh ether the rate base and depreciation should likewis e be m easured 'at or iginal or ar currentcost.63The usual practiceis to combine the actual or historical interestcost,as far as debt capital and preferred stockare concerned, with the (estimated) currentcost of raising money by sale of common stock. Does this make economic sense?Is it fair? How do these various po ssible approach es compar e with the results that would be produced by COm_ petition? And,in sucha comparison, what "competition" is relevanr; "ideal" pure or perfectcompetition? Or the highly imperfect mixtur es of competition and monopoly that actualIy prevail inunregulated ma rkets? 3. The usual starting point for m easuring the cost of equity capital is the ratio of earningsto market pricesof the common stocksof the com pany or companies selected. Th e logic ofthis procedure-and it ispersuasiv-c., isthat the priceinvestors are willing to pay inthe open securitiesmarkets for shares of stockwith known levels of earningsprovid es an objective measure of the terms on which they are willing to make their m oney available to the companies in question. If, for example, the common stockselIsat 10tim es annual earnings, the earnings/price ratio is 10% and that ma y (subjectto the very serious qualifications to be noted) be taken as the cost of capital-the rate of return that the compani es must be able to earn on any additional dolIars investedin them if they are going to bewilIing and able to raise thos e dolIars inthe capital ma rkets.š+ However, the principaldifficultyis that what investors are capitalizing inthe purchase priceof the securities they buy is not currentbut antici- 62 Of course, som e diminution of the incentive to efficiencyis inherentinany system of regulation that hold s rates of return to some prescribed level, regardless of ho w o r w here that level is set. Stili, if the more efficient and progr essive company is permitt ed some sort of high er, industry-average rate of return, instead of its own, low cost of capital, it is on this account rewarded for its own, deserved, abov e-average attractiveness to investors, and retains an incentive to improve its efficiencyin hope of increasingthat reward. 63 He is rerninded, too , that w e consider the economics of these interrelat ed choi ces in the following chapters-in particular, Chapt er 4. 64 As w e have already suggested, a com pany can raise capital evenif it is allow ed a rate of return Assets N et plant And suppose its permitt ed rate of return (r) and cost of equity capital (k) w ere,asabov e, 7!% and below the cost of capital, but only at the expense of its existing stockholders. Th e commo n sense of this should be appar ent: if a company sells its new stocko n terms that give the new stockhold ers, for instance, a 10% return on their investment-the cost of capital being10% , they will pay only ten tim es the prosp ective earnings for each share-and investsthe fundsinassets on which it isperrnittedto earn only 7 1/2% , clearly the oth er 2 1/2% must be coming out of earnirigs previously availabl e to its existingsto ckholders. This is what is known as dilution-dilution of the share in equity (that is,in the claim on net assets of the firm ) of existing sto ckholders. Suppos e, for example, the firm had the fo llow ing skeleton balance sheet befor e the new stbek lssue: LiabUities $100 Net worth Common stock(10shares) Surplus 10% , respectively. Inthis event, its perrnltted earnings would be $0.75per share, and investo rs $50 50 47 / I T he Tra ditional Issuesinthe Pricing of Public U tility Services pated earnings ;65and there is no objective m easure of w hat their anticipa~ ions .w er.e or are. T hus, com puted contemp ora neo us earnings/price ratios ",:111either underestimate or ove restima te the actual cost of capital, d.ependmg o n the extent to w hich investors were expectingearnings to nse or falIfro m current levels wh en they paid those prices. From the lat e 1940so n, for exam ple, security pricesinthe United States soare d relativ e to earnings; this sharp dro p inearnings/price ratio s continued alI throu gh the 1950s,leveling off during 1960-1965 at the 5 to 6% level, whi ch was we ll below the average o fthe preceding half-century.66 Th ere canbe little do u~t that these trends partly reftected the anticipation of increasing earnmgs and future appreciation of security values; thos e anticipatio ns we re an imp or tant consideration in the high and rising pricesinvestors w ere wiBing to pay for each dollar of current earnings.ě? If so , the contempor aneo us earnings/price ratios mu st hav e understated the true cost of equity capital :investo rs thought they we re getting a better return would pay only $7.50 for a share. (Th e ma rket value would thus be below the book value of $IO per share, precisely because r is less than k; see note 69.)N ow suppo se the comp any sough t to raise ano ther $100to invest inplant.It would be permit ted to earn an additional $7.50 o n this investm ent,or a to tal of $ I5. Ho w m any shares would it have to selI and at wh at price would they seli? Let x be the required additional number of shares. T hen earnings per share will endat $15/(10+x). Th ese earnings would be eapitalized at 10%- that is,investor s would pay JO tim es those earnings for each new share o f sto ek,assum ing they expected per share earnings to remain thencefor th at tha t leve!.So the price of each share would be (10) ($15)f(1O+x) and x shares wo uld ha ve to be sold at that price to raisethe required $100; (10)($15) x= $100 lO+x x = 20 Th erefore 20 additional shares would have to be sold to raise the added $100, at a price of $5. Th e price per share would thus ha ve dropp ed [rom $7.50 to $5; the to tal permitt ed earnings of $15 would now be distributed among 30 shar es,yielding $0.50 per share capitalized at 10°/ ' /0' Assuming they predicted accurat ely the trend in earnings per share, the new investor s would be ina pos ition to dem and the 10% kthey w o uld pay o nly $5 for a share promi sing e~rnlllgsof $0.50. But sale of the sto ckin these clrcum stanceswould dilute the shar e inown ership o~ t.hehold ers of the 10original shares of stock: t elr share in book equity would decIinefrom .e ?riginal $10per share to $6.67, the new total ~O\lity of $200 being distributed now among f shares.Th e 33t% decline inthe market value ,.~il their sto ck.would reftect this corr esponding uhon o f thelr equity. A comp any can, thus, raise mor e capital when r is below k (wi thin limits -try to work out the abo ve exampl e if r is only 5%) but only at the expense of its existing stockholders. This is som ething its m anagem ent would ordinarily be unwilling to do. 65 It is uncertain to wha t extent and in what direction investors' appraisal of earnings is altered by variat ions of the propo rtions respectively distributed individends and reinvested in the business. Th e we ight of inform ed opinion since the early 1950sseems to be that it is total earningsinstead of dividends alone that investors value inpurchasing securities; that pay-out ratio s ha ve little if any effect-that is, that investors are essentially indifferent to what percentage o f earnings is distributed individends. See Fred P. Morris ey, "Current Aspects of the Cost of Capital to U tilities," Public Utilities Fortnightly (August 14, 1958), LXII: 217-227; M erton H. Mill er and Franco Modigliani, "Som e Estimat es of the Cost of Capital to the Electric U tility Industry," Amer. Econ. Reu. (June 1966), LVI : 368-370; Irwin Friend and Marshall Puckett, "Di vidends and Stock Prices," ibid. (September 1964), LIV: 656-682; cf. E. W. Clem ens, "Som e Aspects of the Rat e-of-Return Problem ," Land Econ. (February 1954),XXX: 32-43. 66 Di vidend/price ratios show ed a similar trend, and betw een 1955and 1965w ere low er relative to levels of the preceding half-century than w ere earningsfprice ratios. Board of G o vernors of the Federal R eserve System , Historical Chart Book, 1967,Wa shington, 37. 67 It can be demonstrat ed that, under not unreasonable assumptions, the market price of a share of stock (P) will be equal to current dividends (D) divided by (the cost of capital, k, minus the anticipated annual percentagegrowth in dividends, g): P= D/(k- g). Or, in other words, that the cost of capital is equal to the 48 / I The Institution of Regulated MonOpoly than would be indicated by that ratio. 68 Any sueeessfuleffort by utility eommissions to hold earningson the eompanies' rate basesthereafter to the low rates suggested by tho se ratios w o uld surely have resulted in a deftation of seeurity priees,and, by thus inereasingearnings/price ratio s have demonstrat ed that the true eost of eapital was high er than they had originally inferred.šf But how much higher, it is impossible to say with any precisio n.ř" 4. ls there need for eonsisteney betwe en the basison whieh the eost of equity eapital is determined and the rate base to whieh it is then applied? Ifthe current dividend/priceratio plus that anticipated percentage growth : k = DI P + g. For a fuller explanation, see the Appendix to this chapter, whi ch reprodu ces a very lucid account by H erman G. Roseman. To some extent, g results merely from the reinvestmentof earnings.Ifa company earns9% on book equity,distributes 2/3 and reinvests1/3 (that is,6% and 3% ofbook equity, respectively), the book value of each share of sto ckwill grow 3% a year and dividends may therefor e be expected to do the same on this account, ceteris paribus. If 9% is also the cost of capital, the market value of the stockwill be equal to book (see footnot e 69, below) and (DIP) + g (in this case 6% + 3% ) will, as far as this source of growth isconcerned, bethe same as the earnings/ priceratio , EIP (9%) . The problem arises wh en g is expected to be greater or less than what would result merel y from the reinvestment of earnings.See for exampl e the estimat es referred to innote 70. 68 That certainly had been their experience during the preceding years. An investment of equal amounts inevery stocktraded on the New York StockExchange in D ecember 1950would have yielded an investor 15.0% compounded annually,individendsand capital appreciation, by D ecember 1960;a sim ilar investment in December 1955would have yielded ILl % by Net plant And suppose the true cost of capital is 10%. If the regulatory commission permits the company to earn 10% on its net plant, valued at original cost, the profits will be $1 a share, and, ceteris paribus, investors will buy thos e shares for $10: market value and book value will coincide. But the market value will exceed boo kvalue if the commission permits a return inexcessof the cost of capital: if, for examp le, it allows 15% , this will yield $1.50a share, for which investors will bid $15. But suppose, to illustrate the point inthe text, the commission had beenallowing only the true cost of capital, 10% or $1 a share, but investors had bid share pricesup to $15,yieldingcurrently the later dat e. See L. Fisher and J. H. Lorie "Rat es of R eturn on Investmentsin Commo~ Stocks,"Jour. oj Bus. (January 1964),XXXVII : 5. During the first period E/P ratios dropped continuously from over 15 to less than 5%, during the secondits range was from about 8 to 5% . Board of Governors, op. cit., note 66. Obviously what dropped E/P ratios was investor expectations that they would continueto seethis kindof growth inearningsand market value of their investm ents. 69 On the other hand, the sharp appreciation in the pricesof publicutility stocks,to one and a half and then two tim es their book value during this period , reftected also a growing recognition that the companies inquestion were infact being permitted to earn considerably more than their cost of capital. Perhaps, indeed, the discrepancy was growing over time: as the data in note 76 demonstrate, the return on equity among the public utilities increased markedly relative to manufacturing in the two decades after World War II. See Miller and Modigliani, op. cit., Amer. Econ. Reu. (June1966),LVI: 386;David A.Kosh , "R ecent Tr endsinthe Cost ofCapital ," Public Utilities Fortnightly (September 26, 1963), LXXII: 19-26.Suppose, for .example, the following skeletal balancesheet of a regulated company: 100 Equity Common stock(10shares) 50 Surplus 50 only 6t% , becausethey expected to get the other 3t% from future increases in earnings and appreciation of the securities'prices.If in this event the commission took the 6t% earnings/ price ratio to represent the cost of capital, it would permit earningsof ony $0.67 per share, and the market price of the securitieswould collapse either to the book value of $10, if investor confidencein future trends continued unshaken,or down to $6.67, if those favorable anticipations were now destroyed. 70Sincethe true cost of capital (k) may betaken as equal to (DIP) + g (see note 67), sorne company witnesses in regulatory proceedings have attempted invarious ways to make plausiblc 49 / I T'he Traditiona l Issuesinthe Pricing o f Public U tility Services eos t o f equity capital is determi ned o nthe basis o f the ratio o f earnings to the market price o f the eo m pany's eommon sto ek, is there not so me ineonsistencyin applying tha t rate of return to a rate base as valued in the eomp any's books-that is, at o riginal or histo rie eost -w hen, as has been true for we ll ov er a decade, the market value o f most public utility shares has far exceeded their boo k value? H , for exam ple, earnings per share w ere $5, the market price $100, and the boo kvalue $50, the EIP ratio wo uld suggest a 5% cost o f capital; if that 5% were applied to the book value of (the equity po rtio n o f) the rate base, this w o uld produ ce a return of only $2.50-thus eliminating the justifieation fo r the $100 market price. Th e answer is tha t there w ould be an inconsistency in this case,but only because it involves inconsistent assumpti o ns abo ut regulato ry po licy. estimat es of the g investors had in mi nd in ' purchasingthecompan y sto ,ck,ino rder to com e up with an estim ate of k (since D and P are of course known).See,for instance, the testim ony oflrwin Friend,Ma y 26, 1966,inFederal Communications Commission , In the Matter oj American Telephone and Telegrapb Company, Docket 16258, and of Ros eman befo re the Pennsylvania Public U tility Commi ssion, R e: The Peoples Natural Gas Company, Do cket No . 18527,Exhibit N o . 16, 1968.Ros eman's basic approa ch, for exampl e, is to determine statistically which m easure of growth (average annual grow th inearnings, individends,inboo k equity, in revenue, o r in net plant, all ov er various tim e periods up to the present) correlat es most dos ely with the current evaluation placed by the m arket on dividends-that is, with the DIP ratios -of 21 gas distribution companies. The correlation is negative: the high er the anticipated g, the higher the price investo rs will pay for a dollar of current dividends, so the low er is the DIP ratio. Then, having inthis way identified the m easure of actual past grow th wi th the highest negative correlation with DIP, he propos esthat for his m easure of the (anticipated) g compon ent of k. Applying this m ethod for each of the 20 companies (inaddition to the one for which he was testifying),he obtained anaverage estimat e for k of 9.8%, compar ed with an earningslprice ratio of 7.6% . Ros em an describes this m ethod also in "M easuring the Cos t of Equity Capital for Public U tilities," ABA, Annual Report, Section oj Public Utility Law, 1969, 54-67. Two oth er writ ers ha ve suggested an alt ernative solution that would permit the use of EIP ratios alone as the m easure of k. Th eir reasoning is that w henever regulated comp anies purcha se their inputs in comp etitive markets, regulato ry commi ssio ns correctly accept the prices thus determined for incorpor at ion in the cost o f service. Capital m arkets are highly comp etitive; they, 100, therefor e, should be able to pro vide commi ssions with a very accurate m easure of the comp etitive, mi nimum necessarycost o f capita l. Th e problem at present is that commi ssions have no wa y o ftelling w hat are the terms of the equity share contract. Th at is, wh en investo rs pay x dollar s fo r a shar e of sto ck, they are buying not just current earnings but som e unmeasurable am o unt o f growth o ver and above the growth that o ccurs because of the m ere reinvestm ent of earnings. (As w e ha ve alr eady seen, if dividends are expected to grow only because o f reinvestm ent of earnings, (DIP) + g is the sam e as EjP, and che lat ter is a co rrect m easure of k. See note 67,above . It is the expectatio n o f greateror lesser=growth than this tha t renders EIP an inaccurate m easure of k.) Th e first key to a solution to this problem is to be found in the fact that wh en earnings are expected to grow o ver tim e m erely because o f reinvestm ent of earnings, the m arket and book values of a share of com pany sto ckw ill gro w tog ether; there is no reason fo r such growth to produ ce any discrepancy betw een them. It is the expectation of a capital gainresulting fro m a discrepancybetw een m arket and boo k values, thus, tha t makes EIP an inaccurate m easure of k, and so makes the latter so difficult to m easure. Th e second key to the solution is that if the allow ed rate of return (r) is held at the co st of capital (k), m arket value will tend to equal book value (see no te 69),and the pos sibility of a discrepancy betw een them is greatl y diminished. Th erefor e, the autho rs suggest, if regulator y commi ssions w ere to put investor s on notice that henceforth they would allo w a return equal only to wh atever earnings/price ratio the securities m arkets set wh en the m arket value of the common stockequaled its boo kvalue (at which po int presum ably r equals k), they could greatl y diminish, if no t eradicate, the expectation of capital gains or lo ssesarising from divergencies of m arket and book value and thereby cause the current earningsjprice ratio s to give them a mu ch mor e accurate reftection of the true cost of 50 / I The Inatitution of Regulat ed Monopol y That is,it assumes at one and the sam e tim e that the commi ssion all ow, returns on equity (r) inexcess of and equal to the co st o f capital (k). The source of the discrepancy betw een market and book value has been that commissions have beenallowing r's inexcess o f k; if instead they had Set r equal to k, or proceeded at some point to do so, both the discrepancy between market and book value and the inconsistency would have disappeared, or would never have arisen."!The fact that market value ha s remained abov e book value indicates that inmo st jurisdictions r has beenhigh enough, relative to k, so that its application to the lower book value, indetermining allowable earnings, has not destroy ed the willing_ nessof investors to continue to pay above book value for publicutility company shares.72 5. To what extent does the cost of capital, which is a w eighted averag e of the separate costsof obtaining fundsbysale ofbonds, preferred stock,and common stock,depend on the particular mix ture of sourcesof financing selected?There is general agreem ent that up to a point the composite cost will be reduced by resorting to borrowing , becausethe interestcosts of borrowed capital may be deducted from taxable income, wherea s the return on equity capital-which is no less a genuineeconomic cost of production-is subjectto the corporation income tax.73 But some commentators have maintained that, apart from this tax aspect, the capital structure has no effecton the composite cost of capital; that the more a company resorts to borrowing, typically at lower contractual interest rates than the rates of return it has to promi se to common stockholders, the correspondingly high er is its true cost of equity capital, in reflection of the greater risks to stockho lders of having a larger and larger share of aggregate earningssubject to the prior , contractual claim ofthe bond hold ers.ř+ The more traditional view is that up to som e po int capital. Thereaf ter, when investors purchased the stockthey would be buyingonly current earningsplus suchanticipatedgrowth as would resultfrom reinvestmentof profits, which would raise book and market value per share simultaneously.Th ey would no longer bepayingalso for the expectation that the market value per share might rise relative to the number of stockholder dollars actually investedin the enterprise. Regulatory commissions could presumably obtain successiveapproximations to the true cost of capital by reducingpermitted rates of return (r) sufficientlyto bringmarket prices down to book value per share,andthenadjusting r to the earnings/priceratios that em erged on announcementof the policy that destroy ed anticipationsof market price diverging from book. lnbrief,what the commissionswould be doing inthis way would be specifyingthe terms of the equity share contract.If they succeeded in doing so ,the capital m arket would thenprovid e them with an accurate measur e of thi: true comp etitivecost of capital.SeeRob ertJ. G elhaus and Gary D. W ilson, "An Earnings-Price Approach to Fair Rate of R eturn inR egulated Industries,"StanJord Law Rev. (January 1968), XX : 287-317. 71ln the for egoing exampl e,oncemarket value per share was reducedto book value-tha t is, to $50-because r was set at k, here assumed to be 5%, there would no longer be any inconsistency,provided, of course,the commission had correctly estimat ed k at 5% . R eturn per share would be $2.50,and this would be 5% of both market and book value. 72 See note 69. 73If the costof debtcapital to a company is5% and the cost of equity capital is 10% , andit raises$100by borrowing, this will add $5 a year to its costs; if it raisesit byissuingnew sto ck,it will add not $10 but, with the corpor atio n incometax rate at 48%, $19.23a year to w hat it must recover'in rates-$9.23 fo r the Interna! R evenue Service,$10for the new sto ckholders. 74 Actually the cost of debt capital woul d likewis erise,reflectinggrowing riskto bondhold ers asw ell,as a larger and larger share of com pany income w as pledged to them . Th e Gr and Inquisitor 's observation inThe Gondoliers, "Wh enevery one issom ebodee, Th enno one'sanybody!" clearly applies to bondhold ers: wh eneveryone 51 / I The Trad itional Issuesinthe Pricingof Public Ut ility Services trading on equity has the effectof reducingthe average cost of capital, evenapart from the tax advantage. Some comm issions,inconsequence, have based their allowances for rate of return not on the actual capital structu.re oft he regulated company but on their conceptionof a preferable o ne,w ith a lower inferred composite cost.řš Should the Rate Be Adjusted for Changes in Prices? W hat allowance if any,sho uld bemade for changes inthe purchasing power of the investor'~ do llar, measúred in terms of its changingability either to buy consume r goods and servicesor to replace capital equipment? Inparticular, sho uld the owners of the business beoffere d some sort of protection aga instinflatio n w het~er by introducing so m e reflection of (presumably rising)replacem en~ c~stsm the rate base and/or in allo w ahle depreciation expenses,or in a higher rate o f return? On gro unds of fairness? Of econom ic efficiency? Ought or need the sam e protections be o ffered to existingshareho lders as to future suppliers o f capital? Ifto stockho lders, w hy not also to creditors? We consider these questions at length in Chapter 4. The Standard of Comparable Earnings. Du ring the early 1960s,w hen pric~/earnings ratios ran aro und 5 to 6 %, m anufacturing corpo ratio ns were earnm g lOto 13% o n their book equity.řf Ought or need public utility wh o suppliescapital isat the head of the linein hisclaim on ineome,no o ne isat the head of the line-there isno line.Seethe considerably more co mplex argument of Mod igliani and M iller, "The Cost o f Capita l, Corporat ion Financeand the Theory of Investment," Amer. Econ. Rev. (June 1958),XLV III: 261-297, and "Some Estimates of the Cost o f Capita l," Amer. Econ. Rev. (June1966),LVI: 338-343,364-367;the com mentson the for m er article by Josep h R. R ose and David D urand and the Mo diglianiMill er reply, ibid. (September 1959),XLIX: 638-669; Ha im Ben-Sha har, "The Capital Struetureand the Cost of Capital: A Suggested Exposit ion,"Jour. oj Finance (Septem ber 1968), X X III:639-653. 75 See C. F. Phillips,Jr., op. cit., 169-171, 280-283;Tro xel,inShepherd and Gies,op. cit. 166-168. ' "On o ral argum ent,R espondents' counsel stated: '... Ithinkthe Commiss ion'sfunction here is to examinea debt po licythat we fo llow ... but unlessyou findthat we have abused our discretiono r have beenimp rudent,Idon't believe you should disturbit....' "We agree that this Com mi ssion is not the m anagerof R espondents'business.It is neither Our br . lio iganon o r duty to dictate the business po IClesandpracticesto be fo llo we dby m anager:~nt.O~ the ot her hand,w~ have the statutory ponslblhty fo r the estabhshment and ma intenanceof just and reaso nable rates.... If we ~r,eto dischargethisresponsibility... we mu stbe ree to exam ine fully all m atters affectingthe future levelof rates.... We are no t limited to actinginsituations inw hich we have firstfo und abuse;impru denceo r indiseretio no nthe part of management inthe past.... "At the IO-percentreturn on equity so ught by respondentsherein,each do llar of equity financingrequires nearly five times as m uch gross revenue as a do llar of debt financing.Th us, the rate payer is penalized if m ore of the financingisby equity tha nisrequired.... "We find,therefore, that a continuation by respondentsof their past po liciesw ith respect to capital structure wi ll not beconducive to the raisingof future required capital ina reaso nably economicalfashion.... "Accordingly,infixingthe rate of returnto be allo we d, we shall take into account this 'additional' and extrao rdinary amo unt of risk insurance respo ndents have given its [sie] sto ckho ldersby its lo w debt ratio po licy.. . . respondentsare ina posit ion to im pro ve equity earnings by inereasingtheir debt ratio .... " FCC, In the Maiter oj American Telephone and TelegraPh Company, Do cket No. 16258,Interim Decision andOrder, 9FCC 2d. 30 (1967),sec. 86,89,216,220,222. 76 See not e 66, Chapter 2. During thesesam e years (1960-1964,inclusive),the returns o nbo ok equity of the "electricpower, gas, etc."companies surveyed by the First Natio nal City Banko f Ne w York ranged betwee n 10.0and 11.0% ,of telepho neand telegraph com panies betwee n9.7and 10.3% and o f transport ation co mpanies between 2.3and 5.5%, as the fo l!owing table show s.Al!returnsare after tax. 52 / I The Institution ofRegulated MonOpOly companies bepermitted earningscomparable to those receivedby compa . . Id' d . nles m nonregu ate m ustnes,under conditions of comparable risk?77 l'h' . . I b f i IS question mvo ves a num er o issues,conceptual and factual. 1.ls the comparable earningsstandard merely another measure of the c of capital, reflectingwhat public utility companies themselves or pOSt chasersof their stockscould obtain on their dolla rs elsewh ere? Or ma u~_ b h ·h . . d . Y It e 19 er: may not returns m m ustry generally contam some monopoly com~one~~, for ex~mpl e? Inpoint of fact, the own ers o r purchasers of pubhc utility and mdustnal common stocksmight well not be able obtain that typ: .of rate of return if they were to go into the market a:~ buy those secunties.78Th e cost of capital, which iswhat a utility compan must match if it is to attract funds,is what investors could obtain bv buyingthe securities of other companies inthe open market-not what the companies themselves earn on a dollar of additional investment.rs e 2. If "comparable earnings" exceed the cost of capital, then, would an attempt to hold public utility earnings to the lower, competitiv e level reduce the prices of their servicesexcessively, relative to the prices of other goods and services?80 Net Returns on Net Assets Total ElectricPower, Telephone and Total Year Mfg Gas, etc. Telegraph Transportatioll 1947-54 15.4 9.3 7.8 1959 II.7 10.1 9.9 3.9 1960 10.6 10.0 9.9 2.91961 9.9 10.0 9.9 2.31962 10.9 10.4 9.5 3.91963 11.6 10.6 9.7 4.6 1964 12.6 11.0 10.3 5.51965 13.9 11.3 9.9 6.9 1966 14.2 11.5 10.4 7.4 1967 12.6 11.6 10.2 5.41968 13.1 11.2 9.7 4.9 No. of Companies 1968 2,250 237 19 176 Sour~e.~irst National City Bankof N ew York, Monthly Economic Letter, April issues. 1947-54 compilation from Shepherd and Gi es,op. cit., 103. 77The Supreme Court specifiedsuch a com- that they would have beenwilling to take to parable earningsstandard in both its Bluefield make their fundsavailabl e-is highly uncertain. and Hope decisions.262 U.S. 679,692 (1923); 79 Ifthe cost of capital islower, any attempt of a 320U.S. 591,603(1944). regulatory commission , persuaded by the com- 78 See for example, Calvin B.Hoover, "On the parable earningsargument, to permit investors Inequality of the Rate of Profit and the Rate the higher return would only be self-defeating. of Interese," The South. Econ. Jour. (July 1961), lnvestors would respond to the higher earnings XXVIII : 1-12; James Tobin, "Economic per share by bidding up the prices of the Growth as an Objective ofGovernment Policy," securities to the point at which new purchasers Amer. Econ. Reu., Papers and Proceedings (May would earn only the old cost of capital on their 1964), LIV: 13-14.This discrepancy is sug- investments.The only beneficiarieswould be gested by the far lower earnings to market thos e who happened to own the stockat the priccratios of both industrial and publicutility time the policy change was announced ar common stocksthan those companies earn on anticipated. There is no way of giving new book equity.Howev er, as we have seen,investors purchasersof stockmore than the cost of capital, have beenearningmore than the contemporane- except by changingthe rules after they have ous earnings/price ratios . (See note 68.)Whether made their purchases.See the same argument in what they have in fact earned in this way was another context, p. 116,Chapter 4. the same as the cost of capital-that is,the rates 80 This is the "problem -of the second best," 53/ I The Tradit io nal Issues inthe Pricing of Public U tility Services 3.Inapplying this standard, how does one select nonregulated industries of com parable risk? How do risks in public utilities comp are w ith tho se of o ther industries, and to the extent they do differ ho w w ould this differencebe allowe d fo r in translating com para ble earningselsew here into perm issible rates of return here ?81 The Problem of Rewards and Incentives. How, if at all, canrates o f return be varied in o rder to rewa rd, and hence to prov ide an incentive fo r efficiencyand innovation? What standards of performa nce are available that wi ll separa te results attributable to goo d o r bad ma nagem ent fro m those attributable to oth er factors? H ow can such rew ards be related to perfo rmance, and how m uch inthe w ay of rew ards isrequired? Inparticular, is there any wa y of punishing poo rly mana ged companies with a reduced rate of return without jeopardi zing their ability to attract the very capital they m ay need to do a better job? It ha s been urged by defenders of the co mpara ble earnings standard and by ot hers that public utilities be allow ed returns m arkedly abo ve the bare cost o f capital , in ord er to provid e them w ith bo th the financial m eans and the incentive to engage in risky innovation, bo th technolo gical and comm ercial. Tha t regulator y commi ssions hav e in fact allow ed earnings we ll in excesso f k is suggested not just by the beha vior of the m arket priceso f public utility securities but also by the apparent ease with w hich such co m panies ha ve been able, since W o rld W ar II, to raise the huge amount s o f capital required to m eet growi ng dem ands. Itissuggested also by their aggressiveness inseeking such capital and expanding capacity, so m ething that they w o uld obviou sly hav e been reluctant to do if all ow able returns w ere lessthan k.82 But this doe s not necessarily prove that these companies ha ve beeno ffered the optimum amount o f incentive for undertaking risky investrnents.e" Th e defining characteristic of such investm ents is tha t they o ffer a w ide range o f possible out com es; tho se that are nevertheless economi call y w o rthw hile are so because the po ssibilities o f very large pay-o ffs balance the possibilities of failure. Any restriction o n aggregate earnings, by threatening to cut off the opportun ities fo r the great successes,w ill therefor e hav e som e irnmeasurable effect o f discouraging riskyinvestm ents that ot herwise would be mad e. How im por tant this effect may be in public utility regulation is very difficult to determine, but it is pro bably slight. Fo r o ne thing, there are miti gating or countervailing considerations, am o ng them the slown ess of regulation in to w hich we have already referred. As Shepherd ha s observed, the problem of the second best is the co re o f economi c validit y inthe comp ara ble earningsstandard. "R egulato ry Constraints and PublicUt ility Investm ent," Land Econ. (August 1966),XL II: 353.See pp. 195-198, Chapter 7. 81 See,for exarnple, Shepherd, "Utility Growth a~d Profi ts U nder R egulation," inShepherd and G ,es,op. cit., 35-45."ifutility sto cksare compared w ith thos e of non-utility co rporations o f comp ara ble size, utilities whi ch are prot ected rro m many form s of comp etition will be com; ared wi th the winners in oth er areas with no ~uch . . . prot ection. . . . Somehow , in strict OgIC, the shadow losses of lo ng defunct automobil e companies would have to be subtracted [rom the profits of G eneral Mo tor s, aft er these in turn had been adjusted down w ard for the hypo thetical comp etitio n-and then, fo llowing this trip throu gh the lo o king-glass, the result would be comp arable earnings .... " James R . Ne lson, "R eassessm ent of Econo m ic Standards for the R ate of R eturn U nder R egulation," in Ha rry M . T rebing and R. H ayden How ard, Rate oj Return under Regulation: New Directions and Perspectiues (Institute of Public Utiliti es, Mi chigan State U niversity: East Lansing, 1969),16. 82 See Troxel and Lew is, inShepherd and Gi es, op. cit., 170-175 and 237-239and note 64,abo ve 83See Thom as G. G ies, "Th e Nee d for New Concepts in Public U tility R egulation," ibid., 105-107. 54 / I Th e Institution of Regul ated M: ono po 1 reducingearnings that prov e ex post to be "excessive"-this is the f ' }' :'regulatory lag"-and the ability of regulated companie s to seeka~rnlliat mcreases that may be required to keep their ov era11rates of Y rate , r. I retur sanstactory evels,and henceto comp ensate for som e of their fail n at, , I; I ures 1\1 important ISthe fact that the regulatory restriction is on total ea " ore the t fl 'd' id I rlllngs nre urns rom m lVI ua investrnents. It would only be ifth I .' o t h I ' I e att er VY so overw e mmgly large as to threaten to push the total b ' ere I I hl' , , a ove permlssibl eve s t at regu ation rnight discou rage it.To the extent a11th a: e lificati , , eseOusets qua I cations are insufřicient,there is no easy solution to th' and probl MI" e mcentiv em . ere y perrmttmg a11regulated companies as a matter f e t ' o cour o earn rates m excessof the cost of capital do es not supply the answer .th Se has to be some means of seeing to it that those supernormal ret ' ere earn d I" urnsare e ,some m eans,ror example, ofidentifying the companies that ha b unu II t ' , ffi ve een ,sua y ~nerpnsmg or e cientand offe ring the higher profits to the while denymg them to others, We return to these institutional proble ~ Chapter 2 ofVolume 2, rnsln REGULATING RATE STRUCTURES With res?ectto the secondmajor aspectof publicutili ty priceregulation_ ~h: reg~latl,on of rate patterns or structures-the typical statutory or judicial mjunctionISthat rates be not "unduly discriminatory " that diff 'h ' I erences In t e rates charged various customers or classesof servicebe likewise cc' t d bl "A h' , JUS an reasona, e. ,t t ISpomt we need make only two general observations about t~e way m,whlch most regulatory commissions have carried out this mandate FI~St,o~tslde of the transportation field, they have givenfar lessatt entio n t~ this subjectthan to determining general rate levels and especia11ythe rate base and rate of return, 84Th e height of particular rates and the differences ~etw eenthem, ha ve be:n from the very out set a very important consideration m the regulatlOn of rallroads: the feelingof differentcustomers and localities that they w ere beingsubjected to unfair discrimination played a vital role 84 The managementsof publicutility compani es have beenat least equally delinquent, See the following acidcomments bythe PublicUtilities CO,mmissionof California on the apparent lack of mter ~stof ~he,P,acificTelephon e Company in the vanous mdlvldual components of its aggregate cost of serviceand unwillingnessto supply information about them : "Pacificadhe:es to a conceptof settingbasic tel~phone,rates m relation to the availability of m~m statlOnsa~d on a,statewid epatt ern, ,,,By ~hlsschemePaClfk,as m all prior rate proposals , Ignoresthe costsof providing serviceand from ~hepresentrecordit isapparent that it isn'teven I~tereste~i? knowingwhat its costsare for any glVen eXIstmgservice,It is contentto rely on broad and loose~y-made estimates first put together at the hrne an initial or innovative serviceofferingispropos ed,no matter how long ago suchestimates may hav e beenmade, . , , That the executivesof Pacifichave developed no means by which the actual costsof any of Pacific',sexistingbasictariff off eringsma y be detern.llnedor m easured seems incomprehensible butthlsrecord clearly establishesthat suchisthe fact. Equally incomprehensibleis the fact that Pacific,does not evenknow,nor canit readily determme , what revenuesits individual tariff off eringsproduct',. , , [F]or example, Pacific cannoteventell the Commission what revenues it actually receivesfrom its charges for color ed telephoneswithout makinga special 'study' of the situation." "[I]t has been repeatedly pointed out that Pacifichas not suppliedactual revenue,cost or plant data in support of its tariffs. Wh en specificallyrequested to do so , , , its Counsel argued inopposition to the request,,,, "Th e argum entsof Pacific'scounseland the comments of its witnessesmake it abundantly clear that the whole subjectis distasteful to Pa~ific,It desires,apparently,to forever rely on .. eshmates made prior to the settingof rates on 55 / I The T raditional Issues inthe Pricing o f Public Uti lity Services inthe passage andenforcement o fthe Interstate Comm erceAct,from the very beginning,85 In the oth er utilities, the ma jo r issue ha s usua11y revo lved aro und the adequacy of to tal or net revenues;and the so lutio n ha s usua11y beena mo re or less across-the-boar d increase or decrease o f the cntire structure,86 Second, to the extent regulatory laws and com mi ssio ns ha ve considered the pattern of pricesset,they have been guided by the sam e sor t o f mixtur e of essentia11yeconomi c and po litical-so cial consideratio ns as have influenced their determ inations of the pro per returnson investrnent. Th e relative neglect o f individual prices m ost clearly epito mi zes the differencebetwee n the traditional approa ch to public utility price regulation and the one the economi st would recomrnend. Inthis area, the commi ssions typicall y pro ceed only in response to specific co m plaints: businessm en in locality A compl ain that the freight rates char ged them are higher than tho se char ged their comp etitor s; railroad s point out that they are los ingparticular classesof business to trucks o r barges and ask permi ssion to reduce the relevant rates to m eet comp etition; the affected trucking and navigation compani es intervene to prevent the propo sed reductions, Comm ercial custom ers assert tha t they are paying a higher pricethan residential users for electricity; lo cal utility commi ssions complain that high rates fo r local service are subsidizing unduly lo w rates o nlong-distanceca11s;oil jobbers argue that gas distribution compani es are offer ing uneconomi ca11y low promotional rates o nhom e heating; the latt er m aintain that to o large a pro portion of the capa city co sts of the interstate pipelines that supply them are incorpora ted in the demand charges that they pay and too little isim pose d on the lines'direct industrial custom ers; and representat ives o f the bituminous coal industry jo in inthese prot estati o ns, because the lo w-priced gas so ld fo r use as boiler fuel for electricity generati o n takes business awa y fro m thern.And a11to o o ften, fro m the econo mi st's standpo int, the com m issions resol ve such contro versies o nbases other than economi c efficiency,seeking to prot ect off ended comp etitor s from excessive lo sses of business,to preserve a "fair shar e" of the ,' new servicesas justification for continuingrate form sand relativerate levelsw hether or no t the servicesare in reality tod ay prop erly priced. Oneo f itswi tnessesis'hop eful' that the ori ginal estim ateswill so pricenew servicestha t they wi ll not be a burden on basicservice,Whil e this Commi ssionma y share or evenapplaud such 'ho pes,'it has the duty to seeto it that ratesare fair and reasonable,,,," In the Matler oJ. , , the Pacific Telephone and Telegraph Company et al., D ecisio nN o .74917,N o vember 6,1968, m im eo " 30-31,60-61. 85 lndescribingwhat w as to becom e the Act to R egulate Comm erce,in1887,the Cullom Co m mi tteesaid:"the provi sionsof the biliare based U pon the theor y that the para moun t evil chargeable aga instthe op eration of the transport atio nsystem of the U nited Stat es as now conducted is unjust discrimination between persons,places, commoditi es, Ol' particular descriptio ns o f traffic."U .S. Senate, Select Co lllmi tteeon lnterstate Co mm erce,49th Co ng., 1stSess.,Sen.R eport 46, Part I, W ashington, 1886,215.Cor respondingly,"it would be possible to writ e an extensive histor y of railroad regulation with o ut m entioningcost of capital Ol' rate o f return."James R . Ne lson,"Pricingand R esour ceAllo cation:T he PublicU tility Sector," inShepherd and Gi es,op. cit., 83.Since1922, the Interstate Comm erceCommi ssion"has no t found it necessaryto specifya fair rate o f return for the ro ads."Phillips,op. cit., 271. 86 See,fo r exampl e,Tr o xel, in Shepherd and G ies,op. cit., 150-151, 175-176. R egulatory commi ssio nsand courts alike have tended to leave the designing of rate structures to the discretion of m anagem ents.Evenintransport atio n, both comp any m anagem ents and the Interstate Comm erceCommi ssionfor m uch too lo ng neglected the mu ch-needed reconsideration of common- carrier rate structuresinthe light of the intensified comp etitio no f newe r transport m edia and o f private and contract carriers.See the section on "Tr anspor tation," Chapter I, Vo lum e 2. 56 / I The Institution o f Regulated ~ OIl°Po market for each,to strike som e equitable or po litically acceptable dist.b Ir fl ut"of common costsamong the variou s classesof patrons. We will seenu l()1l illustrations of this kindof behavior inChapters I and 2 of V o lume ~er()1ls M icroeconomics, incontrast, is interested first and for emos t inthe d mination of individual prices. lts normative models also include c eter. . b h . I· b . d' ertail\notions a out t e appropnat e re ation etwe enan Inustry s average . ha.nri anrl i I Ptlcesor total revenueson the one and and ItSaverage or to ta costs on the Oth but tha t optimum is conceived to be the result or endproduct of a co mpe r :r; h di lv and i h first i . . di ·d Itlveprocess t at op erat es irect y an Int e rst Instance InInlVI ua] m ark . h fixi f idivid I . 87 etsInt e XIngo InlVI ua pnces. , With respectto those individual markets, the rules of microe conomics in principlesimp le and grounded in objectivefacts:subjectto impor t:re qualifications that we shall elaborate at a later point, pricesshou ld bequated to marginal costs.Inthis scheme, there is no room for separat~ considerationsof"fairness." Or, to put it another way, fairnessis defined in strictlyeconomic terms: those pricesare fair that are equal to marginal costs those unfair that are not equal. ' "As in so many other policy areas, the lawyers and engineers (and increasinglythe accountants)-not the economists-have largely domin ated regulatory policy."88This do es not mean that economists hav e not wri tten at length and incisivelyabout publicutility regulation. But until recently, their analyses have beendirected mainly toward the traditional issues,and organized within the frarnework formulated by administrative commiss ions and courts and bySmyth v. Ames inparticular. Our nextchapters,followin g 87 Th ese comments may seem arbitrarily to suggestthat short-runequilibrium is somehow more important than long-run,and inso doing to reftect the essentially static character of traditional economic theory, or its tendency simply to assumemobility of resourcessufficient to ensure the achievem entof long-runequilibrium.Ina dynam icworld andinthe presence of resourceimmobil ities,comp etitionsufficiently pure to hold pricesconstantlyat short -run marginal cost may prov e destructive and violeml y unstable; and much of the pricingin impur ely comp etitiv~ o r oligopolisti cmarkets canoftenbeunders[Qodasseekingto achievethe long-runcompetit iveresult-which ina perfectly comp etitive market could safely be left to instantaneousinftows and outftows of labor and capital-at the possibleexpenseof the constant equation of pricewith short -runmarginal cost. The student of industrialorganization may be as mu ch concerned with the processthat holds an industry'stotal profits, averaged over som e period of tim e,at the comp etitivelevelas that its individualpricesbe instantaneouslyequated with short-term marg inal cost. Th e fact remains that the w elfare ideal is constructedon the basisof the equation of price to marginal cost inindividualma rkets and in the short -run.That iswher e the processstarts. De partures from that standard must be individual!yjustified.The m ere control of overal! rates of returndoes not initselfensure that the pattern of individual pricesis economically efficient: "Agreat many different patterns,efficientand inefficient,within the firm may be perfectly consistentw ith a given ov er-al!rate of return.So, what ever the rates of returnmay actual!yhave been,they cannotby themselvesdemon strate wh ether resourceal!ocation (to and within the utilities) has been efficient."Shepherd, in Shepherd andGi es,op. cit., 20.Seealso Nel son, ibid., 66. Moreov er-and this is a point critically important with respectto the publicutility industries-even long-runequilibrium price is not the sam ethingas a price that coverscurrent operating expensesplussome acceptableaverage rat e of returnon investment,which iswhat has principal!y concerned regulat or y commissions. Onthe contrary,it involvesthe equationof price with long-runmarginal cost.Correspondingly, the investmentpolicy that produceslong-run equilibrium inthe comp etitiveideal isone that equateswith the costof capital the rate of return on incremental investm ent,not the average rate of returnon historical investment,however the latt er isvalued.We shal!explor ethesesim ilarities anddifferencesinthe ensuingchapters. 88 Shepherd, "Conclusion,"in Shepherd and Gi es,op. cit., 266. T be T raditio nal Issues inthe Prieing o f Publie U tility Serviees 57 / I icliterature'" andaccepting the impl iedf the recent econo m l . .. I the leaclofsome O atural Gas clecisio n,returnsto the econormc ~nnclp es invitatio no f the Hope ~hem to the problem s o fpublic utility.regulat lOn.In~o clattempts to apply h diti onal regulato ry issues set fo rth Inan . t neglecttetra II . cloingwe W Illtry n~t ~ d anal ze them in economi c term s, w hile conthis chapter, but W Ill Insht~a t cl Y to assessthé limi ta tio ns as we ll as the . thro ughou t t IS s U y, . 90 tinutng,as . . f econo mi csto their resolut io n. ible contnbutlOns opOSSI 89 Seefor examp le the works citedibid., 267and , , d h that follow.throug ho ut this chapter an t os e h 90T here is no intentionhere to exaggeratet.he . h compar ed Wl tnovelty of thl s approa c, as . O h h ·k· d practlce nt ecurrent regulator y t m mg an . d·· 1 pproa ches that w econtrary the tra ItlOnaa h have b~en describingin this chapter ave certainly been modifi ed m recent years. . and commi ssionsalikeR egulated compam es. . t the a in increasmg attentlOn o ha,,:ebeefnp y ?all y efficientrate structures; deSigno economl c hav e and in this taskand in oth ers,as w e. II ' d th ha ve m ade dramatlca yalr eady observe, ey t" es of useof the too ls and·perspecIVincreasing .t This book isina sensea survey,the economls . t.ce d .. of thisem ergentpracI .summary, an cntlque