Climate change

Past climate changes and how to study them (L. Dolák) 8. 4. 2024

Lecture structure

  • Palaeoclimatology and historical climatology
  • Archives of nature and selected methods
  • Archives of human society
  • Climate changes in the past
  • Climate in the Quaternary

07 Past climate changes and how to study them
PDF ke stažení
Supplementary reading

  • Huhtamaa, H., Helama, S., Leijonhufvud, L., Charpentier Ljungqvist, F. Combining the archives of nature and society: Tree rings and tithes. Past Global Changes Magazine, 28(2), 50-51 (2020) 
  • Masson-Delmotte et al. (2021): IPCC, 2021: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 3949 p.
  • White, S., Pei, Q., Kleemann, K., Dolák, L., Huhtamaa, H., Camenisch, C. New perspectives on historical climatology. WIREs Climate Change, 14(1), e808 (2022) https://wires.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/wcc.808

Further interesting and supplementary links
Video materials


Seminar

Temperature series reconstruction and selection of extreme years

In this exercise, we will focus on the reconstructed temperature series of Central Europe over 2000 years from Luterbacher et al. 2016 and the calculation of extremely warm/cold years. Follow the following text:

  • Calculate and plot on a graph of the reconstructed temperature series the extreme years corresponding to the lower and upper 5% quantiles
    • Quantile - a value that divides a series of ordered numbers into similarly sized parts
    • quantiles of 5% (lower 5%) and 95% (upper 5%) divide the series into equal numbers of values, i.e. 5% from the beginning and 5% from the end of the series
  • Download the file Luterbacher_quantities_assignment and open it
  • Cell C2 contains a function with the previously calculated quantile threshold (0.919...) for the bottom 5% of quantiles
  • Extend this cell to the value C 2142
  • Where the mean air temperature (B2) is lower than the quantile limit, the value "1" appears, otherwise "0"
  • A similar procedure applies to the top 5% of quantiles (D2)
  • Before entering the quantile results into the temperature graph, it is advisable to convert the lower 5% of the quantiles to negative values - the lower 5% negative (E2)
  • Add the newly calculated values (columns D, E) to the prepared graph


  • Based on the temperature trend and the quantiles (extreme temperatures) shown, can you identify significant climate variations over the last 2000 years in central Europe and relate them to significant historical milestones, if applicable?