CDSn4001: Conflict Analysis Domestic political/social causes of war November 9, 2021 Miriam Matejova, PhD Agenda • Domestic causes of war/peace –Democracy, democratization, and democratic peace theory –Identity politics Democratic peace theory • Two versions: 1) individual DP model, and 2) the cost of war and public opposition Individual model • Looks at behavior of individual states. • Democracies in general are more peaceful (than non-democratic states).  largely discredited – People are generally disinclined to go to war and will stop it if allowed. – Authoritarian leaders sometimes start wars to distract the public from authoritarianism, a motivation that democratic leaders do not have. “The cost of war” model • Dyadic model (i.e., focus on pairs) • Toward autocracies democracies are just as warlike as autocracies, but democracies do not fight each other. • Origins attributed to Kant – possibility of an international federation of republics that could usher the perpetual peace. • Ordinary citizens are inherently peaceful because they are the ones who have to fight wars. • In democracies, citizens can vote to control politicians. • Power-hungry governments go to war against citizens’ wishes. In support of the dyadic model • Structural argument: – political disputes resolved by compromise, which carries over into foreign policy – democracies keep their promises – audience costs • Normative argument: – mutual respect among democracies and disdain toward autocratic states • Institutional argument: – rational choice theory – political institutions have two effects on leaders. – 1) democratic states are more likely to win wars (because citizens are more likely to support war efforts). – 2) leaders are more sensitive to political costs of losing a war. Problems with DPT? • Is the promotion of democracy a solution to war and conflict? Identity and a constitutive outside • Constitutive outside: what identity is defined against, setting up an “inside” and an “outside” to an identity group. Us vs Them, determining who does and does not belong. • Those who are “inside” the group are privileged over those who are “outside” the group. • The insiders can enforce “purity” on the insiders by threatening them with being outcast and becoming “outsiders.” Primordialism • Ethnic group = a group of people who share blood allegiances, kinship,and cultural attributes. • Primordial ties become more significant through recurrent reference to them in symbolic and cultural attributes – through myths, traditions, and heritage. • A nation-state is a product of historical processes – Ethnic groups turn into political units – Nation-state emergence as a natural process Modernism • Nationalism is a political phenomenon (not natural) – driven by political elites (i.e., the state) – “Nationalismis not awakening of nations to selfconsciousness; it invents nations where they do not exist.” – Through communication and mass-education in a standardized language, elites transform diverse ethnic identities into a unified community. • Emergence of nations is linked to the processes of industrialization and modernization. – Changes in mode of production and communication created a need for “a culturally homogenous community of centrally-educatedpeople.” Imagined communities • Benedict Anderson – political scientist, historian • Nation is imaginary – A communitythat is large enough that its members cannot personally know each other is imagined. – People perceive themselves as part of the group. • Print-capitalism and spread of vernacular languages enabled nationalism, because people could relate to each other in new ways. Elements of nationalism: territory • Common territory seen as a homeland, national cradle, historicalhome – a physical place where nations can ‘act out their dreams and fulfil aspirations’ – Promotes sense of group distinctiveness and separateness; – BUT raises questions about nationality and citizenship, exclusion and inclusion.