Chapter 2 Understanding colonialism Further reading Blunt, A. and McEwan, C. (eds) (2002) Postcolonial Geographies. London: Continuum. A valuable collection of papers which help to de-mystify the concept of post-colonialism. Blunt, A. and Wills, J. (2000) Dissident Geographies. London: Prentice Hall. This book contains some useful ideas on post-colonial studies. Crush, J. (ed.) (1995) The Power of Development. London: Routledge. A much-cited text which examines a variety of perspectives on the concept of 'development', written by some leading scholars in the field. Duncan, J.S., Johnson, N.C. and Schein, R.H. (eds) (2004) A Companion to Cultural Geography. Oxford: Blackwell. A very useful reference book on issues relating to cultural geography. Griffiths, I.L. (1995) The African Inheritance. London: Routledge. An excellent text on the colonisation and decolonisation of Africa. McEwan, C. (2002) Postcolonialism, in Desai, V. and Potter, R.B. (eds), The Companion to Development Studies. London: Arnold, 127-31. A particularly clear and concise introductory essay on post-colonialism. McLeod, J. (2000) Beginning Postcolonialism. Manchester: Manchester University Press. A helpful text which explores the concept of postcolonialism. Rodney, W. (1972) How Europe Underdeveloped Africa. Washington, DC: Howard University Press. A classic and thought-provoking text which examines how, in the views of the author, Africa suffered as a result of European colonisation. Said, E. (1978) Orientalism. New York: Pantheon Books. A seminal book which has played an influential role in understanding relationships between colonisers and colonised- Sartre, J.P. (1964, 2001) Colonialism and Neo-colonialism. English translation (2001). London: Routledge. An important text from a key French thinker on colonialism. Williams, P. and Chrisman, L. (eds) (1993) Colonial Discourse and Postcolonial Theory. London: Prentice Hall. A collection of essays examining colonisation, colonial perceptions and post-colonialism. http://www.zmag.org/zmag/articles/barsaid.htm Speech by Edward Said on 'Culture and Imperialism', given at York University, Toronto, 10 February, 1993. An interesting speech from a leading thinker and the author of the influential book, Orientalism, first published in 1978. http://www.mkgandhi.org/ Useful wide-ranging website on Mahatma Gandhi, who played a key role in the drive for independence in India, which in turn had a significant impact on the wider decolonisation process. DISCUSSION TOPICS Select a country that was colonised and examine what you believe are the positive and negative legacies of colonialism. Identify some of the key elements in writings on post-colonialism and suggest how these have enhanced understanding of the colonial experience. Examine the ideological and practical differences between the phases of mercantile, industrial and late colonialism. 78 3- ^ ar* i r-t CO of development The aim of this chapter is to introduce readers to the main theories of development that have been advanced, and to give some idea as to how these have been put into practice. By the end of the chapter, therefore, readers should be aware of the most important characteristics of different theories and strategies of development. At the outset, the terms 'theory', 'strategy', 'ideology' and 'paradigm' are defined in respect of the field of development studies. Throughout, it is emphasised that thinking about development tends to be evolutionary rather than revolutionary, so that new ideas and approaches often come into existence without the eradication of older ones. This is, of course, because thinking about development is highly political and, therefore, highly contested. The account: > Considers the nature and role of theories, strategies and ideologies in the field of development studies. > Reviews classical and neo-classical approaches to development theory, these approaches being based on traditional economic theory. Such approaches represent 'top-down' development. > Considers the findings of historical-empirical approaches to the understanding of development - that is, learning from what has actually happened in the past in various regions. Overviews radical and Marxist-inspired theories, especially the dependency school. Stresses the diversity of alternative approaches to development, including an array of 'bottom-up' formulations. Links the conditions of modernity and postmodernity to development theory. Since the start of the twentieth century, a major feature of the interdisciplinary field of development studies has been a series of fundamental changes in thinking about the process of development and indeed what constitutes development itself. This search for new conceptualisations of development has been mirrored by changes in development practice in the field. Thus, there has been much debate and controversy about development, with many changing views as to its definition, and the strategies by means of which, however defined, it may be pursued. Chapter 1 exemplified this in respect of the recent debates about the value 79 Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development of the concept of development itself, in terms of anti-development and post-development. This was also demonstrated by the variety of approaches to development that have been adopted, ranging from development as economic growth to development as promoting human rights and freedoms. In short, the period since the 1950s has seen the promotion and application of.many varied geographies of development and there is much vitalityin the field. Such diversity is demonstrated by the number and variety of major books and other items published on 'development' (see, for example, Apter, 1987; Brohman, 1996; Clark, 2006; Corbridge, 1986; Cowen and Shenton, 1996; Crush, 1995b; Desai and Potter, 2008 Escobar, 1995; Greig etal, 2007; Hettne, 1995; Kothari 2005; Leys, 1996; Mehmet, 1999; O'Tuathail, 1994 Panayiotopoulos and Capps, 2001; Power, 2003 Preston, 1987, 1996; Rapley, 1996; Schuurman, 1993 Sen, 2000; Simon, 2006; Slater, 1992a, 1992b, 1993 Streeten, 1995; and Thirlwall, 1999). The purpose of this chapter is to provide an introduction to the different approaches to development that have been proposed and followed, principally since around 1940, both in theory and in practice. As noted above, these different approaches reflect the changing paradigms of development that were outlined in Chapter 1. Many of these paths to development will be further elaborated in Parts II and III of this text. A major theme in the present account will be to illustrate that ideas about development have long been highly controversial and contested. This is because thinking about development paths and states is essentially political. This argument is further highlighted in the conclusion to the chapter, which sets out briefly some of the relationships between development theory and the societal conditions of modernity and post-modernity. The linked contention that development theory and development studies have currently reached an impasse or deadlock is also considered as part of this account, an argument that draws on the positions of and- and post-development introduced in Chapter 1. UCt The view provided of development thinking in this chapter is very wide and eclectic. Accordingly, a broad definition of paths to development is also adopted at the outset. To use Hettne's (1995) nomenclature, the chapter reviews selected aspects of development theories,- development strategies and development ideologies. Before doing so, these three basic terms must be defined: 1 Development theories may be regarded as sets of apparently logical propositions which purport to explain how development has occurred in the past, and/or should occur in the future. Development theories can either be normative, when they generalise about what should be the case in an ideal world, or positive in the sense of dealing with what has actually been the case. (This distinction is shown in Figure 3.2 below.) The arena of development theory is primarily, although by no means exclusively, to be encountered in the academic literature. 2 On the other hand, development strategies can be defined as the practical paths to development that may be pursued by international agencies, states around the world, non-government organisations and community-based organisations, in an effort to stimulate change within particular nations, regions and continents. 3 Different development agendas will reflect different goals and objectives. These goals will reflect social, economic, political, cultural, ethical, moral and even religious influences. Thus, what may be referred to as different development ideologies may be recognised. Chapter 1 stressed how, both in theoiy and in practice, early perspectives on development were almost exclusively concerned with promoting economic growth. Subsequently, however, the predominant ideology within the academic literature changed to emphasise political, social, ethnic, cultural, ecological and other dimensions of the wider process of development and change. Sometimes the term paradigm is used to refer to broad sets of ideas about development (see Key idea box). A sensible approach is to follow Hettne (1995) and to employ the idea of development thinking in the body of this chapter. The expression 'development thinking' may be used as a catch-all phrase indicating the sum total of ideas about development, including pertinent aspects of development theory, strategy and ideology. Thus, the present chapter takes a very broad remit in presenting an overview of development strategies. Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development What is a paradigm? Paradigms are generally defined as supra-models -that is, broad sets of ideas that come to dominate particular groups of scholars and/or particular disciplines. Once accepted, these form the agreed or consensus view of the discipline or scholarly group, and are generally defended until the evidence is so overwhelming that they have to be replaced by a new paradigm or supra-model. In the context of development, major theories of how economies have developed and how best economies should be developed, can be regarded as giving rise to paradigms. It is the evolution and nature of these paradigms in the field of development studies that forms the focus of this chapter. The contested nature of nt thinking Such an all-encompassing definition is necessary due to the nature of thinking about development itself. Development thinldng has shown many sharp twists and turns during the twentieth century. Thus the various theories that have been produced have not commanded attention in a strictly sequential temporal manner. In other words, as a new set of ideas about development has come into favour, earlier theories and strategies have not been totally discarded and replaced. Rather, theories and strategies have tended to stack up upon one another, coexisting in what can sometimes be described as a very convoluted manner. Thus, in discussing development theory, Hettne (1995: 64} has drawn attention to the 'tendency of social science paradigms to accumulate rather than fade away'. This characteristic of development thinking as a distinct field of enquiry can be considered in more detail, using Thomas Kuhn's ideas on the structure of scientific revolutions (Figure 3.1). Kuhn (1962) argued that scientific disciplines are dominated at particular points in time by communities of researchers and their associated methods, and they define the subjects and the issues deemed to be of importance within them. Kuhn referred to these as 'invisible colleges', and he noted that they serve to define and perpetuate research which confirms the validity of the existing paradigm; he called this 'normal science'. Kuhn noted that a fundamental change occurs only when the number of observations and questions confronting the status quo of normal science becomes too large to be dealt with by means of small changes. However, if the proposed changes are major, and a new paradigm is adopted, a scientific revolution can be said to have occurred, linked to a period of so-called extraordinary research. In this model, therefore, scientific disciplines basically advance by means of revolutions in which the prevailing normal science is replaced by extraordinary science, and ultimately a new form of normal science develops. In dealing with social scientific discourses, it is perhaps inevitable that the field of development theory is community of researchers / andmethods (invisible-col lege) 'Scientific' revolution Research confirms the validity of the existing paradigm If minor, the paradigm will be altered to take account of anomalies Major If major, a new paradigm will be produced by extraordinary research jure 3.1 Scientific revolutions: picturing Kuhn's model of their structure Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development NORMATIVE THEORY (what should be the case) ECONOMIC (focus on economic dimensions alone) Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development HOLISTIC (including social, political, moral) dimensions POSITIVE THEORY {what has been the case) jure 3.2 Development theory: a framework for this chapter characterised by evolutionary rather than revolutionary change. Evidence of the persistence of ideas in some quarters, years after they have been discarded elsewhere, will be encountered throughout this chapter, and indeed through this book. Given that development thinking is not just about the theoretical interpretation of facts, but rather about values, aspirations, social goals, and ultimately that which is moral and ethical, it is understandable that change in development theory leads to the parallel evolution of ideas, rather than revolution. Hence conflict, debate, contention and positionality are all inherent in the discussion of development strategies and associated plural and diverse geographies of development. There are many ways to categorise development minking through time. Broadly speaking, it is suggested here that four major approaches to the examination of development theory can be recognised, and these are shown in Figure 3.2. This categorisation follows the framework originally suggested by Potter and Lloyd-Evans (1998). The four approaches are: 1 the classical-traditional approach; 2 the historical-empirical approach; 3 the radical-political economy-dependency approach; and 4 alternative and bottom-up approaches. Following the argument presented in the last section, each of these approaches may be regarded as expressing a particular ideological standpoint, and can also be identified by virtue of having occupied the centre stage of the development debate at particular points in time. However, each approach still retains currency in certain quarters. Hence, in the realm of development theory and academic writing, left-of-centre socialist views may well be more popular than classical-traditional and neo-classical formulations. But in the area of practical development strategies, the period since the 1980s has seen the implementation of neo-liberal interpretation of classical theory, stressing the liberalisation of trade, along with public sector cutbacks, as a part of structural adjustment programmes (SAPs), aimed at reducing the involvement of the state in the economy and promoting the free market. But even so, the account which follows uses these four divisions to overview the leading theories, strategies and ideologies that have been used to explain and promote the development process. Introduction The traditional approach to the study of development derives from classical and neo-classical economics and has generally dominated policy thinking at the global scale. Classical economic theory, dating from before 1914, was strongly based on the writings of Adam Smith (1723-1790) and David Ricardo (1772-1823). Both Smith and Ricardo equated economic development with the growth of world trade and the law of comparative advantage (Sapsford, 2008) (see Key idea box). Neo-classical theories, those having generally been produced since 1945 (although some date back to the 1870s), take an essentially similar worldview, stressing the importance of liberating world trade as the essential path to growth and development. Essentially traditional approaches regard developing countries as being characterised by a dualistic structure. Hettne (1995) notes the strong role of dichotomous thinking in early anthropology, where comparisons were made between what were referred to as 'backward' and 'advanced' societies, the 'barbarian' and the 'civilised3, and the 'traditional' and the 'modern'. The fundamental dualism exists between what is seen as a traditional, indigenous, underdeveloped sector on the one hand, and a modern, developed and Westernised one on the other. It follows that the global development problem is seen as a scaled-up version of this basic dichotomy. Seminal works include those of Hirschman (1958), Meier and Baldwin (1957), Myrdal (1957), Perloff and Wingo (1961), Perroux (1950) and Schultz (1953). The basic framework: the contribution of A.O. Hirschman In this framework, underdevelopment is an initial state beyond which the West has managed to progress (Rapiey, 1996). It also envisages that the experience of the West can assist other countries in catching-up by sharing both capital and know-how. The avowed intention, therefore, is to bring developing countries to the modern age of capitalism and liberal democracy (Rapiey, 1996). The law of comparative cost advantage The bases of the economic principles of international trade were formulated by the economist Adam Smith in his book on The Wealth of Nations, which was published in 1776. Smith argued that it made sense for particular regionsand nations to produce those commodities for which they possessed the greatest comparative advantage, in this manner, at ieast in theory, global production can be maximised. Subsequently, by engaging in trade, countries can obtain the goods that they do not themselves produce, and which others can supply more cheaply. The arguments advanced by Smith suggested the economic efficiency of 'open' or 'libera!' trade policies, and in this sense were the forerunners of the arguments in favour of globalisation {Sapsford, 2008). Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development The general economic development model of the American economist A.O. Hirschman forms a convenient starting point for discussion of the traditional approach. Hirschman (1958), in his The Strategy of Economic Development, advanced a notably optimistic view in presenting the neo-classical position {Hansen, 1981). Specifically, Hirschman argued that polarisation should be viewed as an inevitable characteristic of the early stages of economic development. This represents the direct advocacy of a basically unbalanced economic growth strategy, whereby investment is concentrated in a few key sectors of the economy. It is envisaged that the growth of these sectors will create demand for the other sectors of the economy, so that a chain of disequilibria will lead to growth. The corollary of sectorally unbalanced growth is geographically uneven development, and Hirschman specifically cited Perroux's (1955) idea of the natural growth pole. The forces of concentration were collectively referred to by Hirschman as polarisation. The crucial argument, however, was that eventually development in the core will lead to the 'trickling down' of growth-inducing tendencies to backward regions. These trickle-down effects were seen by Hirschman as an inevitable and spontaneous process. Thus, the clear policy implication of Hirschman's thesis is that governments should not intervene to reduce inequalities, for at some juncture in the future the search for profits will promote the spontaneous spin-off of growth-inducing industries to backward regions. Hirschman's approach is therefore set in the traditional liberal model of letting the market decide. The process whereby spatial polarisation gives way to spatial dispersion out from the core to the backward regions has subsequently come to be referred to as the point of 'polarisation reversal' (Richardson, 1977, 1980). The doctrine of unequal The full significance of these ideas concerning polarised development extends far beyond their use as a basis for understanding the historical processes of urban-industrial change, for in the 1950s and 1960s they came to represent an explicit framework for regional development policy (Friedmann and Weaver, 1979). Thus, the doctrine of unequal growth gained both positive and normative currency in the first post-war decade and the path to growth was actively pursued via urban-based industrial growth. The policies of non-intervention, enhancing natural growth centres, and creating new induced sub-cores became the order of the day. As Friedmann and Weaver (1979: 93) obsefve,-the 'argument boiled down to this: inequality was efficient for growth, equality was inefficient', so that, 'given these assumptions about economic growth, the expansion of manufacturing was regarded as the major propulsive force'. The elaboration of Hirschman's ideas can be seen as part of a wider modernisation theory, which was in vogue during the 1950s and 1960s. The paradigm was grounded on the view that the gaps in development which exist between the developed and developing countries can gradually be overcome on an imitative basis. The emphasis was placed on a simple dichotomy between development and underdevelopment. Thereby developing countries would inexorably come to resemble developed countries, and 'in practice, modernization was thus very much the same as Westernization' {Hettne, 1995: 52). The modernisation thesis was largely developed in the field of political science, but was taken up from an essentially spatial viewpoint by a group of geographers in the late 1960s (Gould, 1970; Riddell, 1970; Soja, 1968, 1974), although sociologists also spent some considerable time working along these fines. In such works, sets of indices which were held to reflect modernisation were mapped and/or subjected to multivariate statistical analysis to reveal the 'modernisation surface'. For example, using such an approach, Gould (1970) examined what he regarded as the modernisation surface of Tanzania (Box 3.1). One of the classic papers written in this mould was by Leinbach (1972), who investigated the modernisation surface in Malaya between 1895 and 1969, using indicators such as the number of hospitals and schools per head of the population, together with the incidence of postal and telegraph facilities and road and rail densities. This modernisation approach served to emphasise that core urban areas of Malaya and the transport corridors running between them were the focus of dynamic change (Leinbach, 1972). In 1895, early growth was almost exclusively related to the west coast, specifically centering on Kuala Lumpur, with a clear inland island around Ipoh. By 1955, the so-called modernisation surface had penetrated to the east of the nation along two 'corridors' (Figure 3.3). Figure 3.3 (Tie modernisation surface for Malaya, 1895-1969 Source-. Adapted from teinbach (1972) Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development Modernisation and development in Tanzania Tanzania became independent in 1961 after a British and German colonial history (Hoyle, 1979). The area was occupied by Germans in the 1880s, and after the First World War it became British-administered Tanganyika. Like many former colonies, the population was very concentrated along the narrow coastal region (see Figure 3.4). The other major urban nodes such as Morogoro, Iringa and Mbeya formed a corridor running in a south-westerly direction from Dar-es-Salaam on the Indian Ocean coast. During the era when modernisation thinking was in vogue, 'islands' of development linked by major transport lines were recognised by geographers such as Gould (1969, 1970), Hoyle (1979) and Safier (1969). Traditionally, the settlement pattern had comprised dispersed villages, although strong urban concentration around Dar-es-Salaam occurred during the colonial period, with Hoyle (1979) referring to it as an 'hypertropic cityport' (O'Connor, 1983). Lundqvist (1981) identified four main phases of development planning in Tanzania between 1961 and 1980. The period from 1961 to 1966 was indeed seen as the legacy of the colonial era, during which such planning as was carried out was sectoral rather than regional in scope, as a result of which infrastructure remained concentrated in the principal towns and urban-rural disparities were maintained. Thus, one could talk about a highly polarised 'modernised-non-modernised' development surface which largely reflected colonial penetration. No modernisation Highly modernised Major settlements International boundary Railway Main road 300 km _i Figure 3.4 Tanzania in the 1970s: settlements and the modernisation surface Source: Adapted from Gould and White (1974) 86 However, subsequently, development in Tanzania has been far more complex than this simplistic overview implies. Thus, the principal policy efforts to reduce urban-rural differences can be identified as giving rise to the second and most important development phase, lasting from 1967 to 1972, and witnessing the emergence of a strong commitment to rural-based development, linked to strong principles of traditional African socialism. These policies were based on the Arusha Declaration of 1967, which attacked privilege and sought to place strong emphasis on the principles of equality, cooperation, self-reliance and nationalism. Such ideas were put into practice in the second five-year plan, 1969-1974. The major policy imperative was ujamaa villagisation, which was regarded as the expression of 'modern traditionalism', i.e. a twentieth-century version of traditional African village life. The word ujamaa is Swahili for familyhood. The intention was to concentrate scattered rural populations and, by this process of villagisation, to provide the services required for viable settlements. Reducing rural-to-urban migration was a major goal, along with lessening the dependence on major cities such as Dar-es-Salaam. Ujamaa villages were envisaged as cooperative ventures by means of which initiative and self-reliance would be fostered, along socialist lines. In addition, efforts were also made to spread urban development away from Dar-es-Saiaam towards nine selected regional growth centres, in overall terms, President Nyerere regarded these policies as a distinct move away from a slavish imitation of Western-style planning and development, based on uncritical 'modernisation'. Despite having received much praise from certain quarters, the policies adopted in Tanzania have been viewed with considerable scepticism by others, especially those from a committed Marxist perspective. During the third phase, from 1973 to 1986, enforced movement to development villages occurred. Furthermore, by the fourth stage, starting in 1978, industry and urban development were once again being upgraded at the expense of ujamaa villages and rural progress. Thus, the fourth five-year plan, 1982/83 to 1985/86, gave priority to industrial development, and by this juncture the ujamaa concept appeared to have all but fallen from the consciousness of both planners and politicians alike. Critical reflection The word 'modernisation' is frequently used in the media and by politicians. For example, the former Prime Minister of the UK, Tony Blair, talked about 'modernisation' frequently. For a limited period, keep a note of all instances that you encounter the word - in written accounts or via broadcasts. In such references, what is it being suggested needs to be modernised? Are there clear implications as to the essential nature of modernising processes? How often is the term used in relation to processes in developing as opposed to developed nations or regions? Empirical and conceptual elaborations of modernisation The process involved in the Malaysian case is shown as an ideal-typical sequence in the four boxed diagrams depicted in the lower half of Figure 3.5. In the lower figure, Tl to T4 refer to successive time-periods. The figure essentially represents the diffusion downwards of 'development' from the largest to the smallest settlement, as shown at the top of Figure 3.5. Thus, from a critical perspective, Friedmann and Weaver (1979: 120) argued that the approach only succeeded in 'mapping the penetration of neo-colonial capitalism'. The hallmark of this work was that it posited that modernisation is basically a temporal-spatial process. In such a vision, underdevelopment is seen as something which can be overcome, principally by the spatial diffusion of modernity. A number of studies argued that growth occurs within the settlement system from the largest urban places to the smallest in a basically hierarchical sequence. This is shown in the upper part of Figure 3.5. Foremost among the proponents of such a view was Hudson (1989), who applied the ideas of Hagerstrand (1953), concerning spatial diffusion, to the settlement or central place system. Hudson argued that, first, innovations can travel through the settlement system by a process of contagious spread, where there is a neighbourhood or regional effect of clustered growth. This was close to Schumpeter's (1911) general economic theory, in which he argued that the essence of 87 Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development (a) Tl 12 T3 T4 Figure 3,5 The spread of modernisation: hypothetical examples (a) down through the settlement system from the largest places to the smallest places and (b) over the national territory development is a volume of innovations. Opportunities tend to occur in waves which surge after an initial innovation. Thus, Schumpeter argued that development tends to be 'jerky3 and to appear in 'swarms', forming natural, spontaneous growth poles. Second, Hudson noted that diffusion can occur downwards through the settlement system in a progressive manner, the point of introduction being the largest city. Pedersen (1970) argued the case for a strictly hierarchical process of innovation diffusion, an assertion which seemed to be borne out by some historical-empirical studies carried out in advanced capitalist societies such as the USA (Borchert, 1967) and England and Wales (Robson, 1973). Pedersen drew a very important distinction between domestic and entrepreneurial innovations; entrepreneurial innovations were the instrument of urban growth, not domestic innovations. In another frequently cited paper of the time, Berry (1972) also argued strongly in favour of a hierarchical diffusion process of growth-inducing innovations; this was seen as the result of the sequential market-searching procedures of firms, along with imitation effects. But, notably, Berry's analysis was based on the diffusion of domestic as opposed to entrepreneurial innovations, namely of television receivers. In other words, it dealt with what was happening to consumption rather than production. Furthermore, the critique of modernisation has to accept that even larger firms are currently coming to dominate the world capitalist system, a major development that is detailed in Chapter 4. of deveiopment and th< All of these approaches, involving unequal and uneven growth, modernisation, urban industrialisation, the diffusion of innovations and hierarchic patterns of change and growth poles may be grouped together and regarded as constituting the 'top-down' paradigm of development (Stohr and Taylor, 1981). Such an approach advocates the establishment of strong urban-industrial nodes as the basis of self-sustained growth and is premised on the occurrence of strong trickle-down effects, by means of which, through time, it is believed that modernisation will inexorably be spread from urban to rural areas (Figures 3.3 and 3.5). This gives rise to the concept of the planned growth pole. Case study 3.1 presents the case of Singapore, where industrial development has formed an important component of development since independence in 1965. As with modernism, all such approaches 'had a great appeal to a wider public due to the paternalistic attitude toward non-European cultures' (Hettne, 1995: 64). These approaches, together with modernisation, reflected the desire of the USA to order the post-war world, and were used to substantiate the logic of'authoritative intervention', as noted in Chapter 1 (Preston, 1996). As Mehmet (1999: 1) stated, 'a Western worldview is the distinctive feature of the mainstream theories of economic development, old and new'. This world view has been predominantly 'bipolar', stressing a strict belief in Western rationality, science and technology. Such models, including Rostow's (1960) classic The Stages of Economic Growth, see urban-industrial nodes as engines of growth and development. Rostow's work can be seen as the pre-eminent theory of modernisation to appear in the early 1960s (Preston, 1996). Rostow's position was avowedly right-wing politically (see Key thinker box). The contribution of Walt Rostow Plate 3.1 Walt Rostow Source-. Getty Images/Time & Life Pictures Walt Whitman Rostow's (1915-2003) classic work The Stages'of Economic Growth carried the subtitle A Non-Communist Manifesto, bearing testimony to its highly political orientation. Rostow was fiercely anti-communist. The book, which was published in 1960 at the height of the Cold War, offered the prospect of automatic or almost formulaic growth, suggesting that by following a few simple rules the capitalist Western model couid be re-enacted. As Menzel (2006) notes, Rostow was fully aware that his development theory couid be employed as an instrument in East-West relations, stressing the Washington path to development. As the same author notes, Rostow's theory was a very simple formulation, which was presented and recommended with 'missionary-zeal'. Following a series of academic and governmental posts, when John Kennedy became President of the United States Rostow became a full-time staff member and was successful in promoting development policy as US foreign policy. After the assassination of President Kennedy Rostow continued to work under the new President Lyndon B. Johnson, and did so up until Richard Nixon became President. Above all else, Rostow's work shows the strongly political nature of development theory. Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development Singapore is a city state and in 1996 it had a total population of 3,044,000 persons. Its per capita income stood at US$32,810 in 2000, higher than for many European countries. Further, in 1996, the country recorded a 7.3 per cent growth in its GDP. Indeed, Singapore is frequently held up as a nation which has created a strong 'Third World' economy in a relatively short period. Yet when Singapore became an independent republic in 1965 the prospects for growth did not seem much better than for many newly emerging nations. As noted by Drakakis-Smith (2000), Singapore is a very clean and green city which has led by example with respect to its environmental policies. But, as the same author notes, in social terms there has been a price to pay for this continued growth. Singapore is a good example of a state that has grown by early industrialisation. The programme which was embarked upon in 1968 focused on both light industrialisation and some forms of heavy industry, such as oil refining, iron and steel, ship building and repairing. Thus, the contribution of manufacturing to GDP grew from 11.9 per cent in 1960, the average figure for developing nations, to 29.1 per cent in 1980. By 1995, this figure had increased to over one-quarter of GDP, standing at 26.5 per cent. The Government of Singapore was one of the first in Asia to realise fully the limitations of growth via low technology industrial development. Accordingly, throughout the 1980s it sought to transform the economy by focusing on high-tech, high-value-added industries. It was fully intended that this 'second industrial revolution' would transform Singapore into the 'Switzerland' of Asia. Singapore's major trading partners are now the USA, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Japan and the European Union. The city-state has also become an important centre for financial services, with 149 commercial banks and 79 merchant banks in 2000 (Whitaker's, 1999). The World Bank frequently holds Singapore up as a model of what can be achieved by free market policies and industrial development. But several analysts have noted that there are local factors and that these are unlikely to be repeated elsewhere. For instance, Drakakis-Smith (2000) 'argues that Singapore's success has been strongly predicated on its people, and that the degree of human resource management has been intensive and ultimately authoritarian. Specifically, as in many states in the region, there have been very tough controls on labour unions, with the general introduction of factory unions rather than occupational unions. Many argue that this has also served to reduce social class solidarity. Japanese-style company loyalty has been the desired outcome. In addition, since the 1960s there has been strict state population control, both in respect of migration and also directed education programmes, with children being allocated to 'hand' and 'brain' streams at an early stage of their education. Drakakis-Smith (2000) also notes that ethnic disparities in wealth are prominent in Singapore, with Malays forming the most disadvantaged group, but within a general societal context where middle-class consumerism dominates. Rostow envisaged that there were five stages through which all countries have to pass in the development process: the traditional society, preconditions to the take-off phase, take-off, the drive to maturity, and the age of mass consumption, as depicted in Figure 3.6. Rostow's stage model encapsulates faith in the capitalist system, as expressed by the subtitle of the work: a non-communist manifesto for economic growth. For Rostow, the critical point of take-off can occur where the net investment and savings as a ratio to national income grows from 5 to 10 per cent, thereby facilitating industrialisation. Although Rostow's framework can in many respects be regarded as a derivation of Keynesian economics, its real significance lies in the simple fact that it seemed to offer every country an equal chance to develop (Preston, 1996). In particular, saliently, the 'take-off period was calibrated at 20 or so years, long enough to be conceivable but short enough not to seem unattainable. The importance of the Rostowian framework was that it purported to explain the advantages of the Western development model. Further, in the words of Preston (1996: 178), the 'theory of modernisation follows on from growth theory but is heavily influenced by the Age of high mass consumption Time Figure 3.6 Rostow's :five-stage model of development desire of the USA to combat the influence of the USSR in the Third World'. The central argument was that developing nations needed to industrialise in order to develop. The various approaches that could be followed in pursuing this aim are reviewed in Chapter 4, and include import substitute industrialisation (ISI), industrialisation by invitation (I by I) as well as big-push industrial programmes. For a number of reasons, it was the industrialisation by invitation model that received the most attention. One reason for this was the influential work of Lewis (1950, 1955), an economist of West Indian origin who was working at the University of Manchester at the time. Lewis set out the foundations of modernisation theory when he maintained that the juxtaposition of a backward traditional sector with an advanced modern sector meant that an 'unlimited supply of labour' existed for development. This duality means that industry can expand rapidly if industrialisation is financed by foreign capital the argument ran. This led to the so-called policy of industrialisation by invitation (Plates 3.2 and 3.3). It was ironic that a St Lucian economist should use the metaphor of a snowball, arguing that once the process started to move it would develop its own self-sustaining momentum, like a snowball rolling downhill. This is, of course, an essentially similar argument to that of Walt Rostow. Indeed, all such formulations place absolute faith in the existence of a linear and rational path to development, based on Western positivism and science, and the possibility that all nations can follow this in an unconstrained manner. All such thinldng was directly related to the 'enlightenment' (see Power, 2008). Modernism was very much an urban phenomenon from 1850 onwards (Harvey, 1989). What is often referred to as 'universal' or 'high' modernism became hegemonic after 1945. Thus, the top-down approach was strongly associated with the 1950s, through to the early 1970s. Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development UU «1 & & filST—.jfclML. ESS »< Jř J.'» , u M^Uuaqci Plate 3.2 Part of an industrial estate in Bridgetown, Barbados (photo: Rob Potter) Plate 3.3 US-owned baseball factory in Port au Prince, Haiti (photo: Sean Sprague, Panos Pictures) Taken together, many writers refer to these theories as representing 'Eurocentric development minking", i.e. development theories and models rooted in Western European history and experience (Hettne, 1995; Mehmet, 1999; Slater, 1992a, 1992b). Via such approaches, during the 1950s and 1960s development was seen as a strengthening of the material base of society, principally by means of industrialisation (Plate 3.4). Inevitably, the history of the first industrial state was taken as the model which should be followed, not only by the rest of Europe but ultimately by the rest of the world, for 'it is quite natural that the original recipe for development given by the developed countries should emanate from their own experiences and prejudices' {Hettne, 1995: 37). It is notable that all the early theories of development were authored by men, and that virtually all of them were of Anglo-European origin. It would be wrong, however, to give the impression that the focus on top-down, urban-industrial growth, linked to the quest for modernisation, was associated with a single and unified path. Four more or less distinct development strategies making up the early Western tradition can be identified (Hettne, 1995): ■wr Plate 3.4 A heavily polluted town with the Pannex refinery in the background, Mexico iioto: Ron Giling, Panos Pictures) The liberal model, the strategy implicitly discussed through much of the above account, stresses the importance of the free market and largely accepts the norm based on English development experience during the Industrial Revolution. In the 1980s and 1990s such views gained fresh currency in the form of structural adjustment programmes (SAPs) enforced by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), United States Agency for International Development (USAID) and the World Bank as the condition of loans given for so-called 'economic restructuring'. However, there have been major outcries against the impact of SAPs, principally in respect of the harm that they do to the poor, and especially to women and children (see Chapter 7). This is fully exemplified by the Oxfam campaign that likened SAPs to medicines which need to be withdrawn from the marketplace, due to their risk to the health of vulnerable groups (see Figure 3.7). Noticeably, by 2000 all reference to SAPs had been expunged from the World Bank website (Simon, 2008). More positive sounding programmes focusing on poverty reduction strategies (PRSs) are now the order of the day. There seems little doubt that anti-capitalist demonstrations since Seattle in 1999 have also been influential in this respect. In these recent developments the battle between the left and the right, and its outcome in outpourings of rhetoric and labelling can be witnessed within the liberal and neo-liberal paths. Neo-liberal policies will receive further attention in several sections later in this book; meanwhile its essential nature is reviewed in the Key idea box. Keynesianism departs from the liberal tradition by virtue of arguing that the free-market system does not self-regulate effectively and efficiently, thereby necessitating the intervention of the state in order to promote growth in capitalist systems. Since the 1930s, Keynesianism has been a prominent development ideology in the industrialised capitalist world, especially in countries with a social democratic tendency (Hettne, 1995). State capitalist strategies refer to an early phase of industrial development in continental Europe, principally tsarist Russsia and Germany. The approach advocated the development of enforced industrialisation based primarily on agrarian economies in order to promote nationalism and for reasons pertaining to national security. The Soviet model represents a radical state-oriented strategy inspired by Stalin's five-year mandatory economic development plans. The approach regarded modernisation as the goal, to be achieved by means of the transfer of resources from agriculture to industry. The agricultural sector was collectivised, and heavy industry was given the highest priority. The state completely replaced the market mechanism. Chapter 3 Thrones and strategies of development Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development Neo-liberaiism Liberalism, as the belief in free markets and the abolition of government intervention in the economy, dates back to the English economist Adam Smith in his Wealth of Nations {1776). In contrast to the view of Smith, during the Great Economic Depression of the 1930s the renowned economist John Maynard Keynes argued that governments needed to be involved in creating employment in order to steer economies out of recession. However, with the rise of what is referred to as the 'New Right' in the 1980s, there was a return to calls for a strongly market-driven approach, which is referred to as Neo-liberalism, that is new forms of liberal free-market policy. The chief proponents of the approach were the politicians Ronald Reagan, President of the USA, and Margaret Thatcher, the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. Their new political project argued that the state should be progressively removed from the economy, with this ideology frequently being referred to as 'the rolling back of the state', and that measures should be taken to deregulate the economy. Since then, the tenets of neo-liberalism have become the policy orthodoxy of international development agencies such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (Power, 2003). As a critique, Conway and Heynen (2006) argue, citing Bourdieu (1998), that neo-liberalism is more The common denominator linking these four approaches is an unswerving faith in the efficacy of urban-based industrial growth (Plate 3.5), although some approaches in the early modernisation phase also emphasised resource-based development strategies. Notwithstanding the variations noted above, Hettne (1995) comments on the fact that through time the role of the state has generally been central to Western development strategies. This was certainly true of the Keynesian, state-capitalist and Soviet models. However, the recent orthodoxy has seen the dismantling of the welfare state and the reduced scope of government in the form of neo-liberalism. Arguing that the modern welfare state together with trades unions and state bureaucracies have destroyed the market system, Friedman (1962) and others argued against Keynesianism and promoted the New Right. than a belief in free trade. They suggest that the neo-liberal doctrine is based on what they refer to as the structured violence of unemployment, job insecurity and the threatened layoff from work - in other words, that neo-liberalism is a coercive economic system. It is a short step to the argument that the system stresses the supremacy of economic entrepreneurs over the subordination of nation states and that it has exacerbated global inequalities and the global divide reviewed in Chapter 1. The same authors argue that neo-liberalism is serving to hit the Third World once more, just as slavery and colonialism did in the past. Neo-liberalism is giving rise to accumulation and self-interest over communal obligations and social obligations to neighbours and the wider community. Critical reflection How do you respond to these arguments? Thinking of a sector of the economy, be it manufacturing, agriculture, education, health or indeed any other, outline the major changes that you know have occurred to it over the past say 15-20 years. How many of these fundamental shifts can be seen as the direct outcome of neo-liberal policies? In the case of many nations, the university sector is an interesting example to consider from this perspective, as there have been many changes. In this way, the New Right neo-Hberal theorists have been seen as having given rise to a counter-revolution, celebrating the unrestrained power of the unregulated free market, arguing both for its economic efficiency and its role in liberating the social choices of the individual. There can be little doubt that the general pro-market position of the New Right has served to inform the policies of the World Bank, the IMF and the United States government since the 1980s. Thus, as detailed in many of the chapters of this book, but particularly Chapter 7, the World Bank and the IMF have pressed for economic liberalisation, the elimination of market imperfections and market-inhibiting social institutions, plus the redefinition of planning regulations in Third World countries. Some sections of the New Right have even gone so far as to argue that the 'Third World only exists as a figment of form § Keep out of reach of children | If the International Monetary Fund were a drug, It would have been taken off the shelves I long ago. Banned because of its damaging effects on children. The fact Is, the Fund stops « children going to school. Under IMF programmes, many of the world's poorest countries have I seen poverty rise and education spending fail, leaving children without school, a future, I or a chance to escape poverty. If you find the Fund's policies hard to swallow, I help us call for reform. Ring 01865 313123 educationow bniVlho cydt of povarty :igure 3.7 Oxfam's campaign against IMF policies including SAPs the guilty imaginations of First World scholars and politicians3 (Preston, 1996: 260). In Britain, neo-liberalism was witnessed in the form of Thatcher's popular capitalism in the 1980s, and in America in the guise of Reaganism. Both Reagan and Thatcher saw the extension of the market into new fields such as hospitals, schools, universities and other public sector establishments, often in the form of performance-related league tables and ratings. On the global scale, the 1980s also saw 'liberalisation' being advocated in the Third World, especially by the monetarist school, which advanced an extreme laissez-faire approach, as in the so-called 'global Reaganomics'. Using the example of the newly industrialising countries (NICs), particularly those of Asia, countries were advised to liberalise their economies, encourage entrepreneurship and to seek comparative cost advantage. From the 1980s, monetarism has become the firm policy of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development Plate 3.5 'Urban-based modernisation: the CBD of Johannesburg, South Africa (photo: Tony Binns) However, Preston (1996: 260), among others, has argued that 'the schedule of reforms inaugurated by the New Right have not generally proved to be successful'. It is also true to say that the rhetorically important attempt to annex the development experiences of Pacific Asia to the position of the New Right has been widely ridiculed by development specialists. One of the reasons for this is the 'Krugman thesis'. This argues that the so-called miracles of Asian development can largely be attributed to once-in-a-lifetime changes which, having once been enacted, cannot by definition be repeated. This has included massive increases in female participation in the labour force (Watters and McGee, 1997; see also Case study 3.1). Others have pointed to the lack of unionisation, poor working conditions and authoritarian government as factors promoting high productivity, but in ways which are not acceptable elsewhere (see also Case study 3.1). A further example is to be found in the case of the Caribbean, where the World Bank is wont to point to the low wage levels and high productivity of the Asian tiger economies. Local Caribbean economists and policy makers respond by saying that the policies which underlie Asian development are just not feasible in the Caribbean context. This dialogue can be followed in the World Bank publication edited by Wen and Sengupta (1991). The nature of historical approaches Another way in which scholars and practitioners can seek to generalise about development is by empirical or real-world observations through time. By definition, this approach will give rise to descriptive-positive models of development (see Figure 3.2), and some feel these frameworks have a key role to play in the discussion of development, specifically for grounding theory in the historical realities of developing nations. Although such approaches deal primarily with the colonial and pre-independence periods, it can be argued that they may still afford insights regarding contemporary patterns and processes of development and change. ion In contrast to Hirshman, the Swedish economist Gunnar Myrdal (1957), although writing at much the same time, took a noticeably more pessimistic view, maintaining that capitalist development is inevitably r 3 Theories and strategies of development marked by deepening regional and p and welfare inequalities. Myrdal f s of the vicious circle of r leory of 'cumulative car argued that once differer lal and external er perpetuate the patter' ch a situatic effctl, whereby ilal moveme points of the ee with multiplier efte^ ilso serve to enha d' effects will undoiiL llu: increased market for the a^, raw materials of the periphery, My. given unrestrained free-market foru effects would in no way match the back, MyrdaPs thesis leads to the advocacy of strc policy in order to counteract what is seen as the no. tendency of the capitalist system to foster increasing regioi Lal inequalities. Coi-of The view that, without intervention, development is to become increasingly polarised in transitional societies was taken up and developed by a number of scholars towards the end of the 1960s and the beginning of the 1970s. As such, they ran counter to the conventional wisdom of the time. These works were based mainly on empirical studies which encompassed an historical dimension. Undoubtedly, the best-known ■le is provided by American planner John Triedniann's (1966) core-periphery model. From a puiciy theoretical perspective, Friedmann's central contention was that 'where economic growth is sustained over long time periods, its incidence works toward a progressive integration of the space economy' (i-ricdmann, 1966: 35). This process is made clear in ■ch-reproduced four-stage ideal-typical sequence of development shown here in Figure 3.8. first stage, independent local centres with no hy, represents the pre-colonial stage and is .i^ociated with a series of isolated self-sufficient local economies. There is no surplus production to be concentrated in space, and an even and essentially stable of settlement and socio-economic development ssult. periphery and the work n concern The fou.. ment of a tunc, was described by r. and is one where prog,, tinues, eventually witnessi.. intermetropolitan peripheries, of cities by size and a smooth proc. opment are envisaged as the outcome. An evaluation of core-periphery models and The first two stages of the core-periphery model describe directly the history of the majority of developing countries. Indeed, it is often not appreciated that, in the first stage, the line along which the small independent communities are drawn represents the coastline. The occurrence of uneven growth and urban concentration in the early stages of growth is seen as being the direct outcome of exogenic forces. Thus, Friedmann commented that the core-periphery relationship is essentially a colonial one, his work having been based on the history of regional development in Venezuela. Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development Plate 3.5 'Urban-based modernisation; the CBD of Johannesburg, South Africa (photo: Tony Binns) However, Preston (1996; 260), among others, has argued that 'the schedule of reforms inaugurated by the New Right have not generally proved to be successful'. It is also true to say that the rhetorically important attempt to annex the development experiences of Pacific Asia to the position of the New Right has been widely ridiculed by development specialists. One of the reasons for this is the 'Krugman thesis'. This argues that the so-called miracles of Asian development can largely be attributed to once-in-a-lifetime changes which, having once been enacted, cannot by definition he repeated. This has included massive increases in female participation in the labour force (Walters and McGee, 1997; see also Case study 3.1). Others have pointed to the lack of unionisation, poor working conditions and authoritarian government as factors promoting high productivity, but in ways which are not acceptable elsewhere (see also Case study 3J). A further example is to be found in the case of the Caribbean, where the World Bank is wont to point to the low wage levels and high productivity of the Asian tiger economies. Local Caribbean economists and policy makers respond by saying that the policies which underlie Asian development are just not feasible in the Caribbean context. This dialogue can be followed in the World Bank publication edited by Wen and Sengupta (1991). The nature of historical approaches Another way in which scholars and practitioners can seek to generalise about development is by empirical or real-world observations through time. By definition, this approach will give rise to descriptive-positive models of development (see Figure 3.2), and some feel these frameworks have a key role to play in the discussion of development, specifically for grounding theory in the historical realities of developing nations. Although such approaches deal primarily with the colonial and pre-independence periods, it can be argued that they may still afford insights regarding contemporary patterns and processes of development and change. Myrdal and e causation Gunnar cumu In contrast to Hirshman, the Swedish economist Gunnar Myrdal (1957), although writing at much the same time, took a noticeably more pessimistic view, maintaining that capitalist development is inevitably Chapter 3 Theories and strategies of development marked by deepening regional and personal income and welfare inequalities. Myrdal followed the arguments of the vicious circle of poverty in presenting his theory of 'cumulative causation'. Thereby, it was argued that once differential growth has occurred, internal and external economies of scale will serve to perpetuate the pattern. Such a situation is the outcome of the 'backwash' effect, whereby population migrations, trade and capital movements all come to focus on the key growth points of the economy. Increasing demand, associated with multiplier effects, and the existence of social facilities also serve to enhance the core region. Although 'spread' effects will undoubtedly occur, principally via the increased market for the agricultural products and raw materials of the periphery, Myrdal concluded that, given unrestrained free-market forces, these spread effects would in no way match the backwash effects. Myrdal's thesis leads to the advocacy of strong state policy in order to counteract what is seen as the normal tendency of the capitalist system to foster increasing regional inequalities. Core-peri of John Fri ery and dmann the work The view that, without intervention, development is likely to become increasingly polarised in transitional societies was taken up and developed by a number of scholars towards the end of the 1960s and the beginning of the 1970s. As such, they ran counter to the conventional wisdom of the time. These works were based mainly on empirical studies which encompassed an historical dimension. Undoubtedly, the best-known example is provided by American planner lohn Friedmann's (1966) core-periphery model. From a purely theoretical perspective, Friedmann's central contention was that 'where economic growth is sustained over long time periods, its incidence works toward a progressive integration of the space economy' (Friedmanri, 1966: 35). This process is made clear in the much-reproduced four-stage ideal-typical sequence of development shown here in Figure 3.8. The first stage, independent local centres with no hierarchy, represents the pre-colonial stage and is associated with a series of isolated self-sufficient local economies. There is no surplus production to be concentrated in space, and an even and essentially stable pattern of settlement and socio-economic development-is the result. In the second stage, a single strong centre, it is posited that as the result of some form of 'external disruption' - a euphemism for colonialism - the former stability is replaced by dynamic change. Growth is envisaged to occur rapidly in one main region and urban primacy is the spatial outcome. What may be referred to as 'social surplus product' is strongly concentrated - essentially this is a concentrated surplus of production over need. The centre (C) feeds on the rest of the nation, and the extensive periphery (P) is drained. Advantage tends to accrue to a small elite of urban consumers, who are located at the centre. However, Friedmann regarded this stage as inherently unstable. The outcome of this instability is the development of a single national centre with strong peripheral sub-centres. Over time, the simple centre-periphery pattern is progressively transformed to a multi-nuclear one. Sub-cores develop (SCI, SC2), leaving a series of intermetropolitan peripheries (PI to P4). This is the graphical representation of the point of polarisation reversal when development starts to be concentrated in parts of the former periphery, albeit on a highly concentrated basis. The fourth and final stage, which sees the development of a functionally interdependent system of cities, was described by Friedmann as 'organised complexity' and is one where progressive national integration continues, eventually witnessing the total absorption of the intermetropolitan peripheries. A smooth progression of cities by size and a smooth process of national development are envisaged as the outcomes. periphery models and The first two stages of the core-periphery model describe directly the history of the majority of developing countries. Indeed, it is often not appreciated that, in the first stage, the line along which the small independent communities are drawn represents the coastline. The occurrence of uneven growth and urban concentration in the early stages of growth is seen as being the direct outcome of exogenic forces. Thus, Friedmann commented that the core-periphery relationship is essentially a colonial one, his work having been based on the history of regional development in Venezuela.