42 Chapter 2. The Law of Comparative Advantage a two-nation, two-commodity world, the United Kingdom would then have a comparative advantage in cloth. According to the law of comparative advantage, the United States should specialize in producing wheat and export some of it in exchange for British cloth. This is exactly what we concluded earlier with the law of comparative advantage based on the labor theory of value, but now our explanation is based on the opportunity cost theory. 2.5c The Production Possibility Frontier under Constant Costs Opportunity costs can be illustrated with the production possibility frontier, or transformation curve. The production possibility frontier is a curve that shows the alternative combinations of the two commodities that a nation can produce by fully utilizing all of its resources with the best technology available to it. Table 2.4 gives the (hypothetical) production possibility schedules of wheat (in million bushels/year) and cloth (in million yards/year) for the United States and the United Kingdom. We see that the United States can produce 180W and OC, 150W and 20C, or 120W and 40C, down to OW and 120C. For each 30W that the United States gives up, just enough resources are released to produce an additional 20C. That is, 30W = 20C (in the sense that both require the same amount of resources). Thus, the opportunity cost of one unit of wheat in the United States is 1W = 2/3C (the same as in Table 2.2) and remains constant. On the other hand, the United Kingdom can produce 60W and OC, 50W and 20C, or 40W and 40C, down to OW and 120C. It can increase its output by 20C for each 10W it gives up.' Thus, the opportunity cost of wheat in the United Kingdom is 1W = 2C and remains constant. The United States and United Kingdom production possibility schedules given in Table 2.4 are graphed as production possibility frontiers in Figure 2.1. Each point on a frontier represents one combination of wheat and cloth that the nation can produce. For example, at point A, the United States produces 90W and 60C. At point A' the United Kingdom produces 40W and 40C. table 2.4. Production Possibility Schedules for Wheat and Cloth in the United States and the United Kingdom United States United Kingdom Wheat Cloth Wheat Cloth 180 0 60 0 150 20 50 20 120 40 40 40 90 60 30 60 60 80 20 80 30 100 10 100 Comparative Advantage and Opportur instant Costs <1 45 4 Kingdom. Table 2.4. li,. produces more wi> tiers reflect constant oyt 40 60 70 u **. Wheat ^ ends up p con-' from ^ains Points inside, or below, the produ. are inefficient, in the sense that the natio using the best technology available to it. On u. duction frontier cannot be achieved with the reso^ available to the nation. The downward, or negative, slope of the production possi^ * ure 2.1 indicates that if the United States and the United Kingdom more wheat, they must give up some of their cloth production. The production possibility frontiers of both nations are straight lines reflects the their opportunity costs are constant. That is, for each additional 1W to be produce the United States must give up 2/^C and the United Kingdom must give up 2C, no matter from which point on its production possibility frontier the nation starts. Constant opportunity costs arise when (1) resources or factors of production are either perfect substitutes for each other or used in fixed proportion in the production of both commodities, and (2) all units of the same factor are homogeneous or of exactly the same quality. Then, as each nation transfers resources from the production of cloth to the production of wheat, it will not have to use resources that are less and less suited to wheat production, no matter how much wheat it is already producing. The same is true for the production of more cloth. Thus, we have constant costs in the sense that the same amount of one commodity must be given up to produce each additional unit of the second commodity. While opportunity costs are constant in each nation, they differ among nations, providing the basis for trade. Constant costs are not realistic, however. They are discussed only because they serve as a convenient introduction to the more realistic Chapter 2. The Law of Comparative Advantage a two-nation, two-commodity world, the United Kingdom would then have a comparative advantage in cloth. According to the law of comparative advantage, the United States should specialize in producing wheat,and export some of it in exchange for British cloth. This is exactly what we concluded earlier with the law of comparative advantage based on the labor theory of value, but now our explanation is based on the opportunity cost theory. The Production Possibility Frontier under Constant Costs Opportunity costs can be illustrated with the production possibility frontier, or transformation curve. The production possibility frontier is a curve that shows the alternative combinations of the two commodities that a nation can produce by fully utilizing all of its resources with the best technology available to it. Table 2.4 gives the (hypothetical) production possibility schedules of wheat (in million bushels/year) and cloth (in million yards/year) for the United States and the United Kingdom.We see that the United States can produce 180W and OC, 150.W and 20C, or 120W and 40C, down to OW and 120C. For each 30W that the United States gives up, just enough resources are released to produce an additional 20C. That is, 30W = 20C (in the sense that both require the same amount of resources). Thus, the opportunity cost of one unit of wheat in the United States is 1W = 2/3C (the same as in Table 2.2) and remains constant. On the other hand, the United Kingdom can produce 60W and OC, 50W and 20C, or 40W and 40C, down to OW and 120C. It can increase its output by 20C for each 10W it gives up. Thus, the opportunity cost of wheat in the United Kingdom is 1W = 2C and remains constant. The United States and United Kingdom production possibility schedules given in Table 2.4 are graphed as production possibility frontiers in Figure 2.1. Each point on a frontier represents one combination of wheat and cloth that the nation can produce. For example, at point A, the United States produces 90W and 60C. At point A', the United Kingdom produces 40W and 40C. Table 2.4. Production Possibility. Schedules for Wheat and Cloth in the United States and the United Kingdom Comparative Advantage and Opportunity Costs 43 United States United Kingdom Wheat Cloth Wheat Cloth 180 0 60 0 150 20 50 20 120 40 40 40 90 60 30 60 60 80 20 80 30 100 10 100 United States United Kingdom 20 40 60 Wheat FIGURE 2.1. The Production Possibility Frontiers of the United States and the United Kingdom. The U.S. and U.K. production frontiers are obtained by plotting the values in Table 2.4. The frontiers are downward, or negatively sloped, indicating that as each nation produces more wheat, it must give up some cloth. Straight-line production possibility frontiers reflect constant opportunity costs. Points inside, or below, the production possibility frontier are also possible but are inefficient, in the sense that the nation has some idle resources and/or is not using the best technology available to it. On the other hand, points above the production frontier cannot be achieved with the resources and technology currently available to the nation. The downward, or negative, slope of the production possibility frontiers in Figure 2.1 indicates that if the United States and the United Kingdom want to produce more wheat, they must give up some of their cloth production. The fact that the production possibility frontiers of both nations are straight lines reflects the fact that their opportunity costs are constant. That is, for each additional 1W to be produced, the United States must give up %C and the United Kingdom must give up 2C, no matter from which point on its production possibility frontier the nation starts. Constant opportunity costs arise when (1) resources or factors of production are either perfect substitutes for each other or used in fixed proportion in the production of both commodities, and (2) all units of the same factor are homogeneous or of exactly the same quality. Then, as each nation transfers resources from the production of cloth to the production of wheat, it will not have to use resources that are less and less suited to wheat production, no matter how much wheat it is already producing. The same is true for the production of more cloth. Thus, we have constant costs in the sense that the same amount of one commodity must be given up to produce each additional unit of the second commodity. While opportunity costs are constant in each nation, they differ among nations, providing the basis for trade. Constant costs are not realistic, however. They are discussed only because they serve as a convenient introduction to the more realistic Chapter 2. The Law of Comparative Advantage I he Basis for and the Cains from Trade Under Constant Costs 45 5d Opportunity Costs and Relative Commodity Prices We have seen that the opportunity cost of wheat is equal to the amount of cloth that the nation must give up to release just enough resources to produce one additional unit of wheat. This is given by the (absolute) slope of the production possibility frontier, or transformation curve, and is sometimes referred to as the marginal rate of transformation. Figure 2.1 shows that the (absolute) slope of the U.S. transformation curve is 12(^80 = 2/3 = opportunity cost of wheat in the United States and remains constant. The slope4 of the U.K. transformation curve is 12%o = 2 = opportunity cost of wheat in the United Kingdom and remains constant. On the assumptions that prices equal costs of production and that the nation does produce both some wheat and some cloth, the opportunity cost of wheat is equal to the price of wheat relative to the price of cloth (P„yPc) Thus, PJVC = 2/3 in the United States, and inversely Pr/Pw = 3h = 1.5. In the United Kingdom, Pw/?c = 2, and PC/PW = V2- The lower Pw/Vc in the United States (2/3 as opposed to 2) is a reflection of the U.S. comparative advantage in wheat. Similarly, the lower P/Pw in the United Kingdom (V2 as opposed to 2/3) reflects its comparative advantage in cloth. Note that under constant costs, Pw/Vcis determined exclusively by production, or supply, considerations in each nation. Demand considerations do not enter at all in the determination of relative commodity prices. To conclude, we can say that the difference in relative commodity prices between the two nations (given by the difference in the slope of their transformation curves) is a reflection of their comparative advantage and provides the basis for mutually beneficial trade. 2.6 The Basis for and the Gains from Trade under Constant Costs____ In the absence of trade, a nation can only consume the commodities that it produces. As a result, the nation's production possibility frontier also represents its consumption frontier. Which combination of commodities the nation actually chooses to produce and consume depends on the people's tastes, or demand considerations. 2.6a Illustration of the Gains from Trade In the absence of trade, the United States might choose to produce and consume combination A (90W and 60C) on its production possibility frontier (see Figure 2.2), and the United Kingdom might choose combination /4'(40W and 40C). With trade possible, the United States would specialize in the production of wheat {the commodity of its comparative advantage) and produce at point B (180W i ^\ n„„A,^t-inr> nr,«ihilitv frontier. Similarly, the United Kingdom would Wheat wheat FIGURE 2.2. The Gains from Trade. In the absence of trade, the United States produces and consumes at A, and the United Kingdom at A". With trade, the United States specializes in the production of wheat and produces at B, while the United Kingdom specializes in the production of cloth and produces at R'. By exchanging 70W for 70C with the United Kingdom, the United States ends up consuming at E (and gains 20W and 10C), while the United Kingdom ends up consuming at E' (and gains 30W and 10C). United States then exchanges 70W for 70C with the United Kingdom, it ends up consuming at point E (HOW and 70C), and the United Kingdom ends up consuming at E' (70W and 50C). Thus, the United States gains 20W and 10C from trade (compare point E with point A in Figure 2.2), and the United Kingdom gains 30W and 10C (compare point A/with point E). The increased consumption of both wheat and cloth in both nations was made possible by the increased output that resulted as each nation specialized in the production of the commodity of its comparative advantage. That is, in the absence of trade, the United States produced 90W and the United Kingdom 40W, for a total of 130WWith specialization in production and trade, 180W are produced (all in the United States). Similarly, in the absence of trade, the United States produced 60C and the United Kingdom 40C, for a total of lOOC.With specialization in production and trade, 120C are produced (all in the United Kingdom). It is this increase in output of 50W and 20C resulting from specialization in production that is shared by the United States and the United Kingdom and represents their gains from trade. Recall that in the absence of trade, the United States would not specialize in the production of wheat because it also wanted to consume some cloth. Similarly, the United Kingdom would not specialize in the production of cloth in the absence of trade because it also wanted to consume some wheat. 2.6b Relative Commodity Prices with Trade We can gain a deeper understanding of our trade model by using the supply and demand curves for wheat and cloth shown in Figure 2.3. Figure 2.3 will also help us Chapter 2. The Law of Comparative Advantage Empirical Tests of the Ricardian Model 47 Wheat Cloth FIGURE 2.3. Equilibrium-Relative Commodity Prices with Demand and Supply. In the left panel. SW(us+UK)1S £he combined U.S. and U.K. supply curve of wheat. It shows that the United States could produce a maximum of 180W = OB at P^/Pc = 2/3, while the United Kingdom could produce a maximum of 60W = BB* at fV/Pc = 2. Dhyc/s+uk? is the combined demand curve for wheat of the United States and the United Kingdom with trade. Dw(us+uk) intersects Sw(us+uk) at point E, resulting in the equilibrium quantity of 180W (all of which is produced in the United States) and equilibrium price of P\y/¥c = 1 with trade. The right panel shows equilibrium for cloth at the intersection of DC(UK+US) with Sc(uk+us) at point H'with 120C (all of which is produced in the United Kingdom) andPc/Pw= 1. see how the equilibrium-relative commodity price with specialization in production and trade is determined. In the left panel of Figure 2.3, Spy(us+uiQ is the combined supply curve of wheat of the United States and the United Kingdom if both countries used all of their resources to produce only wheat. Distance OB = 180W represents the maximum quantity of wheat that the United States could produce with complete specialization in wheat production at the constant opportunity cost of P^/Pc = % (just as in the left panel of Figure 2.2). Distance BB* = 60W is the maximum quantity of wheat that the United Kingdom could produce at the constant opportunity cost of *WPc = 2 (as in the right panel of Figure 2.2). Thus, 240W is the maximum combined total quantity of wheat that the United States and the United Kingdom could produce if both nations used all of their resources to produce wheat. As a result, the Sw(us+UK) curve is vertical at 240W Suppose that, with trade, the combined demand curve for wheat of the United States and the United Kingdom is Dw(us+uk), as shown in the left panel of Figure 2.3. Dw(US+uk) intersects Sw(us+uk) at point E, determining the equilibrium quantity of 180W and the equiHbrium relative price o{Pw/Pc - 1 with trade (the same as in the left panel of Figure 2.2). Note that, with trade, wheat is produced only in the United States, and the United States specializes completely in the production of wheat. We can do the same for cloth. In the right panel of Figure 2.3, Scajk+ilv is the both countries used all of their resources to produce only cloth. The United Kingdom can produce a maximum of 120C = OB'at the constant Pc/Pw ~ V2 and the United States can produce a maximum of another 120C = B'B" at the constant Pc/Pw = 3/2 (as in Figure 2.2). Suppose that, with trade, the combined demand for wheat of the United Kingdom and the United States is Dc(uk+us)> as shown in the right panel of Figure 2.3. Dc(uk+us) intersects Sc(uk+us) at point E\ deterrnining the equilibrium quantity of 120C and the equiHbrium-relative price of Pc/Pw = Pw/Pc = 1 (the same as in the right panel of Figure 2.2). Note that, with trade, cloth is produced only in the United Kingdom, and the United Kingdom specializes completely in the production of cloth. Finally, note that with complete specialization in production in both countries, the equilibrium-relative commodity price of each commodity is between the pre-trade relative commodity price in each nation (see both panels of Figure 2.3). However, if in the left panel of Figure 2.3 Dw(uswk) were lower and intersected SW(us+uk) between points 0 and B on the horizontal portion of Sw(us+vk) at P^/Pc - trade would take place at the pretrade relative commodity price of wheat of *V/Pc = 2/3 «1 che United States and the United Kingdom would receive all the gains from trade. This would occur if the United Kingdom were a small country that specialized completely in the production of cloth and the United States were larger and did not specialize completely in the production of wheat (see Problem 10, with answer at the end of the book). This is known as the small-country case and shows the "importance of being unimportant." This benefit, however, is not without cost since the small nation (here, the United Kingdom) faces the risk of a possible future reduction in demand for the only commodity it produces. 2.7 Empirical Tests of the Ricardian Model We now examine the results of empirical tests of the Pucardian trade model. We will see that if we allow for different labor productivities in various industries in different nations, the Ricardian trade model does a reasonably good job at explaining the pattern of trade. The first such empirical test of the Ricardian trade model was conducted by MacDougall in 1951 and 1952, using labor productivity and export data for 25 industries in the United States and the United Kingdom for the year 1937. Since wages were twice as high in the United States as in the United Kingdom, MacDougall argued that costs of production would be lower in the United States in those industries where American labor was more than twice as productive as British labor. These would be the industries in which the United States had a comparative advantage with respect to the United Kingdom and in which it would undersell the United Kingdom in third markets (i.e., in the rest of the world). On the other hand, the United Kingdom would have a comparative advantage and undersell the United States in those industries where the productivity of British labor was more than one-half the productivity of American labor. In his test MacDougall excluded trade between the United States and the United ■ ~* * 'lit* 1 _ :--J---1—. +ar*Ainrr tr\ nffcft- Chapter 2, The Law of Comparative Advantage Empirical Tests of the Ricardian Model 49 the differences in labor productivity between the two nations. At the same time, both nations faced generally equal tariffs in third markets. The exclusion of trade, between the United States and the United Kingdom did not bias the test because their exports to each other constituted.less than 5 percent of their total exports. Figure 2.4 summarizes MacDougalTs results. The vertical axis measures the ratio of output per U.S. worker to output per U.K. worker. The higher this ratio, the greater the relative productivity of U.S. labor. The horizontal axis measures the ratio of U.S. to U.K. exports to third markets. The higher this ratio, the larger are U.S. exports in relation to U.K. exports to the rest of the world. Note that the scales are logarithmic (so that equal distances refer to equal percentage changes) rather than arithmetic (where equal distances would measure equal absolute changes). The points in the figure exhibit a clear positive relationship (shown by the colored line) between labor productivity and exports. That is, those industries where the productivity of labor is relatively higher in the United States than in the United Kingdom are the industries with the higher ratios of U.S. to UK. exports. This was true for the 20 industries shown in the figure (out of the total of 25 industries studied by MacDougall). The positive relationship between labor productivity and exports for the United. States and the United Kingdom was confirmed by subsequent studies by Balassa using 1950 data and Stem using 1950 and 1959. Additional and more recent confirmation of the Ricardian trade model is provided by Golub (see Case Study 2-4). These empirical studies all seem to support the Ricardian theory of comparative advantage. That is, the actual pattern of trade seems to be based on the different labor productivities in different industries in the two nations. Production costs other Output per U.S. Worker Output per U.K. Worker 0.05 0.1 0.5 1.0 5.0 U.S. Exports U.K. Exports FIGURE 2.4. Relative Labor Productivities and Comparative Advantage—United States and United Kingdom. The figure shows a positive relationship between labor pro- \ ductivity and export shares for 20 industries in the United States and the United Kingdom, \ thus confirming the Ricardian trade model. Source: Adapted from G.D.A. MacDougall, "British and American Exports: A Study Suggested by the Case Study 2-4 Relative Unit Labor Costs and Relative Exports— United States and Japan In a 1995 study of the Ricardian trade model, Golub examined relative unit labor Costs (the ratio of wages to unit labor productivity) and the exports of the United States relative to those of the United Kingdom, Japan, Germany, Canada, and Australia and found that, in general, relative unit labor costs and exports were inversely related. That is, the higher the relative; unit labor costs in the nation, the lower the relative exports of the nation, and vice versa. This relationship is particularly strong for U.S.-Japanese trade. The colored line in Figufe 2.5 shows a clear negative correlation between relative unit labor costs and relative exports for the 33 industries that Golub studied for trade between the United States and Japan for 1990, thus lending additional support to the Ricardian trade model. Note that the relationship between relative unit x^ « « \ * X X. 9 »'.>•;.••/•••• a ^ O V«Y;:-\-r... 0.8 ■ ■' ~- '_ • -0.6 -0.4 .^r'ii-ÖÄ-v--*'. • X. '.; 0.6 0.8 ■ .••'•1 X. . , •*••••;• ' 9 • . ;•-;}•» ' 0 US./Japanese Unit Labor Costs •I^gure^ figure shows a clear negative correlation between relative exports and relative unit labor costs for 33 industries between the United States and Japan. It shows that the higher are U.S. relative labor costs, the lower are its exports in relation to Japan, thus supporting the Ricardian trade model. - .• \= Source: Adapted from S. S. Golub, Comparative and Absolute Advantage in the Asia-Pacific Region (San Francisco: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Center for Pacific Basin Monetary and Economic Studies 1995), p. 46; arid & S. Golub and C. T. Hsieh, "The Classical Ricardian Theory of Comparative Advantage Revisited," Re^ I f;: Chapter 2. The Law of Comparative Advantage Case Study 2-4 (continued) hbot costs and relative exports is negative in Figure 2.5, whereas the relationship; between relative umU&bpx productivities znd exports shares is positive in Figure 2AI because relative unit labor costs are the inverse of relative unit labor productiviti The above results were confirmed in a 2000 study by Golub and Hsieh for trade nf the products of 39 sectors between the United States and nine other countr. (Japan, Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Italy, Canada, Australia, Mexico, i™\ Korea) from 1972 to 1991. than labor costs, demand considerations, political ties, and various obstructions to ; the flow of international trade did not break the link between relative labor pio- ; ductivity and export shares. \ One possible question remained. Why did the United States not capture the I entire export market from the United Kingdom (rather than only a rising share of ; exports) in those industries where it enjoyed a cost advantage (i.e., where the ratio 1 of the productivity of U.S. labor to U.K. labor was greater than 2)? MacDougall | answered that this was due mainly to product differentiation. That is, the output of the same industry in the United States and the United Kingdom is not homoge- I neous.An American car is not identical to a British car. Even if the American car is | cheaper, some consumers in the rest of the world may still prefer the British car. 4 Thus, the United Kingdom continues to export some cars even at a higher price However, as the price difference grows, the United Kingdom's share of car export* can be expected to decline. The same is true for most other products. Similarly, die ? United States continues to export to third markets some commodities in which it! has a cost disadvantage with respect to the United Kingdom.We will return to this] important point in Section 6.4a. < Even though the simple Ricardian trade model has to a large extent been' empirically verified, it has a serious shortcoming in that it assumes rather thai) ''■> explains comparative advantage. That is, Ricardo and classical economists in general provided no explanation for the difference in labor productivity and comparative advantage between nations, and they could not say much about the effect of international trade on the earnings of factors of production. By providing answers to both of these important questions, the Heckscher—Ohlin model {discussed in Chapter 5) theoretically improves upon the Ricardian model. 1 This chapter examined the development of trade theory from the mercantilist to Smith, Ricardo, and Haberier and sought to answer two basic questions: (aJ ,v7i . J_ _ 1___:„ ~~.A T.,k*it- irp thf train <: fmm trade? and (b) What is the Summary 51 2. The mercantilists believed that a nation could gain in international trade only at the expense of other nations. As a result, they advocated restrictions on imports, incentives for exports, and strict government regulation of all economic activities. 3. According to Adam Smith, trade is based on absolute advantage and benefits both nations. (The discussion assumes a two-nation, two-commodity world.) That is, when each nation specializes in the production of the commodity of its absolute advantage and exchanges part of its output for the commodity of its absolute disadvantage, both nations end up consuming more of both commodities. Absolute advantage, however, explains only a small portion of international trade today. 4. David Ricardo introduced the law of comparative advantage. This postulates that even if one nation is less efficient than the other nation in the production of both commodities, there is still a basis for mutually beneficial trade (as long as the absolute disadvantage that the first nation has with respect to the second is not in the same proportion in both commodities). The less efficient nation should specialize in the production and export of the commodity in which its absolute disadvantage is less. (This is the commodity of its comparative advantage.) Ricardo, however, explained the law of comparative advantage in terms of the labor theory of value, which is unacceptable. 5. Gottfried Haberler came to the "rescue" by explaining the law of comparative advantage in terms of the opportunity cost theory. This states that the cost of a commodity is the amount of a second commodity that must be given up to release just enough resources to produce one additional unit of the first commodity. The opportunity cost of a commodity is equal to the relative price of that commodity and is given by the (absolute) slope of the production possibility frontier. A straight-line production possibility frontier reflects constant opportunity costs. 6. In the absence of trade, a nation's production possibility frontier is also its consumption frontier.With trade, each nation can specialize in producing the commodity of its comparative advantage and exchange part of its output with the other nation for the commodity of its comparative disadvantage. By so doing, both nations end up consuming more of both commodities than without trade. With complete specialization, the equilibrium-relative commodity prices will be between the pretrade-relative commodity prices prevailing in each nation. 7. The first empirical test of the Ricardian trade model was conducted by MacDougall in 1951 and 1952 using 1937 data. The results indicated that those industries where labor productivity was relatively higher in the United States than in the United Kingdom were the industries with the higher ratios of U.S. to U.K. exports to third markets. These results were confirmed by Balassa using 1950 data, Stern using 1950 and 1959 data, Golub using 1990 data, and Golub and Hsieh using 1972-1991 data. Thus, it can be seen that comparative advantage seems to be based on a difference in labor productivity or costs? as postulated by Ricardo. However, the Ricardian model explains neither the reason for the Hiffi pr/»nrj> m tiifmnc rtA** 52 Chapter 2. The Law of Comparative Advantage In Chapter 3, we will examine the basis for and the gains from trade, as well as the pattern of trade in the more realistic" case of increasing costs. Our model will then be completed in Chapter 4, where we will see formally how the rate at which commodities are exchanged in international trade is actually determined. This will also determine how the gains from trade are in fact divided between the two trading nations. IG rw Terms Basis for trade Gains from trade Pattern of trade Mercantilism Absolute advantage Laissez-faire Law of comparative advantage flvwi'^w &lv Review 1. What are the basic questions that we seek to answer in this chapter? In what way is the model presented in this chapter an abstraction or a simplification of the real world? Can the model be generalized? 2. What were the mercantilists' views on trade? How does their concept of national wealth differ from today's view? 3. Why is it important to study the mercantilists' views on trade? How were their views different from those of Adam Smith? What is the relevance of all this today? 4. What was the basis for and the pattern of trade according to Adam Smith? How were gains from trade generated? What policies did Smith advocate in international trade? What did he think was the proper function of government in the economic life of the nation? 5. In what way was Ricardos law of comparative advantage superior to Smith's theory of absolute advantage? How do gains from trade arise with Labor theory of value Opportunity cost theory Production possibility frontier Constant opportunity costs Relative commodity prices Complete specialization Small-country case tion of all commodities export anything to the ■ second nation? | 6. What is the exception to the law of compara-rive advantage? How prevalent is it? | 7. Why is Ricardo's explanation of the law of| comparative advantage unacceptable? What f acceptable theory can be used to explain the law? ? 8. What is the relationship between opportunity I costs and the production possibility frontier of} a nation? How does the production possibility \ frontier look under constant opportunity costs? \ What is the relationship between the opportu- | nity cost of a commodity and the relative price ; of that commodity? How can they be visual- \ ized graphically? 9. Why is a nation's production possibility fro - = tier the same as its consumption frontier in die : absence of trade? How does the nation decide how much of each commodity to consume tn the absence of trade? i ----;,i;mtinn? hv Problems jin from trade in the first instance hut only the nail nation in the second? 1 [. Low is the combined supply curve of both nations for each of the traded commodities determined? How is the equilibrium-relative commodity price determined with trade? 12. What are the results of empirical testing of the Ricardian model? I. ble 2.5 shows bushels of wheat and the yards v f cloth that the United States and the United Kingdom can produce with one hour of labor ne under four different hypothetical situations. In each case, identify the commodity in which the United States and the United Kingdom have an absolute advantage or disadvantage. *2. With respect to Table 2.5, indicate in each case the commodity in which each nation has a comparative advantage or disadvantage. i 1 TAIJI.E 2.5. Production Possibilities in the United States and the United Kingdom H Case A Case B Case C Case D mm U.S. U.K. U.S. U.K. U.S. U.K. U.S. U.K. mm Wheat (bushels/man-hour) 4 1 Cloth (yards/man-hour) 1 2 4 1 3 2 4 1 2 2 4 2 2 1 ,1. . ith respect to Table 2.5, indicate in each case whether or not trade is possible and the basis for trade. "4. Suppose that in Case B in Table 2.5 the United ites exchanges 4W for 4C with the United Kingdom. (a) How much does the United States gain? I How much does the United Kingdom gain? (c) What is the range for mutually beneficial trade? (d) How much would each nation gain if they exchanged 4W for 6C instead? 5. U,e the information for Case B in Table 2.5 and ume that labor is the only factor of production and is homogeneous (i.e., all of one type). What is the cost in terms of labor content of producing wheat and cloth in the United States and the United Kingdom? (b) What is the dollar price of wheat and cloth in the United States if the wage rate is $6? (c) What is the pound price of wheat and cloth in the United Kingdom if the wage rate is £1? 6. Answer the following questions with reference to Problem 5. (a) What is the dollar price of wheat and cloth in the United Kingdom if the exchange rate between the pound and the dollar is £\ = &2? Would the United States be able to export wheat to the United Kingdom at this exchange rate? Would the United Kingdom be able to export cloth to the United States at this exchange rate? (b) What if the exchange rate between the dollar and the pound were £1 = $4? (c) What if the exchange rate were £1 = $1? (d) What is the range of exchange rates that 54 United Kingdom to export cloth to the United States? 7. Assume that the data in Case B in Table 2.5 refer to millions of bushels of wheat and .millions of yards of cloth. (a) Plot on graph paper the production frontiers of the United States and the United Kingdom. (b) What is the relative price of wheat (i.e., Pw/Pc m the United States and in the United Kingdom? (c) What is the relative price of cloth (i.e., Pc/Pw in the United States and in the United Kingdom? 8. Using the United States and United Kingdom production frontiers from Problem 7, assume that the no-trade or autarky point is 3W and ■v4c (in million units) in the United States and V2W and 1C in the United Kingdom. Also assume that with the opening of trade the United States exchanges 1W for 1C with the United Kingdom. Show graphically for the United States and the United Kingdom the autarky (or no-trade) point of production and consumption, the point of production and consumption with trade, and the gains from trade. 9. (a) What would be the equilibrium-relative commodity price of wheat if D\v(\js+ujq Appendix Chapter 2. The Law of Comparative Advantage shifted up by one-third in the left panel of Figure 2.3? How much wheat and cloth would the United States and the United Kingdom then produce? (b) What does the answer to part (a) imply for Dc(uk+us) in the right panel of Figure 2.3? *10. What would happen if Dw(us+uk) intei-sected the horizontal portion of Sj^us+ctj at Pw/¥c = 2/3 and 120W in the left panel of Figure 2.3? What would this imply for specialization in production and the distribution in the gains from trade between th two nations? 11. Draw a figure similar to Figure 2.2 showing that the United Kingdom is now a small country, half the size shown in the right panel of Figure 2.2, and trades 20C for 30W with the United States at Ph//Pc = 2h- 12. (a) How was the Pocardian trade modi tested empirically? (b) In what way can the results be said to confirm the Pdcardian model? (c) Why do we then need other trade models? 13. How would you counter the argument that the United States needs to restrict tev-jle imports in order to save American jobs? We now extend the theory of comparative advantage first to the case of more than two commodities and then to the case of more than two nations. In each case, we will see th ." the theory of comparative advantage is easily generalized. A2.1 Comparative Advantage with More Than Two Commodities Table 2.6 shows the dollar and the pound cost, or price, of five commodities in the United States and the United Kingdom. (In economics, "cost" includes the return to all factors, including "normal profits"; thus, "cost" and "price" are used interchangeably here.) To determine which commodities will be exported and imported by the United Stat '■X between the dollar and the pound is £\ = United Kingdom are: 55 I, the dollar prices of the commodities in the Commodity a C D Dollar price in the u.k. 12 At this exchange rate, the dollar prices of commodities A and B are lower in the United States than in the United Kingdom; commodity C is equally priced in the two nations; and the dollar prices of commodities D and E are lower in die United Kingdom. As a result, the United States will export commodities A and B to the United Kingdom and import commodities D and E from the United Kingdom. Commodity C will not be traded. Table 2.6. Commodity Prices in the United States and United Kingdom Commodity Price in the U.S. Price in the U.K. a $2 £6 b 4 4 C 6 3 D 8 2 e 10 1 Now assume that the exchange rate between the dollar and the pound is £1 = $3. The dollar prices of the commodities in the United Kingdom would be: Commodity a b D Dollar price in the U.K. 18 12 At this higher exchange rate, the dollar prices of commodities A, B, and C are lower in the United States, while the dollar prices of commodities D and E are lower in the United Kirgdom. Thus, the United States would export commodities A, B, and C to the United Kingdom and import commodities D and E from the United Kingdom. Note that commodity C, which was not traded at the exchange rate of £\ = $2, is now exported by the United States at the exchange rate of £1 = $3. Finally, if the exchange rate were £1 = $1, the dollar prices of the commodities in the United Kingdom would be: Commodity a b C D e Dollar price in the u.k. 6 4 3 2 1 In this case, the United States would export only commodity A to the United Kingdom and import all Other Commodities, with the- pyrpnrinn nf rr\mmnAit\T Tl f-ixrhii-U nmnU nnt 56 Chapter 2. The Law of Comparative Advantage The actual exchange rate between the dollar and the pound will settle at the level at wluch the value, of U.S. exports to the United Kingdom exactly equals the value of the U.S. imports from the United Kingdom (in the absence of other international transactions). Once this equilibrium exchange rate is established, we will be able to determine exactly which commodities are exported by the United States and which are exported by the United Kingdom, Each nation will then have a comparative advantage in the commodities that it exports at the particular equilibrium exchange rate established. (We abstract here from the situation where the exchange rate remains out of equilibrium for long periods of time.) What we can say on the basis of Table 2.6 is that the U.S. comparative advantage is greatest in commodity A, and the United States must export at least this commodity. For this to be possible, the exchange rate between the dollar and the pound must be ,£1 > $0.33. • The United Kingdom's comparative advantage is highest in commodity E, so that the United Kingdom must export at least commodity E. For this to be possible, the exchange ■ rate between the dollar and the pound must be ^1 < $10. This discussion can be generalized to cover any number of commodities. A2.2 Comparative Advantage with More Than Two Nations Suppose that, instead of two nations and five commodities, we have two commodities ; (wheat and cloth) and five nations (A, B, C, D, and E). Table 2.7 ranks these nations from 1 lowest to highest in terms of their internal P^/Pc values. With trade, the equilibrium \ íV/Pc will settle somewhere between 1 and 5. That is, 1 < P^/Pc < 5. If the equilibrium Pjy/Pc = 3 with trade, Nations A and B will export wheat to ! Nations D and E in exchange for cloth. Nation C will not engage in international trade in | this case because its pretrade Pfy/Pc equals the equilibrium P\y/Pc with trade. Given a trade i equilibrium Ppy/Pc = 4, Nations A,B, and C will export wheat to Nation E in exchange fotí cloth, and Nation D will not engage in international trade. If the equilibrium Pj^/Pc = 2"i! with trade, Nation A will export wheat to all the other nations, with the exception of ; Nation B, in exchange for cloth. This discussion can easily be extended to any number of countries. However, general-!.:-* izing our analysis to many commodities and many nations at the same time becomes cumbersome and is unnecessary. What is important at this point is that the conclusions reach^ on the basis of our simple model with only two nations and two commodities can be generalized and are indeed applicable to the case of many nations and many commodities. table 2.7. Ranking of Nations inTertns of Internal Pyy/Pc I\TERNet Nation A B C D E Pw/Pc 1 2 3 4 5 Problem Set up an example of trade with three commodities and three nations in such a way that each of the three nations exports one of the commodities to, and imports one of the commodities from, each of the other two nations. For a problem-solving approach to the material covered in this chapter, with many examples and solved problems, see: ■ I.). Salvátore, Theory and Problems of International Htonomics, 4th ed. (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1996), ehs. 1,2 (sects. 2.1 to 2.3). A preclassical mercantilist view on international trade can be found in: ■ F. E Heckscher, Mercantilism, Vols. I and 11 (London: Allen & Unwin, 1935). ■ V. C. Newman, A. D. Gayer, and M. H. Spencer, = 4. Since the relative price of X is lower in Nation 1 than in Nation 2, Nation 1 has a comparative advantage in commodity X and Nation 2 in commodity Y. ence map) together determine the equilibrium-relative commodity prices in each * nation in autarky. For example, if indifference curve I had been of a different; shape, it would have been tangent to the production frontier at a different point; and would have determined a different relative price of X in Nation 1. The same \ would be true for Nation 2. This is in contrast to the constant costs case, where ; the equilibrium Px^y is constant in each nation regardless of the level of output and conditions of demand, and is given by the constant slope of the nation's pro • duction frontier. Case Study 3-1 examines the present, real-world or revealed comparative advantage of the United States, the European Union, and Japan. 3.5 The Basis for and the Gains from Trade with Increasing Costs The Basis for and the Gains from Trade with Increasing Costs Case Study 3-1 Comparative Advantage of the United States, the European Union, and Japan The revealed comparative advantage of the United States, the European Union, and Japan can be measured by the excess in the percentage of total exports over the percentage of total imports in each major commodity group for each country or region. The 15^-member European Union (EU) refers to Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Belgium, Denmark, Portugal, Greece, Ireland, Luxembourg, Austria, Finland, and Sweden. Although international trade is not balanced for many countries, especially the United States and Japan, and trade restrictions distort comparative advantage, they usually do not completely obscure it. Table 3-1 shows that the United States has a revealed comparative advantage in food (since U.S. food exports as a percentage of total overall U.S. exports exceed U.S. food imports as a percentage of total U.S. imports), but a strong revealed comparative disadvantage in fuels. In manufactures, the United States has a revealed comparative advantage in chemicals and in telecommunications equip-ment, but a revealed; comparative disadvantage in automotive products, and textiles and clothing. The EU seems*to have a comparative advantage in automotive products and chemicals,: and a comparative disadvantage in all other commodity groups. Japan seems to have a very strong comparative advantage in manufactures (other than textiles and clothing) and an equally strong comparative disadvantage in primary commodities. Product differentiation is the reason for intra-industry trade (i.e., for the same type of product being both exported and imported by the same nation or region; iritra-industry trade isexamined in detail in Section 6.4). Table 3.1. Composition of Exports and Imports of the United States, the European Union, and Japan in 2001 andTheirRevealed Comparative Advantage United States European Union [a pan % of Total % of Total % of Total Exports Imports; Exports Imports Exports Imports Primary commodities 13.2 18.9 15. i. 21.2 3.0 41.5 Food 7.4 4.4 7.8.' . 8.2 V 0.8 13.1 Fuels 1.8 10.9 3.6 8.0 ,. • 0.4 20.1 Manufactures 82.4 76.7 82.1, 75.4 92.8 56.7 Automotive products ; 8.7 14.0 11.8 9.8 19.9 2.6 Chemicals 11.3 6.9 13.8 11.1 7.6 7.2 Office and telecommunications equipment 17.3 14.6 10.6 12.2 20.5 15.1 Textiles and clothing 2.4 6.9 4.3 5.3 1.7 . 6.9 Source: WTO, International Trade Statistics (Geneva, 2002), Appendix tables Ä12.Ä14, and A19. 68 Chapter 3. The Standard Theory of International Trade nation with the lower relative price for a commodity has a comparative advantage in that commodity and a comparative disadvantage in the other commodity, with respect to the second nation. Each nation should then specialize in the production of the commodity of its comparative advantage (i.e., produce more of the commodity than it wants to consume domestically) and exchange part of its output with the other nation for the commodity of its comparative disadvantage. However, as each nation specializes in producing the commodity of its comparative advantage, it incurs increasing opportunity costs. Specialization will continue until relative commodity prices in the two nations become equal at the level at which trade is in equilibrium. By then trading with each other, both nations end up consuming more than in the absence of trade. 3.5a Illustrations of the Basis for and the Gains from Trade with Increasing Costs We have seen (Figure 3.3) that in the absence of trade the equilibrium-relative price of X is PA = V4 in Nation 1 and Pa' = 4 in Nation 2.Thus, Nation 1 has a comparative advantage in commodity X and Nation 2 in commodity Y. Suppose that trade between the two nations becomes possible (e.g., through the elimination of government obstacles to trade or a drastic reduction in transportation costs). Nation 1 should now specialize in the production and export of commodity X in exchange for commodity Y from Nation 2. How this takes place is illustrated by Figure 3.4. Starting from point A (the equilibrium point in isolation), as Nation 1 specializes in the production of X and moves down its production frontier, it incurs increasing opportunity costs in the production of X. This is reflected in the increasing slope of its production frontier. Starting from point A\ as Nation 2 specializes in the production of Y and moves upward along its production frontier, it experiences increasing opportunity costs in the production of Y. This is reflected in the decline in the slope of its production frontier (a reduction in the opportunity cost of X, which means a rise in the opportunity cost of Y). This process of specialization in production continues until relative commodity prices (the slope of the production frontiers) become equal in the two nations. The common relative price (slope) with trade will be somewhere between the pretradc relative prices of V4 and 4, at the level at which trade is balanced. In Figure 3.4, this isPB=PB'^l- With trade, Nation 1 moves from point A down to point B in production. Bv then exchanging 60X for 60Y with Nation 2 (see trade triangle BCE), Nation I ends up consuming at point E (70X and 80Y) on its indifference curve III. This is the highest level of satisfaction that Nation 1 can reach with trade at Px/Py ~ 1 ■ Thus, Nation 1 gains 20X and 20Y from its no-trade equilibrium point. (Compare point E on indifference curve III with point A on indifference curve I.) Similarly, Nation 2 moves from point A' up to point B'in production, and, b\ exchanging 60Y for 60X with Nation 1 (see trade triangle B'C'EO. it enQls UP con suming at point E/ (100X and 60Y) on its indifference curve III'. Thus, Nation 2 The Basis for and the Gains From Trade with Increasing Costs 69 Nation 2 Nation 1 100 h 10 30 50 70 90 110 130 150 20 40 60 80 100 120 FIGURE 3.4. The Gains from Trade with Increasing Costs. With trade, Nation 1 moves from point A to point B in production. By then exchanging 60X for 60Y with Nation 2 (see trade triangle BCE), Nation 1 ends up consuming at point E (on indifference curve III) .Thus, Nation 1 gains 20X and 20Y from trade (compare autarky point A with point E). Similarly, Nation 2 moves from A'ta ß'in production. By then exchanging 60Y for 60X with Nation 1 (see trade triangle B'C'fi'J, Nation 2 ends up consuming at point B'and also gains 20X and 20Y. Pb = Pb' = 1 is the equilibrium-relative price—the price at which trade is balanced. Note that with specialization in production and trade, each nation can consume outside its production frontier (which also represents its no-trade consumption frontier). .i.>8 Equilibrium-Relative Commodity Prices with Trade The equilibrium-relative commodity price with trade is the common relative price in both nations at which trade is balanced. In Figure 3.4, this is Pb - Pb' = 1. At this relative price, the amount of X that Nation 1 wants to export (60X) equals the amount of X that Nation 2 wants to import (60X). Similarly, the amount of Y that Nation 2 wants to export (60Y) exactly matches the amount of Y that Nation 1 wants to import at this price (60Y). Any other relative price could not persist because trade would be unbalanced. For example, at Px/Py = 2, Nation 1 would want to export more of X than Nation 2 would be willing to import at this high price. As a result, the relative price of X would fall toward the equilibrium level of 1. Similarly, at a relative price of X lower than 1, Nation 2 would want to import more of X than Nation 1 would be willing to export at this low price, and the relative price of X would rise. Thus, the relative price of X would gravitate toward the equilibrium price of 1. (The same conclu- 70 Chapter 3. The Standard Theory of International Trade I The equihbrium-relative price in Figure 3.4 was determined by trial and error that is, various relative prices were tried until the one that balanced trade was found. There is a more rigorous theoretical way to determine the equilibrium-relative price with trade.This makes use of either the total demand and supply curve of each commodity in each nation, or the so-called offer curves, and is discussed in the next chapter. All we need to say at this point is that the greater is Nation l's desire forY (the commodity exported by Nation 2) and the weaker is Nation 2's desire for X (the commodity exported by Nation 1), the closer the equilibrium price with trade will be to Va (the pretrade equilibrium price in Nation 1) and the smaller will be Nation l's share of the gain. Once the equihbrium-relative price with trade is determined, we will know exactly how the gains from trade are divided between the two nations, and our trade model will be complete. In Figure 3.4, the equilibrium-rela five price of X with trade (PB — Pb = 1) results in equal gains (20X and 20Y) for Nation 1 and Nation 2, but this need not be the case. Of course, if the pretrade-relative price had been the same in both nations (an unlikely occurrence), there would be no comparative advantage or disadvantage to speak of in either nation, and no specialization in production or mutually beneficial trade would take place. 3.5c Incomplete Specialization There is one basic difference between our trade model under increasing costs and the constant opportunity costs case. Under constant costs, both nations specialize completely in production of the commodity of their comparative advantage (i.e., produce only that commodity). For example, in Figures 2.2 and 2.3, the United States specialized completely in wheat production, and the United Kingdom specialized completely in cloth production. Since it paid for the United States to exchange some wheat for British cloth, it paid for the United States to obtain all of its cloth from the United Kingdom in exchange for wheat because the opportunity r cost of wheat remained constant in the United States. The same was true for the United Kingdom in terms of cloth production. In contrast, under increasing opportunity costs, there is incomplete specialization in production in both nations. For example, while Nation 1 produces more o: X (the commodity of its comparative advantage) with trade, it continues to produce someY (see point B in Figure 3.4). Similarly, Nation 2 continues to produce some X with trade (see point B'in Figure 3.4). The reason for this is that as Nation 1 specializes in the production of X, it incurs increasing opportunity costs in producing X. Similarly, as Nation 2 produces more | Y, it incurs increasing opportunity costs in Y (which means declining opportunity costs of X).Thus, as each nation specializes in producing the commodity of its comparative advantage, relative commodity prices move toward each other (i.e., become less unequal) until they are identical in both nations. At that point, it does not pay for either nation to continue to expand production of the commodity of its comparative advantage (see Case Study 3-2). This occurs before either nation has completely specialized in production. In Figure 3.4, Pq = The Basis for and the Gains from Trade with Increasing Costs 71 Case Study 3-2 Specialization and Export Concentration in Selected Countries Because of increasing costs, no nation specializes completely in the production of only one product in the real world.The closest to complete specialization in production and trade that any nation comes is Kuwait, where petroleum exports represented 92.8 percent of the total value of its exports in 2001. For Argentina, another developing nation with highly specialized natural resources, food exports represent 45.7 percent of its total exports. As Table 3.2 shows, the largest export product for the United States, Germany, and Japan represents less than one quarter of their total exports. Table 3.2. Leading Export as a Percentage of Total Exports of Selected Countries in 2001 United States Office and telecommunications equipment 17.3 Japan ; Office and telecommunications equipment 20.5 Germany Automotive products , ,:\ . 23.2 Korea Office and telecommunications equipment 29.4 Argentina Food . 1 , ... ;/. 45.7 Kuwait Fuels ^;:„.;';.' • " 92.8 Source: WTO, International Trade Statistics (Geneva, 2002). .I.>D Small-Country Case with Increasing Costs Recall that under constant costs, the only exception to complete specialization in production occurred in the small-country case. There, only the small nation specialized completely in production of the commodity of its comparative advantage. The large nation continued to produce both commodities even with trade (see Figure 2.3) because the small nation could not satisfy all of the demand for imports of the large nation. In the increasing costs case, however, we find incomplete specialization even in the small nation. We can use Figure 3.4 to illustrate the small-country case with increasing costs. Let us assume that Nation lis nqwra very small country, which is in equilibrium at point A (the same as before) in the absence of trade, and that Nation 2 is a very large country or even the rest of the world. (The diagram for Nation 2 in Figure 3.4 is to be completely disregarded in this case.) Suppose that the equilibrium-relative price of X on the world market is 1 (Pw = l),and it is not affected by trade with small Nation 1. Since in the absence of trade, the relative price of X in Nation 1 (PA = XU) is lower than the world market price, Nation 1 has a comparative advantage in X. With the opening of trade, Nation 1 specializes in the production of X until it reaches point B on its production frontier, where Pg = 1 = Pw Even though Nation 1 is now considered to be a small country, it still does not specialize completely in the production of X (as would be the 72 Chapter 3. The Standard Theory of International Trade By exchanging 60X for 60Y, Nation 1 reaches point E on indifference curve III and gains 20X and 20Y (compared with its autarky point A on indifference curve I). Note that this is exactly what occurred when Nation 1 was not considered to be small. The only difference is that now Nation 1 does not affect relative prices in Nation 2 (or the rest of the world), and Nation 1 captures all the benefits from trade (which now amount to only 20X and 20Y). 3.5E The Gains from Exchange and from Specialization A nation's gains from trade can be broken down into two components: the gains from exchange and the gains from specialization. Figure 3.5 illustrates this breakdown for small Nation 1. (For simplicity, the autarky price line, Pa = v4, and indifference curve I are omitted from the figure.) Suppose that, for whatever reason, Nation 1 could not specialize in the production of X with the opening of trade but continued to produce at point A, where MRT = 74. Starting from point A, Nation 1 could export 20X in exchange for 20Y at the prevailing world relative price of P\y = 1 and end up consuming at point T on indifference curve II. Even though Nation 1 consumes less of X and more of Y at point Tin relation to point A, it is better off than it was in autarky because T is on higher indifference curve II.The movement from point A to point Tin consumption measures the gains from exchange. y Nation 1 0 10 30 50 70 90 110 130 150 figure 3.5. The Gains from Exchange and from Specialization. If Nation 1 could not specialize in the production of X with the opening of trade but continued to produce at point A, Nation 1 could export 20X in exchange for 20Y at the prevailing world price of Pw = 1 and end up consuming at point T on indifference curve II.The increase in consumption from point A (in autarky) to point T represents the gains from exchange alone. If Nation 1 subsequently did specialize in the production of X and produced at point B, it ------1 j .1 . . _.....---r? _„----------».„ tti tU. ___„„ ,nnI„t»nhnn Trade Based on Differences in Tastes 73 If subsequently Nation 1 also specialized in the production of X and produced at point B, it could then exchange 60X for 60Y with the rest of the world and consume at point E on indifference curve HI (thereby gaining even more).The movement from T to E in consumption measures the gains from specialization in production. In sum, the movement from A (on indifference curve I) to T (on indifference curve II) is made possible by exchange alone. This takes place even if Nation 1 remains at point A (the autarky point) in production. The movement from point T to point E (on indifference curve III) represents the gains resulting from specialization in production. Note that Nation 1 is not in equilibrium in production at point A with trade because MRT < Pw To be in equilibrium in production, Nation 1 should expand its production of X until it reaches point B, where Pg = Pw = 1 ■ Nation 2's gains .from trade can similarly be broken down into gains from exchange and gains from specialization. Case Study 3-3 illustrates the reallocation of labor in the United States as a real-world example of comparative advantage at work, while Case Study 3-4 shows that deindustrialization in the industrial countries as a group, in the United States, the European Union, and Japan was due mainly to increases in labor productivity or internal causes rather than to foreign trade. 3.6 Trade Based on Differences in Tastes The difference in pretrade-relative commodity prices between Nation 1 and Nation 2 in Figures 3.3 and 3.4 was based on the difference in the production frontiers and indifference curves in the two nations. This determined the comparative advantage of each nation and set the stage for specialization in production and mutually beneficial trade. With increasing costs, even if two nations have identical production possibility frontiers (which is unlikely), there will still be a basis for mutually beneficial trade if tastes, or demand preferences, in the two nations differ. The nation with the relatively smaller demand or preference for a commodity will have a lower autarky relative price for, and a comparative advantage in, that commodity. The process of specialization in production and trade would then follow, exactly as described in the previous section. 3.6a Illustration of Trade Based on Differences in Tastes Trade based solely on differences in tastes is illustrated in Figure 3.6. Since the production frontiers of the two nations are now assumed to be identical, they are represented by a single curve. With indifference curve I tangent to the production frontier at point A for Nation 1 and indifference curve I' tangent at point A' for Nation 2, the pretrade-relative price of X is lower in Nation l.Thus, Nation 1 has a comparative advantage in commodity X and Nation 2 in commodity Y. With the opening of trade, Nation 1 specializes in the production of X (and Chapter 3. The Standard Theory of International Trade Trade Based on Differences in Tastes 75 Case Study 3-3 Job Losses in High U.S. Import-Competing Industries, 1979-1999 Table 3.3 shows the number Qf workers who lost their jobs (i.e., were displaced) in V various high import-competing industries in the United States between 1979 and. -m m 1999. High import-competing industries were broadly defined as those in the top 25 percent in import shares. From the table, we see that almost 6.5 million workers lost their jobs in these industries over the 1979-1999 period, with the electrical "; machinery and apparel industries leading the list, with 1,182,000 and 1,136,000 m ^ jobs lost, respectively. As we will see in Case Study 3—4, however, most of the jobs lost in these industries were not due to imports but to purely internal or domestic ' causes such as technological change, changes in consumer demand, and restructuring. Highly import competitive industries did, however, experience a higher job loss «i t than other manufacturing industries because of imports. This is evident from the _i fact that although high import-competing industries accounted for 30 percent of manufacturing employment, they experienced 38.4 percent of manufacturing job ') losses over the 1979-1999 period. TABLE 3.3. Job Losses in High Import-Competing Industries, 1979-1999 Job Lost Job Lost Industry (thousands) Industry [thousands) Electrical machinery 1,181 Textiles 159 Apparel 1,136 Toys and sporting goods 156 Motor vehicles 918 Primary metals-other than steel 133 Electronic computing 513 Photographic equipment 68 equipment Leather products 57 Radio and television 395 Office and accounting Steel 361 machines 41 Construction machinery 351 Pottery and related products 24 Tires and other rubber products 193 Watches and clocks ■ 9 Footwear 184 ; Leather, tanning and finishing 5 Scientific instruments 164 Other industries 406 Total 6,454 SourcesG-Kletzerjob LossfiomImports:Measuring the Costs (Washington,D.C.:Institute for Inter-nationaIEconomics,200I),pp.;18-19. m¥ up its own production frontier). Specialization continues until PX/PY is the same in both nations and trade is balanced.This occurs at point B (which coincides with point Bg), where PB = PB£ = 1. Nation 1 then exchanges 60X for 60Y with Nation 2 (see trade triangle BCE) and ends up consuming at point E on its indifference curve III. Nation 1 thus gains 20X and 20Y as compared with point A. nt..;^ o ^u^er*.* ^nv for 60X with Nation 1 (see trade triangle Case Study 3-4 International Trade and Dcindustriali/ation in the United Slates, the European Union, and Japan Since the 1970s, the United States has been concerned with the problem of dein-dustrialization, as reflected in its declining share of manufacturing employment. But this phenomenon occurred in: all industrial countries and was not primarily the result of foreign trade, as was sometimes claimed. Table 3.4 shows the relative importance of the different factors accounting for deindustrialization in all industrial countries as a group in the United States, the European Union, and Japan from 1970 to 1994. TABLE 3.4. Factors Responsible for Deindustrialization, 1970-1994 Industrial United European Countries States Union Japan Share of manufacturing : Employment (in percent) ,19J0 ' 27.6 26.4 30.4 27.0 1994 • ' .V?; ;'-;''--r 18.0 16.0 20.2 23.2 Change -9.6 •• -10.4 • -10.2 • -3.8 Percentage of change due to: Productivity growth ./„. V 65.6V: 65.4 ; 59^8 157.9 • Trade H2.1 -: 9.6 (-)2.9 (-)30.0 Investment V =:;-; '''-v 18.8 - 3.8 20.6 , 71.1 viOther:iM5- ^'.•■•r-- ^/-„WK^ •: 122 ..■ 21.2. 22.5 H51.7 Total . 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: International Monetary Fund, Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook (Washington, D.O., December 1997), p. 68. " y The table shows that from 1970 to 1994 the average share of manufacturing employment declined by about 10 percentage points in industrial countries as a group, in the United States and in the European Union, and 4 percentage points in Japan. The table also shows that most of this decline resulted from the growth of labor productivity, which made possible higher levels of output with less labor. Growing trade deficits in manufactures were responsible for only 9.6 percent of the loss of manufacturing employment in the United States, while growing trade surpluses in manufactures resulted in a 30-percent increase in manufacturing employment in Japan.The trade effect in the European Union and all industrial nations as a group was very small. The decline in the rate of investment also contributed to the reduction in the share of manufacturing employment, as did the, changes in other factors (such as shifts in the pattern of consumption away from manufactures to services), except in Japan. \;: