1 US Energy Policy: Development and Challenges - Introduction Martin Jirušek, PhD. 2 Course Content ̶ Introduction to US energy sector ̶ Policy aspects ̶ Historic and cultular background ̶ Emphasis on oil sector - history - structure - milestones and key determinants ̶ Contemporary issues and trends ̶ Ramifications for IR 3 Course Content ̶ Pay attention to deadlines and course requirements ̶ Papers ̶ Mid-term test ̶ Final exam ̶ Follow the course sylabus (available in the Information System), not the timetable ̶ jirusek.martin@mail.muni.cz 4 Role of Oil in the Global Economy 5 Prominent role of oil ̶ Crucial for transportation and chemical industry ̶ Prominent position of oil in the global economy ̶ Determining factor of economic development ̶ Economic power as ‘universal power’ – can be transformed into any other type of power ̶ A litmus test of the economic performance – shifts in oil consumption as signals of economic growth/stagnation 6 Prominent role of oil ̶ Easy to store and deliver ̶ Positive EROEI ̶ Relatively easy to process ̶ Versatile in terms of use ̶ Used in transport – internal combustion engine, key for economic output ̶ Used in chemical industry Fractional Distillation 8 Dominant Role of Oil Among Energy Sources (World) 9 Non-OECD Asia Pushing the Consumption 10 Strategic approach Energy resources – tool or just an ordinary commodity? Market-based approach ̶ based on realism ̶ state as the main player ̶ state interventions ̶ market seen as unreliable ̶ subordinated to a state´s needs ̶ energy as a legitimate tool ̶ non-normalized commodities ̶ undesirable dependency ̶ based on liberalism ̶ market as the main player ̶ state interventions limited ̶ energy commodities normalized ̶ dependency is not a problem ̶ cooperation is desirable ̶ cost/benefit sharing 11 Determining Factors, Trends & Concepts ̶ Consumers vs. Producers ̶ Supply security vs. Demand security ̶ Strategic (state-centric) vs. Market-oriented approach ̶ Challenges to the market ̶ Political ̶ Technical ̶ Logistical ̶ Natural 12 …Political ̶ Nationalization of oil industry ̶ Non-market deals (exclusive access to resources) ̶ Unstable producers ̶ Oil weapon ̶ Wars on resources ̶ ‘Petrodollars’ ̶ ‘New’ consumers (China 1990s vs. China 2019) 13 … Political ̶ Energy as a stable issue across different administrations ̶ Key role in times of crises - Nixon, Carter ̶ Policy changes (Dems vs. GOP) - differences in approaches and tools - emphasis on supply (GOP) – stability of supplies vs. - emphasis on demand (Dems) - environmental aspects, conservation measures 14 …Technical ̶ Unconventional sources ̶ New techniques ̶ Maturing fields 15 16 …Logistical ̶ Chokepoints 17 …Natural ̶ Non-renewables as a finite resources ̶ Peak Oil ̶ Natural disasters ̶ Environmental impact ̶ Rita & Katrina (2005), 2017 hurricane season ̶ Shut down 70% of US refining capacity 18 19