148 The Individual Chapter 10 31 Khong, Analogies At War, pp. 110—11. 32 Ibid., p. 134. 33 Ibid., p. 10. 34 Ibid., pp.217-18. 35 Houghton, U.S. Foreign Policy and the Iran Hostage Crisis. 36 The Entebbe raid was famous in the 1970s and has been depicted in movies a number of times, the most recent being The Last King of Scotland. 37 Marijke Breuning, "The Role of Analogies and Abstract Reasoning in Decision-Making," International Studies Quarterly, 47: 229-45, 2003. 38 Donald Sylvan, Thomas Ostrom, and Katherine Gannon, "Case-Based, Model-Based, and Explanation-Based Styles of Reasoning in Foreign Policy," International Studies Quarterly, 38: 61-90, 1994, p.88. 39 Gick and Holyoak, "Schema Induction and Analogical Transfer," p.32. Suggested Further Reading Yuen Foong Khong, Analogies At War: Korea, Munich, Dien Rien Phu, and the Vietnam Decisions of 1965 (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1992). Alex Mintz and Karl DeRouen, Understanding Foreign Policy Decision MakinA (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2010). Steven Pinker, How The Mind Works (New York: W.W. Norton, 1997). Yaacov Vertzberger, The World In Their Minds: Information Processing, Cognition and Perception in Foreign Policy Decisionmaking (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1990). Affect and Emotion 11 is clear that no account of the psychology of politics would be remotely complete without an account of the role that emotion—or "affect" as it is sometimes called—plays within it. Many phenomena in politics involve rmotion and feelings rather than just the "cold" kind of information-processing we examined in the previous chapter; virtually all political concepts are charged with emotion, either positive or negative, something that many psychologists refer to as "hot cognitions."1 Political stimuli often provoke Hirong emotions, feelings such as liking, dislike, happiness, sadness, anger, fmlilt, gratitude, disgust, revenge, joy, insecurity, fear, anxiety, and so on. We do not look at politics neutrally, as some kind of super-advanced, artificially intelligent computer might. Very few people can look at a photograph of George W. Bush or Hillary Clinton, for instance, or a picture of an ii11>lane slamming into the World Trade Center on September 11, 2001, without feeling something. Few Americans can look at a picture of the late (Isama Bin Laden and not feel anger, contempt, or some other negative i motion, just as many radical Islamists in the Middle East look at the same picture and feel pride, admiration, and other positive responses. And this phenomenon is not confined to politics, of course. As the psychologist Robert Ziijonc notes: one cannot be introduced to a person without experiencing some immediate feeling of attraction or repulsion and without gauging such feelings on the part of the other. We evaluate each other constantly, we evaluate each other's behavior, and we evaluate the motives and consequences of their behavior. Setting aside social situations, moreover, "there are probably very few I perceptions and cognitions in everyday life that do not have a significant iilli c live component, that aren't hot, or in the very least tepid."2 150 The Individual Advocates of most cognitive perspectives tend to treat pcoplt i | processors of information. This is not true ol the cognitive' o..... approach of Leon Festinger, in which the emotion of psychological distiMH (dissonance) motivates people to adapt their beliefs, but it is true nl mml applications of schema theory, for instance. As Yuen Foong Khong nun ilu information-processing theories of the 1970s and 1980s inclutlin;1 >\i theory—consciously shied away from 'hot' cognitions, in part boc.iu < . tive psychology's model of the mind was informed by the computer .mil' For some years after cognitive concepts like schemas became popular, I was true to say that the topic of emotion in politics was somewhat nej'li i li-ili As David Rcdlawsk has pointed out, rational choice theorists suppoin i the Homo economicus approach—have always given emotion short si mil, I ml advocates of the cognitive theories examined in Chapter 9 have tr.uliinui.iltf downplayed this potent force as well: Perhaps because accurately measuring emotional response to pulm stimuli is very difficult, even political psychologists not necessarily wil|M ing in the rational choice tradition turned first to the tools of c the Soviet Union, for instance. Some reacted to this with anger, others Hill itnnoyance, and still others with laughter. I dnnii emotions differ from both moods and emotional responses in the HjNH* thai they are much more long-lasting than either of these. "Evaluations" [full i in longer-term attitudes towards (for instance) a particular politician |Hi |••»11 v, attitudes which rarely change overnight. Both George W. Bush and Illlll.n \ ( linton inspire particularly strong affective evaluations among American HHM. just as John Howard and Tony Blair did in Australia and Great Britain i lively. It is possible, of course, that we evaluate political leaders using I "t old" cognitive processes such as schemas or the degree to which the ■Inert of a politician fit our own, but this is unlikely because all politicians 4|i|ii .ii in evoke emotional reactions in people (strong "like" or "dislike," or B^imiIv indifference). mkf* Emotions "Irrational"? Iflll 11 '""g time, emotions have been treated as something visceral, something Bnl<'l> comes "from the gut" rather than the mind. This mode of thinking has nl roots. In the Western tradition of political thought, it is still very Bftimnon to contrast "reason" with "emotion"; on the one hand stands ordered, ii.iI reason (something to be aspired to and admired), on the other the I ..II . .1 irrational, emotional impulses (something to be avoided). This is implicit f||| I reutl's distinction between the id and the superego, for instance. We are m>ry much accustomed to thinking of emotion as something detrimental to llllt ii mod, factually based decision-making. \> This way of approaching the operations of the human mind is clearly present III popular culture and dates back hundreds if not thousands of years, right back [III the ancient Greeks. Anyone who has ever watched an episode of Star Trek hi' one of its many movie spin-offs, for instance, knows that the relationship Hh