11/8/2017 1 VI. Precipitation in urban areas URBAN CLIMATOLOGY 6.1 Urban precipitation • precipitation is not continuous in time and space • empirical studies sometimes show contradictory results • it is hard to separate urban influence from others (position, relief, …) Modification of precipitation regime in urban environment; a general model adopted from http://www. ucar.edu/communications/staffnotes/0603/cities.shtml) Urban precipitation • It is not clear whether urban environments initialize new precipitation events or whether they just intensify existing precipitation • Most studies proved that precipitation totals in cities and in their leeward side are 5–15% higher compared to rural areas • The summer is the time of maximum urban effect on precipitation • Precipitation anomaly in La Porte, USA (Changnon 1968) and project METROMEX Urban precipitation Precipitation in urban areas is modified due to three different effects: • thermal effect (UHI and stronger convection in summer -> more showers and thunderstorms) • mechanical effect (higher roughness -> lower velocity of atmospheric fronts -> more precipitation) • pollution effect (more condensation nuclei) • Due to UHI there is lower proportion of precipitation in the form of snow • Ice particles of anthropogenic origin -> condensation nuclei for stratus clouds -> more frequent light snowfall in city 6.2 Water runoff in urban environment Before and after urbanisation hydrograph (adopted from Christopherson 1997) 6.3 Precipitation regime in Brno Network of stations in Brno area and its temporal development in the period 1890–2012: a) period of measurements; b) number of stations 11/8/2017 2 Long term variability of precipitation in Brno Fluctuation of mean annual and seasonal precipitation totals in Brno in the period 1803–2010; annual values smoothed with Gaussian filter for 20 years are in bold and horizontal line is the mean for 1961–2010 reference period Comparison of mean annual variation of precipitation at selected stations in Brno in the period 1961–2010 Precipitation regime in Brno Spatial distribution of mean annual precipitation totals in Brno region in the period 1961–1990 Number of rainy days Variability in annual number of days with precipitation totals ≥ 0.1, 1.0, 10.0 and 20.0 mm including linear trends at Tuřany station, period 1961–2010 Variability in annual number of days with precipitation totals ≥ 0.1, 1.0, 10.0 and 20.0 mm including linear trends at Tuřany station in the period 1961– 2010 Number of rainy days Maximum daily precipitation totals Maximum daily precipitation totals and assessment of mean return periods at selected stations in Brno in the period 1961–2010 Variability of maximum daily precipitation totals including linear trends at two stations in Brno in the period 1961–2010 Rainy (dry) periods Number of precipitation (above) and dry (below) periods at selected stations in Brno in individual decades of the period 1961–2010 11/8/2017 3 6.4 Final remarks and questions 1. What are the main impacts of changed precipitation regime on people living in cities? 2. How we can define extremity of precipitation regime? 3. What is the role of other factors such as relief, position, land use etc.? 4. How can be negative effects mitigated in urban-planning design? • Higher probability of occurrence of short-term extreme precipitation totals and flash floods • Longer periods without any precipitation, higher probability of drought occurrence • Non-uniform precipitation distribution during the year Urban precipitation and Global warming projections